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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · Global sector series

Siyaset û sazîyên gerdûnî

Lawaziya rêveberiyê, kapasîteya dewletê, serweriya qanûnê, çarçoveyên amadekariyê û şiyana saziyî ya pêşdîtin û lihevhatinê.

Construction Indicators
Page GRX-SER-GS-14Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports GS-14 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Îndeksên waran

1

Governance weakness

Nîşander

95

3 index domains

Hazard families

14

Civak, nakokî û aborî

Rêbaz

36

Policy, regulation and governance · Vulnerability, fragility and resilience.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
domain indices
95
indicators in scope
1
hazard domains
5
client groups

01Çarçove

Scope and questions

The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.

  1. Where does weak governance turn hazard into disaster?
  2. Which preparedness frameworks exist only on paper?
  3. How do institutions perform in real events?
02Construction

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Global Policy and institutions index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafîk
01Îndeksên waran
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Lîste
  1. Governance weakness

    Domain index · IDX · GOV
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  2. Global Policy and institutions index

    Series index · SERIES · GS-14
    Lawaziya rêveberiyê, kapasîteya dewletê, serweriya qanûnê, çarçoveyên amadekariyê û şiyana saziyî ya pêşdîtin û lihevhatinê.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Not runDi pêvajoyê deQediya
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Îndeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Global Policy and institutions index, world
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Navnîşan Nirx Guhertin Guhertin % 90% interval Class · probability Meyl Navber
Governance weaknessNXS-GRX · GOV – – – – –

Domains read: Governance and institutions, Coping capacity and resilience, Conflict and security.

