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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIS · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

財政・公的債務リスク指数

Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-FISEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

不確実性

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation

構成

7 components

27 leaf indicators

対象範囲

71% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
27
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

One domain view of sovereign fiscal risk that partly penalises weakness in any pillar; the sub-indices stay visible beside it. It is not a debt-distress rating and never replaces the published LIC-DSF or SRDSF signals.

computation
How Fiscal and public debt risk is computed
Graph37 nodes
グラフ
01指標
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04柱
05総合
100%
索引
  1. 一般政府総債務（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    All liabilities of general government that require future payment of interest or principal (debt securities, loans, other accounts payable and similar instruments), at nominal or face value, as a percentage of GDP.
  2. 一般政府純債務（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross general government debt minus financial assets held in the form of the same debt instruments, as a percentage of GDP.
  3. 公的対外債務の現在価値（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt, discounted at the LIC-DSF unified discount rate, as a percentage of GDP.
  4. 公的対外債務の現在価値（輸出比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services.
  5. 公的総資金調達ニーズ（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government overall deficit plus amortisation of debt falling due in the year (including short-term debt), as a percentage of GDP.
  6. 公的対外債務返済（歳入比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of general government revenue excluding grants.
  7. 公的対外債務返済（輸出比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of exports of goods, services and primary income.
  8. ベンチマークに対するソブリン債スプレッド
    Indicator · IND · %
    Yield spread of the sovereign’s foreign-currency bonds over US Treasury (or Bund) securities of matched duration, in percentage points, period average.
  9. 一般政府債務に占める外貨建ての割合
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt denominated in, or indexed to, a foreign currency, at end of period.
  10. 一般政府債務に占める短期債務の割合（残存期間）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt falling due within twelve months, by residual maturity, at end of period.
  11. 一般政府債務の非居住者保有
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt held by non-resident creditors (official and private), at end of period.
  12. 一般政府債務の平均残存期間
    Indicator · IND · a
    Weighted average residual maturity of general government debt principal, in years, at end of period.
  13. 公的対外債務に占める譲許的債務の割合
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of public and publicly guaranteed external debt contracted on concessional terms (grant element of at least 35%), at end of period.
  14. 硬直的支出（歳入比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Compensation of employees, interest and social benefits (GFSM 2014 items 21, 24 and 27) together as a percentage of general government revenue.
  15. 利払い（歳入比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government interest payments (GFSM 2014 item 24) as a percentage of general government revenue.
  16. 一般政府歳入（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total general government revenue as a percentage of GDP.
  17. 天然資源収入（一般政府歳入に占める割合）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Revenue from oil, gas and mining (royalties, resource taxes, profit transfers from state resource companies) as a percentage of total general government revenue.
  18. 一般政府の総合収支（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government revenue minus total expenditure (net lending or net borrowing, GFSM 2014) in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
  19. 一般政府のプライマリー・バランス（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Overall general government balance excluding net interest payments, as a percentage of GDP.
  20. Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Effective real interest rate on general government debt (interest paid over the previous year’s debt stock, deflated by the GDP deflator) minus real GDP growth, three-year average, in percentage points.
  21. 非金融公的企業の債務（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross debt of non-financial public corporations (state-owned enterprises outside general government) as a percentage of GDP, where reported.
  22. 政府保証残高（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Stock of explicit one-off loan guarantees issued by general government (including public-private partnership guarantees) outstanding at end of period, as a percentage of GDP.
  23. 災害による年間予想財政コスト（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Modelled average annual cost to the budget of disaster relief, reconstruction of public assets and revenue loss, net of pre-arranged risk financing, as a percentage of GDP.
  24. 経常収支（GDP 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Balance of trade in goods and services, primary and secondary income, as a percentage of GDP (BPM6).
  25. 外貨準備（輸入月数）
    Indicator · IND · mo
    Gross international reserves (including gold) divided by the monthly value of imports of goods and services.
  26. 短期対外債務（外貨準備比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    External debt with original maturity of one year or less as a percentage of gross international reserves.
  27. 対外債務残高（GNI 比）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total external debt owed to non-residents (public, publicly guaranteed, private non-guaranteed, IMF credit and short-term) as a percentage of GNI.
  28. Public debt burden sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
  29. Financing pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
  30. Debt composition risk sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
  31. Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
  32. Fiscal position sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
  33. Contingent liability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
  34. External vulnerability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%
    Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
  35. 財政・公的債務リスク指数
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
  36. マクロ金融と構造の脆弱性
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  37. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未実行進行中完了
FIG 2. 27 indicators, 7 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate fiscal and public debt risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
5.0
25
1
–
ブラウザで動作
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03手法

