The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · Global sector series
全球政策与机构
治理薄弱、国家能力、法治、防范框架，以及机构预见和适应的能力。
Page GRX-SER-GS-14Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports GS-14 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
领域指数
1
治理薄弱
指标
95
3 index domains
Hazard families
14
社会、冲突与经济
方法
36
Policy, regulation and governance · Vulnerability, fragility and resilience.
1
领域指数
95
indicators in scope
1
危害领域
5
client groups
01范围
Scope and questions
The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.
- Where does weak governance turn hazard into disaster?
- Which preparedness frameworks exist only on paper?
- How do institutions perform in real events?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Global Policy and institutions index is built
Graph5 nodes
流程图
01领域指数
02Series index
03Readings
100%
索引
-
治理薄弱Domain index · IDX · GOVWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
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Global Policy and institutions indexSeries index · SERIES · GS-14治理薄弱、国家能力、法治、防范框架，以及机构预见和适应的能力。
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Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
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Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
未运行进行中已完成
03指数
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Global Policy and institutions index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
| 指数 | 数值 | 变化 | 变化 % | 90% 区间 | 类别 · 概率 | 趋势 | 范围 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
治理薄弱NXS-GRX · GOV |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Governance and institutions, Coping capacity and resilience, Conflict and security.
04指标
95 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指标 | 领域 | Sub-domain | 组件 | 单位 | 级别 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
灾害预期年度财政成本，占 GDP 比重IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 综合指标得分（已发布，参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
成年人账户拥有率IND.FIN.depth.account_ownership |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2 |
保险深度（保费与 GDP 之比）IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10 |
自然巨灾保障缺口IND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | vulnerability | % |
REGION, COUNTRY | |
受海上咽喉要道影响的海运贸易IND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
已提交国家适应计划IND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | SDG 13.2.1 |
适应投资的经济准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN economic |
适应的治理准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN governance |
人均获得的国际适应资金IND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | [USD] |
COUNTRY | |
多危害年均损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
250 年一遇可能最大损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
防洪设计标准IND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard |
HAZ | Flood | coping capacity | a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
每 100,000 人灾害死亡和失踪人数IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
每 100,000 人直接受灾害影响人数IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
灾害直接经济损失，占 GDP 比重IND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2 |
对外部可再生水的依赖率IND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
有运作中合作安排的跨界流域面积IND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.5.2 |
依赖卫星且无备份的关键服务占比IND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
前往最近卫生设施的出行时间IND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time |
HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | min |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
IHR 卫生应急管理能力（SPAR C7）IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1 |
国家议会中女性所占席位IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1 |
至少享有一项社会保护福利的人口IND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage |
SOC | Social protection | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot |
未就业、未受教育或培训的青年IND.SOC.protection.youth_neet |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT |
按原籍国统计的难民IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
按原籍国统计的难民，每 100,000 人IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
境内流离失所者，冲突和暴力（存量）IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
境内流离失所者，每 100,000 人IND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
新增境内流离失所，冲突和暴力IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
新增境内流离失所，每 100,000 人IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
有组织政治暴力造成的报告死亡人数IND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED fatalities |
每 100,000 人冲突死亡人数IND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | SDG 16.1.2 |
战斗相关死亡人数（UCDP）IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | {persons} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH |
政治暴力事件IND.CON.violence.political_violence_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Political violence |
武装冲突事件IND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence |
冲突的地理扩散IND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion |
CON | Organised violence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | ACLED Diffusion |
武装行为体的碎片化IND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY | ACLED Fragmentation |
故意杀人率IND.CON.violence.homicide_rate |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1 |
军事支出，占 GDP 比重IND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS |
武装部队人员，占劳动力比重IND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS |
针对平民的事件IND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events |
CON | Civilian harm | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians |
针对性暴力造成的平民死亡人数，每 100,000 人IND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | ACLED Danger |
针对医疗卫生的袭击IND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
地雷和战争遗留爆炸物造成的伤亡IND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | |
骚乱和暴力示威IND.CON.peace.riot_events |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ACLED Riots |
全球和平指数总得分（IEP）IND.CON.peace.gpi_score |
CON | Peacefulness | vulnerability | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Overall Score |
全球和平指数持续冲突领域得分（IEP）IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict |
OECD 脆弱国家分类IND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {class} |
COUNTRY | OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts |
世界银行脆弱和受冲突影响局势状态IND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
话语权和问责（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
政治稳定和无暴力（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.political_stability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
政府效能（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
腐败控制（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
清廉指数（透明国际）IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
新闻自由得分（RSF）IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
法治（WGI）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law |
GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
