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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-FIN · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

金融稳定风险指数

Expert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.

Page GRX-IDX-FINEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.FIN.capital.financial_stability_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

Mazziotta–Pareto

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

不确定性

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation

结构

7 components

28 leaf indicators

覆盖范围

71% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
28
leaf indicators
7
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

A strong capital ratio does not offset a large FX mismatch or credit boom; the penalised aggregate keeps one weak pillar visible. Sub-indices are always shown beside the index.

computation
How Financial stability risk is computed
Graph38 nodes
流程图
01指标
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04支柱
05综合
100%
索引
  1. 监管资本与风险加权资产之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Total regulatory capital of the deposit-taking sector as a percentage of its risk-weighted assets, on the national implementation of the Basel framework.
  2. 资本与总资产之比(杠杆)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Tier 1 capital of deposit takers as a percentage of total (unweighted) assets.
  3. 扣除拨备后的不良贷款与资本之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Non-performing loans of deposit takers minus specific loan-loss provisions, as a percentage of capital.
  4. 资产回报率
    Indicator · IND · %
    Net income before extraordinary items and taxes of deposit takers as a percentage of average total assets.
  5. 不良贷款与贷款总额之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Loans of deposit takers more than 90 days past due or otherwise impaired, as a percentage of total gross loans.
  6. 拨备与不良贷款之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Specific loan-loss provisions of deposit takers as a percentage of non-performing loans.
  7. 按经济活动划分的贷款集中度
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of deposit takers’ loans to resident non-financial corporations held in the two largest economic activities (ISIC sections).
  8. 银行对广义政府债权,占银行资产比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Deposit takers’ holdings of general government debt securities and loans to general government as a percentage of their total assets.
  9. 流动资产与总资产之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Core liquid assets of deposit takers (cash, central-bank reserves, short-term marketable securities) as a percentage of total assets.
  10. 流动资产与短期负债之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Core liquid assets of deposit takers as a percentage of liabilities with residual maturity of one year or less.
  11. 客户存款与非同业贷款总额之比
    Indicator · IND · %
    Customer (non-interbank) deposits of deposit takers as a percentage of their non-interbank loans.
  12. 流动性覆盖率
    Indicator · IND · %
    High-quality liquid assets of deposit takers as a percentage of total net cash outflows over a 30-day stress period, Basel III definition.
  13. 外汇净敞口头寸与资本之比(绝对值)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Absolute value of deposit takers’ net open position in foreign currencies (long or short, including off-balance-sheet) as a percentage of capital.
  14. 外币贷款,占贷款总额比重(信贷美元化)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Loans of deposit takers denominated in or indexed to foreign currency as a percentage of total loans.
  15. 外币存款,占存款总额比重(存款美元化)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Deposits held with deposit takers in foreign currency as a percentage of total deposits.
  16. 信贷与 GDP 比率缺口(BIS)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Deviation of the ratio of total credit to the private non-financial sector to GDP from its long-run trend (one-sided HP filter, lambda 400 000), in percentage points, quarterly.
  17. 对私营部门信贷的实际增长率
    Indicator · IND · %
    Year-on-year growth of deposit takers’ credit to the private sector, deflated by consumer prices.
  18. 家庭债务,占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Debt of households and non-profit institutions serving households (loans and debt securities) as a percentage of GDP.
  19. 非金融企业债务,占 GDP 比重
    Indicator · IND · %
    Debt of non-financial corporations (loans and debt securities) as a percentage of GDP.
  20. 住宅房地产实际价格增长率
    Indicator · IND · %
    Year-on-year change in the residential property price index deflated by consumer prices.
  21. 房价收入比,偏离长期均值程度
    Indicator · IND · %
    Ratio of nominal house prices to nominal disposable income per head, as a percentage deviation from its own long-run average.
  22. 银行对碳密集行业的风险暴露
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of deposit takers’ loans to non-financial corporations extended to carbon-intensive activities (fossil-fuel extraction, refining, fossil power, cement, steel, chemicals, aviation and shipping), NACE-mapped.
  23. 面临高物理气候风险的银行贷款
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of deposit takers’ loans whose borrower operations or collateral lie in locations of high modelled physical climate hazard (Hazard Standard flood, storm, heat, wildfire, coastal), current climate.
  24. 自然巨灾保障缺口
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of economic losses from natural catastrophes not covered by insurance, ten-year rolling average.
  25. 实际 GDP 增长率波动性(10 年)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Standard deviation of annual real GDP growth over the latest ten years with data.
  26. 消费者价格通胀率
    Indicator · IND · %
    Annual percentage change in the consumer price index, period average.
  27. 汇率波动性(36 个月)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Standard deviation of month-on-month log changes of the local-currency per US dollar rate over 36 months, annualised.
  28. 失业率
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the labour force without work but available for and seeking employment (ILO definition).
  29. Banking-sector solvency sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 22.2%
    Composite of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets, capital to assets, unprovisioned NPLs to capital and return on assets.
  30. Asset-quality stress sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of the NPL ratio, provision coverage, sectoral loan concentration and bank exposure to the sovereign.
  31. Funding and liquidity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of liquid assets to total assets, liquid assets to short-term liabilities, deposits to loans and the liquidity coverage ratio.
  32. Foreign-exchange mismatch sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of the absolute net open FX position to capital and credit and deposit dollarisation.
  33. Credit and asset-price imbalance sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 16.7%
    Composite of the BIS credit-to-GDP gap, real private-credit growth, household and corporate debt, and real house-price growth and overvaluation.
  34. Climate-related financial exposure sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%
    Composite of bank exposure to carbon-intensive sectors, lending exposed to high physical climate risk and the natural-catastrophe protection gap.
  35. Macroeconomic instability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 5.6%
    Composite of growth volatility, inflation, exchange-rate volatility and unemployment.
  36. 金融稳定风险指数
    Domain index · IDX · Mazziotta–Pareto
    Expert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.
  37. 宏观金融与结构脆弱性
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  38. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未运行进行中已完成
FIG 2. 28 indicators, 7 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate financial stability risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
5.0
25
1
–
在您的浏览器中运行
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03方法