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
NONE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
71% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
専門家
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
不確実性
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM geometric aggregation; IMF SRDSF and IMF/WB LIC-DSF (pillar structure only)
非常に低い0.0〜< 2.0
低い2.0〜< 3.5
中程度3.5〜< 5.0
高い5.0〜< 6.5
非常に高い6.5 から 10.0
04Components

7 components, 27 indicators

Public debt burden sub-index w 2

Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
一般政府総債務（GDP 比）IND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gdd, wb-qpsd37.5%
一般政府純債務（GDP 比）IND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp%Class Bimf-weo12.5%
公的対外債務の現在価値（GDP 比）IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp%Class Cimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids25.0%
公的対外債務の現在価値（輸出比）IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports%Class Cimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids25.0%

Financing pressure sub-index w 2

Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
公的総資金調達ニーズ（GDP 比）IND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp%Class Cimf-dsa, imf-fiscal-monitor, national-dmo37.5%
公的対外債務返済（歳入比）IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue%Class Bimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids, imf-gfs25.0%
公的対外債務返済（輸出比）IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports%Class Awb-ids, wb-wdi25.0%
ベンチマークに対するソブリン債スプレッドIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread%Class Bjpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, imf-dsa12.5%

Debt composition risk sub-index w 1.5

Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
一般政府債務に占める外貨建ての割合IND.FIS.debt.fx_share%Class Bwb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa20.0%
一般政府債務に占める短期債務の割合（残存期間）IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share%Class Bwb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa20.0%
一般政府債務の非居住者保有IND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share%Class Cimf-sovereign-investor-base, wb-qpsd, national-dmo20.0%
一般政府債務の平均残存期間IND.FIS.debt.average_maturityaClass Bnational-dmo, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, imf-dsa20.0%
公的対外債務に占める譲許的債務の割合IND.FIS.debt.concessional_share%Class Awb-ids20.0%

Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index w 1

Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
硬直的支出（歳入比）IND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue%Class Bderived:imf-gfs28.6%
利払い（歳入比）IND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue%Class Aimf-gfs, imf-weo, wb-wdi28.6%
一般政府歳入（GDP 比）IND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs, unu-wider-grd28.6%
天然資源収入（一般政府歳入に占める割合）IND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share%Class Bunu-wider-grd, imf-gfs, eiti14.3%

Fiscal position sub-index w 1

Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
一般政府の総合収支（GDP 比）IND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs, wb-wdi33.3%
一般政府のプライマリー・バランス（GDP 比）IND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs33.3%
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential%Class Cderived:imf-weo, derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth33.3%

Contingent liability sub-index w 1

Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
非金融公的企業の債務（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp%Class Cwb-qpsd, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet, national-soe-reports40.0%
政府保証残高（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp%Class Cnational-fiscal-risk-statements, wb-ppi, imf-dsa40.0%
災害による年間予想財政コスト（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp%Class Dundrr-gar-aal, wb-country-climate-development-reports, imf-dsa-climate-annex20.0%

External vulnerability sub-index w 0.5

Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.

指標単位エビデンス出典割合
経常収支（GDP 比）IND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp%Class Awb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-bop25.0%
外貨準備（輸入月数）IND.MAC.external.reserves_import_covermoClass Awb-wdi, imf-irfcl25.0%
短期対外債務（外貨準備比）IND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves%Class Awb-ids, wb-wdi25.0%
対外債務残高（GNI 比）IND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni%Class Awb-ids25.0%
05分野

Fiscal and public debt

Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities.

Sub-domain指標
Fiscal balance4
Revenue5
Expenditure3
Debt stock and composition9
Gross financing needs5
Contingent liabilities3
Debt-carrying capacity8

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF GFS 2014; IMF/WB LIC-DSF; IMF SRDSF; Sovereign rating fiscal pillar.

