多重危害暴露指数
INFORM-style 0–10 index of natural-hazard exposure: the geophysical, flood and coastal, storm and climatological sub-indices plus the multi-hazard population share, combined by a geometric mean of complements (10 minus each score) so that one severe hazard is not averaged away.
geometric complement
equal weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
5 components
17 leaf indicators
60% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
From indicators to the composite
Gives the hazard and exposure dimension of a place risk profile with every hazard visible underneath; realised loss stays a separate dimension.
- 475 年一遇地面峰值加速度Indicator · IND · gPeak horizontal ground acceleration on reference rock with a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years (475-year mean return period); aggregates are population-weighted means of grid values.
- 暴露于强烈地震动的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Expected annual number of people exposed to shaking of MMI VIII or higher divided by total population.
- 暴露于海啸的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Expected annual number of people inside modelled tsunami inundation footprints divided by total population.
- 100 年内发生破坏性火山灰降落的概率Indicator · IND · 1Modelled probability that ash deposits of 1 cm or more accumulate at least once in the next 100 years, from stochastic eruption and dispersal simulations.
- 暴露于河流洪水的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Expected annual number of people exposed to river flooding divided by total population.
- 位于 100 年一遇沿海洪泛区的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Share of residents living on land below the 100-year extreme still-water level and hydraulically connected to the sea, ignoring defences.
- 海拔 5 m 以下人口占比Indicator · IND · %Share of residents living in areas whose land elevation is below 5 metres above sea level.
- 位于滑坡高易发区的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Share of residents living in cells classed high or very high in a global or national landslide-susceptibility model combining slope, lithology, faults, land cover and road cuts.
- 1 级及以上气旋风的年发生概率Indicator · IND · 1Modelled probability that one-minute sustained wind of at least 33 m/s (Saffir-Simpson category 1) from a tropical cyclone occurs at the location at least once in a year.
- 暴露于 1 级气旋风的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Expected annual number of people exposed to category 1 or stronger tropical-cyclone wind divided by total population.
- 每年大冰雹日数Indicator · IND · d/aAverage annual number of days with hail of 2 cm diameter or larger within a 25 km radius, from reports and radar or reanalysis-based proxies over at least 20 years.
- 具备强雷暴环境条件的日数Indicator · IND · d/aAverage annual number of days on which the product of convective available potential energy and deep-layer wind shear exceeds a severe-storm threshold, from reanalysis.
- 严重气象干旱频率Indicator · IND · %Share of months over the latest 30-year window in which the 12-month Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index is at or below -1.5.
- 农业干旱胁迫频率Indicator · IND · %Share of growing seasons over the latest 30 years in which more than 30% of cropland shows vegetation-health values indicating drought stress.
- 暴露于极端高温的人口占比Indicator · IND · %Share of residents living where the 30-year mean annual count of days with daily maximum wet-bulb globe temperature of 31 °C or more exceeds 30.
- 每年极端火险天气日数Indicator · IND · d/aAverage annual number of days on which the Canadian Fire Weather Index exceeds the local 95th percentile of a 1981–2010 baseline, from reanalysis.
- Geophysical hazard and exposure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of earthquake shaking intensity, population exposed to strong shaking, population exposed to tsunami and the probability of damaging volcanic ash fall.
- Flood and coastal hazard and exposure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of population exposed to river flooding, population in the 100-year coastal floodplain, population below 5 m elevation and population in high landslide-susceptibility zones.
- 暴露于两种及以上主要危害的人口占比Indicator · IND · w 0.5Share of residents living where at least two hazard families exceed their high-hazard threshold (for example PGA475 of 0.2 g or more, RP100 flood depth above 0.5 m, RP100 cyclone wind of category 1 or more), counted once per person.
- Storm hazard and exposure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of the annual probability of category 1 cyclone wind, population exposed to cyclone wind, large-hail days and severe-thunderstorm environment days.
- Drought, heat and fire hazard and exposure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of severe meteorological drought frequency, agricultural drought stress frequency, population exposed to extreme humid heat and extreme fire-weather days.
