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Der Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity

Index der Governance-Schwäche

Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

arithmetic

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Unsicherheit

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Struktur

4 components

16 leaf indicators

Abdeckung

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.

computation
How Governance weakness is computed
Graph23 nodes
Graph
01Indikatoren
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Säule
05Zusammengesetzt
100%
Verzeichnis
  1. Mitspracherecht und Rechenschaftspflicht (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  2. Politische Stabilität und Abwesenheit von Gewalt (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  3. Effektivität der Regierung (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  4. Korruptionskontrolle (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  5. Wert der Pressefreiheit (RSF)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Reporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
  6. Rechtsstaatlichkeit (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  7. Eigentumsrechte und regelbasierte Regierungsführung (CPIA)
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
  8. Nicht verurteilte Inhaftierte, Anteil an der Gefängnisbevölkerung
    Indicator · IND · %
    People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
  9. Bestechungshäufigkeit bei Unternehmen
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
  10. Regulierungsqualität (WGI)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Perceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
  11. CPIA-Gesamtbewertung (IDA-Ressourcenzuteilungsindex)
    Indicator · IND · score
    Average World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
  12. Effizienz der Einnahmenmobilisierung (CPIA)
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
  13. Abweichung des Haushaltsvollzugs vom genehmigten Haushalt
    Indicator · IND · %
    Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
  14. Gesamtwert der Statistical Performance Indicators
    Indicator · IND · score
    World Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
  15. Vollständigkeit der Geburtenregistrierung
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
  16. Jahre seit der letzten Volkszählung
    Indicator · IND · a
    Number of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
  17. Governance quality sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%
    Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
  18. Rule of law sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
  19. Policy and institutional quality sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
  20. Statistical capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%
    Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
  21. Index der Governance-Schwäche
    Domain index · IDX · arithmetic
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  22. Mangel an Bewältigungs- und Anpassungskapazität
    Pillar · PILLAR · 2 indices
    Can institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
  23. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Nicht ausgeführtIn BearbeitungErledigt
FIG 2. 16 indicators, 4 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
25
1
–
läuft in Ihrem Browser
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Methode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
min–max rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
Fachkundige
Aggregation
arithmetic
Scale
0 to 10
Unsicherheit
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
Sehr niedrig0.0 bis < 2.0
Niedrig2.0 bis < 3.5
Mittel3.5 bis < 5.0
Hoch5.0 bis < 6.5
Sehr hoch6.5 bis 10.0
04Components

4 components, 16 indicators

Governance quality sub-index w 2

Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
Mitspracherecht und Rechenschaftspflicht (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Politische Stabilität und Abwesenheit von Gewalt (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Effektivität der Regierung (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Korruptionskontrolle (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption{score}Class Cwb-wgi22.2%
Wert der Pressefreiheit (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom{score}Class Ersf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared)11.1%

Rule of law sub-index w 1

Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
Rechtsstaatlichkeit (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law{score}Class Cwb-wgi40.0%
Eigentumsrechte und regelbasierte Regierungsführung (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi20.0%
Nicht verurteilte Inhaftierte, Anteil an der GefängnisbevölkerungIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees%Class Bunodc-cts20.0%
Bestechungshäufigkeit bei UnternehmenIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms%Class Bwb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi20.0%

Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1

Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
Regulierungsqualität (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality{score}Class Cwb-wgi40.0%
CPIA-Gesamtbewertung (IDA-Ressourcenzuteilungsindex)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi20.0%
Effizienz der Einnahmenmobilisierung (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration{score}Class Ewb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora20.0%
Abweichung des Haushaltsvollzugs vom genehmigten HaushaltIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation%Class Bpefa, national-budget-documents20.0%

Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5

Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
Gesamtwert der Statistical Performance IndicatorsIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall{score}Class Bwb-spi, wb-wdi50.0%
Vollständigkeit der GeburtenregistrierungIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration%Class Bunicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi25.0%
Jahre seit der letzten VolkszählungIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_censusaClass Aunsd-census-programme25.0%
05Domäne

Governance und Institutionen

Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.

Sub-domainIndikatoren
Governance quality6
Rule of law4
Policy and institutional quality6
Statistical capacity3
Business environment1

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.

