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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · Global sector series

Kebijakan dan lembaga Global

Kelemahan tata kelola, kapasitas negara, supremasi hukum, kerangka kesiapsiagaan, dan kemampuan kelembagaan untuk mengantisipasi dan beradaptasi.

Konstruksi Indikator
Page GRX-SER-GS-14Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports GS-14 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

1

Kelemahan tata kelola

Indikator

95

3 index domains

Hazard families

14

Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi

Metode

36

Policy, regulation and governance · Vulnerability, fragility and resilience.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
indeks ranah
95
indicators in scope
1
ranah bahaya
5
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.

  1. Where does weak governance turn hazard into disaster?
  2. Which preparedness frameworks exist only on paper?
  3. How do institutions perform in real events?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Global Policy and institutions index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Kelemahan tata kelola

    Domain index · IDX · GOV
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  2. Global Policy and institutions index

    Series index · SERIES · GS-14
    Kelemahan tata kelola, kapasitas negara, supremasi hukum, kerangka kesiapsiagaan, dan kemampuan kelembagaan untuk mengantisipasi dan beradaptasi.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Global Policy and institutions index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Kelemahan tata kelolaNXS-GRX · GOV – – – – –

Domains read: Governance and institutions, Coping capacity and resilience, Conflict and security.

04Indikator

95 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
GOV · 20CON · 19CRS · 18
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Perkiraan biaya fiskal tahunan akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp FIS Kewajiban kontinjensi vulnerability % COUNTRY
Skor indikator komposit LIC-DSF (terbitan, rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Kepemilikan rekening, orang dewasaIND.FIN.depth.account_ownership FIN Financial depth and inclusion kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2
Penetrasi asuransi (premi terhadap PDB)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration FIN Non-bank financial intermediation kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10
Kesenjangan perlindungan bencana alamIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap FIN Non-bank financial intermediation vulnerability % REGION, COUNTRY
Perdagangan laut yang terpapar titik sempit maritimIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Rencana adaptasi nasional telah diserahkanIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {bool} COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Kesiapan ekonomi untuk investasi adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Kesiapan tata kelola untuk adaptasiIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Pendanaan adaptasi internasional yang diterima per kapitaIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc CLI Adaptation readiness kapasitas adaptif [USD] COUNTRY
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan multibahaya, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Kerugian maksimum yang mungkin pada periode ulang 250 tahun, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Standar desain perlindungan banjirIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood kapasitas penanggulangan a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Korban meninggal dan hilang akibat bencana per 100,000IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1
Penduduk yang terdampak langsung oleh bencana per 100,000IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1
Kerugian ekonomi langsung akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp HAZ Losses and impacts impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2
Rasio ketergantungan pada air terbarukan dari luarIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Luas DAS lintas batas dengan kerja sama operasionalIND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share WAT Transboundary dependence kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SDG 6.5.2
Layanan kritis yang bergantung pada satelit tanpa cadangan, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Waktu tempuh ke fasilitas kesehatan terdekatIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Kapasitas manajemen kedaruratan kesehatan IHR (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1
Kursi yang diduduki perempuan di parlemen nasionalIND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
Penduduk yang tercakup setidaknya satu manfaat perlindungan sosialIND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage SOC Perlindungan sosial kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot
Pemuda yang tidak bekerja, tidak bersekolah, atau tidak mengikuti pelatihanIND.SOC.protection.youth_neet SOC Perlindungan sosial vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT
Pengungsi menurut negara asalIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
Pengungsi menurut negara asal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY SDG 10.7.4
Pengungsi internal, konflik dan kekerasan (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
Pengungsi internal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Pengungsian internal baru, konflik dan kekerasanIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
Pengungsian internal baru, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Korban jiwa yang dilaporkan akibat kekerasan politik terorganisasiIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED fatalities
Korban jiwa konflik per 100,000 pendudukIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 SDG 16.1.2
Kematian terkait pertempuran (UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths CON Organised violence hazard {persons} COUNTRY WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH
Peristiwa kekerasan politikIND.CON.violence.political_violence_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Political violence
Peristiwa konflik bersenjataIND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence
Sebaran geografis konflikIND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion CON Organised violence keterpaparan % COUNTRY ACLED Diffusion
Fragmentasi aktor bersenjataIND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY ACLED Fragmentation
Angka pembunuhan disengajaIND.CON.violence.homicide_rate CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1
Belanja militer, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
Personel angkatan bersenjata, porsi terhadap angkatan kerjaIND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS
Peristiwa yang menyasar warga sipilIND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events CON Civilian harm hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians
Korban jiwa warga sipil akibat kekerasan yang menyasar, per 100,000 pendudukIND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k CON Civilian harm impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 ACLED Danger
Serangan terhadap layanan kesehatanIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care CON Civilian harm impact 1 COUNTRY
Korban ranjau darat dan sisa bahan peledak perangIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties CON Civilian harm impact {persons} COUNTRY
Kerusuhan dan demonstrasi dengan kekerasanIND.CON.peace.riot_events CON Peacefulness hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ACLED Riots
