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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · Hazard Standard

Every hazard NXS-GRX reads

From convective storms and fault rupture to space weather, AI system failure and the structural fragility of interconnected systems. Select a segment to filter the families.

All families HIPs crosswalk
Sayfa GRX-HAZBaskı 2026 Temel SürümüKanıt kapanışı 2026-09-30Değerler henüz yayımlanmadıYöntem v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Hazard Standard: every hazard NXS-GRX reads
AtmosphereSuSolidPlanetaryKirlilikSağlıkYapılıBilgiÖncüToplumSistemik905HAZARDS
14 hazard domains (inner ring) and 120 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
14
tehlike alanları
120
families
905
tehlikeler
281
HIPs 2025 hazards

01Explorer

Explore 905 hazards

Search names, aliases and definitions, and filter by domain, origin, onset, footprint, predictability and risk class; every hazard opens on its domain page with its relations.

ATMOAtmosphere and weatherHazards that live in the air column: storms, winds, precipitation extremes, thermal extremes, airborne particles and large-scale circulation anomalies. WATERWater systemsHazards of fresh and salt water: floods, water deficit, sea-level and wave hazards, ocean-state extremes and water-quality degradation. CRYOIce and snowHazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice. GEOSolid EarthHazards of the crust and ground: fault shaking, eruptions, slope failure, ground deformation and surface erosion. SPACESpace and near-EarthHazards that arrive from or act in space: solar-terrestrial storms, impacts and orbital debris. ECOLand and ecosystemsHazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts. PLANETPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingHazards of the Earth system as a whole: transgression of the boundaries that keep the planet in a stable state, tipping of large climate, ice, ocean and biome components, carbon-cycle feedbacks, and rare deep-time and cosmic catastrophes. POLLPollution and hazardous substancesHarmful substances in air, water, soil and food, toxic releases, ionising radiation and waste-containment failures. HEALTHHealth and biosecurityDisease and biological harm to people, animals and plants, grouped by transmission route, plus systemic biological risks, chronic and mental-health burdens, drug resistance and the failure of health systems. INFRABuilt systemsFailure and accident hazards of structures, energy, water, digital and space-service networks, mobility, food systems, cities, ageing assets and industrial plants. CYBERInformation and cyber-physical systemsCompromise or failure of information systems, including attacks that reach physical processes, identity and trust services, systemic cyber events and platforms everything else depends on. TECHFrontier and exponential technologyHazards that arise from frontier and exponential technologies: artificial intelligence, biotechnology, advanced materials, quantum, neurotechnology, autonomy, climate intervention, space systems, digital concentration, advanced manufacturing and energy-transition technology. SOCSociety, conflict and economyViolence, geopolitical and nuclear confrontation, conflict-induced harm, humanitarian crises, governance and cohesion failure, crime, demographic and labour transitions, macro-fiscal and financial-system shocks, and loss of heritage. SYSSystemic and compound eventsEvents defined by interaction rather than by one process: supply-chain disruption, cascading failure, compound multi-hazard events and the structural fragility (concentration, coupling, polycrisis) that lets them spread.

02Tehlike Standardı

Every hazard family

Families group hazards by the process that drives them; systemic, compound, planetary and frontier-technology hazards are first-class, not footnotes.

