The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CRS · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity
対処能力不足指数
Index on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
Page GRX-IDX-CRSEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacityValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
不確実性
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
構成
6 components
26 leaf indicators
対象範囲
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 30%
26
leaf indicators
6
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
3
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
The NIS analogue of the INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity dimension, built on Sendai E-G and disaster risk finance; health-system access enters through HLT composites in profiles rather than being duplicated here.
computation
How Lack of coping capacity is computedGraph35 nodes
グラフ
01指標
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04柱
05総合
100%
索引
- 仙台防災枠組に沿った国の DRR 戦略Indicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) of how far the national disaster risk reduction strategy is adopted and implemented in line with the Sendai Framework, assessed against its ten key elements.
- 国の戦略に沿った DRR 戦略を持つ地方自治体Indicator · IND · %Share of local governments that have adopted and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with the national strategy.
- マルチハザードの監視・予測システムIndicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for the coverage and operational status of hazard monitoring and forecasting systems across the hazards relevant to the country.
- 早期警報情報の対象となる人々Indicator · IND · /10*5Number of people per 100 000 covered by early warning information through local governments or national dissemination mechanisms.
- 早期警報に基づいて行動する計画を持つ地方自治体Indicator · IND · %Share of local governments with a plan that sets out actions to take when an early warning is received.
- 利用しやすい災害リスク情報と評価Indicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for whether usable, understandable and relevant disaster risk information and assessments are available to people at national and local level.
- 予防的避難で守られたエクスポージャー人口Indicator · IND · %Share of the population exposed to or at risk from a hazardous event that was protected through pre-emptive evacuation following an early warning, per event and aggregated per year.
- 災害リスク・ファイナンス戦略の採択Indicator · IND · yes or noWhether the government has adopted a disaster risk financing strategy or policy that layers reserves, contingent credit and risk transfer against defined risk tiers (1 yes, 0 no).
- ソブリン地域リスク・プールへの参加Indicator · IND · yes or noWhether the government holds an in-force parametric policy with a sovereign regional catastrophe risk pool (ARC (Africa), CCRIF SPC (Caribbean and Central America), PCRIC (Pacific), SEADRIF (South-East Asia)) in the policy year (1 yes, 0 no).
- 事前に取り決めた災害時の偶発融資（GDP 比）Indicator · IND · %Undrawn amount of pre-arranged contingent credit lines for disasters (World Bank Cat DDOs and equivalent instruments from regional development banks) available at year end, as a percentage of GDP.
- ソブリン・カタストロフィ・リスク移転の限度額（GDP 比）Indicator · IND · %Aggregate in-force limit of sovereign and sub-sovereign catastrophe risk transfer (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance including regional pool policies, indemnity reinsurance of public assets) as a percentage of GDP.
- 損害保険料（GDP 比）Indicator · IND · %Gross written non-life insurance premiums as a percentage of GDP.
- 自然災害保険の保護ギャップIndicator · IND · %Share of economic losses from natural hazards that is not insured, as a ten-year average of realised losses or, where available, of modelled average annual loss.
- 救急サービスまで 15 分以内の人口Indicator · IND · %Share of the population that an ambulance, fire or rescue unit from a staffed station can reach within 15 minutes by road, modelled from station locations, road networks and gridded population.
- INSARAG 認定の都市型捜索救助チームIndicator · IND · yes or noWhether the country has at least one urban search and rescue team classified under the INSARAG External Classification (1 yes, 0 no).
- DRR に対する国際的な公的支援の受取額（GDP 比）Indicator · IND · %Official international support (official development assistance plus other official flows) disbursed for national disaster risk reduction actions in the recipient country, as a percentage of GDP.
- ショック対応型社会保障の準備度Indicator · IND · scoreScore (0–1) for whether the main social-protection programmes have pre-agreed triggers, pre-positioned financing, an interoperable registry covering the hazard-exposed poor and a tested payment channel for rapid horizontal or vertical scale-up.
- 全天候型道路から 2 km 以内の農村人口Indicator · IND · %Share of the rural population living within two kilometres (about a 20-minute walk) of a road passable in all seasons, estimated from gridded population and road-network condition data.
- 物流パフォーマンスIndicator · IND · scoreOverall score of trade logistics performance (customs, infrastructure, shipments, logistics competence, tracking, timeliness) on a 1–5 scale, as an external source series.
- 最前線に対する定期船輸送の接続性Indicator · IND · %Liner shipping connectivity of the economy’s ports (ship deployment, container capacity, services, companies, direct connections) as a percentage of the highest-scoring economy in the same year.
- 1 人あたり航空旅客数Indicator · IND · passengers/a/personPassengers carried on domestic and international flights by carriers registered in the economy, per resident per year.
- 公共交通機関を利用しやすい都市人口Indicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living within 500 m walking distance of a low-capacity public transport stop or 1 km of a high-capacity one.