产权和基于规则的治理（CPIA）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights |
GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
未判决被拘留者，占在押人口比重IND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees |
GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
企业行贿发生率IND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms |
GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
监管质量（WGI）IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
CPIA 总体评级（IDA 资源分配指数）IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
CPIA 公共部门管理和机构IND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
CPIA 公共部门透明度、问责和腐败IND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
收入动员效率（CPIA）IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
预算执行与核定预算的偏差IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
统计绩效指标总得分IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
出生登记完整性IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
距上次人口普查的年数IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census |
GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
营商环境得分（B-READY）IND.GOV.business.bready_overall |
GOV | Business environment | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
距全天候道路 2 km 以内的农村人口IND.INF.transport.rural_road_access |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 9.1.1 |
移动网络覆盖人口，按技术划分IND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage |
INF | Digital connectivity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 9.c.1 |
具备 72 小时备用电源的关键设施IND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power |
INF | Utilities | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
位于高危害区的生命线设施占比IND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
ITU GCI 法律措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_legal |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Legal Measures |
ITU GCI 组织措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Organizational Measures |
数据保护和隐私立法已生效IND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Legal Measures |
电子政务发展IND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development |
CYB | Digital dependence | exposure | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
与《仙台框架》一致的国家减少灾害风险战略IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy |
CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
拥有与国家战略一致的减少灾害风险战略的地方政府IND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies |
CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
多危害早期预警系统得分IND.CRS.warning.mhews_score |
CRS | 预警 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI G-1 |
多危害监测和预报系统IND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting |
CRS | 预警 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI G-2 |
早期预警信息覆盖的人口IND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage |
CRS | 预警 | coping capacity | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-3 |
制定了根据早期预警采取行动计划的地方政府IND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans |
CRS | 预警 | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-4 |
可获取的灾害风险信息和评估IND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access |
CRS | 预警 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI G-5 |
通过预先疏散得到保护的暴露人口IND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation |
CRS | 预警 | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-6 |
已通过灾害风险融资战略IND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
参与主权区域风险池IND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
预先安排的灾害应急信贷，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
主权巨灾风险转移限额，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
自然巨灾保险保障缺口IND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
非寿险保费，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
15 分钟内可获得应急服务的人口IND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
经 INSARAG 分级的城市搜救队IND.CRS.response.usar_classification |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
获得的减少灾害风险国际官方支持，占 GDP 比重IND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
冲击响应型社会保护准备度IND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY |
05危害
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| 类别 | 领域 | 危害 | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Organised and collective violence | 社会、冲突与经济 | Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence | 5 |
| Conflict-induced harm | 社会、冲突与经济 | Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial | 4 |
| Humanitarian crises | 社会、冲突与经济 | Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption | 6 |
| Crowd and collective behaviour | 社会、冲突与经济 | Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster | 3 |
| Economic shocks and governance failure | 社会、冲突与经济 | Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty | 8 |
| Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons | 社会、冲突与经济 | Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … | 15 |
| Governance and institutional failure | 社会、冲突与经济 | Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … | 18 |
| Financial-system fragility | 社会、冲突与经济 | Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … | 12 |
| Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks | 社会、冲突与经济 | Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … | 12 |
| Labour and technology transition | 社会、冲突与经济 | Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock | 7 |
| Population structure and movement | 社会、冲突与经济 | Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … | 12 |
| Social cohesion and atrocity risk | 社会、冲突与经济 | Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … | 9 |
| Organised crime and illicit economies | 社会、冲突与经济 | Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … | 12 |
| Cultural heritage loss | 社会、冲突与经济 | Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation | 7 |
06方法
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
17 methods
政策、监管与治理
Scenario Counterfactual · Regulatory Change Risk · Policy Uncertainty · Policy Effectiveness · Implementation Gap · Regulatory Exposure · Compliance Obligation Mapping …
19 methods
脆弱性、脆弱状态与韧性
Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening · Fragility Curve · Vulnerability Curve · Multi-State Damage · Component Fragility · Structural Vulnerability · Infrastructure Fragility …
07Users
Who uses it
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
International financial institutions and development banks
Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.
UN system and humanitarian organisations
Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.
公民社会和非政府组织
Target programmes. Use open profiles. Contribute local evidence.
Universities and research
Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.
09引用
引用与再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Global Policy and institutions series (GRX-SER-GS-14), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/gs-14/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000072.
- Series key
grix:SER.GS-14:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.