The Global Risks Index · SR-05 · Strategic systems series
财政韧性
财政空间、债务可持续性信号、灾害引发的或有负债，以及预先安排的资金。
Page GRX-SER-SR-05Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports SR-05 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
领域指数
1
财政与公共债务风险
指标
177
4 index domains
Hazard families
4
系统性与复合事件
方法
123
Sovereign, macro and development · Insurance and reinsurance.
1
领域指数
177
indicators in scope
1
危害领域
4
client groups
01范围
Scope and questions
The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.
- How much fiscal room remains after a severe shock?
- Which contingent liabilities are unpriced?
- Where would pre-arranged finance change outcomes?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Fiscal resilience index is built
Graph5 nodes
流程图
01领域指数
02Series index
03Readings
100%
索引
-
财政与公共债务风险Domain index · IDX · FISExpert-weighted geometric mean of the six fiscal sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10 and floored at 0.1 before aggregation.
-
Fiscal resilience indexSeries index · SERIES · SR-05财政空间、债务可持续性信号、灾害引发的或有负债，以及预先安排的资金。
-
Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
未运行进行中已完成
03指数
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · SR-05 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Fiscal resilience index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
| 指数 | 数值 | 变化 | 变化 % | 90% 区间 | 类别 · 概率 | 趋势 | 范围 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
财政与公共债务风险NXS-GRX · FIS |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Fiscal and public debt, Macroeconomy, Financial system, Hazard and exposure.
04指标
177 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指标 | 领域 | Sub-domain | 组件 | 单位 | 级别 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
国内生产总值，现价美元IND.MAC.output.gdp.usd |
MAC | Output and growth | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.MKTP.CD IMF_WEO NGDPD |
人均 GDP，购买力平价（ICP 2021）IND.MAC.output.gdp_per_capita.ppp21 |
MAC | Output and growth | coping capacity | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD |
实际 GDP 增长率IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth |
MAC | Output and growth | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG IMF_WEO NGDP_RPCH |
实际 GDP 增长率波动性（10 年）IND.MAC.output.growth_volatility |
MAC | Output and growth | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
消费者价格通胀率IND.MAC.prices.cpi_inflation |
MAC | Prices and inflation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG IMF_WEO PCPIPCH |
食品价格通胀率IND.MAC.prices.food_inflation |
MAC | Prices and inflation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT CP |
经常账户余额，占 GDP 比重IND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BN.CAB.XOKA.GD.ZS IMF_WEO BCA_NGDPD |
储备可支付进口月数IND.MAC.external.reserves_import_cover |
MAC | External balance and reserves | coping capacity | mo |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FI.RES.TOTL.MO |
短期外债，占储备比重IND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.DSTC.IR.ZS |
外债存量，占 GNI 比重IND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS |
汇率波动性（36 个月）IND.MAC.monetary.exchange_rate_volatility |
MAC | Monetary and exchange-rate conditions | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
失业率IND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate |
MAC | Labour market | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.5.2 ILO UNE_DEAP_SEX_AGE_RT |
货物和服务出口，现价美元IND.MAC.external.exports.usd |
MAC | External balance and reserves | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD |
贸易条件波动性（10 年）IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
广义政府总体差额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
广义政府基本差额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP |
广义政府结构性差额，占潜在 GDP 比重IND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdp |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
广义政府收入，现价美元IND.FIS.revenue.total.usd |
FIS | Revenue | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | IMF_GFS 1 |
广义政府收入，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp |
FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS |
税收收入，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdp |
FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11 |
税收努力度（实际税收与估计税收能力之比）IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effort |
FIS | Revenue | adaptive capacity | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
自然资源收入，占广义政府收入比重IND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share |
FIS | Revenue | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
广义政府支出，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdp |
FIS | Expenditure | context | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS |
刚性支出，占收入比重IND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue |
FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
利息支付，占收入比重IND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue |
FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS |
广义政府债务总额，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
广义政府净债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP |
广义政府债务中外币债务占比IND.FIS.debt.fx_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
广义政府债务中短期债务占比（剩余期限）IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
广义政府债务平均剩余期限IND.FIS.debt.average_maturity |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | |
非居民持有的广义政府债务IND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
公共外债中优惠贷款占比IND.FIS.debt.concessional_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS |
公共外债现值，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS |
公共外债现值，占出口比重IND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS |
公共部门总融资需求，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
公共外债偿付，占收入比重IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
公共外债偿付，占出口比重IND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1 |
主权债券相对基准的利差IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
五年期主权信用违约互换利差IND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5y |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
非金融公共企业债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