- インターネット利用者Indicator · IND · %Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
- 技術別の携帯電話網のカバー人口Indicator · IND · %Share of the population within range of a mobile-cellular signal, reported separately for 2G, 3G, 4G/LTE and 5G; the headline value is 4G or better.
- 100 人あたり固定ブロードバンド契約数Indicator · IND · /10*2Fixed subscriptions to the public Internet at advertised download speeds of at least 256 kbit/s, per 100 inhabitants, by speed tier.
- 国際接続経路の冗長性Indicator · IND · 1Number of physically diverse international connectivity routes (distinct subsea-cable landing stations and cross-border terrestrial fibre routes) serving the economy, capped at ten.
- DRR governance sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
- Early warning capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
- Disaster risk financing capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
- Response capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
- Transport connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
- Digital connectivity deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
- 対処能力不足指数Domain index · IDX · geometricIndex on a 0–10 scale of the absence of DRR governance, early warning, risk financing and response capacity (each inverted), together with transport and digital connectivity deficits; higher means less able to cope.
- 対処能力と適応能力の不足Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未実行進行中完了
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate lack of coping capacity on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
ブラウザで動作
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03手法
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM 0–10 rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 30% of weight
- Weighting
- 専門家
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- 不確実性
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity (structure only); Sendai Framework targets E, F, G; World Bank DRFIP; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide
非常に低い0.0〜< 2.0
低い2.0〜< 3.5
中程度3.5〜< 5.0
高い5.0〜< 6.5
非常に高い6.5 から 10.0
04Components
6 components, 26 indicators
DRR governance sub-index w 1
Composite of national DRR strategy alignment and local strategy uptake.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
仙台防災枠組に沿った国の DRR 戦略IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 50.0% |
国の戦略に沿った DRR 戦略を持つ地方自治体IND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, mcr2030-resilience-roadmap | 50.0% |
Early warning capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of monitoring and forecasting, warning coverage, local action plans, risk-information access and pre-emptive evacuation outcomes.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
マルチハザードの監視・予測システムIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis | 22.2% |
早期警報情報の対象となる人々IND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | /10*5 | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments | 22.2% |
早期警報に基づいて行動する計画を持つ地方自治体IND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
利用しやすい災害リスク情報と評価IND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | {score} | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 22.2% |
予防的避難で守られたエクスポージャー人口IND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | % | Class E | undrr-sendai-framework-monitor, national-civil-protection-reports | 11.1% |
Disaster risk financing capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of a financing strategy, regional pool participation, contingent credit, risk transfer cover, insurance penetration and, inverted, the protection gap.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
災害リスク・ファイナンス戦略の採択IND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | {bool} | Class B | wb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, national-finance-ministry-publications | 9.1% |
ソブリン地域リスク・プールへの参加IND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | {bool} | Class A | arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports | 9.1% |
事前に取り決めた災害時の偶発融資（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | % | Class A | wb-projects-database, regional-development-bank-project-databases | 18.2% |
ソブリン・カタストロフィ・リスク移転の限度額（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | % | Class B | wb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, artemis-deal-directory-licensed | 18.2% |
損害保険料（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | % | Class B | oecd-global-insurance-statistics, national-insurance-supervisors, swiss-re-sigma-licensed | 18.2% |
自然災害保険の保護ギャップIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | % | Class C | eiopa-nat-cat-protection-gap-dashboard, swiss-re-sigma-licensed, emdat | 27.3% |
Response capacity sub-index w 1
Composite of emergency-service access, INSARAG-classified rescue capability, international DRR support and shock-responsive social protection.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
救急サービスまで 15 分以内の人口IND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | % | Class D | openstreetmap, worldpop, national-emergency-service-registers | 42.9% |
INSARAG 認定の都市型捜索救助チームIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | {bool} | Class A | insarag-classified-teams-list | 14.3% |
DRR に対する国際的な公的支援の受取額（GDP 比）IND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | % | Class B | oecd-crs-drr-marker, undrr-sendai-framework-monitor | 14.3% |
ショック対応型社会保障の準備度IND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | {score} | Class E | wb-aspire, wfp-shock-responsive-social-protection-studies, national-social-protection-strategies | 28.6% |
Transport connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of rural all-season road access, weak logistics performance, low liner shipping connectivity, low air connectivity and limited urban public transport, each inverted.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
全天候型道路から 2 km 以内の農村人口IND.INF.transport.rural_road_access | % | Class C | wb-rural-access-index, openstreetmap, worldpop | 33.3% |
物流パフォーマンスIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance | {score} | Class E | wb-lpi | 22.2% |
最前線に対する定期船輸送の接続性IND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity | % | Class B | unctad-lsci, wb-wdi | 22.2% |
1 人あたり航空旅客数IND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc | {passengers}/a/{person} | Class B | icao-air-transport-reporting, wb-wdi | 11.1% |
公共交通機関を利用しやすい都市人口IND.INF.transport.public_transport_access | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators-database, gtfs-feeds, openstreetmap | 11.1% |
Digital connectivity deficit sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the lack of internet use, mobile coverage, fixed broadband and international route redundancy, each inverted.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
インターネット利用者IND.INF.digital.internet_users | % | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys | 33.3% |
技術別の携帯電話網のカバー人口IND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage | % | Class B | itu-datahub, gsma-mobile-coverage-maps | 33.3% |
100 人あたり固定ブロードバンド契約数IND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband | /10*2 | Class B | itu-datahub, wb-wdi, oecd-broadband-portal | 16.7% |
国際接続経路の冗長性IND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy | 1 | Class D | telegeography-submarine-cable-map, itu-broadband-maps, peeringdb | 16.7% |
05分野
Coping capacity and resilience
Disaster risk reduction, early warning, risk financing and protection gaps.
