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The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CYB · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

Index des Cyberrisikos

Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-CYBEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

equal weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

Unsicherheit

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

Struktur

3 components

12 leaf indicators

Abdeckung

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 40%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
12
leaf indicators
3
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
15
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Combines hazard, exposure and capability in the INFORM pattern so that a highly digital, well-defended economy and a lightly digital, undefended one are not confused.

computation
How Cyber risk is computed
Graph18 nodes
Graph
01Indikatoren
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Säule
05Zusammengesetzt
100%
Verzeichnis
  1. Erhebliche Cybervorfälle je Million Einwohner
    Indicator · IND · /10*6/a
    Number of cyber incidents in the year that a national CERT or regulator classifies as significant (material service disruption, data compromise or financial loss), per million population.
  2. Cybervorfälle mit Störung kritischer Dienste
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Number of cyber incidents in the year that disrupted an essential service (energy, water, health, transport, finance, digital infrastructure), counted from mandatory incident reports and verified public disclosure.
  3. Personen, die das Internet nutzen
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of individuals who used the Internet from any location and device in the last three months.
  4. Wertschöpfung von IKT-Dienstleistungen, Anteil am BIP
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross value added of telecommunications, computer programming and information services (ISIC Rev.4 divisions 61–63) as a percentage of GDP.
  5. Entwicklung des E-Government
    Indicator · IND · score
    UN E-Government Development Index (0–1), combining online-service provision, telecommunication infrastructure and human capital, carried as an external source series.
  6. ITU GCI, Säule rechtliche Maßnahmen
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for laws and regulations on cybercrime, cybersecurity, data protection and critical-infrastructure protection.
  7. ITU GCI, Säule technische Maßnahmen
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for national and sectoral incident response teams, technical frameworks and protection of critical systems.
  8. ITU GCI, Säule organisatorische Maßnahmen
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for national strategy, a responsible agency, and metrics for cybersecurity governance.
  9. ITU GCI, Säule Maßnahmen zum Kapazitätsaufbau
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for awareness campaigns, curricula, professional training and research and industry development.
  10. ITU GCI, Säule Kooperationsmaßnahmen
    Indicator · IND · score
    ITU GCI 2024 pillar score (0–20) for bilateral, multilateral and public-private cooperation agreements and information-sharing arrangements.
  11. Nationales Computer-Notfallteam in Betrieb
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether the economy has a government-mandated national computer emergency or security incident response team that is operational and reachable by constituents (1 yes, 0 no).
  12. Datenschutzgesetzgebung in Kraft
    Indicator · IND · yes or no
    Whether a general data protection and privacy law is in force in the economy (1 yes, 0 no; draft legislation counts as 0).
  13. Cyber incident pressure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of the significant-incident rate and critical-service incidents.
  14. Digital dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of internet use, ICT services share of GDP and e-government development, read as exposure.
  15. Cyber capability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of the five ITU GCI pillar scores, the existence of a national CERT and data-protection law in force.
  16. Index des Cyberrisikos
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  17. Makrofinanzielle und strukturelle Fragilität
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  18. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Nicht ausgeführtIn BearbeitungErledigt
FIG 2. 12 indicators, 3 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate cyber risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
25
1
–
läuft in Ihrem Browser
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03Methode

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
40% of weight
Weighting
equal
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
Unsicherheit
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
INFORM risk algebra (hazard, exposure, lack of coping capacity); OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); ITU GCI 2024 (capability input)
Sehr niedrig0.0 bis < 2.0
Niedrig2.0 bis < 3.5
Mittel3.5 bis < 5.0
Hoch5.0 bis < 6.5
Sehr hoch6.5 bis 10.0
04Components

3 components, 12 indicators

Cyber incident pressure sub-index w 1

Composite of the significant-incident rate and critical-service incidents.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
Erhebliche Cybervorfälle je Million EinwohnerIND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rate/10*6/aClass Dnational-cert-annual-reports, enisa-threat-landscape, eu-nis2-incident-reporting, commercial-threat-telemetry-licensed50.0%
Cybervorfälle mit Störung kritischer DiensteIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents1Class Eeu-nis2-incident-reporting, national-cert-annual-reports, verified-public-disclosures50.0%

