The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-SOC · VUL Human and systems vulnerability
社会经济脆弱性指数
Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of poverty and deprivation, inequality, human capital deficit, the social protection gap and gender inequality.
Page GRX-IDX-SOCEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.SOC.poverty.socioeconomic_vulnerabilityValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation
geometric
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
不确定性
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
结构
5 components
18 leaf indicators
覆盖范围
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
18
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
5
series read it
01Construction
From indicators to the composite
How far a society’s poverty, inequality and thin protection would amplify any hazard; the HDI and IHDI are shown alongside as external references, not inputs, to avoid double counting.
computation
How Socio-economic vulnerability is computedGraph26 nodes
流程图
01指标
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04支柱
05综合
100%
索引
- 极端贫困人口比例，每天 3.00 美元（2021 年 PPP）Indicator · IND · %Share of the population living in households whose consumption or income per person is below USD 3.00 a day at 2021 purchasing-power parities, the international extreme poverty line.
- 按国家贫困线计算的贫困人口比例Indicator · IND · %Share of the population below the country’s own official poverty line, as set and estimated by national authorities from household surveys.
- 多维贫困人口比例（全球 MPI）Indicator · IND · %Share of the population deprived in at least one third of the weighted health, education and living-standard indicators of the global Multidimensional Poverty Index.
- 基尼系数Indicator · IND · scoreGini index of household consumption or income per person, from 0 (perfect equality) to 100 (one person holds everything).
- 最低 40% 人群的收入或消费占比Indicator · IND · %Share of total household consumption or income held by the poorest 40% of the population.
- 最低 40% 人群的消费或收入增长率Indicator · IND · %Annualised growth rate of real mean consumption or income per person of the poorest 40% between two comparable surveys about five years apart.
- 不平等造成的人类发展损失Indicator · IND · %Percentage difference between the HDI and the inequality-adjusted HDI, as published by UNDP.
- 平均受教育年限Indicator · IND · aAverage number of years of formal education completed by people aged 25 and older, as published by UNDP.
- 预期受教育年限Indicator · IND · aYears of schooling a child entering school can expect to receive if current age-specific enrolment rates persist, as published by UNDP.
- 学习贫困Indicator · IND · %Share of children at the end-of-primary age who cannot read and understand a simple age-appropriate text, counting out-of-school children as not reading proficiently.
- 成人识字率Indicator · IND · %Share of people aged 15 and over who can read and write a short simple statement about their everyday life with understanding.
- 至少享有一项社会保护福利的人口Indicator · IND · %Share of the population receiving at least one contributory or non-contributory cash social protection benefit, or actively contributing to a social insurance scheme.
- 非正规就业，占总就业比重Indicator · IND · %Share of all employed people, agricultural and non-agricultural, whose work is not covered by labour legislation, social security or employment benefits in law or practice.
- 未就业、未受教育或培训的青年Indicator · IND · %Share of people aged 15 to 24 who are neither employed nor in education or training.
- 从事童工劳动的 5 至 17 岁儿童Indicator · IND · %Share of children aged 5 to 17 engaged in economic activity or household chores above age-specific hour thresholds, or in hazardous work.
- 性别不平等指数（UNDP）Indicator · IND · scoreUNDP composite, from 0 to 1, of gender gaps in reproductive health, empowerment and labour-market participation, ingested as published.
- 女性劳动力参与率Indicator · IND · %Share of women aged 15 and over who are employed or seeking work (ILO modelled estimate).
- 国家议会中女性所占席位Indicator · IND · %Share of seats in the single or lower chamber of the national parliament held by women.
- Poverty and deprivation sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 36.4%Composite of the extreme poverty headcount at USD 3.00 a day, the national poverty headcount and the multidimensional poverty headcount.
- Inequality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 18.2%Composite of the Gini index, the bottom-40% share, bottom-40% growth and the inequality loss in human development.
- Human capital deficit sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 18.2%Composite of mean and expected years of schooling, learning poverty and adult literacy, oriented so that higher values mean a larger deficit.
- Social protection gap sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 18.2%Composite of social protection coverage, informal employment, youth NEET and child labour, oriented so that higher values mean a wider gap.
- Gender inequality sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 9.1%Composite of the UNDP Gender Inequality Index, female labour-force participation and women’s parliamentary representation.
- 社会经济脆弱性指数Domain index · IDX · geometricWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of poverty and deprivation, inequality, human capital deficit, the social protection gap and gender inequality.
