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Le Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity

Indice de faiblesse de la gouvernance

Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.

Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

arithmetic

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Incertitude

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Structure

4 components

16 leaf indicators

Couverture

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.

computation
How Governance weakness is computed
Graph23 nodes
Graphe
01Indicateurs
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilier
05Composite
100%
Liste
  1. Voix et responsabilité (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  2. Stabilité politique et absence de violence (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  3. Efficacité des pouvoirs publics (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  4. Maîtrise de la corruption (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  5. Score de liberté de la presse (RSF)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Reporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
  6. État de droit (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  7. Droits de propriété et gouvernance fondée sur des règles (CPIA)
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
  8. Détenus non condamnés, part de la population carcérale
    Indicator · IND · %
    People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
  9. Incidence de la corruption parmi les entreprises
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
  10. Qualité de la réglementation (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  11. Note globale CPIA (indice d'allocation des ressources de l'IDA)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Average World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
  12. Efficacité de la mobilisation des recettes (CPIA)
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
  13. Écart entre l'exécution budgétaire et le budget approuvé
    Indicator · IND · %
    Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
  14. Score global des indicateurs de performance statistique
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
  15. Exhaustivité de l'enregistrement des naissances
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
  16. Années écoulées depuis le dernier recensement de la population
    Indicator · IND · a
    Number of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
  17. Governance quality sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%
    Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
  18. Rule of law sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
  19. Policy and institutional quality sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
  20. Statistical capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%
    Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
  21. Indice de faiblesse de la gouvernance
    Domain index · IDX · arithmetic
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  22. Manque de capacité à faire face et à s'adapter
    Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indices
    Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
  23. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Non exécutéEn coursTerminé
FIG 2. 16 indicators, 4 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
25
1
–
s’exécute dans votre navigateur
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Méthode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
min–max rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
expert
Aggregation
arithmetic
Scale
0 to 10
Incertitude
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
Très faible0,0 à < 2,0
Faible2,0 à < 3,5
Moyen3,5 à < 5,0
Élevé5,0 à < 6,5
Très élevé6.5 à 10.0
04Composantes

4 components, 16 indicators

Governance quality sub-index w 2

Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Voix et responsabilité (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Stabilité politique et absence de violence (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Efficacité des pouvoirs publics (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Maîtrise de la corruption (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Score de liberté de la presse (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom{score}Class Ersf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared)11.1%

Rule of law sub-index w 1

Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
État de droit (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law{score}Class Cwb-wgi40.0%
Droits de propriété et gouvernance fondée sur des règles (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi20.0%
Détenus non condamnés, part de la population carcéraleIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees%Class Bunodc-cts20.0%
Incidence de la corruption parmi les entreprisesIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms%Class Bwb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi20.0%

Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1

Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Qualité de la réglementation (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality{score}Class Cwb-wgi40.0%
Note globale CPIA (indice d'allocation des ressources de l'IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi20.0%
Efficacité de la mobilisation des recettes (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora20.0%
Écart entre l'exécution budgétaire et le budget approuvéIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation%Class Bpefa, national-budget-documents20.0%

Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Score global des indicateurs de performance statistiqueIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall{score}Class Bwb-spi, wb-wdi50.0%
Exhaustivité de l'enregistrement des naissancesIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration%Class Bunicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi25.0%
Années écoulées depuis le dernier recensement de la populationIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_censusaClass Aunsd-census-programme25.0%
05Domaine

Gouvernance et institutions

Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.

Sub-domainIndicateurs
Governance quality6
Rule of law4
Policy and institutional quality6
Statistical capacity3
Business environment1

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.

06Indicateurs

All 20 governance and institutions indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
GOV · 20
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndicateurDomaineSub-domainComposantUnitéNiveauxCrosswalks
Voix et responsabilité (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountabilityGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Stabilité politique et absence de violence (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stabilityGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Efficacité des pouvoirs publics (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectivenessGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Maîtrise de la corruption (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruptionGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Indice de perception de la corruption (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptionsGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
Score de liberté de la presse (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedomGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
État de droit (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_lawGOVRule of lawcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Droits de propriété et gouvernance fondée sur des règles (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rightsGOVRule of lawcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Détenus non condamnés, part de la population carcéraleIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detaineesGOVRule of lawvulnerability%COUNTRYSDG 16.3.2
Incidence de la corruption parmi les entreprisesIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firmsGOVRule of lawvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Qualité de la réglementation (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_qualityGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
Note globale CPIA (indice d'allocation des ressources de l'IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overallGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA gestion du secteur public et institutionsIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_managementGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA transparence, responsabilité et corruption dans le secteur publicIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparencyGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Efficacité de la mobilisation des recettes (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administrationGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Écart entre l'exécution budgétaire et le budget approuvéIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviationGOVPolicy and institutional qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYSDG 16.6.1
Score global des indicateurs de performance statistiqueIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overallGOVStatistical capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Exhaustivité de l'enregistrement des naissancesIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registrationGOVStatistical capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Années écoulées depuis le dernier recensement de la populationIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_censusGOVStatistical capacityvulnerabilityaCOUNTRYSDG 17.19.2
Score de l'environnement des affaires (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overallGOVBusiness environmentcoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07Cotation

Governance weakness index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
Les valeurs sont publiées avec l'édition ; l'intervalle, la classe et la variation apparaissent ici.
Édition précédente
–
Range since 2016
–
Composite couplé
–
Score de couplage S
–
Pulse, dernière semaine
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Méthode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Tirages
1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition

Aucune valeur publiée pour l'instant. La première édition trace ici l'historique avec sa bande d'intervalle et les bornes de classe.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Aucune évolution pour l'instant. Les changements depuis l'édition précédente seront listés ici à partir de la deuxième édition, avec les indicateurs qui les ont déterminés.
08Valeurs

Country values

FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
Chargement de la carte
AndorreAntigua-et-BarbudaBahreïnBarbadeComoresCabo VerdeDominiqueMicronésie (États fédérés de)GrenadeKiribatiSaint-Kitts-et-NevisSainte-LucieLiechtensteinMonacoMaldivesÎles MarshallMalteMauriceNauruPalaosSingapourSaint-MarinSao Tomé-et-PrincipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluSaint-SiègeSaint-Vincent-et-les GrenadinesSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Tuiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Clé d'observation
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Séries

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk. XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps. XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency. XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk. XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published. XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only. XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks. XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WGI12
WB_WDI7
SDG5
11Dans le Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Citer

Citer et réutiliser

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.