金融安定リスク指数
Expert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.
Mazziotta–Pareto
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation
7 components
28 leaf indicators
71% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
From indicators to the composite
A strong capital ratio does not offset a large FX mismatch or credit boom; the penalised aggregate keeps one weak pillar visible. Sub-indices are always shown beside the index.
- リスク加重資産に対する規制資本Indicator · IND · %Total regulatory capital of the deposit-taking sector as a percentage of its risk-weighted assets, on the national implementation of the Basel framework.
- 総資産に対する資本(レバレッジ)Indicator · IND · %Tier 1 capital of deposit takers as a percentage of total (unweighted) assets.
- 資本に対する引当金控除後の不良債権Indicator · IND · %Non-performing loans of deposit takers minus specific loan-loss provisions, as a percentage of capital.
- 総資産利益率Indicator · IND · %Net income before extraordinary items and taxes of deposit takers as a percentage of average total assets.
- 貸出総額に対する不良債権Indicator · IND · %Loans of deposit takers more than 90 days past due or otherwise impaired, as a percentage of total gross loans.
- 不良債権に対する引当金Indicator · IND · %Specific loan-loss provisions of deposit takers as a percentage of non-performing loans.
- 経済活動別の貸出集中度Indicator · IND · %Share of deposit takers’ loans to resident non-financial corporations held in the two largest economic activities (ISIC sections).
- 銀行の一般政府向け債権(銀行資産に占める割合)Indicator · IND · %Deposit takers’ holdings of general government debt securities and loans to general government as a percentage of their total assets.
- 総資産に対する流動資産Indicator · IND · %Core liquid assets of deposit takers (cash, central-bank reserves, short-term marketable securities) as a percentage of total assets.
- 短期負債に対する流動資産Indicator · IND · %Core liquid assets of deposit takers as a percentage of liabilities with residual maturity of one year or less.
- 銀行間以外の貸出に対する顧客預金Indicator · IND · %Customer (non-interbank) deposits of deposit takers as a percentage of their non-interbank loans.
- 流動性カバレッジ比率Indicator · IND · %High-quality liquid assets of deposit takers as a percentage of total net cash outflows over a 30-day stress period, Basel III definition.
- 資本に対するネット外貨オープン・ポジション(絶対値)Indicator · IND · %Absolute value of deposit takers’ net open position in foreign currencies (long or short, including off-balance-sheet) as a percentage of capital.
- 外貨建て貸出(貸出総額に占める割合、信用のドル化)Indicator · IND · %Loans of deposit takers denominated in or indexed to foreign currency as a percentage of total loans.
- 外貨建て預金(預金総額に占める割合、預金のドル化)Indicator · IND · %Deposits held with deposit takers in foreign currency as a percentage of total deposits.
- 信用 GDP ギャップ(BIS)Indicator · IND · %Deviation of the ratio of total credit to the private non-financial sector to GDP from its long-run trend (one-sided HP filter, lambda 400 000), in percentage points, quarterly.
- 民間部門向け信用の実質伸び率Indicator · IND · %Year-on-year growth of deposit takers’ credit to the private sector, deflated by consumer prices.
- 家計債務(GDP 比)Indicator · IND · %Debt of households and non-profit institutions serving households (loans and debt securities) as a percentage of GDP.
- 非金融企業債務(GDP 比)Indicator · IND · %Debt of non-financial corporations (loans and debt securities) as a percentage of GDP.
- 実質住宅価格上昇率Indicator · IND · %Year-on-year change in the residential property price index deflated by consumer prices.
- 住宅価格の対所得比率(長期平均からの乖離)Indicator · IND · %Ratio of nominal house prices to nominal disposable income per head, as a percentage deviation from its own long-run average.
- 炭素集約型セクターへの銀行のエクスポージャーIndicator · IND · %Share of deposit takers’ loans to non-financial corporations extended to carbon-intensive activities (fossil-fuel extraction, refining, fossil power, cement, steel, chemicals, aviation and shipping), NACE-mapped.
