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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FOO · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

پێوەری مەترسیی نائاسایشی خۆراک

Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.

Page GRX-IDX-FOOEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FOO.acute.food_insecurity_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

Mazziotta–Pareto

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

نادڵنیایی

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

پێکهاتە

5 components

20 leaf indicators

چوارچێوە

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
20
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
6
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Joins today’s acute severity with the structural and price conditions that drive tomorrow’s; acute severity carries the largest weight and every sub-index stays visible.

computation
How Food insecurity risk is computed
Graph28 nodes
گراف
01نیشاندەرەکان
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pillar
05لێکدراو
100%
لیست
  1. ڕێژەی دانیشتوانی شیکراوە لە قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووتر
    Indicator · IND · %
    People in IPC or Cadre Harmonise Phase 3 to 5 as a percentage of the population covered by the analysis.
  2. دانیشتوان لە قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووتر
    Indicator · IND · persons
    Number of people classified in Crisis, Emergency or Catastrophe/Famine (IPC or Cadre Harmonise Phase 3 to 5) in the most recent current-period analysis.
  3. بوونی دانیشتوان لە قۆناغی 5 ی IPC
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the most recent current or projected analysis classifies any population or area in Phase 5 (Catastrophe or Famine).
  4. بڵاوبوونەوەی خۆراکنەگەیشتن
    Indicator · IND · %
    Estimated share of the population whose habitual dietary energy intake falls below the minimum needed for a healthy, active life, three-year average.
  5. نائاسایشی خۆراکیی مامناوەند یان توند (FIES)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households where at least one adult reported experiences of moderate or severe food insecurity on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale, three-year average.
  6. نائاسایشی خۆراکیی توند (FIES)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households where at least one adult reported severe food insecurity, such as running out of food or going a day without eating, three-year average.
  7. دانیشتوانی ناتوانا لە دابینکردنی تێچووی خۆراکێکی تەندروست
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population whose income, after setting aside a typical share for non-food needs, falls below the cost of a healthy diet.
  8. نیشاندەری نائاسایی نرخی خۆراک (CPI ی خۆراک)
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Weighted compound growth of the food consumer price index over quarterly and annual horizons, expressed in standard deviations from its historical mean; values of 1 or more are abnormally high.
  9. ئەو مانگانەی نرخی خۆراک بە شێوەیەکی نائاسایی بەرز بووە
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the latest twelve months in which the food price anomaly indicator was 1 or above.
  10. هەڵاوسانی نرخی خۆراک
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual percentage change in the food component of the consumer price index.
  11. تێچووی خۆراکێکی تەندروست
    Indicator · IND · USD
    Daily cost per person of the least expensive locally available foods that meet food-based dietary guidelines, in PPP dollars.
  12. تێکڕای بەسبوونی دابینکردنی وزەی خۆراک
    Indicator · IND · %
    Dietary energy supply per person as a percentage of the average dietary energy requirement, three-year average.
  13. گۆڕاوێتیی دابینکردنی خۆراک بۆ هەر تاکێک
    Indicator · IND · kcal per day per person
    Year-to-year variability of dietary energy supply per person, in kilocalories per person per day.
  14. ڕێژەی پشتبەستن بە هاوردەی دانەوێڵە
    Indicator · IND · %
    Net cereal imports as a percentage of domestic cereal supply (production plus imports minus exports), three-year average; negative values mark net exporters.
  15. تێچووی هاوردەی خۆراک، ڕێژە لە هەناردەی کاڵا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Value of food imports as a percentage of total merchandise export earnings, three-year average.
  16. بەهای زیادکراوی کشتوکاڵ، دارستان و ماسیگرتن، ڕێژە لە GDP
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross value added of agriculture, forestry and fishing (ISIC divisions 01–03) as a percentage of GDP.
  17. دامەزراندن لە کشتوکاڵدا، ڕێژە لە کۆی دامەزراندن
    Indicator · IND · %
    People employed in agriculture, forestry and fishing as a percentage of total employment (ILO modelled estimate).
  18. بەرهەمی دانەوێڵە
    Indicator · IND · kg/ha
    Harvested production of cereals for dry grain per hectare of harvested land.
  19. گۆڕاوێتیی بەرهەمی دانەوێڵە (15 ساڵە)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Coefficient of variation of linearly detrended national cereal yield over the latest fifteen years with data.
  20. ڕاکێشانی ئاو بۆ کشتوکاڵ، ڕێژە لە کۆ
    Indicator · IND · %
    Freshwater withdrawn for irrigation, livestock and aquaculture as a percentage of total freshwater withdrawal.
  21. Acute food insecurity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 33.3%
    Composite of the share of analysed population in IPC Phase 3 or above, the absolute Phase 3+ caseload and the presence of Phase 5.
  22. Chronic food insecurity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 25.0%
    Composite of undernourishment, moderate-or-severe and severe food insecurity and the share unable to afford a healthy diet.
  23. Food price stress sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 16.7%
    Composite of the food price anomaly indicator, persistence of abnormal prices, food CPI inflation and the cost of a healthy diet.
  24. Food supply fragility sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 16.7%
    Composite of dietary energy supply adequacy (higher is safer), supply variability, cereal import dependency and the food import bill relative to exports.
  25. Agricultural dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 8.3%
    Composite of agriculture’s share of GDP and employment, cereal yield (higher is safer), yield variability and agriculture’s share of water withdrawal.
  26. پێوەری مەترسیی نائاسایشی خۆراک
    Domain index · IDX · Mazziotta–Pareto
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.
  27. لاوازیی مرۆیی و سیستەمەکان
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  28. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Not runلە ئەنجامداندایەتەواو بوو
FIG 2. 20 indicators, 5 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate food insecurity risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
25
1
–
لە وێبگەڕەکەتدا کار دەکات
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03ڕێباز