Digital dependence sub-index w 1

Composite of internet use, ICT services share of GDP and e-government development, read as exposure.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
Personen, die das Internet nutzenIND.INF.digital.internet_users%Class Bitu-datahub, wb-wdi, national-ict-household-surveys33.3%
Wertschöpfung von IKT-Dienstleistungen, Anteil am BIPIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp%Class Bun-national-accounts-main-aggregates, oecd-stan, unctad-digital-economy33.3%
Entwicklung des E-GovernmentIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development{score}Class Cun-desa-egovernment-survey33.3%

Cyber capability sub-index w 1

Composite of the five ITU GCI pillar scores, the existence of a national CERT and data-protection law in force.

IndikatorEinheitEvidenzQuellenAnteil
ITU GCI, Säule rechtliche MaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI, Säule technische MaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_technical{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI, Säule organisatorische MaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI, Säule Maßnahmen zum KapazitätsaufbauIND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_development{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
ITU GCI, Säule KooperationsmaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperation{score}Class Citu-gci-202416.7%
Nationales Computer-Notfallteam in BetriebIND.CYB.capability.national_cert{bool}Class Bitu-national-cirt-list, first-member-directory, itu-gci-20248.3%
Datenschutzgesetzgebung in KraftIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law{bool}Class Bunctad-global-cyberlaw-tracker, national-legal-gazettes8.3%
05Domäne

Cyber und Digitales

Cyber-security commitment and capability, digital dependence and incident exposure.

Sub-domainIndikatoren
Cyber capability9
Incidents2
Digital dependence2

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): ITU GCI 2024; Basel operational-risk event types.

06Indikatoren

All 13 cyber and digital indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CYB · 13
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
IndikatorDomäneSub-domainKomponenteEinheitEbenenCrosswalks
Wert im ITU Global Cybersecurity IndexIND.CYB.capability.gci_scoreCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Overall score
Stufe im ITU Global Cybersecurity IndexIND.CYB.capability.gci_tierCYBCyber capabilityvulnerability{class}COUNTRYITU_GCI Tier
ITU GCI, Säule rechtliche MaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_legalCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Legal Measures
ITU GCI, Säule technische MaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_technicalCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Technical Measures
ITU GCI, Säule organisatorische MaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizationalCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Organizational Measures
ITU GCI, Säule Maßnahmen zum KapazitätsaufbauIND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_developmentCYBCyber capabilityadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Capacity Development Measures
ITU GCI, Säule KooperationsmaßnahmenIND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperationCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{score}COUNTRYITU_GCI Cooperation Measures
Nationales Computer-Notfallteam in BetriebIND.CYB.capability.national_certCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRYITU_GCI Technical Measures
Datenschutzgesetzgebung in KraftIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_lawCYBCyber capabilitycoping capacity{bool}COUNTRYITU_GCI Legal Measures
Erhebliche Cybervorfälle je Million EinwohnerIND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rateCYBIncidentshazard/10*6/aCOUNTRY
Cybervorfälle mit Störung kritischer DiensteIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidentsCYBIncidentsimpact1COUNTRY
Wertschöpfung von IKT-Dienstleistungen, Anteil am BIPIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdpCYBDigital dependenceexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
Entwicklung des E-GovernmentIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_developmentCYBDigital dependenceexposure{score}COUNTRY
07Kennwert

Cyber risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · CYB · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Cyber risk index, world
–
Werte erscheinen mit der Ausgabe; Intervall, Klasse und Veränderung werden hier angezeigt.
Vorherige Ausgabe
–
Range since 2016
–
Gekoppeltes Gesamtmaß
–
Kopplungswert S
–
Pulse, letzte Woche
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Methode
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Ziehungen
1,000
Cyber risk index, world, by edition