- 物理的気候リスクの高い銀行貸出Indicator · IND · %Share of deposit takers’ loans whose borrower operations or collateral lie in locations of high modelled physical climate hazard (Hazard Standard flood, storm, heat, wildfire, coastal), current climate.
- 自然災害の保護ギャップIndicator · IND · %Share of economic losses from natural catastrophes not covered by insurance, ten-year rolling average.
- 実質 GDP 成長率の変動性(10 年)Indicator · IND · %Standard deviation of annual real GDP growth over the latest ten years with data.
- 消費者物価上昇率Indicator · IND · %Annual percentage change in the consumer price index, period average.
- 為替レートの変動性(36 か月)Indicator · IND · %Standard deviation of month-on-month log changes of the local-currency per US dollar rate over 36 months, annualised.
- 失業率Indicator · IND · %Share of the labour force without work but available for and seeking employment (ILO definition).
- Banking-sector solvency sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%Composite of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets, capital to assets, unprovisioned NPLs to capital and return on assets.
- Asset-quality stress sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of the NPL ratio, provision coverage, sectoral loan concentration and bank exposure to the sovereign.
- Funding and liquidity sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of liquid assets to total assets, liquid assets to short-term liabilities, deposits to loans and the liquidity coverage ratio.
- Foreign-exchange mismatch sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of the absolute net open FX position to capital and credit and deposit dollarisation.
- Credit and asset-price imbalance sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%Composite of the BIS credit-to-GDP gap, real private-credit growth, household and corporate debt, and real house-price growth and overvaluation.
- Climate-related financial exposure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%Composite of bank exposure to carbon-intensive sectors, lending exposed to high physical climate risk and the natural-catastrophe protection gap.
- Macroeconomic instability sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%Composite of growth volatility, inflation, exchange-rate volatility and unemployment.
- 金融安定リスク指数Domain index · IDX · Mazziotta–ParetoExpert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.
- マクロ金融と構造の脆弱性Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indicesHow much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- NONE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 71% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- 専門家
- Aggregation
- Mazziotta–Pareto
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- 不確実性
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; Mazziotta–Pareto index (2016); IMF FSI Compilation Guide (2019)
7 components, 28 indicators
Banking-sector solvency sub-index w 2
Composite of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets, capital to assets, unprovisioned NPLs to capital and return on assets.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
リスク加重資産に対する規制資本IND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwa | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 25.0% |
総資産に対する資本(レバレッジ)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assets | % | Class A | imf-fsi, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
資本に対する引当金控除後の不良債権IND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capital | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 25.0% |
総資産利益率IND.FIN.earnings.roa | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 25.0% |
Asset-quality stress sub-index w 1.5
Composite of the NPL ratio, provision coverage, sectoral loan concentration and bank exposure to the sovereign.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
貸出総額に対する不良債権IND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratio | % | Class A | imf-fsi, wb-wdi, national-supervisor | 37.5% |
不良債権に対する引当金IND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_npl | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 25.0% |
経済活動別の貸出集中度IND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentration | % | Class A | imf-fsi | 18.8% |
銀行の一般政府向け債権(銀行資産に占める割合)IND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposure | % | Class A | imf-mfs, national-central-bank | 18.8% |
Funding and liquidity sub-index w 1.5
