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The Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FOO · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

Indeks risiko kerawanan pangan

Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.

Page GRX-IDX-FOOEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FOO.acute.food_insecurity_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

Mazziotta–Pareto

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Ketidakpastian

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Struktur

5 components

20 leaf indicators

Cakupan

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
20
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
6
series read it
01Konstruksi

From indicators to the composite

Joins today’s acute severity with the structural and price conditions that drive tomorrow’s; acute severity carries the largest weight and every sub-index stays visible.

computation
How Food insecurity risk is computed
Graph28 nodes
Grafik
01Indikator
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilar
05Komposit
100%
Indeks
  1. Porsi penduduk yang dianalisis dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggi
    Indicator · IND · %
    People in IPC or Cadre Harmonise Phase 3 to 5 as a percentage of the population covered by the analysis.
  2. Penduduk dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggi
    Indicator · IND · persons
    Number of people classified in Crisis, Emergency or Catastrophe/Famine (IPC or Cadre Harmonise Phase 3 to 5) in the most recent current-period analysis.
  3. Keberadaan penduduk dalam IPC Fase 5
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the most recent current or projected analysis classifies any population or area in Phase 5 (Catastrophe or Famine).
  4. Prevalensi kekurangan gizi
    Indicator · IND · %
    Estimated share of the population whose habitual dietary energy intake falls below the minimum needed for a healthy, active life, three-year average.
  5. Kerawanan pangan sedang atau berat (FIES)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households where at least one adult reported experiences of moderate or severe food insecurity on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale, three-year average.
  6. Kerawanan pangan berat (FIES)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households where at least one adult reported severe food insecurity, such as running out of food or going a day without eating, three-year average.
  7. Penduduk yang tidak mampu membeli pola makan sehat
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population whose income, after setting aside a typical share for non-food needs, falls below the cost of a healthy diet.
  8. Indikator anomali harga pangan (IHK pangan)
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Weighted compound growth of the food consumer price index over quarterly and annual horizons, expressed in standard deviations from its historical mean; values of 1 or more are abnormally high.
  9. Bulan dengan harga pangan tinggi tidak wajar
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the latest twelve months in which the food price anomaly indicator was 1 or above.
  10. Inflasi harga pangan
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual percentage change in the food component of the consumer price index.
  11. Biaya pola makan sehat
    Indicator · IND · USD
    Daily cost per person of the least expensive locally available foods that meet food-based dietary guidelines, in PPP dollars.
  12. Rata-rata kecukupan pasokan energi pangan
    Indicator · IND · %
    Dietary energy supply per person as a percentage of the average dietary energy requirement, three-year average.
  13. Variabilitas pasokan pangan per kapita
    Indicator · IND · kcal per day per person
    Year-to-year variability of dietary energy supply per person, in kilocalories per person per day.
  14. Rasio ketergantungan impor serealia
    Indicator · IND · %
    Net cereal imports as a percentage of domestic cereal supply (production plus imports minus exports), three-year average; negative values mark net exporters.
  15. Tagihan impor pangan, porsi terhadap ekspor barang
    Indicator · IND · %
    Value of food imports as a percentage of total merchandise export earnings, three-year average.
  16. Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross value added of agriculture, forestry and fishing (ISIC divisions 01–03) as a percentage of GDP.
  17. Tenaga kerja di sektor pertanian, porsi terhadap total tenaga kerja
    Indicator · IND · %
    People employed in agriculture, forestry and fishing as a percentage of total employment (ILO modelled estimate).
  18. Hasil serealia
    Indicator · IND · kg/ha
    Harvested production of cereals for dry grain per hectare of harvested land.
  19. Variabilitas hasil panen serealia (15 tahun)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Coefficient of variation of linearly detrended national cereal yield over the latest fifteen years with data.
  20. Pengambilan air untuk pertanian, porsi terhadap total
    Indicator · IND · %
    Freshwater withdrawn for irrigation, livestock and aquaculture as a percentage of total freshwater withdrawal.
  21. Acute food insecurity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 33.3%
    Composite of the share of analysed population in IPC Phase 3 or above, the absolute Phase 3+ caseload and the presence of Phase 5.
  22. Chronic food insecurity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 25.0%
    Composite of undernourishment, moderate-or-severe and severe food insecurity and the share unable to afford a healthy diet.
  23. Food price stress sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 16.7%
    Composite of the food price anomaly indicator, persistence of abnormal prices, food CPI inflation and the cost of a healthy diet.
  24. Food supply fragility sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 16.7%
    Composite of dietary energy supply adequacy (higher is safer), supply variability, cereal import dependency and the food import bill relative to exports.
  25. Agricultural dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 8.3%
    Composite of agriculture’s share of GDP and employment, cereal yield (higher is safer), yield variability and agriculture’s share of water withdrawal.
  26. Indeks risiko kerawanan pangan
    Domain index · IDX · Mazziotta–Pareto
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.
  27. Kerentanan manusia dan sistem
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  28. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. 20 indicators, 5 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate food insecurity risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
25
1
–
berjalan di peramban Anda
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Metode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
ahli
Aggregation
Mazziotta–Pareto
Scale
0 to 10
Ketidakpastian
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
IPC Technical Manual 3.1 (2021) contributing factors; FAO SOFI; FSIN Global Report on Food Crises (structure only); JRC COIN 10-step guide
Sangat rendah0.0 hingga < 2.0
Rendah2.0 hingga < 3.5
Sedang3.5 hingga < 5.0
Tinggi5.0 hingga < 6.5
Sangat tinggi6.5 hingga 10.0
04Components

