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Le Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FOO · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

Indice de risque d'insécurité alimentaire

Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.

Page GRX-IDX-FOOEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FOO.acute.food_insecurity_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

Mazziotta–Pareto

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Incertitude

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Structure

5 components

20 leaf indicators

Couverture

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
20
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
6
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Joins today’s acute severity with the structural and price conditions that drive tomorrow’s; acute severity carries the largest weight and every sub-index stays visible.

computation
How Food insecurity risk is computed
Graph28 nodes
Graphe
01Indicateurs
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pilier
05Composite
100%
Liste
  1. Part de la population analysée en phase 3 de l'IPC ou plus
    Indicator · IND · %
    People in IPC or Cadre Harmonise Phase 3 to 5 as a percentage of the population covered by the analysis.
  2. Population en phase 3 de l'IPC ou plus
    Indicator · IND · persons
    Number of people classified in Crisis, Emergency or Catastrophe/Famine (IPC or Cadre Harmonise Phase 3 to 5) in the most recent current-period analysis.
  3. Présence de population en phase 5 de l'IPC
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the most recent current or projected analysis classifies any population or area in Phase 5 (Catastrophe or Famine).
  4. Prévalence de la sous-alimentation
    Indicator · IND · %
    Estimated share of the population whose habitual dietary energy intake falls below the minimum needed for a healthy, active life, three-year average.
  5. Insécurité alimentaire modérée ou grave (FIES)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households where at least one adult reported experiences of moderate or severe food insecurity on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale, three-year average.
  6. Insécurité alimentaire grave (FIES)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households where at least one adult reported severe food insecurity, such as running out of food or going a day without eating, three-year average.
  7. Population n'ayant pas les moyens d'une alimentation saine
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population whose income, after setting aside a typical share for non-food needs, falls below the cost of a healthy diet.
  8. Indicateur des anomalies des prix alimentaires (IPC alimentaire)
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Weighted compound growth of the food consumer price index over quarterly and annual horizons, expressed in standard deviations from its historical mean; values of 1 or more are abnormally high.
  9. Mois de prix alimentaires anormalement élevés
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the latest twelve months in which the food price anomaly indicator was 1 or above.
  10. Inflation des prix alimentaires
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual percentage change in the food component of the consumer price index.
  11. Coût d'une alimentation saine
    Indicator · IND · USD
    Daily cost per person of the least expensive locally available foods that meet food-based dietary guidelines, in PPP dollars.
  12. Adéquation moyenne des apports énergétiques alimentaires
    Indicator · IND · %
    Dietary energy supply per person as a percentage of the average dietary energy requirement, three-year average.
  13. Variabilité des disponibilités alimentaires par habitant
    Indicator · IND · kcal per day per person
    Year-to-year variability of dietary energy supply per person, in kilocalories per person per day.
  14. Taux de dépendance aux importations de céréales
    Indicator · IND · %
    Net cereal imports as a percentage of domestic cereal supply (production plus imports minus exports), three-year average; negative values mark net exporters.
  15. Facture des importations alimentaires, part des exportations de marchandises
    Indicator · IND · %
    Value of food imports as a percentage of total merchandise export earnings, three-year average.
  16. Valeur ajoutée de l'agriculture, de la sylviculture et de la pêche, part du PIB
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross value added of agriculture, forestry and fishing (ISIC divisions 01–03) as a percentage of GDP.
  17. Emploi dans l'agriculture, part de l'emploi total
    Indicator · IND · %
    People employed in agriculture, forestry and fishing as a percentage of total employment (ILO modelled estimate).
  18. Rendement céréalier
    Indicator · IND · kg/ha
    Harvested production of cereals for dry grain per hectare of harvested land.
  19. Variabilité du rendement céréalier (15 ans)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Coefficient of variation of linearly detrended national cereal yield over the latest fifteen years with data.
  20. Prélèvements d'eau agricoles, part du total
    Indicator · IND · %
    Freshwater withdrawn for irrigation, livestock and aquaculture as a percentage of total freshwater withdrawal.
  21. Acute food insecurity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 33.3%
    Composite of the share of analysed population in IPC Phase 3 or above, the absolute Phase 3+ caseload and the presence of Phase 5.
  22. Chronic food insecurity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 25.0%
    Composite of undernourishment, moderate-or-severe and severe food insecurity and the share unable to afford a healthy diet.
  23. Food price stress sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 16.7%
    Composite of the food price anomaly indicator, persistence of abnormal prices, food CPI inflation and the cost of a healthy diet.
  24. Food supply fragility sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 16.7%
    Composite of dietary energy supply adequacy (higher is safer), supply variability, cereal import dependency and the food import bill relative to exports.
  25. Agricultural dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 8.3%
    Composite of agriculture’s share of GDP and employment, cereal yield (higher is safer), yield variability and agriculture’s share of water withdrawal.
  26. Indice de risque d'insécurité alimentaire
    Domain index · IDX · Mazziotta–Pareto
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.
  27. Vulnérabilité humaine et des systèmes
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  28. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Non exécutéEn coursTerminé
FIG 2. 20 indicators, 5 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate food insecurity risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
25
1
–
s’exécute dans votre navigateur
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Méthode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
expert
Aggregation
Mazziotta–Pareto
Scale
0 to 10
Incertitude
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
IPC Technical Manual 3.1 (2021) contributing factors; FAO SOFI; FSIN Global Report on Food Crises (structure only); JRC COIN 10-step guide
Très faible0,0 à < 2,0
Faible2,0 à < 3,5
Moyen3,5 à < 5,0
Élevé5,0 à < 6,5
Très élevé6.5 à 10.0
04Composantes