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
شارەزا
Aggregation
Mazziotta–Pareto
Scale
0 to 10
نادڵنیایی
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
IPC Technical Manual 3.1 (2021) contributing factors; FAO SOFI; FSIN Global Report on Food Crises (structure only); JRC COIN 10-step guide
زۆر نزم0.0 بۆ < 2.0
کەم2.0 بۆ < 3.5
ناوەند3.5 بۆ < 5.0
بەرز5.0 بۆ < 6.5
زۆر بەرز6.5 تا 10.0
04Components

5 components, 20 indicators

Acute food insecurity sub-index w 2

Composite of the share of analysed population in IPC Phase 3 or above, the absolute Phase 3+ caseload and the presence of Phase 5.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
ڕێژەی دانیشتوانی شیکراوە لە قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووترIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_share%Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, derived:nis:IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population50.0%
دانیشتوان لە قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووترIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population{persons}Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, fsin-grfc25.0%
بوونی دانیشتوان لە قۆناغی 5 ی IPCIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presence{bool}Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, ipc-famine-review-committee25.0%

Chronic food insecurity sub-index w 1.5

Composite of undernourishment, moderate-or-severe and severe food insecurity and the share unable to afford a healthy diet.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
بڵاوبوونەوەی خۆراکنەگەیشتنIND.FOO.availability.undernourishment%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-sofi, wb-wdi25.0%
نائاسایشی خۆراکیی مامناوەند یان توند (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severe%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-fies, wb-wdi25.0%
نائاسایشی خۆراکیی توند (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severe%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-fies, wb-wdi25.0%
دانیشتوانی ناتوانا لە دابینکردنی تێچووی خۆراکێکی تەندروستIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable%Class Cwb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-sofi25.0%

Food price stress sub-index w 1

Composite of the food price anomaly indicator, persistence of abnormal prices, food CPI inflation and the cost of a healthy diet.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
نیشاندەری نائاسایی نرخی خۆراک (CPI ی خۆراک)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly1Class Bfao-giews-fpma, fao-faostat-cpi25.0%
ئەو مانگانەی نرخی خۆراک بە شێوەیەکی نائاسایی بەرز بووەIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_months%Class Dderived:nis:IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly25.0%
هەڵاوسانی نرخی خۆراکIND.MAC.prices.food_inflation%Class Bfao-faostat-cpi, national-cpi25.0%
تێچووی خۆراکێکی تەندروستIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost[USD]Class Cwb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-sofi25.0%

Food supply fragility sub-index w 1

Composite of dietary energy supply adequacy (higher is safer), supply variability, cereal import dependency and the food import bill relative to exports.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
تێکڕای بەسبوونی دابینکردنی وزەی خۆراکIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacy%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
گۆڕاوێتیی دابینکردنی خۆراک بۆ هەر تاکێکIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variabilitykcal/d/{person}Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
ڕێژەی پشتبەستن بە هاوردەی دانەوێڵەIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
تێچووی هاوردەی خۆراک، ڕێژە لە هەناردەی کاڵاIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%

Agricultural dependence sub-index w 0.5

Composite of agriculture’s share of GDP and employment, cereal yield (higher is safer), yield variability and agriculture’s share of water withdrawal.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
بەهای زیادکراوی کشتوکاڵ، دارستان و ماسیگرتن، ڕێژە لە GDPIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp%Class Awb-wdi, un-national-accounts22.2%
دامەزراندن لە کشتوکاڵدا، ڕێژە لە کۆی دامەزراندنIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share%Class Cilo-ilostat, wb-wdi22.2%
بەرهەمی دانەوێڵەIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yieldkg/harClass Bfao-faostat-qcl, wb-wdi22.2%
گۆڕاوێتیی بەرهەمی دانەوێڵە (15 ساڵە)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability%Class Dderived:nis:IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield, fao-faostat-qcl22.2%
ڕاکێشانی ئاو بۆ کشتوکاڵ، ڕێژە لە کۆIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawal%Class Bfao-aquastat, wb-wdi11.1%
05بوار

Food systems

Food availability, access, utilisation, stability and acute food insecurity.

