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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CYB · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

网络风险指数

Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-CYBEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

equal weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

不确定性

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

结构

3 components

12 leaf indicators

覆盖范围

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 40%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
12
leaf indicators
3
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
15
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Combines hazard, exposure and capability in the INFORM pattern so that a highly digital, well-defended economy and a lightly digital, undefended one are not confused.

computation
How Cyber risk is computed
Graph18 nodes
流程图
01指标
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04支柱
05综合
100%
索引
  1. 每百万人重大网络事件数
    Indicator · IND · /10*6/a
    Number of cyber incidents in the year that a national CERT or regulator classifies as significant (material service disruption, data compromise or financial loss), per million population.
  2. 扰乱关键服务的网络事件
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of cyber incidents in the year that disrupted an essential service (energy, water, health, transport, finance, digital infrastructure), counted from mandatory incident reports and verified public disclosure.
  3. 互联网使用者
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
  4. ICT 服务增加值，占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross value added of telecommunications, computer programming and information services (ISIC Rev.4 divisions 61–63) as a percentage of GDP.
  5. 电子政务发展
    Indicator · IND · score
    UN E-Government Development Index (0–1), combining online-service provision, telecommunication infrastructure and human capital, carried as an external source series.
  6. ITU GCI 法律措施支柱
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for laws and regulations on cybercrime, cybersecurity, data protection and critical-infrastructure protection.
  7. ITU GCI 技术措施支柱
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for national and sectoral incident response teams, technical frameworks and protection of critical systems.
  8. ITU GCI 组织措施支柱
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for national strategy, a responsible agency, and metrics for cybersecurity governance.
  9. ITU GCI 能力建设措施支柱
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for awareness campaigns, curricula, professional training and research and industry development.
  10. ITU GCI 合作措施支柱
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for bilateral, multilateral and public-private cooperation agreements and information-sharing arrangements.
  11. 国家计算机事件响应团队已运作
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the economy has a government-mandated national computer emergency or security incident response team that is operational and reachable by constituents (1 yes, 0 no).
  12. 数据保护和隐私立法已生效
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether a general data protection and privacy law is in force in the economy (1 yes, 0 no; draft legislation counts as 0).
  13. Cyber incident pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of the significant-incident rate and critical-service incidents.
  14. Digital dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of internet use, ICT services share of GDP and e-government development, read as exposure.
  15. Cyber capability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of the five ITU GCI pillar scores, the existence of a national CERT and data-protection law in force.
  16. 网络风险指数
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  17. 宏观金融与结构脆弱性
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  18. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未运行进行中已完成
FIG 2. 12 indicators, 3 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate cyber risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
25
1
–
在您的浏览器中运行
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03方法

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
40% of weight
Weighting
equal
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
不确定性
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM risk algebra (hazard, exposure, lack of coping capacity); OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); ITU GCI 2024 (capability input)
很低0.0 至 < 2.0
低2.0 至 < 3.5
中3.5 至 < 5.0
高5.0 至 < 6.5
很高6.5 至 10.0
04Components

3 components, 12 indicators

Cyber incident pressure sub-index w 1

Composite of the significant-incident rate and critical-service incidents.

指标单位证据来源占比
每百万人重大网络事件数IND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rate/10*6/aClass Dnational-cert-annual-reports, enisa-threat-landscape, eu-nis2-incident-reporting, commercial-threat-telemetry-licensed50.0%
扰乱关键服务的网络事件IND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents1Class Eeu-nis2-incident-reporting, national-cert-annual-reports, verified-public-disclosures50.0%

Digital dependence sub-index w 1

Composite of internet use, ICT services share of GDP and e-government development, read as exposure.

指标单位证据来源占比
互联网使用者IND.INF.digital.internet_users%Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys33.3%
ICT 服务增加值，占 GDP 比重IND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp%Class Bun-national-accounts-main-aggregates, oecd-stan, unctad-digital-economy33.3%
电子政务发展IND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development{score}Class Cun-desa-egovernment-survey33.3%

Cyber capability sub-index w 1

Composite of the five ITU GCI pillar scores, the existence of a national CERT and data-protection law in force.