5 components, 20 indicators

Acute food insecurity sub-index w 2

Composite of the share of analysed population in IPC Phase 3 or above, the absolute Phase 3+ caseload and the presence of Phase 5.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Part de la population analysée en phase 3 de l'IPC ou plusIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_share%Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, derived:nis:IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population50.0%
Population en phase 3 de l'IPC ou plusIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population{persons}Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, fsin-grfc25.0%
Présence de population en phase 5 de l'IPCIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presence{bool}Class Bipc-api, cadre-harmonise, ipc-famine-review-committee25.0%

Chronic food insecurity sub-index w 1.5

Composite of undernourishment, moderate-or-severe and severe food insecurity and the share unable to afford a healthy diet.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Prévalence de la sous-alimentationIND.FOO.availability.undernourishment%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-sofi, wb-wdi25.0%
Insécurité alimentaire modérée ou grave (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severe%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-fies, wb-wdi25.0%
Insécurité alimentaire grave (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severe%Class Cfao-faostat-fs, fao-fies, wb-wdi25.0%
Population n'ayant pas les moyens d'une alimentation saineIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable%Class Cwb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-sofi25.0%

Food price stress sub-index w 1

Composite of the food price anomaly indicator, persistence of abnormal prices, food CPI inflation and the cost of a healthy diet.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Indicateur des anomalies des prix alimentaires (IPC alimentaire)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly1Class Bfao-giews-fpma, fao-faostat-cpi25.0%
Mois de prix alimentaires anormalement élevésIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_months%Class Dderived:nis:IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly25.0%
Inflation des prix alimentairesIND.MAC.prices.food_inflation%Class Bfao-faostat-cpi, national-cpi25.0%
Coût d'une alimentation saineIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost[USD]Class Cwb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-sofi25.0%

Food supply fragility sub-index w 1

Composite of dietary energy supply adequacy (higher is safer), supply variability, cereal import dependency and the food import bill relative to exports.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Adéquation moyenne des apports énergétiques alimentairesIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacy%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
Variabilité des disponibilités alimentaires par habitantIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variabilitykcal/d/{person}Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
Taux de dépendance aux importations de céréalesIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%
Facture des importations alimentaires, part des exportations de marchandisesIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports%Class Bfao-faostat-fs25.0%

Agricultural dependence sub-index w 0.5

Composite of agriculture’s share of GDP and employment, cereal yield (higher is safer), yield variability and agriculture’s share of water withdrawal.

IndicateurUnitéÉléments probantsSourcesPart
Valeur ajoutée de l'agriculture, de la sylviculture et de la pêche, part du PIBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp%Class Awb-wdi, un-national-accounts22.2%
Emploi dans l'agriculture, part de l'emploi totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share%Class Cilo-ilostat, wb-wdi22.2%
Rendement céréalierIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yieldkg/harClass Bfao-faostat-qcl, wb-wdi22.2%
Variabilité du rendement céréalier (15 ans)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability%Class Dderived:nis:IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield, fao-faostat-qcl22.2%
Prélèvements d'eau agricoles, part du totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawal%Class Bfao-aquastat, wb-wdi11.1%
05Domaine

Systèmes alimentaires

Food availability, access, utilisation, stability and acute food insecurity.

Sub-domainIndicateurs
Availability5
Access and affordability4
Acute food insecurity4
Food prices3
Agricultural production and dependence7

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): FAO SOFI (PoU, FIES); IPC Technical Manual 3.1; SDG 2.