- 多重危害暴露指数Domain index · IDX · geometric complementINFORM-style 0–10 index of natural-hazard exposure: the geophysical, flood and coastal, storm and climatological sub-indices plus the multi-hazard population share, combined by a geometric mean of complements (10 minus each score) so that one severe hazard is not averaged away.
- 危害与威胁暴露Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indicesWhat can strike, how often, how hard and who and what stands in its way?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- INFORM 0–10 rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 60% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- equal
- Aggregation
- geometric complement
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- 不确定性
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Risk Hazard & Exposure (natural); JRC audit of INFORM Risk 2024; IPCC AR6 WGII risk framing; Hazard Standard
5 components, 17 indicators
Geophysical hazard and exposure sub-index w 1
Composite of earthquake shaking intensity, population exposed to strong shaking, population exposed to tsunami and the probability of damaging volcanic ash fall.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
475 年一遇地面峰值加速度IND.HAZ.seismic.pga_rp475 | [g] | Class C | gem-global-seismic-hazard-map, national-seismic-hazard-models | 20.0% |
暴露于强烈地震动的人口占比IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed.share | % | Class C | derived:nis:IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed | 40.0% |
暴露于海啸的人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_population_exposed.share | % | Class C | gar15-probabilistic-tsunami-hazard, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop | 20.0% |
100 年内发生破坏性火山灰降落的概率IND.HAZ.seismic.ash_fall_probability | 1 | Class D | gar15-volcanic-ash-hazard, nexus-ash-dispersal-model | 20.0% |
Flood and coastal hazard and exposure sub-index w 1
Composite of population exposed to river flooding, population in the 100-year coastal floodplain, population below 5 m elevation and population in high landslide-susceptibility zones.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
暴露于河流洪水的人口占比IND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed.share | % | Class C | derived:nis:IND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed | 40.0% |
位于 100 年一遇沿海洪泛区的人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.coastal_flood_population_exposed.share | % | Class C | jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop, deltares-gtsr, copernicus-dem-glo30 | 20.0% |
海拔 5 m 以下人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share | % | Class C | wb-wdi, ciesin-leczv3 | 20.0% |
位于滑坡高易发区的人口占比IND.HAZ.landslide.landslide_susceptible_population.share | % | Class D | nasa-lhasa-susceptibility, national-landslide-inventories, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop | 20.0% |
Storm hazard and exposure sub-index w 1
Composite of the annual probability of category 1 cyclone wind, population exposed to cyclone wind, large-hail days and severe-thunderstorm environment days.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 级及以上气旋风的年发生概率IND.HAZ.storm.tc_cat1_probability | 1 | Class C | storm-synthetic-tracks, ibtracs | 25.0% |
暴露于 1 级气旋风的人口占比IND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed.share | % | Class C | derived:nis:IND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed | 50.0% |
每年大冰雹日数IND.HAZ.storm.large_hail_days | d/a | Class D | essl-eswd, noaa-spc-storm-reports, era5-convective-proxies | 12.5% |
具备强雷暴环境条件的日数IND.HAZ.storm.severe_convective_days | d/a | Class D | era5-convective-proxies, nexus-convective-environment-model | 12.5% |
Drought, heat and fire hazard and exposure sub-index w 1
Composite of severe meteorological drought frequency, agricultural drought stress frequency, population exposed to extreme humid heat and extreme fire-weather days.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
严重气象干旱频率IND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency | % | Class C | spei-global-drought-monitor, era5-land | 25.0% |
农业干旱胁迫频率IND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency | % | Class C | fao-giews-asi | 25.0% |
暴露于极端高温的人口占比IND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.share | % | Class D | derived:nis:IND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop | 25.0% |
每年极端火险天气日数IND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days | d/a | Class C | copernicus-cems-fire-danger, era5 | 25.0% |
Population exposed to two or more major hazards, share w 0.5
Share of residents living where at least two hazard families exceed their high-hazard threshold (for example PGA475 of 0.2 g or more, RP100 flood depth above 0.5 m, RP100 cyclone wind of category 1 or more), counted once per person.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
暴露于两种及以上主要危害的人口占比IND.HAZ.multi.multi_hazard_exposure.share | % | Class D | jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop, gem-global-seismic-hazard-map, jrc-global-flood-hazard, storm-tc-hazard, nexus-multi-hazard-overlay | 100.0% |
Hazard and exposure
Natural and technological hazard intensity, frequency and the people, assets and systems exposed, keyed to Hazard Standard.