Composite of liquid assets to total assets, liquid assets to short-term liabilities, deposits to loans and the liquidity coverage ratio.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
総資産に対する流動資産IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_total | % | Class A | imf-fsi, wb-wdi | 28.6% |
短期負債に対する流動資産IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilities | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 28.6% |
銀行間以外の貸出に対する顧客預金IND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loans | % | Class A | imf-fsi | 28.6% |
流動性カバレッジ比率IND.FIN.liquidity.lcr | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 14.3% |
Foreign-exchange mismatch sub-index w 1.5
Composite of the absolute net open FX position to capital and credit and deposit dollarisation.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
資本に対するネット外貨オープン・ポジション(絶対値)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capital | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-supervisor | 33.3% |
外貨建て貸出(貸出総額に占める割合、信用のドル化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_share | % | Class A | imf-fsi, national-central-bank | 33.3% |
外貨建て預金(預金総額に占める割合、預金のドル化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_share | % | Class A | imf-mfs, national-central-bank, imf-fsi | 33.3% |
Credit and asset-price imbalance sub-index w 1.5
Composite of the BIS credit-to-GDP gap, real private-credit growth, household and corporate debt, and real house-price growth and overvaluation.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
信用 GDP ギャップ(BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gap | % | Class B | bis-credit-gap | 25.0% |
民間部門向け信用の実質伸び率IND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growth | % | Class A | imf-mfs, imf-fsi | 16.7% |
家計債務(GDP 比)IND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp | % | Class A | bis-credit, imf-gdd, imf-fsi | 16.7% |
非金融企業債務(GDP 比)IND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdp | % | Class A | bis-credit, imf-gdd, imf-fsi | 16.7% |
実質住宅価格上昇率IND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growth | % | Class B | bis-rpp, oecd-house-prices, imf-fsi | 12.5% |
住宅価格の対所得比率(長期平均からの乖離)IND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gap | % | Class B | oecd-house-prices, derived:bis-rpp | 12.5% |
Climate-related financial exposure sub-index w 0.5
Composite of bank exposure to carbon-intensive sectors, lending exposed to high physical climate risk and the natural-catastrophe protection gap.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
炭素集約型セクターへの銀行のエクスポージャーIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure | % | Class D | derived:national-supervisor-credit-register, ngfs-scenarios, bcbs-climate-disclosure-2025 | 33.3% |
物理的気候リスクの高い銀行貸出IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending | % | Class E | derived:nhs-1-hazard-layers, national-supervisor-credit-register, bcbs-climate-disclosure-2025 | 33.3% |
自然災害の保護ギャップIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap | % | Class C | swiss-re-sigma:licensed, munich-re-natcat:licensed, emdat, eiopa-protection-gap | 33.3% |
Macroeconomic instability sub-index w 0.5
Composite of growth volatility, inflation, exchange-rate volatility and unemployment.
| 指標 | 単位 | エビデンス | 出典 | 割合 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
実質 GDP 成長率の変動性(10 年)IND.MAC.output.growth_volatility | % | Class A | derived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth | 25.0% |
消費者物価上昇率IND.MAC.prices.cpi_inflation | % | Class A | wb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-cpi | 25.0% |
為替レートの変動性(36 か月)IND.MAC.monetary.exchange_rate_volatility | % | Class A | derived:imf-ifs-exchange-rates | 25.0% |
失業率IND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate | % | Class C | ilo-ilostat, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
金融システム
Soundness, depth and vulnerabilities of banks, non-banks, households, corporates and markets, including climate-related financial risk.
| Sub-domain | 指標 |
|---|---|
| Capital adequacy | 5 |
| Asset quality | 4 |
| Earnings | 2 |
| Liquidity and funding | 5 |
| Foreign-exchange risk | 3 |
| Financial depth and inclusion | 6 |
| Real estate | 2 |
| Non-bank financial intermediation | 3 |
| Climate-related financial exposure | 2 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF FSI 2019 guide; BCBS climate disclosure 2025; NGFS scenarios.