06指標

All 37 fiscal and public debt indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FIS · 37
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
指標分野Sub-domain構成要素単位レベルCrosswalks
一般政府の総合収支（GDP 比）IND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS
一般政府のプライマリー・バランス（GDP 比）IND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP
一般政府の構造的収支（潜在 GDP 比）IND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differentialFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRY
一般政府歳入（名目、米ドル）IND.FIS.revenue.total.usdFISRevenuecontext[USD]COUNTRYIMF_GFS 1
一般政府歳入（GDP 比）IND.FIS.revenue.total.gdpFISRevenuecoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS
税収（GDP 比）IND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdpFISRevenuecoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11
徴税努力（推計課税能力に対する実績）IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effortFISRevenueadaptive capacity1COUNTRY
天然資源収入（一般政府歳入に占める割合）IND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_shareFISRevenuevulnerability%COUNTRY
一般政府歳出（GDP 比）IND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdpFISExpenditurecontext%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS
硬直的支出（歳入比）IND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenueFISExpenditurevulnerability%COUNTRY
利払い（歳入比）IND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenueFISExpenditurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS
一般政府総債務（GDP 比）IND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS
一般政府純債務（GDP 比）IND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP
一般政府債務に占める外貨建ての割合IND.FIS.debt.fx_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
一般政府債務に占める短期債務の割合（残存期間）IND.FIS.debt.short_term_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
一般政府債務の平均残存期間IND.FIS.debt.average_maturityFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerabilityaCOUNTRY
一般政府債務の非居住者保有IND.FIS.debt.nonresident_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
公的対外債務に占める譲許的債務の割合IND.FIS.debt.concessional_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS
公的対外債務の現在価値（GDP 比）IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS
公的対外債務の現在価値（輸出比）IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exportsFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS
公的総資金調達ニーズ（GDP 比）IND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdpFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
公的対外債務返済（歳入比）IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenueFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
公的対外債務返済（輸出比）IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exportsFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1
ベンチマークに対するソブリン債スプレッドIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spreadFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
5 年物ソブリン CDS スプレッドIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5yFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
非金融公的企業の債務（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
政府保証残高（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
災害による年間予想財政コスト（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 複合指標スコア（公表値、参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicatorFISDebt-carrying capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 閾値：対外債務の現在価値の対 GDP 比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdpFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 閾値：対外債務の現在価値の対輸出比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exportsFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 閾値：対外債務返済の対輸出比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exportsFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 閾値：対外債務返済の対歳入比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenueFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF ベンチマーク：公的債務総額の現在価値の対 GDP 比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdpFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 債務危機リスク（公表値、参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_publishedFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext{class}COUNTRY
SRDSF ソブリン・ストレスの総合リスク（公表値、参考）IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_publishedFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext{class}COUNTRY
07引用

Fiscal and public debt risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FIS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
–
値は版とともに公開され、区間、区分、変化がここに表示されます。
前回の版
–
Range since 2016
–
結合総合
–
結合スコア S
–
パルス、直近 1 週間
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
手法
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
抽出
1,000
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world, by edition

公開済みの値はまだありません。最初の版で、区間の帯と区分の境界とともに履歴がここに描かれます。

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
アフリカ54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
南北アメリカ35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
アジア48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
ヨーロッパ44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
オセアニア14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
変動はまだありません。 前版からの変化は、第 2 版以降、その要因となった指標とともにここに掲載されます。
08値

Country values

FIG 5 · Fiscal and public debt risk index: countries (values when released)
地図を読み込み中
アンドラアンティグア・バーブーダバーレーンバルバドスコモロカーボベルデドミニカ国ミクロネシア連邦グレナダキリバスセントクリストファー・ネーヴィスセントルシアリヒテンシュタインモナコモルディブマーシャル諸島マルタモーリシャスナウルパラオシンガポールサンマリノサントメ・プリンシペセーシェルトンガツバルバチカンセントビンセント及びグレナディーン諸島サモア
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
タイル
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fis/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
観測キー
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09シリーズ

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk. SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security. SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance. TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI12
IMF_WEO6
SDG2
11Nexus 全体で

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12引用

引用と再利用

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Fiscal and public debt risk index (GRX-IDX-FIS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/fiscal-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000122.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

ステータス

The Global Risks Index の手法、構造、定義は準備段階の作業草案（2026 年）であり、レビューと意見募集のために配布されているもので、実施を目的としたものではありません。管理されたエビデンスの区切りから版が公表されるまで、値は一切表示されません。公表後の値には、区間、区分、出典、訂正の経路が付されます。シミュレーターは、公表された手法をあなたが選んだ数値で実行するものであり、NXS-GRX の値を表示することはありません。

NXS-GRX ではないもの

NXS-GRX は研究およびリスク分析の情報です。信用格付や ESG 格付ではなく、格付尺度を用いず、金融商品のベンチマークでも、公的統計でも、緊急警報や公式分類でも、助言でもありません。自然人の評価に用いてはなりません。リスククラスは公開された尺度上の区分であり、国や人の順位付けではありません。

機関と情報源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

すべての値には情報源の帰属表示が付され、情報源はそれぞれ独自のライセンスを保持します。外部の名称は相互運用性のためにのみ引用しています。Nexus が執筆したテキストは、公開時に CC BY 4.0 とする予定です。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.