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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · XT-18 · Exponential technology series

Teknologi intervensi iklim

Penghapusan karbon dan intervensi iklim yang diusulkan: risiko fisik, tata kelola, dan penghentian, dibaca hanya dari kajian yang telah diterbitkan.

Konstruksi Indikator Lintasan
Page GRX-SER-XT-18Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports XT-18 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

5

Climate physical hazard · Climate transition exposure · Environmental pressure · Governance weakness.

Indikator

114

4 index domains

Hazard families

23

Planetary boundaries and Earth-system tipping · Frontier and exponential technology.

Metode

41

Climate, nature and biodiversity · Policy, regulation and governance.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
5
indeks ranah
114
indicators in scope
2
ranah bahaya
3
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Which interventions are being proposed and tested?
  2. What governance exists?
  3. What are the stated physical and termination risks?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Climate intervention technologies index is built

Graph9 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Bahaya fisik iklim

    Domain index · IDX · CLI
    0–10 index of physical climate hazard combining chronic change, observed extremes and projected change (projection sub-index taken at SSP2-4.5, 2041–2060 by default, with other scenarios as alternative runs).
  2. Keterpaparan transisi iklim

    Domain index · IDX · CLI
    0–10 index of an economy’s exposure to a low-carbon transition, combining transition exposure (fossil rents, fuel exports, subsidies) and emissions intensity (per capita and per unit of GDP).
  3. Tekanan lingkungan

    Domain index · IDX · ENV
    0–10 index of environmental pressure and ecosystem condition combining air pollution, land and forest degradation, biodiversity status, ocean condition and waste pressure.
  4. Kelemahan tata kelola

    Domain index · IDX · GOV
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  5. Risiko konsentrasi teknologi

    Domain index · IDX · TEC
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  6. Climate intervention technologies index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-18
    Penghapusan karbon dan intervensi iklim yang diusulkan: risiko fisik, tata kelola, dan penghentian, dibaca hanya dari kajian yang telah diterbitkan.
  7. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  8. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  9. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-18 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Climate intervention technologies index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Bahaya fisik iklimNXS-GRX · CLI – – – – –
Keterpaparan transisi iklimNXS-GRX · CLI – – – – –
Tekanan lingkunganNXS-GRX · ENV – – – – –
Kelemahan tata kelolaNXS-GRX · GOV – – – – –
Risiko konsentrasi teknologiNXS-GRX · TEC – – – – –

Domains read: Climate, Environment and biodiversity, Governance and institutions, Technology and frontier.

