The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity
مؤشر ضعف الحوكمة
Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
عدم اليقين
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
الهيكل
4 components
16 leaf indicators
التغطية
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01التشييد
From indicators to the composite
Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.
computation
How Governance weakness is computedGraph23 nodes
الرسم البياني
01المؤشرات الفرعية
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04الركيزة
05المركب
100%
الفهرس
- إبداء الرأي والمساءلة (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- الاستقرار السياسي وغياب العنف (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- فعالية الحكومة (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- مكافحة الفساد (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- درجة حرية الصحافة (RSF)Indicator · IND · scoreReporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
- سيادة القانون (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- حقوق الملكية والحوكمة القائمة على القواعد (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
- المحتجزون دون حكم، نسبةً إلى نزلاء السجونIndicator · IND · %People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
- انتشار الرشوة بين الشركاتIndicator · IND · %Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
- جودة التنظيم (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- التقييم الكلي لـ CPIA (مؤشر تخصيص موارد IDA)Indicator · IND · scoreAverage World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
- كفاءة تعبئة الإيرادات (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
- انحراف تنفيذ الميزانية عن الميزانية المعتمدةIndicator · IND · %Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
- الدرجة الكلية لمؤشرات الأداء الإحصائيIndicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
- اكتمال تسجيل المواليدIndicator · IND · %Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
- السنوات المنقضية منذ آخر تعداد للسكانIndicator · IND · aNumber of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
- Governance quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
- Rule of law sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
- Policy and institutional quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
- Statistical capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
- مؤشر ضعف الحوكمةDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
- نقص القدرة على المواجهة والتكيفPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
لم يُشغَّلقيد التنفيذمكتمل
02المحاكي
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
يعمل في متصفحك
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03المنهجية
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- التطبيع
- min–max rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- خبير
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- عدم اليقين
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
منخفض جدًامن 0.0 إلى أقل من 2.0
منخفضمن 2.0 إلى أقل من 3.5
متوسطمن 3.5 إلى أقل من 5.0
مرتفعمن 5.0 إلى أقل من 6.5
مرتفع جدًا6.5 إلى 10.0
04Components
4 components, 16 indicators
Governance quality sub-index w 2
Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
| المؤشر | الوحدة | الأدلة | المصادر | الحصة |
|---|---|---|---|---|
إبداء الرأي والمساءلة (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
الاستقرار السياسي وغياب العنف (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
فعالية الحكومة (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
مكافحة الفساد (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
درجة حرية الصحافة (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | {score} | Class E | rsf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared) | 11.1% |
Rule of law sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
| المؤشر | الوحدة | الأدلة | المصادر | الحصة |
|---|---|---|---|---|
سيادة القانون (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
حقوق الملكية والحوكمة القائمة على القواعد (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
المحتجزون دون حكم، نسبةً إلى نزلاء السجونIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | % | Class B | unodc-cts | 20.0% |
انتشار الرشوة بين الشركاتIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | % | Class B | wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
| المؤشر | الوحدة | الأدلة | المصادر | الحصة |
|---|---|---|---|---|
جودة التنظيم (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
التقييم الكلي لـ CPIA (مؤشر تخصيص موارد IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
كفاءة تعبئة الإيرادات (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora | 20.0% |
انحراف تنفيذ الميزانية عن الميزانية المعتمدةIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | % | Class B | pefa, national-budget-documents | 20.0% |
Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
| المؤشر | الوحدة | الأدلة | المصادر | الحصة |
|---|---|---|---|---|
الدرجة الكلية لمؤشرات الأداء الإحصائيIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | {score} | Class B | wb-spi, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
اكتمال تسجيل المواليدIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | % | Class B | unicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
السنوات المنقضية منذ آخر تعداد للسكانIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | a | Class A | unsd-census-programme | 25.0% |
05المجال
الحوكمة والمؤسسات
Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.
| Sub-domain | المؤشرات الفرعية |
|---|---|
| Governance quality | 6 |
| Rule of law | 4 |
| Policy and institutional quality | 6 |
| Statistical capacity | 3 |
| Business environment | 1 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.