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
NONE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
IDENTITY
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
71% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
专家
Aggregation
Mazziotta–Pareto
Scale
0 to 10
不确定性
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; Mazziotta–Pareto index (2016); IMF FSI Compilation Guide (2019)
很低0.0 至 < 2.0
低2.0 至 < 3.5
中3.5 至 < 5.0
高5.0 至 < 6.5
很高6.5 至 10.0
04Components

7 components, 28 indicators

Banking-sector solvency sub-index w 2

Composite of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets, capital to assets, unprovisioned NPLs to capital and return on assets.

指标单位证据来源占比
监管资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwa%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor25.0%
资本与总资产之比(杠杆)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assets%Class Aimf-fsi, wb-wdi25.0%
扣除拨备后的不良贷款与资本之比IND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capital%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor25.0%
资产回报率IND.FIN.earnings.roa%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor25.0%

Asset-quality stress sub-index w 1.5

Composite of the NPL ratio, provision coverage, sectoral loan concentration and bank exposure to the sovereign.

指标单位证据来源占比
不良贷款与贷款总额之比IND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratio%Class Aimf-fsi, wb-wdi, national-supervisor37.5%
拨备与不良贷款之比IND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_npl%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor25.0%
按经济活动划分的贷款集中度IND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentration%Class Aimf-fsi18.8%
银行对广义政府债权,占银行资产比重IND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposure%Class Aimf-mfs, national-central-bank18.8%

Funding and liquidity sub-index w 1.5

Composite of liquid assets to total assets, liquid assets to short-term liabilities, deposits to loans and the liquidity coverage ratio.

指标单位证据来源占比
流动资产与总资产之比IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_total%Class Aimf-fsi, wb-wdi28.6%
流动资产与短期负债之比IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilities%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor28.6%
客户存款与非同业贷款总额之比IND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loans%Class Aimf-fsi28.6%
流动性覆盖率IND.FIN.liquidity.lcr%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor14.3%

Foreign-exchange mismatch sub-index w 1.5

Composite of the absolute net open FX position to capital and credit and deposit dollarisation.