04Indikator

114 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CLI · 31ENV · 22GOV · 20TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Skor indikator komposit LIC-DSF (terbitan, rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Eksposur bank terhadap sektor padat karbonIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Kredit bank yang terpapar risiko iklim fisik tinggiIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Rente sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS
Ketergantungan impor neto untuk mineral kritisIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pemanasan permukaan sejak masa praindustriIND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrial CLI Chronic physical change hazard K GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID FAO_FAOSTAT ET
Perubahan curah hujan tahunanIND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_change CLI Chronic physical change hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Laju kenaikan muka laut relatifIND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trend CLI Chronic physical change hazard mm/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402
Hari terpanas dalam setahun (TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txx CLI Acute climate extremes hazard Cel COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Porsi hari hangat (TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90p CLI Acute climate extremes hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Perubahan jumlah hari sangat panas (35 °C atau lebih)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Durasi periode hangat (WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_duration CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Hari terbasah dalam setahun (Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1day CLI Acute climate extremes hazard mm COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Lima hari terbasah dalam setahun (Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5day CLI Acute climate extremes hazard mm COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Curah hujan dari hari sangat basah (R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_share CLI Acute climate extremes hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Periode kering terpanjang (CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_days CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Acute climate extremes keterpaparan % SITE, PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(c)
Proyeksi pemanasan sejak masa praindustriIND.CLI.projection.projected_warming CLI Scenario projections hazard K GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Proyeksi perubahan suhu hari terpanasIND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_change CLI Scenario projections hazard K COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Proyeksi perubahan curah hujan lima hari terbasahIND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_change CLI Scenario projections hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Proyeksi kenaikan muka laut relatifIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise CLI Scenario projections hazard m COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Penduduk di bawah tingkat banjir pesisir 100 tahunan di masa depan, porsiIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share CLI Scenario projections keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Total emisi gas rumah kaca tanpa LULUCFIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total CLI Emissions keterpaparan Mt/a COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
Emisi gas rumah kaca per kapitaIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capita CLI Emissions keterpaparan t/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP
Intensitas karbon PDBIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp CLI Emissions keterpaparan kg/[USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions CLI Emissions keterpaparan Mt/a PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi)
Rente bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS
Ekspor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Subsidi eksplisit bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(b)
Target emisi seluruh perekonomian NDC 2030IND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambition CLI Transition exposure response % COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Rencana adaptasi nasional telah diserahkanIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {bool} COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Kesiapan ekonomi untuk investasi adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Kesiapan tata kelola untuk adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Kesiapan sosial untuk adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.social_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN social
Pendanaan adaptasi internasional yang diterima per kapitaIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif [USD] COUNTRY
Penduduk di bawah ketinggian 5 m, porsiIND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share HAZ Coastal and sea level keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Frekuensi kekeringan meteorologis parahIND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency HAZ Kekeringan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR
Hari panas lembap berbahaya per tahunIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days HAZ Panas ekstrem hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501
Hari cuaca kebakaran ekstrem per tahunIND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days HAZ Kebakaran hutan dan lahan hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Area terbakar tahunan, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share HAZ Kebakaran hutan dan lahan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil
Keterpaparan PM2.5, rata-rata tertimbang populasiIND.ENV.air.pm25_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard ug/m3 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD
Penduduk yang terpapar di atas pedoman PM2.5 WHO, porsiIND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.share ENV Kualitas udara keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS
Keterpaparan ozon puncak musimanIND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard [ppb] COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Luas daratanIND.ENV.land.land_area ENV Land and forests context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY WB_WDI AG.LND.TOTL.K2
Luas hutan, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.ENV.land.forest_cover.share ENV Land and forests vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 15.1.1 WB_WDI AG.LND.FRST.ZS
Laju kehilangan tutupan pohon tahunanIND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.share ENV Land and forests hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID EPI TCL
Lahan terdegradasi, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.ENV.land.land_degradation.share ENV Land and forests hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID SDG 15.3.1
Kepadatan jalanIND.ENV.land.road_density ENV Land and forests hazard km/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Indeks Daftar Merah (Red List Index)IND.ENV.biodiversity.red_list_index ENV Keanekaragaman hayati vulnerability 1 GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY SDG 15.5.1
Indeks Keutuhan Keanekaragaman HayatiIND.ENV.biodiversity.biodiversity_intactness ENV Keanekaragaman hayati vulnerability 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Kawasan lindung darat, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.ENV.biodiversity.terrestrial_protected.share ENV Keanekaragaman hayati response % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI ER.LND.PTLD.ZS
Kawasan keanekaragaman hayati penting yang tercakup kawasan lindungIND.ENV.biodiversity.key_biodiversity_area_protected.share ENV Keanekaragaman hayati response % COUNTRY, REGION SDG 15.1.2
Kawasan konservasi laut, porsi terhadap perairan teritorialIND.ENV.ocean.marine_protected.share ENV Ocean response % COUNTRY WB_WDI ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS SDG 14.5.1
Indeks eutrofikasi pesisirIND.ENV.ocean.coastal_eutrophication ENV Ocean hazard % COUNTRY, REGION SDG 14.1.1
Rata-rata keasaman laut (pH)IND.ENV.ocean.ocean_acidity ENV Ocean hazard [pH] COUNTRY, REGION, SITE SDG 14.3.1
Stok ikan dalam batas berkelanjutan secara biologisIND.ENV.ocean.sustainable_fish_stocks.share ENV Ocean vulnerability % GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY SDG 14.4.1
Hari gelombang panas laut per tahunIND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_days ENV Ocean hazard d/a COUNTRY, REGION, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708
Sampah padat perkotaan yang dihasilkan per kapitaIND.ENV.pollution.msw_generation.pc ENV Pollution and waste hazard kg/a/{person} COUNTRY, CITY
Sampah padat perkotaan yang dikelola di fasilitas terkendaliIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share ENV Pollution and waste kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