All 32 financial system indicators
| 指標 | 分野 | Sub-domain | 構成要素 | 単位 | レベル | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
リスク加重資産に対する規制資本IND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwa | FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKRC_PT |
リスク加重資産に対する Tier 1 資本IND.FIN.capital.tier1_rwa | FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKRTC_PT |
リスク加重資産に対する普通株式等 Tier 1 資本IND.FIN.capital.cet1_rwa | FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCET_PT |
総資産に対する資本(レバレッジ)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assets | FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKA_PT WB_WDI FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS |
資本に対する引当金控除後の不良債権IND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capital | FIN | Capital adequacy | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKNL_PT |
貸出総額に対する不良債権IND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratio | FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSANL_PT WB_WDI FB.AST.NPER.ZS |
不良債権に対する引当金IND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_npl | FIN | Asset quality | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSPN_PT |
経済活動別の貸出集中度IND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentration | FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCLE_PT |
銀行の一般政府向け債権(銀行資産に占める割合)IND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposure | FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSASDG_PT |
総資産利益率IND.FIN.earnings.roa | FIN | Earnings | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSERA_PT |
自己資本利益率IND.FIN.earnings.roe | FIN | Earnings | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSERE_PT |
総資産に対する流動資産IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_total | FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLT_PT WB_WDI FD.RES.LIQU.AS.ZS |
短期負債に対する流動資産IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilities | FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLS_PT |
流動性カバレッジ比率IND.FIN.liquidity.lcr | FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLCR_PT |
安定調達比率IND.FIN.liquidity.nsfr | FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSNSF_PT |
銀行間以外の貸出に対する顧客預金IND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loans | FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCD_PT |
資本に対するネット外貨オープン・ポジション(絶対値)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capital | FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSSNO_PT |
外貨建て貸出(貸出総額に占める割合、信用のドル化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_share | FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFC_PT |
外貨建て預金(預金総額に占める割合、預金のドル化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_share | FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFCD_PT |
民間部門向け国内信用(GDP 比)IND.FIN.depth.private_credit.gdp | FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS WB_WDI GFDD.DI.14 |
信用 GDP ギャップ(BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gap | FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | |
民間部門向け信用の実質伸び率IND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growth | FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCGPS_PT |
家計債務(GDP 比)IND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp | FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSHG_PT |
非金融企業債務(GDP 比)IND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdp | FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSTDGDP_PT |
口座保有率(成人)IND.FIN.depth.account_ownership | FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2 |
実質住宅価格上昇率IND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growth | FIN | Real estate | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSREPRR_PC_CP_A_PT |
住宅価格の対所得比率(長期平均からの乖離)IND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gap | FIN | Real estate | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY, CITY | |
その他の金融機関の資産(GDP 比)IND.FIN.nbfi.ofc_assets.gdp | FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | context | % | COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFAG_PT |
保険浸透度(保険料の対 GDP 比)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration | FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10 |
自然災害の保護ギャップIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap | FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | vulnerability | % | REGION, COUNTRY | |
炭素集約型セクターへの銀行のエクスポージャーIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure | FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % | COUNTRY | |
物理的気候リスクの高い銀行貸出IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending | FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % | COUNTRY |
Financial stability risk index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- 前回の版
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- 結合総合
- –
- 結合スコア S
- –
- パルス、直近 1 週間
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- 手法
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- 抽出
- 1,000
公開済みの値はまだありません。最初の版で、区間の帯と区分の境界とともに履歴がここに描かれます。
Country values
- タイル
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fin/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- 観測キー
nis:IDX.FIN.capital.financial_stability_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
IMF_FSI | 19 |
WB_WDI | 5 |
IMF_WEO | 1 |
SDG | 1 |
ILO | 1 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
引用と再利用
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
ステータス
The Global Risks Index の手法、構造、定義は準備段階の作業草案(2026 年)であり、レビューと意見募集のために配布されているもので、実施を目的としたものではありません。管理されたエビデンスの区切りから版が公表されるまで、値は一切表示されません。公表後の値には、区間、区分、出典、訂正の経路が付されます。シミュレーターは、公表された手法をあなたが選んだ数値で実行するものであり、NXS-GRX の値を表示することはありません。
NXS-GRX ではないもの
NXS-GRX は研究およびリスク分析の情報です。信用格付や ESG 格付ではなく、格付尺度を用いず、金融商品のベンチマークでも、公的統計でも、緊急警報や公式分類でも、助言でもありません。自然人の評価に用いてはなりません。リスククラスは公開された尺度上の区分であり、国や人の順位付けではありません。
機関と情報源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
すべての値には情報源の帰属表示が付され、情報源はそれぞれ独自のライセンスを保持します。外部の名称は相互運用性のためにのみ引用しています。Nexus が執筆したテキストは、公開時に CC BY 4.0 とする予定です。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.