| Sub-domain | 指標 |
|---|---|
| DRR strategy | 2 |
| 早期警戒 | 6 |
| Risk financing and protection gap | 6 |
| Response capacity | 4 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Sendai E-G; INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity; UNDRR GAR 2025.
06指標
All 18 coping capacity and resilience indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指標 | 分野 | Sub-domain | 構成要素 | 単位 | レベル | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
仙台防災枠組に沿った国の DRR 戦略IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
国の戦略に沿った DRR 戦略を持つ地方自治体IND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies | CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
マルチハザード早期警報システムのスコアIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score | CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-1 |
マルチハザードの監視・予測システムIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting | CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-2 |
早期警報情報の対象となる人々IND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage | CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-3 |
早期警報に基づいて行動する計画を持つ地方自治体IND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans | CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-4 |
利用しやすい災害リスク情報と評価IND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access | CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | SENDAI G-5 |
予防的避難で守られたエクスポージャー人口IND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation | CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-6 |
災害リスク・ファイナンス戦略の採択IND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
ソブリン地域リスク・プールへの参加IND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
事前に取り決めた災害時の偶発融資（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
ソブリン・カタストロフィ・リスク移転の限度額（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
自然災害保険の保護ギャップIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
損害保険料（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration | CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | |
救急サービスまで 15 分以内の人口IND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
INSARAG 認定の都市型捜索救助チームIND.CRS.response.usar_classification | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {bool} | COUNTRY | |
DRR に対する国際的な公的支援の受取額（GDP 比）IND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
ショック対応型社会保障の準備度IND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection | CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY |
07引用
Lack of coping capacity index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · CRS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Lack of coping capacity index, world
–
値は版とともに公開され、区間、区分、変化がここに表示されます。
- 前回の版
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- 結合総合
- –
- 結合スコア S
- –
- パルス、直近 1 週間
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- 手法
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- 抽出
- 1,000
Lack of coping capacity index, world, by edition
公開済みの値はまだありません。最初の版で、区間の帯と区分の境界とともに履歴がここに描かれます。
アフリカ54
南北アメリカ35
アジア48
ヨーロッパ44
変動はまだありません。 前版からの変化は、第 2 版以降、その要因となった指標とともにここに掲載されます。
08値
Country values
FIG 5 · Lack of coping capacity index: countries (values when released)
地図を読み込み中
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- タイル
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/crs/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- 観測キー
nis:IDX.CRS.response.lack_of_coping_capacity:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09シリーズ
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-08Global DisasterMulti-hazard exposure, disaster losses and mortality, return-period losses, protection gaps and coping capacity.→ TH-02Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)Hazard, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, preparedness, redundancy and recovery readings for planning and learning, aligned to the Sendai Framework targets.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
SDG | 11 |
SENDAI | 8 |
WB_WDI | 5 |
ISO_37120 | 2 |
11Nexus 全体で
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
12引用
引用と再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Lack of coping capacity index (GRX-IDX-CRS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/lack-of-coping-capacity/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000115.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
ステータス
The Global Risks Index の手法、構造、定義は準備段階の作業草案（2026 年）であり、レビューと意見募集のために配布されているもので、実施を目的としたものではありません。管理されたエビデンスの区切りから版が公表されるまで、値は一切表示されません。公表後の値には、区間、区分、出典、訂正の経路が付されます。シミュレーターは、公表された手法をあなたが選んだ数値で実行するものであり、NXS-GRX の値を表示することはありません。
NXS-GRX ではないもの
NXS-GRX は研究およびリスク分析の情報です。信用格付や ESG 格付ではなく、格付尺度を用いず、金融商品のベンチマークでも、公的統計でも、緊急警報や公式分類でも、助言でもありません。自然人の評価に用いてはなりません。リスククラスは公開された尺度上の区分であり、国や人の順位付けではありません。
機関と情報源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
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Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.