- 人类与系统脆弱性Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indicesHow susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
未运行进行中已完成
02Simulator
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate socio-economic vulnerability on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
–
在您的浏览器中运行
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
03方法
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- 专家
- Aggregation
- geometric
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- 不确定性
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- INFORM Risk vulnerability dimension (structure only); UNDP HDR 2025; JRC COIN 10-step guide; OECD/JRC Handbook (2008)
很低0.0 至 < 2.0
低2.0 至 < 3.5
中3.5 至 < 5.0
高5.0 至 < 6.5
很高6.5 至 10.0
04Components
5 components, 18 indicators
Poverty and deprivation sub-index w 2
Composite of the extreme poverty headcount at USD 3.00 a day, the national poverty headcount and the multidimensional poverty headcount.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
极端贫困人口比例，每天 3.00 美元（2021 年 PPP）IND.SOC.poverty.extreme_poverty.usd300 | % | Class B | wb-pip, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
按国家贫困线计算的贫困人口比例IND.SOC.poverty.national_poverty | % | Class B | national-statistical-offices, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
多维贫困人口比例（全球 MPI）IND.SOC.poverty.multidimensional_poverty | % | Class C | undp-ophi-global-mpi | 25.0% |
Inequality sub-index w 1
Composite of the Gini index, the bottom-40% share, bottom-40% growth and the inequality loss in human development.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
基尼系数IND.SOC.inequality.gini | {score} | Class B | wb-pip, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
最低 40% 人群的收入或消费占比IND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_income_share | % | Class B | wb-pip, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
最低 40% 人群的消费或收入增长率IND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_growth | % | Class B | wb-pip, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
不平等造成的人类发展损失IND.SOC.inequality.human_development_loss | % | Class C | undp-hdr | 25.0% |
Human capital deficit sub-index w 1
Composite of mean and expected years of schooling, learning poverty and adult literacy, oriented so that higher values mean a larger deficit.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
平均受教育年限IND.SOC.education.mean_years_schooling | a | Class C | undp-hdr, unesco-uis, barro-lee | 25.0% |
预期受教育年限IND.SOC.education.expected_years_schooling | a | Class C | undp-hdr, unesco-uis | 25.0% |
学习贫困IND.SOC.education.learning_poverty | % | Class C | wb-learning-poverty, unesco-uis, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
成人识字率IND.SOC.education.adult_literacy | % | Class B | unesco-uis, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
Social protection gap sub-index w 1
Composite of social protection coverage, informal employment, youth NEET and child labour, oriented so that higher values mean a wider gap.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
至少享有一项社会保护福利的人口IND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage | % | Class B | ilo-world-social-protection-database, wb-aspire | 40.0% |
非正规就业，占总就业比重IND.SOC.protection.informal_employment | % | Class B | ilo-ilostat | 20.0% |
未就业、未受教育或培训的青年IND.SOC.protection.youth_neet | % | Class B | ilo-ilostat, wb-wdi | 20.0% |
从事童工劳动的 5 至 17 岁儿童IND.SOC.protection.child_labour | % | Class B | unicef-mics, ilo-ilostat | 20.0% |
Gender inequality sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the UNDP Gender Inequality Index, female labour-force participation and women’s parliamentary representation.
| 指标 | 单位 | 证据 | 来源 | 占比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
性别不平等指数（UNDP）IND.SOC.gender.gender_inequality_index | {score} | Class C | undp-hdr | 50.0% |
女性劳动力参与率IND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation | % | Class C | ilo-ilostat, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
国家议会中女性所占席位IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament | % | Class A | ipu-parline, wb-wdi | 25.0% |
05领域
Social and human development
Poverty, inequality, education, gender, social protection and human development.
| Sub-domain | 指标 |
|---|---|
| Poverty | 5 |
| Inequality | 4 |
| Education | 4 |
| Gender | 3 |
| Social protection | 4 |
| 人类发展 | 2 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): UNDP HDR 2025; SDG 1, 4, 5, 10; WB Poverty and Inequality Platform.