Sub-domainنیشاندەرەکان
Availability5
Access and affordability4
Acute food insecurity4
Food prices3
Agricultural production and dependence7

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): FAO SOFI (PoU, FIES); IPC Technical Manual 3.1; SDG 2.

06نیشاندەرەکان

All 23 food systems indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FOO · 23
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
نیشاندەربوارSub-domainComponentیەکەئاستەکانCrosswalks
بڵاوبوونەوەی خۆراکنەگەیشتنIND.FOO.availability.undernourishmentFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210041 SDG 2.1.1 WB_WDI SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS
ژمارەی ئەو کەسانەی خۆراکیان پێ ناگاتIND.FOO.availability.people_undernourishedFOOAvailabilityvulnerability{persons}COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210011
تێکڕای بەسبوونی دابینکردنی وزەی خۆراکIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacyFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21010
گۆڕاوێتیی دابینکردنی خۆراک بۆ هەر تاکێکIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variabilityFOOAvailabilityvulnerabilitykcal/d/{person}COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21031
ڕێژەی پشتبەستن بە هاوردەی دانەوێڵەIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependencyFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21035
نائاسایشی خۆراکیی مامناوەند یان توند (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severeFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210091 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.MSFI.ZS
نائاسایشی خۆراکیی توند (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severeFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210401 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.SVFI.ZS
تێچووی خۆراکێکی تەندروستIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_costFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability[USD]COUNTRYWB_WDI CoHD_PPP
دانیشتوانی ناتوانا لە دابینکردنی تێچووی خۆراکێکی تەندروستIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordableFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI CoHD_headcount
دانیشتوان لە قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووترIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_populationFOOAcute food insecurityimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 3+
ڕێژەی دانیشتوانی شیکراوە لە قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووترIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_shareFOOAcute food insecurityimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 3+
قۆناغی 3 ی IPC یان سەرووتر، ڕێژە لە کۆی دانیشتوانIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population_share_totalFOOAcute food insecurityimpact%COUNTRY
بوونی دانیشتوان لە قۆناغی 5 ی IPCIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presenceFOOAcute food insecurityimpact{bool}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 5
نیشاندەری نائاسایی نرخی خۆراک (CPI ی خۆراک)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomalyFOOFood priceshazard1COUNTRYSDG 2.c.1
ئەو مانگانەی نرخی خۆراک بە شێوەیەکی نائاسایی بەرز بووەIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_monthsFOOFood priceshazard%COUNTRY
تێچووی هاوردەی خۆراک، ڕێژە لە هەناردەی کاڵاIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exportsFOOFood pricesvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21033
بەهای زیادکراوی کشتوکاڵ، دارستان و ماسیگرتن، ڕێژە لە GDPIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdpFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
دامەزراندن لە کشتوکاڵدا، ڕێژە لە کۆی دامەزراندنIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_shareFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
بەرهەمی دانەوێڵەIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yieldFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerabilitykg/harCOUNTRYWB_WDI AG.YLD.CREL.KG
گۆڕاوێتیی بەرهەمی دانەوێڵە (15 ساڵە)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variabilityFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRY
ڕاکێشانی ئاو بۆ کشتوکاڵ، ڕێژە لە کۆIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawalFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS
زەویی کشتوکاڵی، ڕێژە لە ڕووبەری وشکانیIND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.shareFOOAgricultural production and dependenceexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS
نیشاندەری تەندروستیی ڕووەک لەسەر زەویی کشتوکاڵیIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_indexFOOAgricultural production and dependencehazard{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
07Quote

Food insecurity risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FOO · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Food insecurity risk index, world
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
ڕێباز
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Food insecurity risk index, world, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
هێشتا هیچ جووڵەیەک نییە. گۆڕانکارییەکان لە وەشانی پێشووەوە لە وەشانی دووەمەوە لێرە ڕیز دەکرێن، لەگەڵ ئەو نیشاندەرانەی هۆکاریان بوون.
08بەهاکان

Country values

FIG 5 · Food insecurity risk index: countries (values when released)
نەخشەکە باردەکرێت
ئەندۆرائەنتیگوا و باربودابەحرەینباربادۆسدوورگەکانی قەمەرکەیپ ڤێرددۆمینیکامایکرۆنیزیا (دەوڵەتە فیدراڵەکانی)گریناداکیریباتیسەینت کیتس و نێڤیسسەینت لووسیالیختنشتاینمۆناکۆمالدیڤدوورگەکانی مارشاڵماڵتامۆریشیۆسنائورووپالاوسەنگاپوورسان مارینۆسائۆ تۆمێ و پرینسیپیسیشێلتۆنگاتووڤالووڤاتیکانسەینت ڤینسێنت و گرینادینزساموا
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Tiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/foo/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
ڕێنمای چاودێری
nis:IDX.FOO.acute.food_insecurity_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI9
FAO_FAOSTAT8
SDG4
IPC3
11Across the Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12ئاماژەپێدان

ئاماژەپێدان و بەکارهێنانەوە

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Food insecurity risk index (GRX-IDX-FOO), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/food-insecurity-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000123.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.