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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity

治理薄弱指数

Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

arithmetic

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

不确定性

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

结构

4 components

16 leaf indicators

覆盖范围

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.

computation
How Governance weakness is computed
Graph23 nodes
流程图
01指标
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04支柱
05综合
100%
索引
  1. 话语权和问责（WGI）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  2. 政治稳定和无暴力（WGI）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  3. 政府效能（WGI）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  4. 腐败控制（WGI）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  5. 新闻自由得分（RSF）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Reporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
  6. 法治（WGI）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  7. 产权和基于规则的治理（CPIA）
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
  8. 未判决被拘留者，占在押人口比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
  9. 企业行贿发生率
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
  10. 监管质量（WGI）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  11. CPIA 总体评级（IDA 资源分配指数）
    Indicator · IND · score
    Average World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
  12. 收入动员效率（CPIA）
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
  13. 预算执行与核定预算的偏差
    Indicator · IND · %
    Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
  14. 统计绩效指标总得分
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
  15. 出生登记完整性
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
  16. 距上次人口普查的年数
    Indicator · IND · a
    Number of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
  17. Governance quality sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%
    Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
  18. Rule of law sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
  19. Policy and institutional quality sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
  20. Statistical capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%
    Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
  21. 治理薄弱指数
    Domain index · IDX · arithmetic
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  22. 缺乏应对与适应能力
    Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indices
    Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
  23. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未运行进行中已完成
FIG 2. 16 indicators, 4 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
25
1
–
在您的浏览器中运行
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03方法

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
min–max rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
专家
Aggregation
arithmetic
Scale
0 to 10
不确定性
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
很低0.0 至 < 2.0
低2.0 至 < 3.5
中3.5 至 < 5.0
高5.0 至 < 6.5
很高6.5 至 10.0
04Components

4 components, 16 indicators

Governance quality sub-index w 2

Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.

指标单位证据来源占比
话语权和问责（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
政治稳定和无暴力（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.political_stability{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
政府效能（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
腐败控制（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
新闻自由得分（RSF）IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom{score}Class Ersf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared)11.1%

Rule of law sub-index w 1

Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.

指标单位证据来源占比
法治（WGI）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law{score}Class Cwb-wgi40.0%
产权和基于规则的治理（CPIA）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi20.0%
未判决被拘留者，占在押人口比重IND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees%Class Bunodc-cts20.0%
企业行贿发生率IND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms%Class Bwb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi20.0%

Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1

Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.

指标单位证据来源占比
监管质量（WGI）IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality{score}Class Cwb-wgi40.0%
CPIA 总体评级（IDA 资源分配指数）IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi20.0%
收入动员效率（CPIA）IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora20.0%
预算执行与核定预算的偏差IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation%Class Bpefa, national-budget-documents20.0%

Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.

指标单位证据来源占比
统计绩效指标总得分IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall{score}Class Bwb-spi, wb-wdi50.0%
出生登记完整性IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration%Class Bunicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi25.0%
距上次人口普查的年数IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_censusaClass Aunsd-census-programme25.0%
05领域

治理与机构

Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.

Sub-domain指标
Governance quality6
Rule of law4
Policy and institutional quality6
Statistical capacity3
Business environment1

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.

06指标

All 20 governance and institutions indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
GOV · 20
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
指标领域Sub-domain组件单位级别Crosswalks
话语权和问责（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountabilityGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
政治稳定和无暴力（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.political_stabilityGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
政府效能（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.government_effectivenessGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
腐败控制（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruptionGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
清廉指数（透明国际）IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptionsGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
新闻自由得分（RSF）IND.GOV.quality.press_freedomGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
法治（WGI）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_lawGOVRule of lawcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
产权和基于规则的治理（CPIA）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rightsGOVRule of lawcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
未判决被拘留者，占在押人口比重IND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detaineesGOVRule of lawvulnerability%COUNTRYSDG 16.3.2
企业行贿发生率IND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firmsGOVRule of lawvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
监管质量（WGI）IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_qualityGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
CPIA 总体评级（IDA 资源分配指数）IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overallGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA 公共部门管理和机构IND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_managementGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA 公共部门透明度、问责和腐败IND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparencyGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
收入动员效率（CPIA）IND.GOV.policy.tax_administrationGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
预算执行与核定预算的偏差IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviationGOVPolicy and institutional qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYSDG 16.6.1
统计绩效指标总得分IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overallGOVStatistical capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
出生登记完整性IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registrationGOVStatistical capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
距上次人口普查的年数IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_censusGOVStatistical capacityvulnerabilityaCOUNTRYSDG 17.19.2
营商环境得分（B-READY）IND.GOV.business.bready_overallGOVBusiness environmentcoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07引用

Governance weakness index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
上一版
–
Range since 2016
–
耦合综合
–
耦合得分 S
–
脉搏，最近一周
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
方法
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
抽样次数
1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition

尚无已发布的数值。第一版发布后将在这里绘制历史，并附区间带和类别边界。

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
非洲54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
美洲35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
亚洲48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
欧洲44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
大洋洲14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
暂无变动。 自第二版起，与上一版相比的变化将在此列出，并附上驱动这些变化的指标。
08数值

Country values

FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
正在加载地图
安道尔安提瓜和巴布达巴林巴巴多斯科摩罗佛得角多米尼克密克罗尼西亚（联邦）格林纳达基里巴斯圣基茨和尼维斯圣卢西亚列支敦士登摩纳哥马尔代夫马绍尔群岛马耳他毛里求斯瑙鲁帕劳新加坡圣马力诺圣多美和普林西比塞舌尔汤加图瓦卢教廷圣文森特和格林纳丁斯萨摩亚
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
瓦片
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
观测键
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09系列

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk. XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps. XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency. XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk. XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published. XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only. XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks. XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WGI12
WB_WDI7
SDG5
11贯穿 Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12引用

引用与再利用

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.