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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIS · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

财政与公共债务风险指数

Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-FISEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

不确定性

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation

结构

7 components

27 leaf indicators

覆盖范围

71% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
27
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

One domain view of sovereign fiscal risk that partly penalises weakness in any pillar; the sub-indices stay visible beside it. It is not a debt-distress rating and never replaces the published LIC-DSF or SRDSF signals.

computation
How Fiscal and public debt risk is computed
Graph37 nodes
流程图
01指标
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04支柱
05综合
100%
索引
  1. 广义政府债务总额，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    All liabilities of general government that require future payment of interest or principal (debt securities, loans, other accounts payable and similar instruments), at nominal or face value, as a percentage of GDP.
  2. 广义政府净债务，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross general government debt minus financial assets held in the form of the same debt instruments, as a percentage of GDP.
  3. 公共外债现值，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt, discounted at the LIC-DSF unified discount rate, as a percentage of GDP.
  4. 公共外债现值，占出口比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Present value of public and publicly guaranteed external debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services.
  5. 公共部门总融资需求，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government overall deficit plus amortisation of debt falling due in the year (including short-term debt), as a percentage of GDP.
  6. 公共外债偿付，占收入比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of general government revenue excluding grants.
  7. 公共外债偿付，占出口比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Principal and interest paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year as a percentage of exports of goods, services and primary income.
  8. 主权债券相对基准的利差
    Indicator · IND · %
    Yield spread of the sovereign’s foreign-currency bonds over US Treasury (or Bund) securities of matched duration, in percentage points, period average.
  9. 广义政府债务中外币债务占比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt denominated in, or indexed to, a foreign currency, at end of period.
  10. 广义政府债务中短期债务占比（剩余期限）
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt falling due within twelve months, by residual maturity, at end of period.
  11. 非居民持有的广义政府债务
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of general government debt held by non-resident creditors (official and private), at end of period.
  12. 广义政府债务平均剩余期限
    Indicator · IND · a
    Weighted average residual maturity of general government debt principal, in years, at end of period.
  13. 公共外债中优惠贷款占比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of public and publicly guaranteed external debt contracted on concessional terms (grant element of at least 35%), at end of period.
  14. 刚性支出，占收入比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Compensation of employees, interest and social benefits (GFSM 2014 items 21, 24 and 27) together as a percentage of general government revenue.
  15. 利息支付，占收入比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government interest payments (GFSM 2014 item 24) as a percentage of general government revenue.
  16. 广义政府收入，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total general government revenue as a percentage of GDP.
  17. 自然资源收入，占广义政府收入比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Revenue from oil, gas and mining (royalties, resource taxes, profit transfers from state resource companies) as a percentage of total general government revenue.
  18. 广义政府总体差额，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    General government revenue minus total expenditure (net lending or net borrowing, GFSM 2014) in the year, as a percentage of GDP.
  19. 广义政府基本差额，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Overall general government balance excluding net interest payments, as a percentage of GDP.
  20. Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Effective real interest rate on general government debt (interest paid over the previous year’s debt stock, deflated by the GDP deflator) minus real GDP growth, three-year average, in percentage points.
  21. 非金融公共企业债务，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross debt of non-financial public corporations (state-owned enterprises outside general government) as a percentage of GDP, where reported.
  22. 未清偿政府担保，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Stock of explicit one-off loan guarantees issued by general government (including public-private partnership guarantees) outstanding at end of period, as a percentage of GDP.
  23. 灾害预期年度财政成本，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Modelled average annual cost to the budget of disaster relief, reconstruction of public assets and revenue loss, net of pre-arranged risk financing, as a percentage of GDP.
  24. 经常账户余额，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Balance of trade in goods and services, primary and secondary income, as a percentage of GDP (BPM6).
  25. 储备可支付进口月数
    Indicator · IND · mo
    Gross international reserves (including gold) divided by the monthly value of imports of goods and services.
  26. 短期外债，占储备比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    External debt with original maturity of one year or less as a percentage of gross international reserves.
  27. 外债存量，占 GNI 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total external debt owed to non-residents (public, publicly guaranteed, private non-guaranteed, IMF credit and short-term) as a percentage of GNI.
  28. Public debt burden sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.
  29. Financing pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.
  30. Debt composition risk sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.
  31. Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.
  32. Fiscal position sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.
  33. Contingent liability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 11.1%
    Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.
  34. External vulnerability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%
    Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.
  35. 财政与公共债务风险指数
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Expert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
  36. 宏观金融与结构脆弱性
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  37. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未运行进行中已完成
FIG 2. 27 indicators, 7 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate fiscal and public debt risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
5.0
25
1
–
在您的浏览器中运行
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03方法