Sampah plastik yang salah kelola per kapitaIND.ENV.pollution.mismanaged_plastic_waste.pc ENV Pollution and waste hazard kg/a/{person} COUNTRY, ADM1
PDB di sektor yang sangat bergantung pada alam, porsiIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share ENV Nature dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO
Nilai produksi tanaman yang bergantung pada penyerbukan hewan, porsiIND.ENV.nature_dependence.pollinator_dependent_crops.share ENV Nature dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1
Badan air dengan kualitas air ambien yang baikIND.WAT.quality.good_ambient_water_quality.share WAT Water quality vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 6.3.2
Aliran air limbah yang diolah secara amanIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
Rasio ketergantungan pada air terbarukan dari luarIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Luas DAS lintas batas dengan kerja sama operasionalIND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share WAT Transboundary dependence kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SDG 6.5.2
Insidensi malariaIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA
Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Tenaga kerja di sektor pertanian, porsi terhadap total tenaga kerjaIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Variabilitas hasil panen serealia (15 tahun)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Lahan pertanian, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.share FOO Agricultural production and dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID WB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS
Indeks Kesehatan Vegetasi di lahan pertanianIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_index FOO Agricultural production and dependence hazard {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
Kursi yang diduduki perempuan di parlemen nasionalIND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
Suara dan akuntabilitas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Efektivitas pemerintah (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Pengendalian korupsi (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Indeks Persepsi Korupsi (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Skor kebebasan pers (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Supremasi hukum (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law GOV Rule of law kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Hak milik dan tata kelola berbasis aturan (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights GOV Rule of law kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Tahanan yang belum divonis, porsi terhadap populasi penjaraIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.3.2
Insidensi suap di kalangan perusahaanIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Kualitas regulasi (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
Peringkat keseluruhan CPIA (indeks alokasi sumber daya IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA manajemen sektor publik dan lembagaIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA transparansi, akuntabilitas, dan korupsi di sektor publikIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
Skor keseluruhan Statistical Performance Indicators (indikator kinerja statistik)IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
Skor lingkungan usaha (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Porsi energi terbarukan dalam total konsumsi energi finalIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec ENE Energy mix kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
Intensitas energi primer PDBIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity ENE Energy mix vulnerability MJ/[USD] COUNTRY SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
Porsi fosil dalam pembangkitan listrikIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
Kapasitas pembangkit terbarukan terpasang per kapitaIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc ENE Energy mix kapasitas adaptif W/{person} COUNTRY SDG 7.b.1
Derajat hari pemanasan dan pendinginanIND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days ENE Reliability hazard K.d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Konsentrasi pemasok impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Pilar langkah hukum ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Pilar langkah organisasi ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
Undang-undang pelindungan data dan privasi yang berlakuIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Perkembangan e-governmentIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence keterpaparan {score} COUNTRY
Belanja domestik bruto untuk litbang, porsi terhadap PDBIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Peneliti per juta pendudukIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Ekspor teknologi tinggi, porsi terhadap ekspor manufakturIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Konsentrasi pemasok impor semikonduktorIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia infrastruktur cloudIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kapasitas komputasi AI di bawah kendali asing atau penyedia tunggalIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia model fondasiIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pengawasan biosafety dan biosekuriti laboratorium penahanan tinggiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Bioteknologi kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Strategi PRB nasional yang selaras dengan Kerangka Kerja Sendai untuk Pengurangan Risiko Bencana 2015-2030IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy CRS DRR strategy kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Pemerintah daerah dengan strategi PRB yang selaras dengan strategi nasionalIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies CRS DRR strategy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
PlanetaryGaris depan167HAZARDS
2 hazard domains (inner ring) and 23 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
Planetary boundary transgressions Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Climate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance … 14
Ice tipping elements Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Greenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction 6
Ocean circulation and marine tipping Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Atlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation 7
Biome tipping elements Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Amazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift 5
Carbon-cycle feedbacks Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Permafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback 7
Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tipping Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi South Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup … 9
Deep-time and cosmic catastrophes Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Supereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova … 10
AI system failure and misalignment Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Bioteknologi dan biologi sintetis Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
Teknologi intervensi iklim Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Buku besar terdistribusi dan aset digital Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
06Lintasan

How this risk can move to 2100

FIG 5 · Explorer: a pathway fan chart to 2100
4
0.35
0.45
10
1
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berjalan di peramban Anda

Explorer: 2,000 paths from your drift, volatility and shock settings, shown as a fan chart (50% and 90% bands, median line) against the class bounds. Pathways editions project each domain under named scenario families; this explainer uses no scenario data.
07Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

24 methods

Iklim, alam, dan keanekaragaman hayati

Climate Extremes · Chronic Climate Risk · Compound Climate Risk · Climate Scenario Ensemble · Climate Attribution Science · Land Cover Change · Deforestation …

17 methods

Kebijakan, regulasi, dan tata kelola

Scenario Counterfactual · Regulatory Change Risk · Policy Uncertainty · Policy Effectiveness · Implementation Gap · Regulatory Exposure · Compliance Obligation Mapping …

08Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Universities and research

Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

09Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
XT-18
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Edisi Nexus Reports

10Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Climate intervention technologies series (GRX-SER-XT-18), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-18/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000105.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-18:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.CLI.physical_chronic.climate_physical_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.CLI.transition.transition_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.ENV.biodiversity.environmental_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.