The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-GOV · LCC Lack of coping and adaptive capacity
Indeks kelemahan tata kelola
Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
Page GRX-IDX-GOVEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weaknessValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
Ketidakpastian
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Struktur
4 components
16 leaf indicators
Cakupan
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
16
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
12
series read it
01Konstruksi
From indicators to the composite
Institutional weakness turns hazards into disasters and disasters into crises; the four sub-indices stay visible, and the CPI is excluded because its licence forbids derivatives.
computation
How Governance weakness is computedGraph23 nodes
Grafik
01Indikator
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Komposit
100%
Indeks
- Suara dan akuntabilitas (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which citizens can choose their government and enjoy freedom of expression, association and a free media, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived likelihood of political instability or politically motivated violence, including terrorism, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Efektivitas pemerintah (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived quality of public services, of the civil service and its independence from political pressure, and of policy formulation and implementation, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Pengendalian korupsi (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including petty and grand corruption and state capture, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Skor kebebasan pers (RSF)Indicator · IND · scoreReporters Without Borders World Press Freedom Index score, 0 to 100 with higher meaning freer, under the methodology in use since 2022; ingested as published.
- Supremasi hukum (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived confidence in and adherence to the rules of society, including contract enforcement, property rights, police and courts, and the likelihood of crime and violence, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Hak milik dan tata kelola berbasis aturan (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the extent to which private economic activity is facilitated by an effective legal system and rule-based governance that respects property and contract rights.
- Tahanan yang belum divonis, porsi terhadap populasi penjaraIndicator · IND · %People held in detention who have not been sentenced, as a percentage of the total prison population.
- Insidensi suap di kalangan perusahaanIndicator · IND · %Share of firms that experienced at least one bribe payment request across six types of public transactions, from Enterprise Surveys.
- Kualitas regulasi (WGI)Indicator · IND · scorePerceived ability of government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private-sector development, on the WGI 0 to 100 score.
- Peringkat keseluruhan CPIA (indeks alokasi sumber daya IDA)Indicator · IND · scoreAverage World Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of economic management, structural policies, social inclusion and public-sector management, for IDA-eligible countries.
- Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank staff rating, from 1 to 6, of the tax policy and tax administration: base breadth, rate structure, collection efficiency and compliance cost.
- Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIndicator · IND · %Absolute difference, in percentage points, between primary government expenditure outturn and 100% of the originally approved budget.
- Skor keseluruhan Statistical Performance Indicators (indikator kinerja statistik)Indicator · IND · scoreWorld Bank SPI overall score, from 0 to 100, across data use, data services, data products, data sources and data infrastructure.
- Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIndicator · IND · %Share of children under five whose births are registered with civil authorities.
- Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIndicator · IND · aNumber of years between the reference year and the most recent completed population and housing census.
- Governance quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
- Rule of law sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
- Policy and institutional quality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
- Statistical capacity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 11.1%Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
- Indeks kelemahan tata kelolaDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
- Kurangnya kapasitas penanggulangan dan adaptasiPillar · PILLAR · 2 indicesCan institutions anticipate, absorb, respond, recover and adapt?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate governance weakness on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
berjalan di peramban Anda
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03Metode
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- min–max rescaling
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- ahli
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Ketidakpastian
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Lack of Coping Capacity: institutional (structure only); WB WGI 2025 methodology; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
Sangat rendah0.0 hingga < 2.0
Rendah2.0 hingga < 3.5
Sedang3.5 hingga < 5.0
Tinggi5.0 hingga < 6.5
Sangat tinggi6.5 hingga 10.0
04Components
4 components, 16 indicators
Governance quality sub-index w 2
Composite of WGI voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption, with RSF press freedom.
| Indikator | Unit | Bukti | Sumber | Proporsi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Suara dan akuntabilitas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Efektivitas pemerintah (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Pengendalian korupsi (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 22.2% |
Skor kebebasan pers (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | {score} | Class E | rsf-world-press-freedom-index (licence terms to be cleared) | 11.1% |
Rule of law sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI rule of law, CPIA property rights, unsentenced detention and firms’ experience of bribery.