Aile Alan Tehlikeler Sayı
Convective storms Atmosfer ve hava Thunderstorm, Lightning strike, Downburst, Tornado, Waterspout, Hail, Squall, Derecho, Fire-generated thunderstorm, Dry lightning storm … 11
Cyclonic storm systems Atmosfer ve hava Tropical cyclone, Subtropical cyclone, Extratropical cyclone, Low-pressure system, Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, Polar low, Rapid cyclone intensification, Explosive cyclogenesis 8
Damaging wind Atmosfer ve hava Windstorm, Gale, Downslope windstorm, Clear-air turbulence 4
Precipitation extremes Atmosfer ve hava Intense rainfall, Heavy snowfall, Snowstorm, Blizzard, Lake-effect snow band, Freezing rain, Structural icing 7
Thermal extremes Atmosfer ve hava Heatwave, Humid heat stress, Cold wave, Livestock winter disaster, Hard freeze, Frost, Rapid thaw, Extreme night-time heat, Urban heat island 9
Airborne particles and low visibility Atmosfer ve hava Fog, Dust storm, Dust haze, Haze, Smoke plume, Airborne allergen surge 6
Large-scale circulation anomalies Atmosfer ve hava Atmospheric river, Atmospheric blocking, Tropical Pacific climate swing, Monsoon failure, Polar vortex disruption, Indian Ocean dipole event, North Atlantic pressure-seesaw extreme 7
Surface radiation extremes Atmosfer ve hava Extreme ultraviolet exposure, Stratospheric ozone loss episode 2
Freshwater inundation Su sistemleri River flood, Flash flood, Surface-water flood, Groundwater flood, Snowmelt flood, Ice-jam flood, Reservoir release flood, Natural-dam outburst flood, Lake-level flood 9
Water deficit Su sistemleri Meteorological drought, Agricultural drought, Hydrological drought, Groundwater depletion, Flash drought, Water supply shortfall, Megadrought, Lake and inland sea desiccation, Post-peak glacier meltwater decline 9
Coastal and sea-level hazards Su sistemleri Storm surge, Storm tide, Coastal flood, Estuary flood, High-tide flooding, Tsunami, Seiche, Rogue wave, Dangerous surf, Rip current … 13
Ocean-state extremes Su sistemleri Marine heatwave, Ocean acidification, Marine oxygen depletion, Upper-ocean stratification increase, Marine cold spell, Lake and river heatwave 6
Water-quality degradation Su sistemleri Eutrophication, Harmful algal bloom, Freshwater salinisation, Sargassum seaweed influx 4
Snowpack hazards Buz ve kar Snow avalanche, Snow drought, Rain-on-snow event 3
Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost change Buz ve kar Glacial lake outburst flood, Glacier or ice-mass collapse, Glacier mass loss, Ice-sheet mass loss, Permafrost thaw, Ice-shelf disintegration, Subglacial outburst flood, Glacier surge, Permafrost thaw slump, Rock glacier destabilisation 10
Floating ice Buz ve kar Sea ice, Iceberg and ice-floe drift, Sea-ice loss, Lake and river ice loss, Shoreline ice shove 5
Fault shaking and rupture Katı Yer Earthquake, Induced earthquake, Aftershock sequence, Fault surface rupture, Soil liquefaction, Ground fissure, Earthquake swarm 7
Eruption products and unrest Katı Yer Volcanic unrest, Lava flow, Volcanic ash fall, Volcanic ash cloud, Volcanic ballistic projectiles, Pyroclastic flow, Lahar, Volcanic gas and aerosol emission, Volcano flank collapse, Phreatic and hydrothermal explosion … 12
Slope failure and mass movement Katı Yer Rockfall, Topple, Slope slide, Lateral spread, Debris flow, Earthflow and mudflow, Rock avalanche, Submarine landslide, Slope creep 9
Ground deformation and subsidence Katı Yer Land subsidence, Crustal uplift, Sinkhole, Shrink-swell soil movement, Soft-soil settlement, Ground gas seepage, Mining-induced subsidence 7
Erosion and sediment movement Katı Yer Soil erosion, River bank erosion, Coastal erosion, Dune encroachment, Reservoir and channel siltation, River avulsion, Delta sediment starvation 7
Seabed and deep-sea hazards Katı Yer Turbidity current, Submarine volcanic eruption, Seabed gas escape, Pumice raft, Deep-sea mining disturbance 5
Solar-terrestrial storms Uzay ve Yer'e yakın alan Geomagnetic storm, Solar flare radio blackout, Solar radiation storm, Ionospheric disturbance, Geomagnetically induced current, Satellite space-environment anomaly, Thermospheric drag surge, Radiation-belt electron enhancement, South Atlantic weak-field anomaly 9
Impacts and orbital hazards Uzay ve Yer'e yakın alan Near-Earth object approach, Meteorite impact, Airburst, Space debris, Orbital collision cascade, Uncontrolled re-entry, Spaceflight accident, Meteoroid stream encounter 8
Vegetation and peat fire Kara ve ekosistemler Extreme fire weather, Wildfire, Wildland-urban interface fire, Peat and underground fire, Fire regime shift 5
Forest and woodland stress Kara ve ekosistemler Deforestation, Forest dieback, Large forest disturbance, Forest pest invasion, Native forest insect outbreak 5
Land and wetland degradation Kara ve ekosistemler Land degradation, Desertification, Soil quality decline, Soil salinisation and sodicity, Wetland loss, Mangrove loss, Peatland drainage and degradation, Soil sealing, Soil acidification 9