06المؤشرات الفرعية
All 20 governance and institutions indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| المؤشر | المجال | Sub-domain | المكوّن | الوحدة | المستويات | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
إبداء الرأي والمساءلة (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | GOV | Governance quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
الاستقرار السياسي وغياب العنف (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | GOV | Governance quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
فعالية الحكومة (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | GOV | Governance quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
مكافحة الفساد (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | GOV | Governance quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
مؤشر مدركات الفساد (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions | GOV | Governance quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | |
درجة حرية الصحافة (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | GOV | Governance quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | |
سيادة القانون (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | GOV | Rule of law | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
حقوق الملكية والحوكمة القائمة على القواعد (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | GOV | Rule of law | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
المحتجزون دون حكم، نسبةً إلى نزلاء السجونIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
انتشار الرشوة بين الشركاتIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
جودة التنظيم (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
التقييم الكلي لـ CPIA (مؤشر تخصيص موارد IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
إدارة القطاع العام والمؤسسات وفق CPIAIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
الشفافية والمساءلة والفساد في القطاع العام وفق CPIAIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
كفاءة تعبئة الإيرادات (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
انحراف تنفيذ الميزانية عن الميزانية المعتمدةIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
الدرجة الكلية لمؤشرات الأداء الإحصائيIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | GOV | Statistical capacity | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
اكتمال تسجيل المواليدIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | GOV | Statistical capacity | القدرة على المواجهة | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
السنوات المنقضية منذ آخر تعداد للسكانIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
درجة بيئة الأعمال (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall | GOV | Business environment | القدرة على المواجهة | {score} | COUNTRY |
07التسعير
Governance weakness index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
تُنشر القيم مع الطبعة؛ وتظهر هنا الفترة والفئة والتغير.
- الطبعة السابقة
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- المركب المترابط
- –
- درجة الترابط S
- –
- Pulse، الأسبوع الأخير
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- المنهجية
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- السحوبات
- 1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition
لا قيم صادرة بعد. ترسم الطبعة الأولى السجل التاريخي هنا مع نطاق الفترة وحدود الفئات.
أفريقيا54
الأمريكتان35
آسيا48
أوروبا44
لا تحركات حتى الآن. تُدرج هنا التغييرات منذ الإصدار السابق ابتداءً من الإصدار الثاني، مع المؤشرات التي أحدثتها.
08القيم
Country values
FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
جارٍ تحميل الخريطة
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- البلاطات
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- مفتاح الرصد
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09السلاسل
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.→ SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction.→ SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk.→ SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk.→ XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps.→ XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency.→ XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk.→ XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published.→ XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only.→ XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks.→ XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WGI | 12 |
WB_WDI | 7 |
SDG | 5 |
11عبر Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
12استشهد
الاستشهاد وإعادة الاستخدام
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
الحالة
منهجية The Global Risks Index وبنيته وتعاريفه مسودة عمل تحضيرية (2026)، تُعمَّم للمراجعة والتعليق لا للتطبيق. ولا تظهر أي قيمة إلى أن يصدر إصدار من مقطع أدلة خاضع للحوكمة؛ وعندئذ تحمل القيم فترات وفئات ومصادر ومسار تصويبها. وتُطبِّق أدوات المحاكاة المنهجيات المنشورة على أرقام تختارها أنت، ولا تعرض أبدًا أي قيمة من NXS-GRX.
ما ليس عليه NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX معلومات بحثية وتحليلية للمخاطر. وهو ليس تصنيفًا ائتمانيًا ولا تصنيفًا بيئيًا واجتماعيًا وحوكميًا ولا يستخدم أي مقياس تصنيف، وليس مؤشرًا مرجعيًا للأدوات المالية، ولا إحصاءً رسميًا، ولا إنذارًا طارئًا أو تصنيفًا رسميًا، ولا مشورة. ولا يجوز استخدامه لتقييم الأشخاص الطبيعيين. فئات المخاطر نطاقات على مقياس منشور، وليست أبدًا ترتيبًا للبلدان أو الأشخاص.
المؤسسات والمصادر
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
تحمل كل قيمة إسناد مصادرها، التي تحتفظ بتراخيصها الخاصة. ولا يُستشهد بالأسماء الخارجية إلا لأغراض قابلية التشغيل البيني. ويُعتزم إصدار النصوص التي تؤلفها Nexus بموجب ترخيص CC BY 4.0 عند نشرها.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.