04Nîşander

95 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
GOV · 20CON · 19CRS · 18
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Nîşander Qad Sub-domain Component Yekîne Ast Crosswalks
Lêçûna darayî ya salane ya hêvîkirî ya karesatan, para GDPIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp FIS Contingent liabilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
Puana nîşanderê hevedudanî ya LIC-DSF (weşandî, referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
Xwedîtiya hesabê, mezinIND.FIN.depth.account_ownership FIN Financial depth and inclusion coping capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2
Belavbûna sîgortayê (prîm li hember GDP)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration FIN Non-bank financial intermediation coping capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10
Valahiya parastinê ya karesatên xwezayîIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap FIN Non-bank financial intermediation vulnerability % REGION, COUNTRY
Bazirganiya deryayî ya li ber tengavên deryayîIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure exposure % COUNTRY
Plana neteweyî ya lihevhatinê hatiye şandinIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted CLI Adaptation readiness adaptive capacity {bool} COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Amadebûna aborî ji bo veberhênana lihevhatinêIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness adaptive capacity {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Amadebûna rêveberiyê ji bo lihevhatinêIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness adaptive capacity {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Darayiya navneteweyî ya lihevhatinê ya wergirtî ji bo her kesîIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc CLI Adaptation readiness adaptive capacity [USD] COUNTRY
Windabûna salane ya navîn a pirmetirsî, para GDPIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Windabûna herî zêde ya muhtemel di heyama vegerê ya 250 salî de, para GDPIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Standarda sêwirandina parastina ji lehiyêIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood coping capacity a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Mirin û kesên winda yên ji karesatan ji her 100,000 kesîIND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1
Kesên rasterast ji karesatan bandor bûyî ji her 100,000 kesîIND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1
Windabûna aborî ya rasterast ji karesatan, para GDPIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp HAZ Losses and impacts impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2
Rêjeya girêdayîbûnê bi ava nûbûyî ya derveIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence exposure % COUNTRY
Rûerda hewzên sînorbirr bi hevkariya çalakIND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share WAT Transboundary dependence coping capacity % COUNTRY SDG 6.5.2
Xizmetên girîng ên bê paşgir bi satelaytan ve girêdayî, paraIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Dema rêwîtiyê heta saziya tenduristiyê ya herî nêzîkIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Kapasîteya birêvebirina awarteyên tenduristiyê ya IHR (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management HLT Health security (IHR) coping capacity {score} COUNTRY SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1
Kursiyên jinan di parlamentoya neteweyî deIND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender adaptive capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
Nifûsa ku herî kêm bi yek alîkariya parastina civakî tê pêgirtinIND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage SOC Social protection coping capacity % COUNTRY SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot
Ciwanên ne di kar, xwendin an perwerdeyê deIND.SOC.protection.youth_neet SOC Social protection vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT
Penaber li gorî welatê eslêIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
Penaber li gorî welatê eslê, ji her 100,000 kesîIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY SDG 10.7.4
Koçberên navxweyî, pevçûn û tundî (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
Koçberên navxweyî, ji her 100,000 kesîIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Koçberiyên navxweyî yên nû, pevçûn û tundîIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
Koçberiyên navxweyî yên nû, ji her 100,000 kesîIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Kuştiyên ragihandî ji tundiya siyasî ya rêxistinkirîIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED fatalities
Kuştiyên pevçûnê ji her 100,000 kesîIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 SDG 16.1.2
Mirinên girêdayî şeran (UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths CON Organised violence hazard {persons} COUNTRY WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH
Bûyerên tundiya siyasîIND.CON.violence.political_violence_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Political violence
Bûyerên pevçûna çekdarîIND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence
Belavbûna erdnîgarî ya pevçûnêIND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion CON Organised violence exposure % COUNTRY ACLED Diffusion
Perçebûna aktorên çekdarIND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY ACLED Fragmentation
Rêjeya kuştina bi qestîIND.CON.violence.homicide_rate CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1
Lêçûnên leşkerî, para GDPIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
Personelên hêzên çekdar, para hêza karIND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS
Bûyerên ku sivîlan dikin armancIND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events CON Civilian harm hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians
Kuştiyên sivîl ji tundiya armanckirî, ji her 100,000 kesîIND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k CON Civilian harm impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 ACLED Danger
Êrişên li ser lênêrîna tenduristiyêIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care CON Civilian harm impact 1 COUNTRY
Qurbaniyên mayînan û bermahiyên teqemenî yên şerIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties CON Civilian harm impact {persons} COUNTRY
Serhildan û xwepêşandanên tundûtûjîIND.CON.peace.riot_events CON Peacefulness hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ACLED Riots
Puana giştî ya Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score CON Peacefulness vulnerability {score} COUNTRY GPI Overall Score
Puana qada pevçûnên berdewam a Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict CON Peacefulness hazard {score} COUNTRY GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict
Senifandina OECD States of FragilityIND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class CON Fragility vulnerability {class} COUNTRY OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts
Rewşa World Bank ya lawaz û ji pevçûnê bandorbûyîIND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status CON Fragility vulnerability {bool} COUNTRY
Deng û berpirsiyarî (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Aramiya siyasî û nebûna tundiyê (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Bandorkariya hikûmetê (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Kontrolkirina gendeliyê (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Îndeksa Têgihîştina Gendeliyê (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
Puana azadiya çapemeniyê (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
Serweriya qanûnê (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law GOV Rule of law coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Mafên milkiyetê û rêveberiya li ser bingeha qaîdeyan (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights GOV Rule of law coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Girtiyên bê biryara dadgehê, para nifûsa girtîgehanIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.3.2
Belavbûna bertîlê di nav pargîdaniyan deIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Kalîteya rêziknameyan (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
Nirxandina giştî ya CPIA (îndeksa dabeşkirina çavkaniyên IDA)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA birêvebirina sektora giştî û sazîIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA şefafî, berpirsiyarî û gendelî di sektora giştî deIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Kêrhatîbûna komkirina dahatê (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Dûrketina pêkanîna budceyê ji budceya pejirandîIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
Puana giştî ya Statistical Performance IndicatorsIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall GOV Statistical capacity coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Temambûna tomarkirina zayînêIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity coping capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Sal ji serjimêriya nifûsê ya dawî veIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
Puana jîngeha karsaziyê (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
Nifûsa gundî ya di nav 2 km ji rêyeke çar demsalan deIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Transport coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
Nifûsa ku tora mobîl pê digire, li gorî teknolojiyêIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
Saziyên girîng bi hêza paşgir a 72 saetîIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Saziyên xetên jiyanê li herêmên bi metirsiya bilind, paraIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Stûna tedbîrên qanûnî ya ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Stûna tedbîrên rêxistinî ya ITU GCIIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
Qanûnên parastina daneyan û nepeniyê di meriyetê deIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Pêşketina hikûmeta elektronîkIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence exposure {score} COUNTRY
Stratejiya neteweyî ya DRR li gorî Sendai FrameworkIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy CRS DRR strategy coping capacity {score} COUNTRY SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Hikûmetên herêmî yên bi stratejiyên DRR li gorî stratejiya neteweyîIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies CRS DRR strategy coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Puana pergala hişyariya zû ya pirmetirsîIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score CRS Hişyariya zû coping capacity {score} COUNTRY SENDAI G-1
Pergalên çavdêrî û pêşbînkirinê yên pirmetirsîIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting CRS Hişyariya zû coping capacity {score} COUNTRY SENDAI G-2
Kesên ku agahiyên hişyariya zû digihîjin wanIND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage CRS Hişyariya zû coping capacity /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI G-3
Hikûmetên herêmî yên bi planeke ji bo tevgerîna li ser hişyariyên zûIND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans CRS Hişyariya zû coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI G-4
Agahî û nirxandina xetera karesatan a gihîştbarIND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access CRS Hişyariya zû coping capacity {score} COUNTRY SENDAI G-5
Nifûsa rûbirûbûyî ya bi valakirina pêşwext hatî parastinIND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation CRS Hişyariya zû coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI G-6
Stratejiya darayîkirina xetera karesatan hatiye pejirandinIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy CRS Risk financing and protection gap coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY
Beşdarî di hewzeke xetereyê ya herêmî ya serwerî deIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership CRS Risk financing and protection gap coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY
Krediya karesatê ya şertî ya pêşwext amadekirî, para GDPIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp CRS Risk financing and protection gap coping capacity % COUNTRY
Sînorê veguhestina xetera felaketê ya serwerî, para GDPIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp CRS Risk financing and protection gap coping capacity % COUNTRY
Valahiya parastina sîgortayê ya karesatên xwezayîIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap CRS Risk financing and protection gap vulnerability % COUNTRY
Prîmên sîgortaya ne-jiyanê, para GDPIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration CRS Risk financing and protection gap coping capacity % COUNTRY
Nifûsa di nav 15 deqeyan ji xizmetên awarte deIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Tîma lêgerîn û rizgarkirinê ya bajarî ya bi senifandina INSARAGIND.CRS.response.usar_classification CRS Response capacity coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY
Piştgiriya fermî ya navneteweyî ji bo DRR ya wergirtî, para GDPIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp CRS Response capacity coping capacity % COUNTRY SENDAI F-1
Amadebûna parastina civakî ya bersivdêrî şokanIND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection CRS Response capacity coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
05Metirsî