| Indikator | Unit | Bukti | Sumber | Proporsi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Supremasi hukum (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
Hak milik dan tata kelola berbasis aturan (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Tahanan yang belum divonis, porsi terhadap populasi penjaraIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | % | Class B | unodc-cts | 20.0% |
Insidensi suap di kalangan perusahaanIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | % | Class B | wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Policy and institutional quality sub-index w 1
Composite of WGI regulatory quality, the CPIA overall rating, revenue-mobilisation efficiency and budget credibility.
| Indikator | Unit | Bukti | Sumber | Proporsi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Kualitas regulasi (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | {score} | Class C | wb-wgi | 40.0% |
Peringkat keseluruhan CPIA (indeks alokasi sumber daya IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | {score} | Class E | wb-cpia, wb-wdi, imf-isora | 20.0% |
Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | % | Class B | pefa, national-budget-documents | 20.0% |
Statistical capacity sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the SPI overall score, completeness of birth registration and census recency.
| Indikator | Unit | Bukti | Sumber | Proporsi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Skor keseluruhan Statistical Performance Indicators (indikator kinerja statistik)IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | {score} | Class B | wb-spi, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | % | Class B | unicef-birth-registration, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | a | Class A | unsd-census-programme | 25.0% |
05Domain
Tata kelola dan kelembagaan
Quality of governance, rule of law, policy and institutional capacity, statistical capacity.
| Sub-domain | Indikator |
|---|---|
| Governance quality | 6 |
| Rule of law | 4 |
| Policy and institutional quality | 6 |
| Statistical capacity | 3 |
| Business environment | 1 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): WB WGI 2025; WB CPIA; WB SPI 2025; WB B-READY.
06Indikator
All 20 governance and institutions indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Indikator | Domain | Sub-domain | Komponen | Unit | Tingkat | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suara dan akuntabilitas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability | GOV | Governance quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability | GOV | Governance quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
Efektivitas pemerintah (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness | GOV | Governance quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
Pengendalian korupsi (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption | GOV | Governance quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
Indeks Persepsi Korupsi (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions | GOV | Governance quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Skor kebebasan pers (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom | GOV | Governance quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | |
Supremasi hukum (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law | GOV | Rule of law | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
Hak milik dan tata kelola berbasis aturan (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights | GOV | Rule of law | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
Tahanan yang belum divonis, porsi terhadap populasi penjaraIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
Insidensi suap di kalangan perusahaanIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms | GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
Kualitas regulasi (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
Peringkat keseluruhan CPIA (indeks alokasi sumber daya IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
CPIA manajemen sektor publik dan lembagaIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
CPIA transparansi, akuntabilitas, dan korupsi di sektor publikIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation | GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
Skor keseluruhan Statistical Performance Indicators (indikator kinerja statistik)IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall | GOV | Statistical capacity | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration | GOV | Statistical capacity | kapasitas penanggulangan | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census | GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a | COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
Skor lingkungan usaha (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall | GOV | Business environment | kapasitas penanggulangan | {score} | COUNTRY |
07Kuotasi
Governance weakness index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · GOV · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Governance weakness index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
- Edisi sebelumnya
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Komposit terkait
- –
- Skor keterkaitan S
- –
- Pulse, minggu terakhir
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Metode
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Sampel
- 1,000
Governance weakness index, world, by edition
Belum ada nilai yang diterbitkan. Edisi pertama menggambar riwayat di sini dengan pita interval dan batas kelas.
Afrika54
Amerika35
Asia48
Eropa44
Belum ada pergerakan. Perubahan sejak edisi sebelumnya dicantumkan di sini mulai edisi kedua, beserta indikator yang mendorongnya.
08Nilai
Country values
FIG 5 · Governance weakness index: countries (values when released)
Memuat peta
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- Ubin peta
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/gov/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Kunci observasi
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Seri
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.→ SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction.→ SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk.→ SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk.→ XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps.→ XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency.→ XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk.→ XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published.→ XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only.→ XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks.→ XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WGI | 12 |
WB_WDI | 7 |
SDG | 5 |
11Di seluruh Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Di seluruh Nexus
GCRI Registry · GCRI Campaigns · GCRI Agency · GRF Diplomacy · Governance Nexus · GRF Information Integrity and Public Trust.
12Kutip
Kutip dan gunakan kembali
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Governance weakness index (GRX-IDX-GOV), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/governance-weakness/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000124.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Status
Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.
Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.
Lembaga dan sumber
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.