06Indicateurs

All 23 food systems indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FOO · 23
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndicateurDomaineSub-domainComposantUnitéNiveauxCrosswalks
Prévalence de la sous-alimentationIND.FOO.availability.undernourishmentFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210041 SDG 2.1.1 WB_WDI SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS
Nombre de personnes sous-alimentéesIND.FOO.availability.people_undernourishedFOOAvailabilityvulnerability{persons}COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210011
Adéquation moyenne des apports énergétiques alimentairesIND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacyFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21010
Variabilité des disponibilités alimentaires par habitantIND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variabilityFOOAvailabilityvulnerabilitykcal/d/{person}COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21031
Taux de dépendance aux importations de céréalesIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependencyFOOAvailabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21035
Insécurité alimentaire modérée ou grave (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severeFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210091 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.MSFI.ZS
Insécurité alimentaire grave (FIES)IND.FOO.access.fies_severeFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 210401 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.SVFI.ZS
Coût d'une alimentation saineIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_costFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability[USD]COUNTRYWB_WDI CoHD_PPP
Population n'ayant pas les moyens d'une alimentation saineIND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordableFOOAccess and affordabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI CoHD_headcount
Population en phase 3 de l'IPC ou plusIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_populationFOOAcute food insecurityimpact{persons}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 3+
Part de la population analysée en phase 3 de l'IPC ou plusIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_shareFOOAcute food insecurityimpact%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 3+
Phase 3 de l'IPC ou plus, part de la population totaleIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population_share_totalFOOAcute food insecurityimpact%COUNTRY
Présence de population en phase 5 de l'IPCIND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presenceFOOAcute food insecurityimpact{bool}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2IPC Phase 5
Indicateur des anomalies des prix alimentaires (IPC alimentaire)IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomalyFOOFood priceshazard1COUNTRYSDG 2.c.1
Mois de prix alimentaires anormalement élevésIND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_monthsFOOFood priceshazard%COUNTRY
Facture des importations alimentaires, part des exportations de marchandisesIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exportsFOOFood pricesvulnerability%COUNTRYFAO_FAOSTAT 21033
Valeur ajoutée de l'agriculture, de la sylviculture et de la pêche, part du PIBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdpFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Emploi dans l'agriculture, part de l'emploi totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_shareFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Rendement céréalierIND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yieldFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerabilitykg/harCOUNTRYWB_WDI AG.YLD.CREL.KG
Variabilité du rendement céréalier (15 ans)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variabilityFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRY
Prélèvements d'eau agricoles, part du totalIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawalFOOAgricultural production and dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS
Terres cultivées, part de la superficie terrestreIND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.shareFOOAgricultural production and dependenceexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRIDWB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS
Indice de santé de la végétation sur les terres cultivéesIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_indexFOOAgricultural production and dependencehazard{score}COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
07Cotation

Food insecurity risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FOO · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Food insecurity risk index, world
–
Les valeurs sont publiées avec l'édition ; l'intervalle, la classe et la variation apparaissent ici.
Édition précédente
–
Range since 2016
–
Composite couplé
–
Score de couplage S
–
Pulse, dernière semaine
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Méthode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Tirages
1,000
Food insecurity risk index, world, by edition

Aucune valeur publiée pour l'instant. La première édition trace ici l'historique avec sa bande d'intervalle et les bornes de classe.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Aucune évolution pour l'instant. Les changements depuis l'édition précédente seront listés ici à partir de la deuxième édition, avec les indicateurs qui les ont déterminés.
08Valeurs

Country values

FIG 5 · Food insecurity risk index: countries (values when released)
Chargement de la carte
AndorreAntigua-et-BarbudaBahreïnBarbadeComoresCabo VerdeDominiqueMicronésie (États fédérés de)GrenadeKiribatiSaint-Kitts-et-NevisSainte-LucieLiechtensteinMonacoMaldivesÎles MarshallMalteMauriceNauruPalaosSingapourSaint-MarinSao Tomé-et-PrincipeSeychellesTongaTuvaluSaint-SiègeSaint-Vincent-et-les GrenadinesSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Tuiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/foo/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Clé d'observation
nis:IDX.FOO.acute.food_insecurity_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI9
FAO_FAOSTAT8
SDG4
IPC3
11Dans le Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Citer

Citer et réutiliser

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Food insecurity risk index (GRX-IDX-FOO), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/food-insecurity-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000123.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.