未清偿政府担保，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
灾害预期年度财政成本，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 综合指标得分（已发布，参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债现值与 GDP 之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdp |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债现值与出口之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exports |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债偿付与出口之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exports |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 阈值：外债偿付与收入之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenue |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 基准：公共债务总额现值与 GDP 之比（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdp |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 债务困境风险，按已发布结果（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_published |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} |
COUNTRY | |
SRDSF 主权压力总体风险，按已发布结果（参考）IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_published |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} |
COUNTRY | |
监管资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwa |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKRC_PT |
Tier 1 资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.tier1_rwa |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKRTC_PT |
普通股 Tier 1 资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.cet1_rwa |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCET_PT |
资本与总资产之比（杠杆）IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assets |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKA_PT WB_WDI FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS |
扣除拨备后的不良贷款与资本之比IND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capital |
FIN | Capital adequacy | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKNL_PT |
不良贷款与贷款总额之比IND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratio |
FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSANL_PT WB_WDI FB.AST.NPER.ZS |
拨备与不良贷款之比IND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_npl |
FIN | Asset quality | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSPN_PT |
按经济活动划分的贷款集中度IND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentration |
FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCLE_PT |
银行对广义政府债权，占银行资产比重IND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposure |
FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSASDG_PT |
资产回报率IND.FIN.earnings.roa |
FIN | Earnings | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSERA_PT |
股本回报率IND.FIN.earnings.roe |
FIN | Earnings | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSERE_PT |
流动资产与总资产之比IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_total |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLT_PT WB_WDI FD.RES.LIQU.AS.ZS |
流动资产与短期负债之比IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilities |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLS_PT |
流动性覆盖率IND.FIN.liquidity.lcr |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLCR_PT |
净稳定资金比率IND.FIN.liquidity.nsfr |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSNSF_PT |
客户存款与非同业贷款总额之比IND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loans |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCD_PT |
外汇净敞口头寸与资本之比（绝对值）IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capital |
FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSSNO_PT |
外币贷款，占贷款总额比重（信贷美元化）IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_share |
FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFC_PT |
外币存款，占存款总额比重（存款美元化）IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_share |
FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFCD_PT |
对私营部门的国内信贷，占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.private_credit.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | context | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS WB_WDI GFDD.DI.14 |
信贷与 GDP 比率缺口（BIS）IND.FIN.depth.credit_gap |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
对私营部门信贷的实际增长率IND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growth |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCGPS_PT |
家庭债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSHG_PT |
非金融企业债务，占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSTDGDP_PT |
成年人账户拥有率IND.FIN.depth.account_ownership |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2 |
住宅房地产实际价格增长率IND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growth |
FIN | Real estate | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSREPRR_PC_CP_A_PT |
房价收入比，偏离长期均值程度IND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gap |
FIN | Real estate | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, CITY | |
其他金融公司资产，占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.nbfi.ofc_assets.gdp |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | context | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFAG_PT |
保险深度（保费与 GDP 之比）IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10 |
自然巨灾保障缺口IND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | vulnerability | % |
REGION, COUNTRY | |
银行对碳密集行业的风险暴露IND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
面临高物理气候风险的银行贷款IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
收到的个人汇款，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp |
ECO | 贸易 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2 |
收到的官方发展援助净额，占 GNI 比重IND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni |
ECO | 贸易 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS |
大宗商品出口依赖度IND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN |
自然资源租金，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS |
外国直接投资净流入，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp |
ECO | 投资 | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS |
酷热日数变化（35 °C 及以上）IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | exposure | % |
SITE, PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(c) |
预估相对海平面上升IND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