指标单位证据来源占比
ITU GCI 法律措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_legal{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI 技术措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_technical{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI 组织措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI 能力建设措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_development{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI 合作措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperation{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
国家计算机事件响应团队已运作IND.CYB.capability.national_cert{bool}Class Bitu-national-cirt-list, first-member-directory, itu-gci-20248.3%
数据保护和隐私立法已生效IND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law{bool}Class Bunctad-global-cyberlaw-tracker, national-legal-gazettes8.3%
05领域

网络与数字

Cyber-security commitment and capability, digital dependence and incident exposure.

Sub-domain指标
Cyber capability9
Incidents2
Digital dependence2

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): ITU GCI 2024; Basel operational-risk event types.

06指标

All 13 cyber and digital indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CYB · 13
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
指标领域Sub-domain组件单位级别Crosswalks
ITU 全球网络安全指数得分IND.CYB.capability.gci_scoreCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Overall score
ITU 全球网络安全指数等级IND.CYB.capability.gci_tierCYBCyber capabilityvulnerability{class}COUNTRYITU_GCI Tier
ITU GCI 法律措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_legalCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Legal Measures
ITU GCI 技术措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_technicalCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Technical Measures
ITU GCI 组织措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_organizationalCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Organizational Measures
ITU GCI 能力建设措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_developmentCYBCyber capabilityadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Capacity Development Measures
ITU GCI 合作措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperationCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Cooperation Measures
国家计算机事件响应团队已运作IND.CYB.capability.national_certCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRYITU_GCI Technical Measures
数据保护和隐私立法已生效IND.CYB.capability.data_protection_lawCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRYITU_GCI Legal Measures
每百万人重大网络事件数IND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rateCYBIncidentshazard/10*6/aCOUNTRY
扰乱关键服务的网络事件IND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidentsCYBIncidentsimpact1COUNTRY
ICT 服务增加值，占 GDP 比重IND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdpCYBDigital dependenceexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
电子政务发展IND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_developmentCYBDigital dependenceexposure{score}COUNTRY
07引用

Cyber risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · CYB · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Cyber risk index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
上一版
–
Range since 2016
–
耦合综合
–
耦合得分 S
–
脉搏，最近一周
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
方法
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
抽样次数
1,000
Cyber risk index, world, by edition

尚无已发布的数值。第一版发布后将在这里绘制历史，并附区间带和类别边界。

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
非洲54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
美洲35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
亚洲48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
欧洲44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
大洋洲14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
暂无变动。 自第二版起，与上一版相比的变化将在此列出，并附上驱动这些变化的指标。
08数值

Country values

FIG 5 · Cyber risk index: countries (values when released)
正在加载地图
安道尔安提瓜和巴布达巴林巴巴多斯科摩罗佛得角多米尼克密克罗尼西亚（联邦）格林纳达基里巴斯圣基茨和尼维斯圣卢西亚列支敦士登摩纳哥马尔代夫马绍尔群岛马耳他毛里求斯瑙鲁帕劳新加坡圣马力诺圣多美和普林西比塞舌尔汤加图瓦卢教廷圣文森特和格林纳丁斯萨摩亚
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
瓦片
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/cyb/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
观测键
nis:IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09系列

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-13Global Cyber and digitalCyber capability and threat exposure, digital dependency, connectivity resilience and the cyber-physical channels into essential services. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk. XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps. XT-02Cyber and cyber-physical systemsThreats to operational technology, industrial control and cyber-physical systems across energy, water, health, ports and logistics. XT-03Telecommunications, open radio networks and edgeTelecom resilience, open and AI-native radio access networks, private wireless, edge compute and spectrum constraints. XT-05Quantum-relevant securityCryptographic resilience and the migration to post-quantum cryptography across public and financial systems. XT-09Sensors, IoT and industrial IoTConnected sensing and control across cities, utilities and industry: attack surface, data integrity and dependency. XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk. XT-12Positioning, navigation and timingDependency of power, telecom, finance and transport on positioning and timing signals; jamming, spoofing and space weather. XT-14Software and supply-chain integrityOpen-source and commercial software dependencies, build integrity and provenance across critical systems. XT-16Advanced manufacturingAdvanced and additive manufacturing, industrial automation and their supply, cyber and labour risks. XT-17Distributed ledgers and decentralised infrastructureDistributed ledgers and decentralised physical infrastructure networks: operational, financial-stability and governance risk. XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
ITU_GCI7
WB_WDI2
SDG1
11贯穿 Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12引用

引用与再利用

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Cyber risk index (GRX-IDX-CYB), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/cyber-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000116.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

状态

The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。

NXS-GRX 不是什么

NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。

机构与来源

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.