The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity
Índice de debilidad de la gobernanza
Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Incertidumbre
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Estructura
4 components
16 leaf indicators
Cobertura
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.
computation
How Governance weakness is computedGraph23 nodes
Grafo
01Indicadores
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Compuesto
100%
Índice
- Voz y rendición de cuentas (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Estabilidad política y ausencia de violencia (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Eficacia del gobierno (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Control de la corrupción (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Puntuación de libertad de prensa (RSF)Indicator · IND · scoreReporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
- Estado de derecho (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Derechos de propiedad y gobernanza basada en normas (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
- Detenidos sin condena, porcentaje de la población penitenciariaIndicator · IND · %People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
- Incidencia del soborno entre las empresasIndicator · IND · %Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
- Calidad regulatoria (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Calificación general de la CPIA (índice de asignación de recursos de la AIF)Indicator · IND · scoreAverage World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
- Eficiencia de la movilización de ingresos (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
- Desviación de la ejecución presupuestaria respecto del presupuesto aprobadoIndicator · IND · %Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
- Puntuación general de los Statistical Performance IndicatorsIndicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
- Exhaustividad del registro de nacimientosIndicator · IND · %Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
- Años desde el último censo de poblaciónIndicator · IND · aNumber of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
- Governance quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
- Rule of law sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
- Policy and institutional quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
- Statistical capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
- Índice de debilidad de la gobernanzaDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
- Falta de capacidad de afrontamiento y de adaptaciónPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Sin ejecutarEn cursoCompletado
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
se ejecuta en su navegador
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03Método
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- min–max rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- experto
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertidumbre
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
Muy bajo0,0 a < 2,0
Bajo2,0 a < 3,5
Medio3,5 a < 5,0
Alto5,0 a < 6,5
Muy alto6.5 a 10.0
04Components
4 components, 16 indicators
Governance quality sub-index w 2
Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Voz y rendición de cuentas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Estabilidad política y ausencia de violencia (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Eficacia del gobierno (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Control de la corrupción (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Puntuación de libertad de prensa (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | {score} | Class E | rsf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared) | 11.1% |
Rule of law sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Estado de derecho (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
Derechos de propiedad y gobernanza basada en normas (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Detenidos sin condena, porcentaje de la población penitenciariaIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | % | Class B | unodc-cts | 20.0% |
Incidencia del soborno entre las empresasIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | % | Class B | wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Calidad regulatoria (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
Calificación general de la CPIA (índice de asignación de recursos de la AIF)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Eficiencia de la movilización de ingresos (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora | 20.0% |
Desviación de la ejecución presupuestaria respecto del presupuesto aprobadoIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | % | Class B | pefa, national-budget-documents | 20.0% |
Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Puntuación general de los Statistical Performance IndicatorsIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | {score} | Class B | wb-spi, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
Exhaustividad del registro de nacimientosIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | % | Class B | unicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Años desde el último censo de poblaciónIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | a | Class A | unsd-census-programme | 25.0% |
05Dominio
Gobernanza e instituciones
Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.
| Sub-domain | Indicadores |
|---|---|
| Governance quality | 6 |
| Rule of law | 4 |
| Policy and institutional quality | 6 |
| Statistical capacity | 3 |
| Business environment | 1 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.
06Indicadores
All 20 governance and institutions indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Indicador | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unidad | Niveles | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Voz y rendición de cuentas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
Estabilidad política y ausencia de violencia (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
Eficacia del gobierno (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
Control de la corrupción (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
Índice de Percepción de la Corrupción (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions | GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Puntuación de libertad de prensa (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Estado de derecho (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
Derechos de propiedad y gobernanza basada en normas (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
Detenidos sin condena, porcentaje de la población penitenciariaIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
Incidencia del soborno entre las empresasIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
Calidad regulatoria (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
Calificación general de la CPIA (índice de asignación de recursos de la AIF)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
CPIA: gestión del sector público e institucionesIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
CPIA: transparencia, rendición de cuentas y corrupción en el sector públicoIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
Eficiencia de la movilización de ingresos (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
Desviación de la ejecución presupuestaria respecto del presupuesto aprobadoIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
Puntuación general de los Statistical Performance IndicatorsIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
Exhaustividad del registro de nacimientosIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
Años desde el último censo de poblaciónIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
Puntuación del entorno empresarial (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall | GOV | Business environment | coping capacity | {score} | COUNTRY |
07Cita
Governance weakness index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
Los valores se publican con la edición; el intervalo, la clase y la variación aparecen aquí.
- Edición anterior
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Compuesto acoplado
- –
- Puntuación de acoplamiento S
- –
- Pulso, última semana
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Método
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Extracciones
- 1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition
Aún no hay valores publicados. La primera edición trazará aquí la serie histórica con su banda de intervalo y los límites de clase.
África54
Américas35
Asia48
Europa44
Aún no hay movimientos. A partir de la segunda edición, aquí se enumeran los cambios respecto de la edición anterior, con los indicadores que los provocaron.
08Valores
Country values
FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
Cargando el mapa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Teselas
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Clave de observación
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Serie
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.→ SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction.→ SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk.→ SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk.→ XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps.→ XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency.→ XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk.→ XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published.→ XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only.→ XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks.→ XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WGI | 12 |
WB_WDI | 7 |
SDG | 5 |
11En todo el Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
En todo el Nexus
GCRI Registry · GCRI Campaigns · GCRI Agency · GRF Diplomacy · Governance Nexus · GRF Information Integrity and Public Trust.
12Citar
Citar y reutilizar
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Estado
La metodología, la estructura y las definiciones de The Global Risks Index son un borrador de trabajo preparatorio (2026), difundido para examen y comentarios y no para su aplicación. Ningún valor aparece hasta que se publica una edición a partir de un corte de evidencia gobernado; los valores incluyen entonces intervalos, clases, fuentes y su vía de corrección. Los simuladores aplican los métodos publicados a las cifras que usted elija y nunca muestran un valor del NXS-GRX.
Lo que NXS-GRX no es
NXS-GRX es información de investigación y analítica de riesgos. No es una calificación crediticia ni ESG y no usa ninguna escala de calificación; no es un índice de referencia para instrumentos financieros, ni estadística oficial, ni una alerta de emergencia o clasificación oficial, ni asesoramiento. No debe usarse para evaluar a personas físicas. Las clases de riesgo son bandas en una escala publicada, nunca clasificaciones de países ni de personas.
Instituciones y fuentes
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Cada valor lleva la atribución de sus fuentes, que conservan sus propias licencias. Los nombres externos se citan únicamente a efectos de interoperabilidad. Los textos de autoría de Nexus están destinados a publicarse bajo CC BY 4.0.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.