指标单位证据来源占比
外汇净敞口头寸与资本之比(绝对值)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capital%Class Aimf-fsi, national-supervisor33.3%
外币贷款,占贷款总额比重(信贷美元化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_share%Class Aimf-fsi, national-central-bank33.3%
外币存款,占存款总额比重(存款美元化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_share%Class Aimf-mfs, national-central-bank, imf-fsi33.3%

Credit and asset-price imbalance sub-index w 1.5

Composite of the BIS credit-to-GDP gap, real private-credit growth, household and corporate debt, and real house-price growth and overvaluation.

指标单位证据来源占比
信贷与 GDP 比率缺口(BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gap%Class Bbis-credit-gap25.0%
对私营部门信贷的实际增长率IND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growth%Class Aimf-mfs, imf-fsi16.7%
家庭债务,占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp%Class Abis-credit, imf-gdd, imf-fsi16.7%
非金融企业债务,占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdp%Class Abis-credit, imf-gdd, imf-fsi16.7%
住宅房地产实际价格增长率IND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growth%Class Bbis-rpp, oecd-house-prices, imf-fsi12.5%
房价收入比,偏离长期均值程度IND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gap%Class Boecd-house-prices, derived:bis-rpp12.5%

Climate-related financial exposure sub-index w 0.5

Composite of bank exposure to carbon-intensive sectors, lending exposed to high physical climate risk and the natural-catastrophe protection gap.

指标单位证据来源占比
银行对碳密集行业的风险暴露IND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure%Class Dderived:national-supervisor-credit-register, ngfs-scenarios, bcbs-climate-disclosure-202533.3%
面临高物理气候风险的银行贷款IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending%Class Ederived:nhs-1-hazard-layers, national-supervisor-credit-register, bcbs-climate-disclosure-202533.3%
自然巨灾保障缺口IND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap%Class Cswiss-re-sigma:licensed, munich-re-natcat:licensed, emdat, eiopa-protection-gap33.3%

Macroeconomic instability sub-index w 0.5

Composite of growth volatility, inflation, exchange-rate volatility and unemployment.

指标单位证据来源占比
实际 GDP 增长率波动性(10 年)IND.MAC.output.growth_volatility%Class Aderived:nis:IND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth25.0%
消费者价格通胀率IND.MAC.prices.cpi_inflation%Class Awb-wdi, imf-weo, imf-cpi25.0%
汇率波动性(36 个月)IND.MAC.monetary.exchange_rate_volatility%Class Aderived:imf-ifs-exchange-rates25.0%
失业率IND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate%Class Cilo-ilostat, wb-wdi25.0%
05领域

金融体系

Soundness, depth and vulnerabilities of banks, non-banks, households, corporates and markets, including climate-related financial risk.

Sub-domain指标
Capital adequacy5
Asset quality4
Earnings2
Liquidity and funding5
Foreign-exchange risk3
Financial depth and inclusion6
Real estate2
Non-bank financial intermediation3
Climate-related financial exposure2

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IMF FSI 2019 guide; BCBS climate disclosure 2025; NGFS scenarios.