| Sub-domain | 指标 |
|---|---|
| Multi-hazard | 4 |
| Seismic and volcanic | 6 |
| Flood | 6 |
| Tropical and severe storms | 7 |
| 干旱 | 3 |
| Extreme heat | 3 |
| 野火 | 3 |
| Landslide | 2 |
| Coastal and sea level | 5 |
| 技术 | 3 |
| 风险暴露 | 5 |
| Losses and impacts | 6 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): Hazard Standard; UNDRR-ISC HIPs 2025; INFORM Hazard & Exposure; WorldRiskIndex exposure; Sendai A-D; EM-DAT.
All 53 hazard and exposure indicators
| 指标 | 领域 | Sub-domain | 组件 | 单位 | 级别 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
暴露于两种及以上主要危害的人口占比IND.HAZ.multi.multi_hazard_exposure.share | HAZ | Multi-hazard | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | INFORM HA.NAT |
多危害年均损失,占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp | HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
多危害年均损失,占生产资本存量比重IND.HAZ.multi.aal.capital_stock | HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
250 年一遇可能最大损失,占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp | HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
475 年一遇地面峰值加速度IND.HAZ.seismic.pga_rp475 | HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | hazard | [g] | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0101 INFORM HA.NAT.EQ |
暴露于强烈地震动的人数,年均IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed | HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | INFORM EX_EQ_MMI8 |
暴露于强烈地震动的人口占比IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed.share | HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
地震年均损失,占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdp | HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
距全新世火山 30 km 以内的人口IND.HAZ.seismic.volcano_population_30km | HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0203 |
100 年内发生破坏性火山灰降落的概率IND.HAZ.seismic.ash_fall_probability | HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | hazard | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0202 EMDAT nat-geo-vol-ash |
100 年一遇极端静水海平面IND.HAZ.coastal.extreme_sea_level_rp100 | HAZ | Coastal and sea level | hazard | m | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0703 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sur |
位于 100 年一遇沿海洪泛区的人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.coastal_flood_population_exposed.share | HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_CFL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0601 |
海拔 5 m 以下人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share | HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
500 年一遇海啸最大淹没高度IND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_inundation_rp500 | HAZ | Coastal and sea level | hazard | m | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0705 INFORM HA.NAT.TS |
暴露于海啸的人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_population_exposed.share | HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_TS EMDAT nat-geo-ear-tsu |
Fluvial flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.river_flood_depth_rp100 | HAZ | Flood | hazard | m | ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0604 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-riv |
Pluvial and flash flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.pluvial_flood_depth_rp100 | HAZ | Flood | hazard | m | ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0603 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0606 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-fla |
暴露于河流洪水的人数,年均IND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed | HAZ | Flood | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | INFORM EX_FL INFORM HA.NAT.FL |
暴露于河流洪水的人口占比IND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed.share | HAZ | Flood | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | |
防洪设计标准IND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard | HAZ | Flood | coping capacity | a | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
河流洪水年均损失,占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdp | HAZ | Flood | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
100 年一遇热带气旋风速IND.HAZ.storm.tc_wind_rp100 | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | m/s | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0309 INFORM HA.NAT.TC |
1 级及以上气旋风的年发生概率IND.HAZ.storm.tc_cat1_probability | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | |
暴露于 1 级气旋风的人数,年均IND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_TC_SS1 |
暴露于 1 级气旋风的人口占比IND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed.share | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
热带气旋年均损失,占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdp | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
每年大冰雹日数IND.HAZ.storm.large_hail_days | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | d/a | COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0404 EMDAT nat-met-sto-hai |
具备强雷暴环境条件的日数IND.HAZ.storm.severe_convective_days | HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | d/a | COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0103 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sev |