5 components, 20 indicators

Acute food insecurity sub-index w 2

Composite of the share of analysed population in IPC Phase 3 or above, the absolute Phase 3+ caseload and the presence of Phase 5.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Porsi penduduk yang dianalisis dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggiIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_share%Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, derived:nis:IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population50.0%
Penduduk dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggiIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population{persons}Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, fsin-grfc25.0%
Keberadaan penduduk dalam IPC Fase 5IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presence{bool}Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, ipc-famine-review-committee25.0%

Chronic food insecurity sub-index w 1.5

Composite of undernourishment, moderate-or-severe and severe food insecurity and the share unable to afford a healthy diet.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Prevalensi kekurangan giziIND.FOO.availability.undernourishment%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-sofi, wb-wdi25.0%
Kerawanan pangan sedang atau berat (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severe%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-fies, wb-wdi25.0%
Kerawanan pangan berat (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severe%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-fies, wb-wdi25.0%
Penduduk yang tidak mampu membeli pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable%Class Cwb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-sofi25.0%

Food price stress sub-index w 1

Composite of the food price anomaly indicator, persistence of abnormal prices, food CPI inflation and the cost of a healthy diet.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Indikator anomali harga pangan (IHK pangan)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly1Class Bfao-giews-fpma, fao-faostat-cpi25.0%
Bulan dengan harga pangan tinggi tidak wajarIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_months%Class Dderived:nis:IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly25.0%
Inflasi harga panganIND.MAC.prices.food_inflation%Class Bfao-faostat-cpi, national-cpi25.0%
Biaya pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost[USD]Class Cwb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-sofi25.0%

Food supply fragility sub-index w 1

Composite of dietary energy supply adequacy (higher is safer), supply variability, cereal import dependency and the food import bill relative to exports.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Rata-rata kecukupan pasokan energi panganIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacy%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
Variabilitas pasokan pangan per kapitaIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variabilitykcal/d/{person}Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
Rasio ketergantungan impor serealiaIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
Tagihan impor pangan, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%

Agricultural dependence sub-index w 0.5

Composite of agriculture’s share of GDP and employment, cereal yield (higher is safer), yield variability and agriculture’s share of water withdrawal.

IndikatorUnitBuktiSumberProporsi
Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp%Class Awb-wdi, un-national-accounts22.2%
Tenaga kerja di sektor pertanian, porsi terhadap total tenaga kerjaIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share%Class Cilo-ilostat, wb-wdi22.2%
Hasil serealiaIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yieldkg/harClass Bfao-faostat-qcl, wb-wdi22.2%
Variabilitas hasil panen serealia (15 tahun)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability%Class Dderived:nis:IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield, fao-faostat-qcl22.2%
Pengambilan air untuk pertanian, porsi terhadap totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawal%Class Bfao-aquastat, wb-wdi11.1%
05Domain

Sistem pangan

Food availability, access, utilisation, stability and acute food insecurity.