06指标

All 32 financial system indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FIN · 32
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
指标领域Sub-domain组件单位级别Crosswalks
监管资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwaFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKRC_PT
Tier 1 资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.tier1_rwaFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKRTC_PT
普通股 Tier 1 资本与风险加权资产之比IND.FIN.capital.cet1_rwaFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCET_PT
资本与总资产之比(杠杆)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assetsFINCapital adequacycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKA_PT WB_WDI FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS
扣除拨备后的不良贷款与资本之比IND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capitalFINCapital adequacyvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSKNL_PT
不良贷款与贷款总额之比IND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratioFINAsset qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSANL_PT WB_WDI FB.AST.NPER.ZS
拨备与不良贷款之比IND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_nplFINAsset qualitycoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSPN_PT
按经济活动划分的贷款集中度IND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentrationFINAsset qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCLE_PT
银行对广义政府债权,占银行资产比重IND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposureFINAsset qualityvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSASDG_PT
资产回报率IND.FIN.earnings.roaFINEarningscoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSERA_PT
股本回报率IND.FIN.earnings.roeFINEarningscoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSERE_PT
流动资产与总资产之比IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_totalFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSLT_PT WB_WDI FD.RES.LIQU.AS.ZS
流动资产与短期负债之比IND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilitiesFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSLS_PT
流动性覆盖率IND.FIN.liquidity.lcrFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSLCR_PT
净稳定资金比率IND.FIN.liquidity.nsfrFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSNSF_PT
客户存款与非同业贷款总额之比IND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loansFINLiquidity and fundingcoping capacity%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCD_PT
外汇净敞口头寸与资本之比(绝对值)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capitalFINForeign-exchange riskvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSSNO_PT
外币贷款,占贷款总额比重(信贷美元化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_shareFINForeign-exchange riskvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSFC_PT
外币存款,占存款总额比重(存款美元化)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_shareFINForeign-exchange riskvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSFCD_PT
对私营部门的国内信贷,占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.private_credit.gdpFINFinancial depth and inclusioncontext%COUNTRYWB_WDI FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS WB_WDI GFDD.DI.14
信贷与 GDP 比率缺口(BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gapFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRY
对私营部门信贷的实际增长率IND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growthFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSCGPS_PT
家庭债务,占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdpFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSHG_PT
非金融企业债务,占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdpFINFinancial depth and inclusionvulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSTDGDP_PT
成年人账户拥有率IND.FIN.depth.account_ownershipFINFinancial depth and inclusioncoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2
住宅房地产实际价格增长率IND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growthFINReal estatevulnerability%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSREPRR_PC_CP_A_PT
房价收入比,偏离长期均值程度IND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gapFINReal estatevulnerability%COUNTRY, CITY
其他金融公司资产,占 GDP 比重IND.FIN.nbfi.ofc_assets.gdpFINNon-bank financial intermediationcontext%COUNTRYIMF_FSI FSFAG_PT
保险深度(保费与 GDP 之比)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetrationFINNon-bank financial intermediationcoping capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10
自然巨灾保障缺口IND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gapFINNon-bank financial intermediationvulnerability%REGION, COUNTRY
银行对碳密集行业的风险暴露IND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposureFINClimate-related financial exposureexposure%COUNTRY
面临高物理气候风险的银行贷款IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lendingFINClimate-related financial exposureexposure%COUNTRY
07引用

Financial stability risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · FIN · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Financial stability risk index, world
–
数值随版本发布;区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
上一版
–
Range since 2016
–
耦合综合
–
耦合得分 S
–
脉搏,最近一周
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
方法
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
抽样次数
1,000
Financial stability risk index, world, by edition

尚无已发布的数值。第一版发布后将在这里绘制历史,并附区间带和类别边界。

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
暂无变动。 自第二版起,与上一版相比的变化将在此列出,并附上驱动这些变化的指标。
08数值

Country values

FIG 5 · Financial stability risk index: countries (values when released)
正在加载地图
安道尔安提瓜和巴布达巴林巴巴多斯科摩罗佛得角多米尼克密克罗尼西亚(联邦)格林纳达基里巴斯圣基茨和尼维斯圣卢西亚列支敦士登摩纳哥马尔代夫马绍尔群岛马耳他毛里求斯瑙鲁帕劳新加坡圣马力诺圣多美和普林西比塞舌尔汤加图瓦卢教廷圣文森特和格林纳丁斯萨摩亚
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
瓦片
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/fin/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
观测键
nis:IDX.FIN.capital.financial_stability_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
IMF_FSI19
WB_WDI5
IMF_WEO1
SDG1
ILO1
11贯穿 Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12引用

引用与再利用

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Financial stability risk index (GRX-IDX-FIN), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/financial-stability-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000121.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.