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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · XT-20 · Exponential technology series

Teknologi konvergen

Risiko yang muncul ketika teknologi mutakhir berpadu (AI dengan bioteknologi, otonomi dengan siber, komputasi dengan energi) dan melampaui tata kelola teknologi tunggal.

Konstruksi Indikator
Page GRX-SER-XT-20Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports XT-20 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

4

Health security risk · Governance weakness · Cyber risk · Technology concentration risk.

Indikator

102

4 index domains

Hazard families

20

Frontier and exponential technology · Systemic and compound events.

Metode

77

Cyber, AI and frontier technology · Networks, dependency and systemic risk.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
4
indeks ranah
102
indicators in scope
2
ranah bahaya
4
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Which technology combinations create new hazard classes?
  2. Where does convergence outrun governance?
  3. What early signals should be watched?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Converging technologies index is built

Graph8 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Risiko keamanan kesehatan

    Domain index · IDX · HLT
    INFORM-style aggregation, on 0 to 10, of epidemic and AMR hazard, disease burden and undernutrition against health-system and IHR capacity, each component oriented by its own polarity.
  2. Kelemahan tata kelola

    Domain index · IDX · GOV
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  3. Risiko siber

    Domain index · IDX · CYB
    Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  4. Risiko konsentrasi teknologi

    Domain index · IDX · TEC
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  5. Converging technologies index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-20
    Risiko yang muncul ketika teknologi mutakhir berpadu (AI dengan bioteknologi, otonomi dengan siber, komputasi dengan energi) dan melampaui tata kelola teknologi tunggal.
  6. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  7. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  8. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-20 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Converging technologies index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Risiko keamanan kesehatanNXS-GRX · HLT – – – – –
Kelemahan tata kelolaNXS-GRX · GOV – – – – –
Risiko siberNXS-GRX · CYB – – – – –
Risiko konsentrasi teknologiNXS-GRX · TEC – – – – –

Domains read: Technology and frontier, Cyber and digital, Health, Governance and institutions.