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
NONE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
71% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
专家
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
不确定性
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM geometric aggregation; IMF SRDSF and IMF/WB LIC-DSF (pillar structure only)
很低0.0 至 < 2.0
低2.0 至 < 3.5
中3.5 至 < 5.0
高5.0 至 < 6.5
很高6.5 至 10.0
04Components

7 components, 27 indicators

Public debt burden sub-index w 2

Composite of gross and net general government debt and the present value of public external debt to GDP and to exports.

指标单位证据来源占比
广义政府债务总额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gdd, wb-qpsd37.5%
广义政府净债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp%Class Bimf-weo12.5%
公共外债现值，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp%Class Cimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids25.0%
公共外债现值，占出口比重IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports%Class Cimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids25.0%

Financing pressure sub-index w 2

Composite of gross financing needs, public external debt service to revenue and to exports, and the sovereign bond spread.

指标单位证据来源占比
公共部门总融资需求，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp%Class Cimf-dsa, imf-fiscal-monitor, national-dmo37.5%
公共外债偿付，占收入比重IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue%Class Bimf-wb-lic-dsf, wb-ids, imf-gfs25.0%
公共外债偿付，占出口比重IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports%Class Awb-ids, wb-wdi25.0%
主权债券相对基准的利差IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread%Class Bjpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, imf-dsa12.5%

Debt composition risk sub-index w 1.5

Composite of the foreign-currency share, short-term share, non-resident holdings, average maturity and concessional share of public debt.

指标单位证据来源占比
广义政府债务中外币债务占比IND.FIS.debt.fx_share%Class Bwb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa20.0%
广义政府债务中短期债务占比（剩余期限）IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share%Class Bwb-qpsd, national-dmo, imf-dsa20.0%
非居民持有的广义政府债务IND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share%Class Cimf-sovereign-investor-base, wb-qpsd, national-dmo20.0%
广义政府债务平均剩余期限IND.FIS.debt.average_maturityaClass Bnational-dmo, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, imf-dsa20.0%
公共外债中优惠贷款占比IND.FIS.debt.concessional_share%Class Awb-ids20.0%

Budget rigidity and revenue weakness sub-index w 1

Composite of rigid expenditure to revenue, interest to revenue, revenue to GDP and resource-revenue dependence.

指标单位证据来源占比
刚性支出，占收入比重IND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue%Class Bderived:imf-gfs28.6%
利息支付，占收入比重IND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue%Class Aimf-gfs, imf-weo, wb-wdi28.6%
广义政府收入，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs, unu-wider-grd28.6%
自然资源收入，占广义政府收入比重IND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share%Class Bunu-wider-grd, imf-gfs, eiti14.3%

Fiscal position sub-index w 1

Composite of the overall balance, the primary balance and the interest-rate-growth differential.

指标单位证据来源占比
广义政府总体差额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs, wb-wdi33.3%
广义政府基本差额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp%Class Aimf-weo, imf-gfs33.3%
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential%Class Cderived:imf-weo, derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth33.3%

Contingent liability sub-index w 1

Composite of state-owned-enterprise debt, outstanding guarantees and the expected annual fiscal cost of disasters.

指标单位证据来源占比
非金融公共企业债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp%Class Cwb-qpsd, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet, national-soe-reports40.0%
未清偿政府担保，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp%Class Cnational-fiscal-risk-statements, wb-ppi, imf-dsa40.0%
灾害预期年度财政成本，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp%Class Dundrr-gar-aal, wb-country-climate-development-reports, imf-dsa-climate-annex20.0%

External vulnerability sub-index w 0.5

Composite of current-account balance, reserve cover, short-term debt to reserves and external debt.

指标单位证据来源占比
经常账户余额，占 GDP 比重IND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp%Class Awb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-bop25.0%
储备可支付进口月数IND.MAC.external.reserves_import_covermoClass Awb-wdi, imf-irfcl25.0%
短期外债，占储备比重IND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves%Class Awb-ids, wb-wdi25.0%
外债存量，占 GNI 比重IND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni%Class Awb-ids25.0%
05领域

Fiscal and public debt

Government revenue, spending, balances, debt stock, composition, financing needs and contingent liabilities.