低于未来 100 年一遇沿海洪水水位的人口占比IND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share |
CLI | Scenario projections | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
GDP 碳强度IND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | kg/[USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1 |
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi) |
化石燃料租金，占 GDP 比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS |
显性化石燃料补贴，占 GDP 比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(b) |
暴露于两种及以上主要危害的人口占比IND.HAZ.multi.multi_hazard_exposure.share |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | INFORM HA.NAT |
多危害年均损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
多危害年均损失，占生产资本存量比重IND.HAZ.multi.aal.capital_stock |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
250 年一遇可能最大损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
475 年一遇地面峰值加速度IND.HAZ.seismic.pga_rp475 |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | hazard | [g] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0101 INFORM HA.NAT.EQ |
暴露于强烈地震动的人数，年均IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | INFORM EX_EQ_MMI8 |
暴露于强烈地震动的人口占比IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
地震年均损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
距全新世火山 30 km 以内的人口IND.HAZ.seismic.volcano_population_30km |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0203 |
100 年内发生破坏性火山灰降落的概率IND.HAZ.seismic.ash_fall_probability |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0202 EMDAT nat-geo-vol-ash |
100 年一遇极端静水海平面IND.HAZ.coastal.extreme_sea_level_rp100 |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0703 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sur |
位于 100 年一遇沿海洪泛区的人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.coastal_flood_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_CFL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0601 |
海拔 5 m 以下人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
500 年一遇海啸最大淹没高度IND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_inundation_rp500 |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0705 INFORM HA.NAT.TS |
暴露于海啸的人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_TS EMDAT nat-geo-ear-tsu |
Fluvial flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.river_flood_depth_rp100 |
HAZ | Flood | hazard | m |
ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0604 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-riv |
Pluvial and flash flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.pluvial_flood_depth_rp100 |
HAZ | Flood | hazard | m |
ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0603 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0606 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-fla |
暴露于河流洪水的人数，年均IND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed |
HAZ | Flood | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | INFORM EX_FL INFORM HA.NAT.FL |
暴露于河流洪水的人口占比IND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Flood | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | |
防洪设计标准IND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard |
HAZ | Flood | coping capacity | a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
河流洪水年均损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Flood | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
100 年一遇热带气旋风速IND.HAZ.storm.tc_wind_rp100 |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | m/s |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0309 INFORM HA.NAT.TC |
1 级及以上气旋风的年发生概率IND.HAZ.storm.tc_cat1_probability |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | |
暴露于 1 级气旋风的人数，年均IND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_TC_SS1 |
暴露于 1 级气旋风的人口占比IND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
热带气旋年均损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
每年大冰雹日数IND.HAZ.storm.large_hail_days |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0404 EMDAT nat-met-sto-hai |
具备强雷暴环境条件的日数IND.HAZ.storm.severe_convective_days |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0103 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sev |
严重气象干旱频率IND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency |
HAZ | 干旱 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR |
农业干旱胁迫频率IND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency |
HAZ | 干旱 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | INFORM ASI |
受干旱影响人口，年均占比IND.HAZ.drought.drought_affected.share |
HAZ | 干旱 | impact | % |
COUNTRY | INFORM AFF_DR EMDAT nat-cli-dro-dro |
每年危险湿热日数IND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days |
HAZ | Extreme heat | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501 |
人均热浪风险暴露事件数IND.HAZ.heat.heatwave_person_days |
HAZ | Extreme heat | exposure | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
暴露于极端高温的人口占比IND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Extreme heat | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
每年极端火险天气日数IND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days |
HAZ | 野火 | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
年过火面积，占陆地面积比重IND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share |
HAZ | 野火 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil |
位于荒地与城市交界区的人口占比IND.HAZ.wildfire.wui_population.share |
HAZ | 野火 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
位于滑坡高易发区的人口占比IND.HAZ.landslide.landslide_susceptible_population.share |
HAZ | Landslide | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0300 |
每 100,000 人滑坡致死人数，年均IND.HAZ.landslide.fatal_landslide_rate |
HAZ | Landslide | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT nat-hyd-mmw-lan |
靠近重大危害工业场所的人口占比IND.HAZ.technological.major_hazard_site_population.share |
HAZ | 技术 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0304 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0309 |
距运行中核反应堆 30 km 以内的人口IND.HAZ.technological.nuclear_population_30km |
HAZ | 技术 | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0208 |
每 100,000 人工业事故死亡人数，年均IND.HAZ.technological.industrial_accident_deaths |