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
Civak130HAZARDS
1 hazard domains (inner ring) and 14 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Malbat Qad Metirsî Count
Organised and collective violence Civak, nakokî û aborî Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Civak, nakokî û aborî Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Civak, nakokî û aborî Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Civak, nakokî û aborî Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Civak, nakokî û aborî Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Civak, nakokî û aborî Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … 15
Governance and institutional failure Civak, nakokî û aborî Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … 18
Financial-system fragility Civak, nakokî û aborî Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Civak, nakokî û aborî Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … 12
Labour and technology transition Civak, nakokî û aborî Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Civak, nakokî û aborî Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Civak, nakokî û aborî Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Civak, nakokî û aborî Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … 12
Cultural heritage loss Civak, nakokî û aborî Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
06Rêbaz

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

17 methods

Siyaset, rêkxistin û rêveberî

Scenario Counterfactual · Regulatory Change Risk · Policy Uncertainty · Policy Effectiveness · Implementation Gap · Regulatory Exposure · Compliance Obligation Mapping …

19 methods

Lawazî, nazikî û berxwedan

Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening · Fragility Curve · Vulnerability Curve · Multi-State Damage · Component Fragility · Structural Vulnerability · Infrastructure Fragility …

07Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

Civil society and NGOs

Target programmes. Use open profiles. Contribute local evidence.

Universities and research

Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.

08Rapor

Nexus Reports

Edition code
GS-14
Edition status
plankirî
Mijar
Named by Nexus Reports

Nexus Reports

09Jêgirtin

Jêgirtin û ji nû ve bikaranîn

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Global Policy and institutions series (GRX-SER-GS-14), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/gs-14/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000072.
Series key
grix:SER.GS-14:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profîlên welatan Hemû rêze

Rewş

Rêbaz, avahî û pênaseyên The Global Risks Index pêşnivîseke xebatê ya amadekar in (2026), ji bo nirxandin û şîroveyê tên belavkirin, ne ji bo bicîhanînê. Heta ku çapek ji birrîneke delîlan a birêvebirî neyê weşandin, tu nirx xuya nabe; piştre nirx navber, çîn, çavkanî û rêya xwe ya rastkirinê bi xwe re tînin. Simulator rêbazên weşandî li ser hejmarên ku tu hildibijêrî dixebitînin û qet nirxeke NXS-GRX nîşan nadin.

NXS-GRX çi nîne

NXS-GRX agahiya lêkolîn û analîza xetereyê ye. Ew ne nirxandina krediyê an ESG ye û tu pîvaneke pileyan bi kar nayîne, ne pîvana referansê ya amûrên darayî ye, ne statîstîkên fermî ye, ne hişyariya awarte an dabeşkirina fermî ye, û ne şîret e. Divê ji bo nirxandina kesên xwezayî neyê bikaranîn. Çînên xetereyê bendên li ser pîvaneke weşandî ne, qet ne rêzkirina welatan an mirovan in.

Sazî û çavkanî

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her nirx navê çavkaniyên xwe bi xwe re tîne, ku lîsansên xwe diparêzin. Navên derveyî tenê ji bo hevxebitînê tên gotin. Nivîsên ku Nexus nivîsandine dema weşanê ji bo CC BY 4.0 tên armanckirin.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.