06Indikatoren

All 20 governance and institutions indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
GOV · 20
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndikatorDomäneSub-domainKomponenteEinheitEbenenCrosswalks
Mitspracherecht und Rechenschaftspflicht (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountabilityGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Politische Stabilität und Abwesenheit von Gewalt (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stabilityGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Effektivität der Regierung (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectivenessGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Korruptionskontrolle (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruptionGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Korruptionswahrnehmungsindex (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptionsGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
Wert der Pressefreiheit (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedomGOVGovernance qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
Rechtsstaatlichkeit (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_lawGOVRule of lawcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Eigentumsrechte und regelbasierte Regierungsführung (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rightsGOVRule of lawcoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Nicht verurteilte Inhaftierte, Anteil an der GefängnisbevölkerungIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detaineesGOVRule of lawvulnerability%COUNTRYSDG 16.3.2
Bestechungshäufigkeit bei UnternehmenIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firmsGOVRule of lawvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Regulierungsqualität (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_qualityGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
CPIA-Gesamtbewertung (IDA-Ressourcenzuteilungsindex)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overallGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA: Management des öffentlichen Sektors und InstitutionenIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_managementGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA: Transparenz, Rechenschaftspflicht und Korruption im öffentlichen SektorIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparencyGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Effizienz der Einnahmenmobilisierung (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administrationGOVPolicy and institutional qualitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Abweichung des Haushaltsvollzugs vom genehmigten HaushaltIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviationGOVPolicy and institutional qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYSDG 16.6.1
Gesamtwert der Statistical Performance IndicatorsIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overallGOVStatistical capacitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYWB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Vollständigkeit der GeburtenregistrierungIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registrationGOVStatistical capacitycoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Jahre seit der letzten VolkszählungIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_censusGOVStatistical capacityvulnerabilityaCOUNTRYSDG 17.19.2
Wert des Geschäftsumfelds (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overallGOVBusiness environmentcoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07Kennwert

Governance weakness index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
Werte erscheinen mit der Ausgabe; Intervall, Klasse und Veränderung werden hier angezeigt.
Vorherige Ausgabe
–
Range since 2016
–
Gekoppeltes Gesamtmaß
–
Kopplungswert S
–
Pulse, letzte Woche
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Methode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Ziehungen
1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition

Noch keine veröffentlichten Werte. Die erste Ausgabe zeichnet hier den Verlauf mit Intervallband und Klassengrenzen.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Afrika54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
Amerika35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
Asien48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
Europa44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
Ozeanien14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
Noch keine Veränderungen. Veränderungen gegenüber der vorherigen Ausgabe werden ab der zweiten Ausgabe hier aufgeführt, mit den Indikatoren, die sie bewirkt haben.
08Werte

Country values

FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
Karte wird geladen
AndorraAntigua und BarbudaBahrainBarbadosKomorenCabo VerdeDominicaMikronesien (Föderierte Staaten von)GrenadaKiribatiSt. Kitts und NevisSt. LuciaLiechtensteinMonacoMaledivenMarshallinselnMaltaMauritiusNauruPalauSingapurSan MarinoSão Tomé und PríncipeSeychellenTongaTuvaluHeiliger StuhlSt. Vincent und die GrenadinenSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Kacheln
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Beobachtungsschlüssel
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Reihen

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt. SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk. XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps. XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency. XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk. XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published. XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only. XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks. XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WGI12
WB_WDI7
SDG5
11Im gesamten Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Zitieren

Zitieren und weiterverwenden

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

Status

Methodik, Struktur und Definitionen des Global Risks Index sind ein vorbereitender Arbeitsentwurf (2026), der zur Prüfung und Stellungnahme und nicht zur Umsetzung verbreitet wird. Kein Wert erscheint, bevor eine Ausgabe aus einem geregelten Evidenzschnitt veröffentlicht ist; die Werte tragen dann Intervalle, Klassen, Quellen und ihren Korrekturweg. Die Simulatoren wenden die veröffentlichten Methoden auf Zahlen an, die Sie wählen, und zeigen niemals einen NXS-GRX-Wert.

Was NXS-GRX nicht ist

NXS-GRX ist eine Forschungs- und Risikoanalyseinformation. Es ist kein Kredit- oder ESG-Rating und verwendet keine Ratingskala, kein Referenzwert für Finanzinstrumente, keine amtliche Statistik, keine Notfallwarnung oder amtliche Einstufung und keine Beratung. Es darf nicht zur Bewertung natürlicher Personen verwendet werden. Risikoklassen sind Bänder auf einer veröffentlichten Skala, niemals Rangfolgen von Ländern oder Personen.

Institutionen und Quellen

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Jeder Wert trägt die Namensnennung seiner Quellen, die ihre eigenen Lizenzen behalten. Externe Namen werden nur zur Interoperabilität zitiert. Von Nexus verfasste Texte sollen bei Veröffentlichung unter CC BY 4.0 stehen.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.