Skor keseluruhan Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score CON Peacefulness vulnerability {score} COUNTRY GPI Overall Score
Skor domain konflik berlangsung Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict CON Peacefulness hazard {score} COUNTRY GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict
Klasifikasi OECD States of FragilityIND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class CON Fragility vulnerability {class} COUNTRY OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts
Status situasi rapuh dan terdampak konflik menurut Bank DuniaIND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status CON Fragility vulnerability {bool} COUNTRY
Suara dan akuntabilitas (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Efektivitas pemerintah (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Pengendalian korupsi (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Indeks Persepsi Korupsi (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Skor kebebasan pers (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Supremasi hukum (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law GOV Rule of law kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Hak milik dan tata kelola berbasis aturan (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights GOV Rule of law kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Tahanan yang belum divonis, porsi terhadap populasi penjaraIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.3.2
Insidensi suap di kalangan perusahaanIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Kualitas regulasi (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
Peringkat keseluruhan CPIA (indeks alokasi sumber daya IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA manajemen sektor publik dan lembagaIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA transparansi, akuntabilitas, dan korupsi di sektor publikIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
Skor keseluruhan Statistical Performance Indicators (indikator kinerja statistik)IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Kelengkapan pencatatan kelahiranIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Tahun sejak sensus penduduk terakhirIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
Skor lingkungan usaha (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Penduduk perdesaan dalam jarak 2 km dari jalan segala musimIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
Penduduk yang tercakup jaringan seluler, menurut teknologiIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
Fasilitas kritis dengan daya cadangan 72 jamIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Fasilitas vital di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Pilar langkah hukum ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Pilar langkah organisasi ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
Undang-undang pelindungan data dan privasi yang berlakuIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Perkembangan e-governmentIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence keterpaparan {score} COUNTRY
Strategi PRB nasional yang selaras dengan Kerangka Kerja Sendai untuk Pengurangan Risiko Bencana 2015-2030IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy CRS DRR strategy kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Pemerintah daerah dengan strategi PRB yang selaras dengan strategi nasionalIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies CRS DRR strategy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Skor sistem peringatan dini multibahayaIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score CRS Peringatan dini kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SENDAI G-1
Sistem pemantauan dan prakiraan multibahayaIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting CRS Peringatan dini kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SENDAI G-2
Penduduk yang terjangkau informasi peringatan diniIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage CRS Peringatan dini kapasitas penanggulangan /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI G-3
Pemerintah daerah dengan rencana tindak atas peringatan diniIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans CRS Peringatan dini kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI G-4
Informasi dan kajian risiko bencana yang dapat diaksesIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access CRS Peringatan dini kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SENDAI G-5
Penduduk terpapar yang dilindungi melalui evakuasi diniIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation CRS Peringatan dini kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI G-6
Strategi pembiayaan risiko bencana telah diadopsiIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY
Partisipasi dalam pool risiko regional negaraIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY
Kredit kontinjensi bencana yang disiapkan sebelumnya, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY
Batas transfer risiko katastrofe negara, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY
Kesenjangan perlindungan asuransi bencana alamIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap CRS Risk financing and protection gap vulnerability % COUNTRY
Premi asuransi umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY
Penduduk dalam jangkauan 15 menit dari layanan daruratIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Tim pencarian dan pertolongan perkotaan berklasifikasi INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY
Dukungan resmi internasional untuk PRB yang diterima, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SENDAI F-1
Kesiapan perlindungan sosial adaptif guncanganIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
Masyarakat130HAZARDS
1 hazard domains (inner ring) and 14 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
Organised and collective violence Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … 15
Governance and institutional failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … 18
Financial-system fragility Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … 12
Labour and technology transition Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … 12
Cultural heritage loss Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
06Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

17 methods

Kebijakan, regulasi, dan tata kelola

Scenario Counterfactual · Regulatory Change Risk · Policy Uncertainty · Policy Effectiveness · Implementation Gap · Regulatory Exposure · Compliance Obligation Mapping …

19 methods

Kerentanan, kerapuhan, dan ketahanan

Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening · Fragility Curve · Vulnerability Curve · Multi-State Damage · Component Fragility · Structural Vulnerability · Infrastructure Fragility …

07Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

Masyarakat sipil dan LSM

Target programmes. Use open profiles. Contribute local evidence.

Universities and research

Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.

08Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
GS-14
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Named by Nexus Reports

Edisi Nexus Reports

09Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Global Policy and institutions series (GRX-SER-GS-14), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/gs-14/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000072.
Series key
grix:SER.GS-14:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.