Sub-domain指标
Fiscal balance4
Revenue5
Expenditure3
Debt stock and composition9
Gross financing needs5
Contingent liabilities3
Debt-carrying capacity8

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF GFS 2014; IMF/WB LIC-DSF; IMF SRDSF; Sovereign rating fiscal pillar.

06指标

All 37 fiscal and public debt indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FIS · 37
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
指标领域Sub-domain组件单位级别Crosswalks
广义政府总体差额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS
广义政府基本差额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP
广义政府结构性差额，占潜在 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdpFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differentialFISFiscal balancevulnerability%COUNTRY
广义政府收入，现价美元IND.FIS.revenue.total.usdFISRevenuecontext[USD]COUNTRYIMF_GFS 1
广义政府收入，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.revenue.total.gdpFISRevenuecoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS
税收收入，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdpFISRevenuecoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11
税收努力度（实际税收与估计税收能力之比）IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effortFISRevenueadaptive capacity1COUNTRY
自然资源收入，占广义政府收入比重IND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_shareFISRevenuevulnerability%COUNTRY
广义政府支出，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdpFISExpenditurecontext%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS
刚性支出，占收入比重IND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenueFISExpenditurevulnerability%COUNTRY
利息支付，占收入比重IND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenueFISExpenditurevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS
广义政府债务总额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS
广义政府净债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP
广义政府债务中外币债务占比IND.FIS.debt.fx_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
广义政府债务中短期债务占比（剩余期限）IND.FIS.debt.short_term_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
广义政府债务平均剩余期限IND.FIS.debt.average_maturityFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerabilityaCOUNTRY
非居民持有的广义政府债务IND.FIS.debt.nonresident_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRY
公共外债中优惠贷款占比IND.FIS.debt.concessional_shareFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS
公共外债现值，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdpFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS
公共外债现值，占出口比重IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exportsFISDebt stock and compositionvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS
公共部门总融资需求，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdpFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
公共外债偿付，占收入比重IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenueFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
公共外债偿付，占出口比重IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exportsFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1
主权债券相对基准的利差IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spreadFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
五年期主权信用违约互换利差IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5yFISGross financing needsvulnerability%COUNTRY
非金融公共企业债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
未清偿政府担保，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
灾害预期年度财政成本，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdpFISContingent liabilitiesvulnerability%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 综合指标得分（已发布，参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicatorFISDebt-carrying capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债现值与 GDP 之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdpFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债现值与出口之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exportsFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债偿付与出口之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exportsFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债偿付与收入之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenueFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 基准：公共债务总额现值与 GDP 之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdpFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext%COUNTRY
LIC-DSF 债务困境风险，按已发布结果（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_publishedFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext{class}COUNTRY
SRDSF 主权压力总体风险，按已发布结果（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_publishedFISDebt-carrying capacitycontext{class}COUNTRY
07引用

Fiscal and public debt risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FIS · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
上一版
–
Range since 2016
–
耦合综合
–
耦合得分 S
–
脉搏，最近一周
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
方法
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
抽样次数
1,000
Fiscal and public debt risk index, world, by edition

尚无已发布的数值。第一版发布后将在这里绘制历史，并附区间带和类别边界。

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
非洲54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
美洲35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
亚洲48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
欧洲44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
大洋洲14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
暂无变动。 自第二版起，与上一版相比的变化将在此列出，并附上驱动这些变化的指标。
08数值

Country values

FIG 5 · Fiscal and public debt risk index: countries (values when released)
正在加载地图
安道尔安提瓜和巴布达巴林巴巴多斯科摩罗佛得角多米尼克密克罗尼西亚（联邦）格林纳达基里巴斯圣基茨和尼维斯圣卢西亚列支敦士登摩纳哥马尔代夫马绍尔群岛马耳他毛里求斯瑙鲁帕劳新加坡圣马力诺圣多美和普林西比塞舌尔汤加图瓦卢教廷圣文森特和格林纳丁斯萨摩亚
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
瓦片
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fis/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
观测键
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09系列

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk. SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security. SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance. TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI12
IMF_WEO6
SDG2
11贯穿 Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12引用

引用与再利用

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Fiscal and public debt risk index (GRX-IDX-FIS), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/fiscal-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000122.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.