The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity
Yönetişim zayıflığı endeksi
Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Belirsizlik
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Yapı
4 components
16 leaf indicators
Kapsam
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01İnşaat
From indicators to the composite
Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.
computation
How Governance weakness is computedGraph23 nodes
Grafik
01Göstergeler
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Sütun
05Bileşik
100%
Dizin
- Söz hakkı ve hesap verebilirlik (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Siyasi istikrar ve şiddetin yokluğu (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Hükümet etkinliği (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Yolsuzluğun kontrolü (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Basın özgürlüğü puanı (RSF)Indicator · IND · scoreReporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
- Hukukun üstünlüğü (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Mülkiyet hakları ve kurala dayalı yönetişim (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
- Hüküm giymemiş tutuklular, cezaevi nüfusunun payıIndicator · IND · %People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
- Firmalar arasında rüşvet görülme sıklığıIndicator · IND · %Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
- Düzenleyici kalite (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- CPIA genel notu (IDA kaynak tahsis endeksi)Indicator · IND · scoreAverage World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
- Gelir seferberliğinin etkinliği (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
- Bütçe uygulamasının onaylanan bütçeden sapmasıIndicator · IND · %Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
- İstatistiksel Performans Göstergeleri genel puanıIndicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
- Doğum kaydının eksiksizliğiIndicator · IND · %Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
- Son nüfus sayımından bu yana geçen yılIndicator · IND · aNumber of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
- Governance quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
- Rule of law sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
- Policy and institutional quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
- Statistical capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
- Yönetişim zayıflığı endeksiDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
- Başa çıkma ve uyum kapasitesi eksikliğiPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
ÇalıştırılmadıSürüyorTamamlandı
02Simülatör
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
tarayıcınızda çalışır
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03Yöntem
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- min–max rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- uzman
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Belirsizlik
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
Çok düşük0.0 ile < 2.0 arası
Düşük2.0 ile < 3.5 arası
Orta3.5 ile < 5.0 arası
Yüksek5.0 ile < 6.5 arası
Çok yüksek6.5 ile 10.0
04Components
4 components, 16 indicators
Governance quality sub-index w 2
Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Söz hakkı ve hesap verebilirlik (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Siyasi istikrar ve şiddetin yokluğu (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Hükümet etkinliği (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Yolsuzluğun kontrolü (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Basın özgürlüğü puanı (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | {score} | Class E | rsf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared) | 11.1% |
Rule of law sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hukukun üstünlüğü (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
Mülkiyet hakları ve kurala dayalı yönetişim (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Hüküm giymemiş tutuklular, cezaevi nüfusunun payıIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | % | Class B | unodc-cts | 20.0% |
Firmalar arasında rüşvet görülme sıklığıIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | % | Class B | wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Düzenleyici kalite (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
CPIA genel notu (IDA kaynak tahsis endeksi)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Gelir seferberliğinin etkinliği (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora | 20.0% |
Bütçe uygulamasının onaylanan bütçeden sapmasıIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | % | Class B | pefa, national-budget-documents | 20.0% |
Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
| Gösterge | Birim | Kanıt | Kaynaklar | Pay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
İstatistiksel Performans Göstergeleri genel puanıIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | {score} | Class B | wb-spi, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
Doğum kaydının eksiksizliğiIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | % | Class B | unicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Son nüfus sayımından bu yana geçen yılIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | a | Class A | unsd-census-programme | 25.0% |
05Alan
Yönetişim ve kurumlar
Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.
| Sub-domain | Göstergeler |
|---|---|
| Governance quality | 6 |
| Rule of law | 4 |
| Policy and institutional quality | 6 |
| Statistical capacity | 3 |
| Business environment | 1 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.
06Göstergeler
All 20 governance and institutions indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Gösterge | Alan | Sub-domain | Bileşen | Birim | Düzeyler | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Söz hakkı ve hesap verebilirlik (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | GOV | Governance quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
Siyasi istikrar ve şiddetin yokluğu (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | GOV | Governance quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
Hükümet etkinliği (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | GOV | Governance quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
Yolsuzluğun kontrolü (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | GOV | Governance quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
Yolsuzluk Algı Endeksi (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions | GOV | Governance quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Basın özgürlüğü puanı (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | GOV | Governance quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Hukukun üstünlüğü (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | GOV | Rule of law | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
Mülkiyet hakları ve kurala dayalı yönetişim (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | GOV | Rule of law | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
Hüküm giymemiş tutuklular, cezaevi nüfusunun payıIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
Firmalar arasında rüşvet görülme sıklığıIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
Düzenleyici kalite (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
CPIA genel notu (IDA kaynak tahsis endeksi)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
CPIA kamu sektörü yönetimi ve kurumlarıIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
CPIA kamu sektöründe şeffaflık, hesap verebilirlik ve yolsuzlukIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
Gelir seferberliğinin etkinliği (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
Bütçe uygulamasının onaylanan bütçeden sapmasıIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
İstatistiksel Performans Göstergeleri genel puanıIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | GOV | Statistical capacity | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
Doğum kaydının eksiksizliğiIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | GOV | Statistical capacity | başa çıkma kapasitesi | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
Son nüfus sayımından bu yana geçen yılIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
İş ortamı puanı (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall | GOV | Business environment | başa çıkma kapasitesi | {score} | COUNTRY |
07Gösterge değeri
Governance weakness index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
Değerler baskıyla yayımlanır; aralık, sınıf ve değişim burada görünür.
- Önceki baskı
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Bağlantılı bileşik
- –
- Bağlantı puanı S
- –
- Pulse, son hafta
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Yöntem
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Çekilişler
- 1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition
Henüz yayımlanmış değer yok. İlk baskı, geçmişi burada aralık bandı ve sınıf sınırlarıyla çizer.
Afrika54
Amerika35
Asya48
Avrupa44
Henüz değişiklik yok. Önceki sürümden bu yana olan değişiklikler, ikinci sürümden itibaren bunlara yol açan göstergelerle birlikte burada listelenir.
08Değerler
Country values
FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
Harita yükleniyor
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Döşemeler
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Gözlem anahtarı
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Seriler
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.→ SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction.→ SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk.→ SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk.→ XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps.→ XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency.→ XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk.→ XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published.→ XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only.→ XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks.→ XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WGI | 12 |
WB_WDI | 7 |
SDG | 5 |
11Nexus genelinde
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Nexus genelinde
GCRI Registry · GCRI Campaigns · GCRI Agency · GRF Diplomacy · Governance Nexus · GRF Information Integrity and Public Trust.
12Atıf
Atıf ve yeniden kullanım
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Durum
The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.
NXS-GRX ne değildir
NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.
Kurumlar ve kaynaklar
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.