HAZ | 技术 | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | EMDAT tec-ind-ind-ind |
建成区面积IND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area |
HAZ | 风险暴露 | context | km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
生产资本存量IND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stock |
HAZ | 风险暴露 | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
高危害区内的建成区面积IND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed |
HAZ | 风险暴露 | exposure | km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
高危害区内的建成区面积占比IND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed.share |
HAZ | 风险暴露 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | |
高危害区内产生的 GDP 占比IND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.share |
HAZ | 风险暴露 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
每 100,000 人灾害死亡和失踪人数IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
每 100,000 人直接受灾害影响人数IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
灾害直接经济损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2 |
有记录的每 100,000 人灾害死亡人数，30 年平均IND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_deaths |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT Total Deaths |
有记录的每 100,000 人受灾害影响人数，30 年平均IND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_affected |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT Total Affected |
有记录的灾害损失，占 GDP 比重，30 年平均IND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY | EMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$) |
高度依赖自然的行业 GDP 占比IND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share |
ENV | Nature dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | |
基线水资源压力得分（子流域）IND.WAT.stress.baseline_water_stress |
WAT | 水资源压力 | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE, PORTFOLIO | |
食品进口支出，占商品出口比重IND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports |
FOO | Food prices | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21033 |
女性劳动力参与率IND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.TLF.CACT.FE.ZS |
非正规就业，占总就业比重IND.SOC.protection.informal_employment |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 8.3.1 ILO SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT WB_WDI SL.ISV.IFRM.ZS |
境内流离失所者，灾害（存量）IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_total_displacement |
境内流离失所者，每 100,000 人IND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
新增境内流离失所，灾害IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS |
新增境内流离失所，每 100,000 人IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
军事支出，占 GDP 比重IND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS |
收入动员效率（CPIA）IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
预算执行与核定预算的偏差IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
燃料进口支出，占货物和服务出口比重IND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
位于高危害区的公路和铁路网络占比IND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share |
INF | Transport | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
位于高危害区的供水资产占比IND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
位于高危害区的发电和电网资产占比IND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
位于高危害区的生命线设施占比IND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
基础设施投资缺口，占 GDP 比重IND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp |
INF | Utilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
因灾害受损或被毁的关键基础设施单位IND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage |
INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2 |
关键基础设施直接经济损失，占 GDP 比重IND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp |
INF | Service disruption | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-5 |
已通过灾害风险融资战略IND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
参与主权区域风险池IND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
预先安排的灾害应急信贷，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
主权巨灾风险转移限额，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
自然巨灾保险保障缺口IND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
非寿险保费，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
获得的减少灾害风险国际官方支持，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
05危害
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| 类别 | 领域 | 危害 | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply-chain and flow disruption | 系统性与复合事件 | Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … | 17 |
| Cascading failure | 系统性与复合事件 | Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … | 10 |
| Compound and multi-hazard events | 系统性与复合事件 | Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … | 9 |
| Structural fragility of interconnected systems | 系统性与复合事件 | Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … | 11 |
06尾部
The severe end of the distribution
FIG 5 · Explorer: exceedance, return-period loss and the protection gap
Frequency and severity
One risk-transfer layer
–
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07方法
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
28 methods
主权、宏观与发展
Sovereign Default Risk · Debt Sustainability · Fiscal Stress · Debt Service Burden · FX Reserve Adequacy · External Vulnerability · Balance of Payments …
38 methods
保险与再保险
Technical Pricing · Frequency Severity Pricing · Exposure Rating · Experience Rating · Burning Cost · Catastrophe Pricing · Aggregate Loss Terms …
57 methods
金融风险
Probability of Default · Loss Given Default · Exposure at Default · Expected Credit Loss · Unexpected Credit Loss · Credit Migration · Structural Credit Merton …
08Users
Who uses it
International financial institutions and development banks
Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors
Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.
Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools
Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.
10引用
引用与再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Fiscal resilience series (GRX-SER-SR-05), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-05/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000078.
- Series key
grix:SER.SR-05:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.FIS.debt.fiscal_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.