Biodiversity and species stress Kara ve ekosistemler Biodiversity loss, Coral bleaching, Pollinator decline, Fishery collapse, Mass wildlife mortality, Human-wildlife conflict, Wildlife disease panzootic, Insect decline, Phenological mismatch, Climate-driven species range shift … 12
Climate-state shifts Kara ve ekosistemler Abrupt climate-system shift, Volcanic cooling 2
Ecosystem regime shifts Kara ve ekosistemler Kelp forest collapse, Seagrass meadow loss, Lake clear-to-turbid shift, Woody plant encroachment, Coastal habitat squeeze, Food-web collapse 6
Planetary boundary transgressions Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları Climate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance, Green-water disturbance, Nitrogen flow boundary transgression … 14
Ice tipping elements Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları Greenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction 6
Ocean circulation and marine tipping Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları Atlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation 7
Biome tipping elements Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları Amazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift 5
Carbon-cycle feedbacks Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları Permafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback 7
Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tipping Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları South Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup, Tipping cascade 9
Deep-time and cosmic catastrophes Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları Supereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova, Geomagnetic reversal or excursion, Ocean anoxic event 10
Air pollution episodes Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Outdoor air pollution episode, Point-source air emission, Household air pollution, Black carbon, Acid deposition, Ground-level ozone episode, Open waste burning, Agricultural residue burning, Agricultural ammonia emission 9
Contaminated water, soil and food Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Diffuse runoff pollution, Soil contamination, Chemical water contamination, Oil spill, Microplastic contamination, Food and feed contamination, Mycotoxin contamination, Seafood biotoxin contamination, Pesticide exposure, Nitrate contamination of drinking water 10
Persistent and bioaccumulative substances Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Persistent organic pollutants, PFAS contamination, Mercury exposure, Lead exposure, Cadmium exposure, Arsenic in drinking water, Trace-element imbalance, Asbestos exposure, Benzene and hydrocarbon exposure 9
Hazardous releases and chemical agents Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Chemical spill or leak, Toxic gas release, Asphyxiant gas release, Carbon monoxide poisoning, Corrosive substance release, Deliberate chemical-agent release 6
Ionising radiation and nuclear material Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Nuclear plant accident, Radioactive material release, Nuclear detonation, Radioactive waste containment failure 4
Waste and residue failures Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Solid waste mismanagement, Landfill failure, Hazardous and clinical waste release, Electronic waste exposure, Plastic waste accumulation, Marine debris, Untreated wastewater discharge, Waste impoundment failure, Disaster and conflict debris 9
Novel entities and emerging contaminants Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Nanoplastic accumulation, Tyre and road wear particles, Endocrine-disrupting chemical exposure, Pharmaceutical pollution, Environmental spread of antimicrobial resistance, Unassessed chemical mixture exposure, Engineered nanomaterial release 7
Indoor environment hazards Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Poor indoor air quality, Damp and mould exposure, Indoor chemical off-gassing, Indoor overheating, Second-hand smoke exposure 5
Noise, light and thermal pollution Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler Environmental noise pollution, Light pollution, Underwater noise pollution, Thermal water pollution 4
Airborne and respiratory infection Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Respiratory pandemic, Seasonal influenza epidemic, Zoonotic influenza spillover, Coronavirus outbreak, Tuberculosis surge, Bacterial meningitis outbreak 6
Vaccine-preventable outbreaks Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Measles outbreak, Polio outbreak, Diphtheria and whooping cough outbreak, Other vaccine-preventable outbreak 4
Faecal-oral and foodborne infection Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Cholera outbreak, Typhoid and paratyphoid fever, Shigellosis and dysentery outbreak, Viral diarrhoea outbreak, Faecal-oral hepatitis outbreak, Foodborne illness outbreak, Waterborne disease outbreak 7