Sub-domainIndikator
Availability5
Access and affordability4
Acute food insecurity4
Food prices3
Agricultural production and dependence7

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): FAO SOFI (PoU, FIES); IPC Technical Manual 3.1; SDG 2.

06Indikator

All 23 food systems indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FOO · 23
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndikatorDomainSub-domainKomponenUnitTingkatCrosswalks
Prevalensi kekurangan giziIND.FOO.availability.undernourishmentFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210041 SDG 2.1.1 WB_WDI SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS
Jumlah penduduk yang kekurangan giziIND.FOO.availability.people_undernourishedFOOAvailabilityvulnerability{persons}COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210011
Rata-rata kecukupan pasokan energi panganIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacyFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21010
Variabilitas pasokan pangan per kapitaIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variabilityFOOAvailabilityvulnerabilitykcal/d/{person}COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21031
Rasio ketergantungan impor serealiaIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependencyFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21035
Kerawanan pangan sedang atau berat (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severeFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210091 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.MSFI.ZS
Kerawanan pangan berat (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severeFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210401 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.SVFI.ZS
Biaya pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_costFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability[USD]COUNTRYWB_WDI CoHD_PPP
Penduduk yang tidak mampu membeli pola makan sehatIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordableFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI CoHD_headcount
Penduduk dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggiIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_populationFOOAcute food insecurityimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 3+
Porsi penduduk yang dianalisis dalam IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggiIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_shareFOOAcute food insecurityimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 3+
IPC Fase 3 atau lebih tinggi, porsi terhadap total pendudukIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population_share_totalFOOAcute food insecurityimpact%COUNTRY
Keberadaan penduduk dalam IPC Fase 5IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presenceFOOAcute food insecurityimpact{bool}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 5
Indikator anomali harga pangan (IHK pangan)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomalyFOOFood priceshazard1COUNTRYSDG 2.c.1
Bulan dengan harga pangan tinggi tidak wajarIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_monthsFOOFood priceshazard%COUNTRY
Tagihan impor pangan, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exportsFOOFood pricesvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21033
Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdpFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Tenaga kerja di sektor pertanian, porsi terhadap total tenaga kerjaIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_shareFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Hasil serealiaIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yieldFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerabilitykg/harCOUNTRYWB_WDI AG.YLD.CREL.KG
Variabilitas hasil panen serealia (15 tahun)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variabilityFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRY
Pengambilan air untuk pertanian, porsi terhadap totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawalFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS
Lahan pertanian, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.shareFOOAgricultural production and dependenceketerpaparan%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS
Indeks Kesehatan Vegetasi di lahan pertanianIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_indexFOOAgricultural production and dependencehazard{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
07Kuotasi

Food insecurity risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FOO · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Food insecurity risk index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Edisi sebelumnya
–
Range since 2016
–
Komposit terkait
–
Skor keterkaitan S
–
Pulse, minggu terakhir
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Metode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Sampel
1,000
Food insecurity risk index, world, by edition

Belum ada nilai yang diterbitkan. Edisi pertama menggambar riwayat di sini dengan pita interval dan batas kelas.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Belum ada pergerakan. Perubahan sejak edisi sebelumnya dicantumkan di sini mulai edisi kedua, beserta indikator yang mendorongnya.
08Nilai

Country values

FIG 5 · Food insecurity risk index: countries (values when released)
Memuat peta
AndorraAntigua dan BarbudaBahrainBarbadosKomoroTanjung VerdeDominikaMikronesiaGrenadaKiribatiSaint Kitts dan NevisSaint LuciaLiechtensteinMonakoMaladewaKepulauan MarshallMaltaMauritiusNauruPalauSingapuraSan MarinoSao Tome dan PrincipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluVatikanSaint Vincent dan GrenadineSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Ubin peta
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/foo/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Kunci observasi
nis:IDX.FOO.acute.food_insecurity_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI9
FAO_FAOSTAT8
SDG4
IPC3
11Di seluruh Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Food insecurity risk index (GRX-IDX-FOO), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/food-insecurity-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000123.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.