The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · Global sector series
世界の政策・制度
ガバナンスの脆弱さ、国家の能力、法の支配、備えの枠組み、そして予測し適応する機関の能力。
Page GRX-SER-GS-14Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports GS-14 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
分野別指数
1
ガバナンスの脆弱性
指標
95
3 index domains
Hazard families
14
社会、紛争、経済
手法
36
Policy, regulation and governance · Vulnerability, fragility and resilience.
1
分野別指数
95
indicators in scope
1
ハザードの分野
5
client groups
01対象範囲
Scope and questions
The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.
- Where does weak governance turn hazard into disaster?
- Which preparedness frameworks exist only on paper?
- How do institutions perform in real events?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Global Policy and institutions index is built
Graph5 nodes
グラフ
01分野別指数
02Series index
03Readings
100%
索引
-
ガバナンスの脆弱性Domain index · IDX · GOVWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
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Global Policy and institutions indexSeries index · SERIES · GS-14ガバナンスの脆弱さ、国家の能力、法の支配、備えの枠組み、そして予測し適応する機関の能力。
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Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
未実行進行中完了
03指数
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · GS-14 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Global Policy and institutions index, world
–
値は版とともに公開され、区間、区分、変化がここに表示されます。
| インデックス | 値 | 変化 | 変化 % | 90% 区間 | 区分 · 確率 | 傾向 | 幅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ガバナンスの脆弱性NXS-GRX · GOV |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Governance and institutions, Coping capacity and resilience, Conflict and security.
04指標
95 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指標 | 分野 | Sub-domain | 構成要素 | 単位 | レベル | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
災害による年間予想財政コスト（GDP 比）IND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 複合指標スコア（公表値、参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
口座保有率（成人）IND.FIN.depth.account_ownership |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2 |
保険浸透度（保険料の対 GDP 比）IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10 |
自然災害の保護ギャップIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | vulnerability | % |
REGION, COUNTRY | |
海上交通の要衝にさらされる海上貿易IND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
国家適応計画の提出IND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | SDG 13.2.1 |
適応投資に向けた経済的準備度IND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN economic |
適応に向けたガバナンスの準備度IND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN governance |
1 人あたり国際適応資金の受取額IND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | [USD] |
COUNTRY | |
マルチハザードの年間平均損失（GDP 比）IND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
再現期間 250 年の予想最大損失（GDP 比）IND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
洪水防御の設計基準IND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard |
HAZ | Flood | coping capacity | a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
災害による死者・行方不明者（100,000 人あたり）IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
災害の直接的な影響を受けた人々（100,000 人あたり）IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
災害による直接経済損失（GDP 比）IND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2 |
国外の再生可能水資源への依存率IND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
運用中の協力体制がある越境流域の面積IND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.5.2 |
バックアップなしで衛星に依存する重要サービス（割合）IND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
最寄りの医療施設までの移動時間IND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time |
HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | min |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
IHR 健康危機管理能力（SPAR C7）IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1 |
国会で女性が占める議席IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1 |
少なくとも 1 つの社会保障給付の対象となる人口IND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage |
SOC | Social protection | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot |
就労、就学、職業訓練のいずれもしていない若者IND.SOC.protection.youth_neet |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT |
出身国別の難民IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
出身国別の難民（人口 100,000 人あたり）IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
国内避難民、紛争と暴力（ストック）IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
国内避難民（人口 100,000 人あたり）IND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
新たな国内避難、紛争と暴力IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
新たな国内避難（人口 100,000 人あたり）IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
組織的な政治的暴力による報告死者数IND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED fatalities |
紛争による死者（人口 100,000 人あたり）IND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | SDG 16.1.2 |
戦闘関連死者数（UCDP）IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | {persons} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH |
政治的暴力事象IND.CON.violence.political_violence_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Political violence |
武力紛争事象IND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence |
紛争の地理的拡散IND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion |
CON | Organised violence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | ACLED Diffusion |
武装勢力の分裂IND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY | ACLED Fragmentation |
故意殺人率IND.CON.violence.homicide_rate |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1 |
軍事支出（GDP 比）IND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS |
軍人（労働力に占める割合）IND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS |
民間人を標的とした事象IND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events |
CON | Civilian harm | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians |
標的型暴力による民間人死者（人口 100,000 人あたり）IND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | ACLED Danger |
医療への攻撃IND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
地雷と爆発性戦争残存物による死傷者IND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | |
暴動と暴力的デモIND.CON.peace.riot_events |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ACLED Riots |
世界平和度指数の総合スコア（IEP）IND.CON.peace.gpi_score |
CON | Peacefulness | vulnerability | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Overall Score |
世界平和度指数の進行中の紛争分野スコア（IEP）IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict |
OECD 脆弱国家分類（States of Fragility）IND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {class} |
COUNTRY | OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts |
世界銀行の脆弱・紛争影響下の状況（FCS）IND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
国民の発言力と説明責任（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
政治的安定と暴力の不在（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.political_stability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
政府の有効性（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
汚職の抑制（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
腐敗認識指数（Transparency International）IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
報道の自由スコア（RSF）IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
法の支配（WGI）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law |
GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
財産権とルールに基づくガバナンス（CPIA）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights |
GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
未決拘禁者（受刑者人口に占める割合）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees |
GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
企業の贈賄発生率IND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms |
GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
規制の質（WGI）IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
CPIA 総合評価（IDA 資源配分指数）IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
CPIA 公共部門の管理と制度IND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
CPIA 公共部門の透明性、説明責任、汚職IND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
歳入動員の効率性（CPIA）IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
承認予算からの予算執行の乖離IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
統計パフォーマンス指標の総合スコアIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
出生登録の完全性IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
前回の国勢調査からの年数IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census |
GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
ビジネス環境スコア（B-READY）IND.GOV.business.bready_overall |
GOV | Business environment | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
全天候型道路から 2 km 以内の農村人口IND.INF.transport.rural_road_access |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 9.1.1 |
技術別の携帯電話網のカバー人口IND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage |
INF | Digital connectivity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 9.c.1 |
72 時間のバックアップ電源を備えた重要施設IND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power |
INF | Utilities | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
高ハザード地域のライフライン施設（割合）IND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
ITU GCI 法的措置の柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_legal |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Legal Measures |
ITU GCI 組織的措置の柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Organizational Measures |
データ保護・プライバシー法の施行IND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Legal Measures |
電子政府の発展度IND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development |
CYB | Digital dependence | exposure | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
仙台防災枠組に沿った国の DRR 戦略IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy |
CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
国の戦略に沿った DRR 戦略を持つ地方自治体IND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies |
CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
マルチハザード早期警報システムのスコアIND.CRS.warning.mhews_score |
CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI G-1 |
マルチハザードの監視・予測システムIND.CRS.warning.monitoring_forecasting |
CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI G-2 |
早期警報情報の対象となる人々IND.CRS.warning.early_warning_coverage |
CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-3 |
早期警報に基づいて行動する計画を持つ地方自治体IND.CRS.warning.local_warning_action_plans |
CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-4 |
利用しやすい災害リスク情報と評価IND.CRS.warning.risk_information_access |
CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI G-5 |
予防的避難で守られたエクスポージャー人口IND.CRS.warning.preemptive_evacuation |
CRS | 早期警戒 | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI G-6 |
災害リスク・ファイナンス戦略の採択IND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
ソブリン地域リスク・プールへの参加IND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
事前に取り決めた災害時の偶発融資（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
ソブリン・カタストロフィ・リスク移転の限度額（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
自然災害保険の保護ギャップIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
損害保険料（GDP 比）IND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
救急サービスまで 15 分以内の人口IND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
INSARAG 認定の都市型捜索救助チームIND.CRS.response.usar_classification |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
DRR に対する国際的な公的支援の受取額（GDP 比）IND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
ショック対応型社会保障の準備度IND.CRS.response.shock_responsive_social_protection |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY |
05ハザード
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| ファミリー | 分野 | ハザード | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Organised and collective violence | 社会、紛争、経済 | Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence | 5 |
| Conflict-induced harm | 社会、紛争、経済 | Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial | 4 |
| Humanitarian crises | 社会、紛争、経済 | Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption | 6 |
| Crowd and collective behaviour | 社会、紛争、経済 | Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster | 3 |
| Economic shocks and governance failure | 社会、紛争、経済 | Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty | 8 |
| Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons | 社会、紛争、経済 | Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … | 15 |
| Governance and institutional failure | 社会、紛争、経済 | Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … | 18 |
| Financial-system fragility | 社会、紛争、経済 | Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … | 12 |
| Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks | 社会、紛争、経済 | Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … | 12 |
| Labour and technology transition | 社会、紛争、経済 | Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock | 7 |
| Population structure and movement | 社会、紛争、経済 | Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … | 12 |
| Social cohesion and atrocity risk | 社会、紛争、経済 | Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … | 9 |
| Organised crime and illicit economies | 社会、紛争、経済 | Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … | 12 |
| Cultural heritage loss | 社会、紛争、経済 | Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation | 7 |
06手法
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
17 methods
政策、規制、ガバナンス
Scenario Counterfactual · Regulatory Change Risk · Policy Uncertainty · Policy Effectiveness · Implementation Gap · Regulatory Exposure · Compliance Obligation Mapping …
19 methods
脆弱性、フラジリティ、レジリエンス
Simple Vulnerability Factor Screening · Fragility Curve · Vulnerability Curve · Multi-State Damage · Component Fragility · Structural Vulnerability · Infrastructure Fragility …
07Users
Who uses it
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
International financial institutions and development banks
Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.
UN system and humanitarian organisations
Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.
市民社会と NGO
Target programmes. Use open profiles. Contribute local evidence.
Universities and research
Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.
09引用
引用と再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Global Policy and institutions series (GRX-SER-GS-14), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/gs-14/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000072.
- Series key
grix:SER.GS-14:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
ステータス
The Global Risks Index の手法、構造、定義は準備段階の作業草案（2026 年）であり、レビューと意見募集のために配布されているもので、実施を目的としたものではありません。管理されたエビデンスの区切りから版が公表されるまで、値は一切表示されません。公表後の値には、区間、区分、出典、訂正の経路が付されます。シミュレーターは、公表された手法をあなたが選んだ数値で実行するものであり、NXS-GRX の値を表示することはありません。
NXS-GRX ではないもの
NXS-GRX は研究およびリスク分析の情報です。信用格付や ESG 格付ではなく、格付尺度を用いず、金融商品のベンチマークでも、公的統計でも、緊急警報や公式分類でも、助言でもありません。自然人の評価に用いてはなりません。リスククラスは公開された尺度上の区分であり、国や人の順位付けではありません。
機関と情報源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
すべての値には情報源の帰属表示が付され、情報源はそれぞれ独自のライセンスを保持します。外部の名称は相互運用性のためにのみ引用しています。Nexus が執筆したテキストは、公開時に CC BY 4.0 とする予定です。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.