严重气象干旱频率IND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency | HAZ | 干旱 | hazard | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR |
农业干旱胁迫频率IND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency | HAZ | 干旱 | hazard | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | INFORM ASI |
受干旱影响人口,年均占比IND.HAZ.drought.drought_affected.share | HAZ | 干旱 | impact | % | COUNTRY | INFORM AFF_DR EMDAT nat-cli-dro-dro |
每年危险湿热日数IND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days | HAZ | Extreme heat | hazard | d/a | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501 |
人均热浪风险暴露事件数IND.HAZ.heat.heatwave_person_days | HAZ | Extreme heat | exposure | d/a | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
暴露于极端高温的人口占比IND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.share | HAZ | Extreme heat | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
每年极端火险天气日数IND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days | HAZ | 野火 | hazard | d/a | COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
年过火面积,占陆地面积比重IND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share | HAZ | 野火 | hazard | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil |
位于荒地与城市交界区的人口占比IND.HAZ.wildfire.wui_population.share | HAZ | 野火 | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
位于滑坡高易发区的人口占比IND.HAZ.landslide.landslide_susceptible_population.share | HAZ | Landslide | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0300 |
每 100,000 人滑坡致死人数,年均IND.HAZ.landslide.fatal_landslide_rate | HAZ | Landslide | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT nat-hyd-mmw-lan |
靠近重大危害工业场所的人口占比IND.HAZ.technological.major_hazard_site_population.share | HAZ | 技术 | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0304 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0309 |
距运行中核反应堆 30 km 以内的人口IND.HAZ.technological.nuclear_population_30km | HAZ | 技术 | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0208 |
每 100,000 人工业事故死亡人数,年均IND.HAZ.technological.industrial_accident_deaths | HAZ | 技术 | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | EMDAT tec-ind-ind-ind |
建成区面积IND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area | HAZ | 风险暴露 | context | km2 | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
生产资本存量IND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stock | HAZ | 风险暴露 | context | [USD] | COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
高危害区内的建成区面积IND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed | HAZ | 风险暴露 | exposure | km2 | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
高危害区内的建成区面积占比IND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed.share | HAZ | 风险暴露 | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | |
高危害区内产生的 GDP 占比IND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.share | HAZ | 风险暴露 | exposure | % | COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
每 100,000 人灾害死亡和失踪人数IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate | HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
每 100,000 人直接受灾害影响人数IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate | HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
灾害直接经济损失,占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp | HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2 |
有记录的每 100,000 人灾害死亡人数,30 年平均IND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_deaths | HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT Total Deaths |
有记录的每 100,000 人受灾害影响人数,30 年平均IND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_affected | HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT Total Affected |
有记录的灾害损失,占 GDP 比重,30 年平均IND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdp | HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % | COUNTRY | EMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$) |
Multi-hazard exposure index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- 上一版
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- 耦合综合
- –
- 耦合得分 S
- –
- 脉搏,最近一周
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- 方法
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- 抽样次数
- 1,000
尚无已发布的数值。第一版发布后将在这里绘制历史,并附区间带和类别边界。
Country values
- 瓦片
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/haz/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- 观测键
nis:IDX.HAZ.multi.hazard_exposure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
UNDRR_HIPS_2025 | 7 |
INFORM | 6 |
EMDAT | 4 |
WB_WDI | 1 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
引用与再利用
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案(2026),供审阅和评论,不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前,不会出现任何数值;届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法,绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级,不使用任何评级尺度;它不是金融工具的基准,不是官方统计,不是紧急警报或官方分类,也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间,绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名,这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.