06指标
All 22 social and human development indicators
FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指标 | 领域 | Sub-domain | 组件 | 单位 | 级别 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
极端贫困人口比例，每天 3.00 美元（2021 年 PPP）IND.SOC.poverty.extreme_poverty.usd300 | SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.DDAY SDG 1.1.1 |
贫困人口比例，每天 4.20 美元（2021 年 PPP）IND.SOC.poverty.poverty.usd420 | SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.LMIC |
贫困人口比例，每天 8.30 美元（2021 年 PPP）IND.SOC.poverty.poverty.usd830 | SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.UMIC |
按国家贫困线计算的贫困人口比例IND.SOC.poverty.national_poverty | SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SI.POV.NAHC SDG 1.2.1 |
多维贫困人口比例（全球 MPI）IND.SOC.poverty.multidimensional_poverty | SOC | Poverty | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 1.2.2 WB_WDI SI.POV.MPWB |
基尼系数IND.SOC.inequality.gini | SOC | Inequality | vulnerability | {score} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.POV.GINI |
最低 40% 人群的收入或消费占比IND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_income_share | SOC | Inequality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.DST.FRST.20 |
最低 40% 人群的消费或收入增长率IND.SOC.inequality.bottom40_growth | SOC | Inequality | adaptive capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SI.SPR.PC40.ZG SDG 10.1.1 |
不平等造成的人类发展损失IND.SOC.inequality.human_development_loss | SOC | Inequality | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | HDR loss |
平均受教育年限IND.SOC.education.mean_years_schooling | SOC | Education | adaptive capacity | a | COUNTRY | HDR mys |
预期受教育年限IND.SOC.education.expected_years_schooling | SOC | Education | adaptive capacity | a | COUNTRY | HDR eys |
学习贫困IND.SOC.education.learning_poverty | SOC | Education | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SE.LPV.PRIM SDG 4.1.1 |
成人识字率IND.SOC.education.adult_literacy | SOC | Education | adaptive capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SE.ADT.LITR.ZS SDG 4.6.1 |
性别不平等指数（UNDP）IND.SOC.gender.gender_inequality_index | SOC | Gender | vulnerability | {score} | COUNTRY | HDR gii |
女性劳动力参与率IND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation | SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.TLF.CACT.FE.ZS |
国家议会中女性所占席位IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament | SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1 |
至少享有一项社会保护福利的人口IND.SOC.protection.social_protection_coverage | SOC | Social protection | coping capacity | % | COUNTRY | SDG 1.3.1 ILO SDG_0131_SEX_SOC_RT WB_WDI per_allsp.cov_pop_tot |
未就业、未受教育或培训的青年IND.SOC.protection.youth_neet | SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT |
非正规就业，占总就业比重IND.SOC.protection.informal_employment | SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 8.3.1 ILO SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT WB_WDI SL.ISV.IFRM.ZS |
从事童工劳动的 5 至 17 岁儿童IND.SOC.protection.child_labour | SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | SDG 8.7.1 ILO SDG_B871_SEX_AGE_RT WB_WDI SL.TLF.0714.ZS |
人类发展指数（UNDP）IND.SOC.development.hdi | SOC | 人类发展 | adaptive capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | HDR hdi |
不平等调整后人类发展指数（UNDP）IND.SOC.development.ihdi | SOC | 人类发展 | adaptive capacity | {score} | COUNTRY | HDR ihdi |
07引用
Socio-economic vulnerability index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
NXS-GRX · SOC · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Socio-economic vulnerability index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
- 上一版
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- 耦合综合
- –
- 耦合得分 S
- –
- 脉搏，最近一周
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- 方法
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- 抽样次数
- 1,000
Socio-economic vulnerability index, world, by edition
尚无已发布的数值。第一版发布后将在这里绘制历史，并附区间带和类别边界。
非洲54
美洲35
亚洲48
欧洲44
暂无变动。 自第二版起，与上一版相比的变化将在此列出，并附上驱动这些变化的指标。
08数值
Country values
FIG 5 · Socio-economic vulnerability index: countries (values when released)
正在加载地图
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
- 瓦片
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/soc/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- 观测键
nis:IDX.SOC.poverty.socioeconomic_vulnerability:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09系列
Series that read this index
GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk.→ GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses.→ GS-10Global CitiesUrban exposure, heat, flooding, informal settlement, service dependency and the economic weight of cities at risk.→ SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk.→ XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk.→
10Validity
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 14 |
SDG | 11 |
HDR | 4 |
ILO | 4 |
11贯穿 Nexus
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
12引用
引用与再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Socio-economic vulnerability index (GRX-IDX-SOC), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/socioeconomic-vulnerability/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000128.
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.