04Indikator

102 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
HLT · 31GOV · 20CYB · 13TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Skor indikator komposit LIC-DSF (terbitan, rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Ketergantungan impor neto untuk mineral kritisIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Kesiapan ekonomi untuk investasi adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Kesiapan tata kelola untuk adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Hari panas lembap berbahaya per tahunIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days HAZ Panas ekstrem hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501
Kejadian keterpaparan gelombang panas per orangIND.HAZ.heat.heatwave_person_days HAZ Panas ekstrem keterpaparan d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Penduduk yang terpapar panas ekstrem, porsiIND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.share HAZ Panas ekstrem keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Keterpaparan PM2.5, rata-rata tertimbang populasiIND.ENV.air.pm25_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard ug/m3 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD
Penduduk yang terpapar di atas pedoman PM2.5 WHO, porsiIND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.share ENV Kualitas udara keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS
Keterpaparan ozon puncak musimanIND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard [ppb] COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Penduduk yang menggunakan air minum yang dikelola secara amanIND.WAT.access.safely_managed_drinking_water.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 6.1.1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS EPI UWD
Penduduk yang menggunakan setidaknya air minum dasarIND.WAT.access.basic_drinking_water.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.BASW.ZS
Penduduk yang menggunakan sanitasi yang dikelola secara amanIND.WAT.access.safely_managed_sanitation.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI SH.STA.SMSS.ZS SDG 6.2.1 EPI USD
Penduduk dengan fasilitas cuci tangan dasarIND.WAT.access.basic_handwashing.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.STA.HYGN.ZS SDG 6.2.1
Rasio ketergantungan pada air terbarukan dari luarIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Luas DAS lintas batas dengan kerja sama operasionalIND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share WAT Transboundary dependence kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SDG 6.5.2
Angka kematian balitaIND.HLT.burden.under5_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.DYN.MORT SDG 3.2.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000007
Angka kematian neonatalIND.HLT.burden.neonatal_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.DYN.NMRT SDG 3.2.2
Rasio kematian ibuIND.HLT.burden.maternal_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability /10*5 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.MMRT SDG 3.1.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000026
Angka harapan hidup saat lahirIND.HLT.burden.life_expectancy HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability a COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.DYN.LE00.IN WHO_GHO WHOSIS_000001
Kematian dini akibat penyakit tidak menular utamaIND.HLT.burden.ncd_premature_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.DYN.NCOM.ZS SDG 3.4.1 WHO_GHO NCDMORT3070
Insidensi tuberkulosisIND.HLT.burden.tb_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*5 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.TBS.INCD SDG 3.3.2 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000020
Insidensi malariaIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA
Insidensi HIVIND.HLT.burden.hiv_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.TL.P3 SDG 3.3.1 WHO_GHO SDGHIV WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.ZS
Dokter per 1,000 pendudukIND.HLT.system.physician_density HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MED.PHYS.ZS WHO_GHO HWF_0001 SDG 3.c.1
Perawat dan bidan per 1,000 pendudukIND.HLT.system.nurse_midwife_density HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MED.NUMW.P3 WHO_GHO HWF_0006 SDG 3.c.1
Tempat tidur rumah sakit per 1,000 pendudukIND.HLT.system.hospital_beds HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MED.BEDS.ZS WHO_GHO WHS6_102
Indeks cakupan layanan UHCIND.HLT.system.uhc_service_coverage HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SDG 3.8.1 WHO_GHO UHC_INDEX_REPORTED WB_WDI SH.UHC.SRVS.CV.XD
Penduduk dengan belanja kesehatan pribadi yang katastrofikIND.HLT.system.catastrophic_oop HLT Health system capacity vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 3.8.2 WB_WDI SH.UHC.OOPC.10.ZS
Belanja pribadi langsung, porsi terhadap belanja kesehatan berjalanIND.HLT.system.oop_share HLT Health system capacity vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.XPD.OOPC.CH.ZS WHO_GHO GHED_OOPSCHE_SHA2011
Belanja kesehatan berjalan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HLT.system.health_expenditure.gdp HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS
Cakupan imunisasi DTP3IND.HLT.system.dtp3_coverage HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WHO_GHO WHS4_100 WB_WDI SH.IMM.IDPT SDG 3.b.1
Cakupan imunisasi campak dosis keduaIND.HLT.system.mcv2_coverage HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WHO_GHO MCV2 WB_WDI SH.IMM.MEA2 SDG 3.b.1
Persalinan yang ditolong tenaga kesehatan terlatihIND.HLT.system.skilled_birth_attendance HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.BRTC.ZS SDG 3.1.2
Waktu tempuh ke fasilitas kesehatan terdekatIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Skor kapasitas inti IHR (SPAR)IND.HLT.security.spar_capacity HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SDG 3.d.1 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2021 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2018
Kapasitas laboratorium IHR (SPAR C4)IND.HLT.security.spar_laboratory HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C4 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C04 JEE D1
Kapasitas surveilans IHR (SPAR C5)IND.HLT.security.spar_surveillance HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C5 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C05 JEE D2
Kapasitas manajemen kedaruratan kesehatan IHR (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1
Kapasitas komunikasi risiko IHR (SPAR C10)IND.HLT.security.spar_risk_communication HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C10 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C10 JEE R5
Frekuensi kejadian epidemiIND.HLT.epidemic.outbreak_event_frequency HLT Epidemic and outbreak hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1
Kasus kolera yang dilaporkan, per 100,000 pendudukIND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k HLT Epidemic and outbreak hazard /10*5 COUNTRY WHO_GHO CHOLERA_0000000001
Infeksi aliran darah akibat MRSAIND.HLT.amr.mrsa_bloodstream HLT Resistansi antimikroba hazard % COUNTRY WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_MRSA SDG 3.d.2
Infeksi aliran darah akibat E. coli yang resisten terhadap sefalosporin generasi ketigaIND.HLT.amr.ecoli_3gc_bloodstream HLT Resistansi antimikroba hazard % COUNTRY WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_ECOLI SDG 3.d.2
Stunting pada balitaIND.HLT.nutrition.stunting HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.STNT.ME.ZS SDG 2.2.1 WHO_GHO NUTSTUNTINGPREV FAO_FAOSTAT 21025
Wasting pada balitaIND.HLT.nutrition.wasting HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.STA.WAST.ZS SDG 2.2.2 WHO_GHO NUTRITION_WH_2 FAO_FAOSTAT 21026