Vector-borne infection Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Dengue epidemic, Chikungunya and Zika outbreak, Yellow fever outbreak, West Nile and Culex-borne virus outbreak, Malaria resurgence, Plague outbreak, Trypanosomiasis outbreak, Tick-borne disease surge, Neglected tropical disease outbreak, Emerging arbovirus outbreak 10
Haemorrhagic fever Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Ebola and Marburg outbreak, Lassa fever outbreak, Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever outbreak 3
Blood-borne and sexually transmitted infection Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik HIV epidemic, Chronic viral hepatitis B and C burden, Sexually transmitted infection resurgence 3
Animal-to-human spillover Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Zoonotic spillover event, Anthrax outbreak, Brucellosis outbreak, Rabies outbreak, Leptospirosis outbreak, Mpox outbreak, Rift Valley fever outbreak, Nipah and henipavirus outbreak 8
Rare and persistent human infections Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Prion disease cluster, Smallpox reintroduction 2
Livestock and aquaculture epizootics Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Swine fever epizootic, Foot-and-mouth epizootic, Ruminant respiratory epizootic, Vector-borne livestock disease, Poultry epizootic, Screwworm infestation, Aquaculture disease outbreak, Livestock disease outbreak 8
Plant disease and pests Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Bacterial and fungal crop disease, Plant virus epidemic, Crop insect pest outbreak, Locust swarm, Invasive species spread 5
Systemic biological risks Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Antimicrobial resistance, Deliberate or accidental biological-agent release 2
Environmental and product harm to people Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Snakebite envenoming, Substandard and falsified medicines, Adulterated alcohol poisoning, Overdose epidemic 4
Climate-sensitive illness Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Heat-related illness surge, Cold-related illness surge, Disease vector range expansion, Aeroallergen season intensification, Warm-water bacterial infection 5
Drug and insecticide resistance by pathogen class Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Multidrug-resistant bacterial infection spread, Antiviral drug resistance, Antimalarial and antiparasitic drug resistance, Antifungal drug resistance, Insecticide resistance in disease vectors, Antimicrobial development and supply failure 6
Emerging and unknown infection threats Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Unknown future pathogen emergence, Emerging fungal pathogen, Endemic fungal disease range expansion, Healthcare-associated infection outbreak, Undiagnosed illness cluster 5
Maternal, newborn and child health emergencies Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Maternal mortality rise, Newborn mortality surge, Preterm and low birthweight birth rise, Childhood immunisation coverage collapse, Infant feeding disruption, Reproductive health service disruption 6
Mental health crises Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Population mental distress surge, Post-disaster traumatic stress, Suicide rate rise, Youth mental health crisis, Climate-related psychological distress, Social isolation and loneliness epidemic, Mass psychogenic illness outbreak, Gambling harm surge 8
Noncommunicable disease surges Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Cardiovascular disease surge, Diabetes epidemic, Obesity epidemic, Cancer burden rise, Chronic respiratory disease burden, Chronic kidney disease surge, Dementia burden growth, Post-infection chronic illness, Tobacco and nicotine use epidemic, Harmful alcohol use burden … 11
Malnutrition and micronutrient deficiency Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Acute malnutrition surge, Chronic undernutrition and stunting, Micronutrient deficiency, Nutritional deficiency disease outbreak, Unhealthy diet transition, Crop nutrient decline 6
Occupational disease and injury Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Occupational lung disease, Occupational heat strain, Occupational cancer, Occupational chemical poisoning, Workplace injury burden, Work-related psychosocial harm 6
Health system capacity failure Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik Health workforce shortage, Health worker industrial action, Health financing collapse, Catastrophic out-of-pocket health spending, Vaccine confidence collapse, Essential health service disruption, Disease surveillance failure, Health facility loss of function, Global health cooperation breakdown 9
Structural and civil failure Yapılı sistemler Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage Yapılı sistemler Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents Yapılı sistemler Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents Yapılı sistemler Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire, Hydrogen release and explosion, Pressurised liquefied gas explosion … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall Yapılı sistemler Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall, Cooling-water curtailment of power plants, Nuclear station loss of power and cooling … 22