Noch keine veröffentlichten Werte. Die erste Ausgabe zeichnet hier den Verlauf mit Intervallband und Klassengrenzen.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
Afrika54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
Amerika35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
Asien48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
Europa44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
Ozeanien14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
Noch keine Veränderungen. Veränderungen gegenüber der vorherigen Ausgabe werden ab der zweiten Ausgabe hier aufgeführt, mit den Indikatoren, die sie bewirkt haben.
08Werte

Country values

FIG 5 · Cyber risk index: countries (values when released)
Karte wird geladen
AndorraAntigua und BarbudaBahrainBarbadosKomorenCabo VerdeDominicaMikronesien (Föderierte Staaten von)GrenadaKiribatiSt. Kitts und NevisSt. LuciaLiechtensteinMonacoMaledivenMarshallinselnMaltaMauritiusNauruPalauSingapurSan MarinoSão Tomé und PríncipeSeychellenTongaTuvaluHeiliger StuhlSt. Vincent und die GrenadinenSamoa
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Kacheln
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/cyb/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
Beobachtungsschlüssel
nis:IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09Reihen

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-13Global Cyber and digitalCyber capability and threat exposure, digital dependency, connectivity resilience and the cyber-physical channels into essential services. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk. XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps. XT-02Cyber and cyber-physical systemsThreats to operational technology, industrial control and cyber-physical systems across energy, water, health, ports and logistics. XT-03Telecommunications, open radio networks and edgeTelecom resilience, open and AI-native radio access networks, private wireless, edge compute and spectrum constraints. XT-05Quantum-relevant securityCryptographic resilience and the migration to post-quantum cryptography across public and financial systems. XT-09Sensors, IoT and industrial IoTConnected sensing and control across cities, utilities and industry: attack surface, data integrity and dependency. XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk. XT-12Positioning, navigation and timingDependency of power, telecom, finance and transport on positioning and timing signals; jamming, spoofing and space weather. XT-14Software and supply-chain integrityOpen-source and commercial software dependencies, build integrity and provenance across critical systems. XT-16Advanced manufacturingAdvanced and additive manufacturing, industrial automation and their supply, cyber and labour risks. XT-17Distributed ledgers and decentralised infrastructureDistributed ledgers and decentralised physical infrastructure networks: operational, financial-stability and governance risk. XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
ITU_GCI7
WB_WDI2
SDG1
11Im gesamten Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12Zitieren

Zitieren und weiterverwenden

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Cyber risk index (GRX-IDX-CYB), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/cyber-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000116.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

Status

Methodik, Struktur und Definitionen des Global Risks Index sind ein vorbereitender Arbeitsentwurf (2026), der zur Prüfung und Stellungnahme und nicht zur Umsetzung verbreitet wird. Kein Wert erscheint, bevor eine Ausgabe aus einem geregelten Evidenzschnitt veröffentlicht ist; die Werte tragen dann Intervalle, Klassen, Quellen und ihren Korrekturweg. Die Simulatoren wenden die veröffentlichten Methoden auf Zahlen an, die Sie wählen, und zeigen niemals einen NXS-GRX-Wert.

Was NXS-GRX nicht ist

NXS-GRX ist eine Forschungs- und Risikoanalyseinformation. Es ist kein Kredit- oder ESG-Rating und verwendet keine Ratingskala, kein Referenzwert für Finanzinstrumente, keine amtliche Statistik, keine Notfallwarnung oder amtliche Einstufung und keine Beratung. Es darf nicht zur Bewertung natürlicher Personen verwendet werden. Risikoklassen sind Bänder auf einer veröffentlichten Skala, niemals Rangfolgen von Ländern oder Personen.

Institutionen und Quellen

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Jeder Wert trägt die Namensnennung seiner Quellen, die ihre eigenen Lizenzen behalten. Externe Namen werden nur zur Interoperabilität zitiert. Von Nexus verfasste Texte sollen bei Veröffentlichung unter CC BY 4.0 stehen.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.