Anemia pada perempuan usia reproduksiIND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.ANM.ALLW.ZS WHO_GHO NUTRITION_ANAEMIA_REPRODUCTIVEAGE_PREV SDG 2.2.3 FAO_FAOSTAT 21043
Kursi yang diduduki perempuan di parlemen nasionalIND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
Penduduk usia 65 tahun ke atas, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus DEM Age structure vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS
Serangan terhadap layanan kesehatanIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care CON Civilian harm impact 1 COUNTRY
Suara dan akuntabilitas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Efektivitas pemerintah (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Pengendalian korupsi (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Indeks Persepsi Korupsi (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Skor kebebasan pers (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Supremasi hukum (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law GOV Rule of law kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Hak milik dan tata kelola berbasis aturan (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights GOV Rule of law kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Tahanan yang belum divonis, porsi terhadap populasi penjaraIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.3.2
Insidensi suap di kalangan perusahaanIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Kualitas regulasi (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
Peringkat keseluruhan CPIA (indeks alokasi sumber daya IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA manajemen sektor publik dan lembagaIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA transparansi, akuntabilitas, dan korupsi di sektor publikIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
Skor keseluruhan Statistical Performance Indicators (indikator kinerja statistik)IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
Skor lingkungan usaha (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Penduduk yang terutama mengandalkan bahan bakar dan teknologi memasak bersihIND.ENE.access.clean_cooking ENE Akses vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
Konsentrasi pemasok impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Individu yang menggunakan internetIND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
Redundansi rute konektivitas internasionalIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan 1 COUNTRY
Jam gangguan internet berskala nasionalIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
Fasilitas kritis dengan daya cadangan 72 jamIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Fasilitas vital di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Fasilitas kesehatan yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
Skor ITU Global Cybersecurity IndexIND.CYB.capability.gci_score CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Overall score
Tingkatan ITU Global Cybersecurity IndexIND.CYB.capability.gci_tier CYB Cyber capability vulnerability {class} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Tier
Pilar langkah hukum ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Pilar langkah teknis ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_technical CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
Pilar langkah organisasi ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
Pilar langkah pengembangan kapasitas ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_development CYB Cyber capability kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Capacity Development Measures
Pilar langkah kerja sama ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperation CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Cooperation Measures
Tim tanggap insiden komputer nasional yang beroperasiIND.CYB.capability.national_cert CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
Undang-undang pelindungan data dan privasi yang berlakuIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Insiden siber signifikan per juta pendudukIND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rate CYB Incidents hazard /10*6/a COUNTRY
Insiden siber yang mengganggu layanan kritisIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
Nilai tambah layanan TIK, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
Perkembangan e-governmentIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence keterpaparan {score} COUNTRY
Belanja domestik bruto untuk litbang, porsi terhadap PDBIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Peneliti per juta pendudukIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Ekspor teknologi tinggi, porsi terhadap ekspor manufakturIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Konsentrasi pemasok impor semikonduktorIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia infrastruktur cloudIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kapasitas komputasi AI di bawah kendali asing atau penyedia tunggalIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia model fondasiIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pengawasan biosafety dan biosekuriti laboratorium penahanan tinggiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Bioteknologi kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Strategi PRB nasional yang selaras dengan Kerangka Kerja Sendai untuk Pengurangan Risiko Bencana 2015-2030IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy CRS DRR strategy kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Pemerintah daerah dengan strategi PRB yang selaras dengan strategi nasionalIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies CRS DRR strategy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Penduduk dalam jangkauan 15 menit dari layanan daruratIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
Garis depanSistemik156HAZARDS
2 hazard domains (inner ring) and 20 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
AI system failure and misalignment Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Bioteknologi dan biologi sintetis Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
Teknologi intervensi iklim Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Buku besar terdistribusi dan aset digital Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Supply-chain and flow disruption Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … 17
Cascading failure Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … 10
Compound and multi-hazard events Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … 9
Structural fragility of interconnected systems Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … 11
06Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

56 methods

Siber, AI, dan teknologi mutakhir

Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …

21 methods

Jaringan, ketergantungan, dan risiko sistemik

Dependency Graph · Centrality · Critical Node · Cascading Failure · Contagion · Percolation · Interdependency …

07Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Universities and research

Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

08Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
XT-20
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Edisi Nexus Reports

09Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Converging technologies series (GRX-SER-XT-20), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-20/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000107.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-20:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.HLT.security.health_security_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.