Water and wastewater system failure Yapılı sistemler Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply, Firefighting water shortfall 9
Telecom and data-centre failure Yapılı sistemler Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss Yapılı sistemler Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage Yapılı sistemler Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption Yapılı sistemler Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident, Ship cargo fire, Container loss at sea … 12
Food system infrastructure failure Yapılı sistemler Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress Yapılı sistemler Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure Yapılı sistemler Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
Malicious compromise Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Malware outbreak, Ransomware attack, Data breach, Persistent intrusion, Denial-of-service attack, Software or hardware supply-chain compromise, Social-engineering campaign, Online harassment campaign, Re-identification of protected data 9
Information-integrity attacks Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Disinformation campaign, Data and model integrity attack, Election infrastructure attack, Public record tampering, Misinformation surge and infodemic, Hazardous information disclosure 6
Cyber-physical disruption Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Industrial control system compromise, Power-grid cyberattack, Transport control-system attack, Health-system cyberattack, Medical device compromise, Water utility cyberattack, Building systems compromise, Mass connected-device manipulation, Industrial safety system attack, Satellite or ground control compromise … 11
Signal and platform disruption Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Satellite-navigation disruption, Major cloud or platform outage, Internet routing or naming failure, Subsea cable damage, Payment system outage, Radio-spectrum interference, Digital public infrastructure failure 7
Identity, trust and cryptographic failure Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Identity provider compromise, Signing key or certificate compromise, Certificate or credential expiry outage, Cryptographic algorithm or implementation break, Mass account takeover, National digital identity system failure 6
Systemic cyber events Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Defective update mass outage, Mass vulnerability exploitation, Connected-device botnet, Managed service provider compromise, Firmware or hardware backdoor, Insider threat, Cyber theft from financial infrastructure, Irrecoverable data loss, Date and time rollover software fault 9
AI system failure and misalignment Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration, Runaway recursive AI capability gain, Unanticipated dangerous capability emergence … 11
AI security and model supply chain Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots, AI-driven inference of private traits, AI compute energy and water demand surge … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure, Hijacking of connected robot fleets, Autonomous machine malfunction 10
Biyoteknoloji ve sentetik biyoloji Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release, Self-spreading vaccine or transmissible agent release, Unregulated do-it-yourself biohacking 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
İklim müdahalesi teknolojileri Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage, Weather modification side effects and disputes, Ice-sheet and sea-ice intervention side effects … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Öncü ve üstel teknoloji 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Dağıtık defterler ve dijital varlıklar Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Organised and collective violence Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility, Arms-race instability, Collapse of arms control … 15
Governance and institutional failure Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space, State-ordered internet shutdown, Disputed election and contested transfer of power … 18
Financial-system fragility Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse, Stablecoin run, Insurance market withdrawal … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis, Remittance collapse, Aid and humanitarian funding shock … 12
Labour and technology transition Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation, Mass expulsion and forced return, Brain drain … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation, Surge in gender-based violence 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea, Kidnapping for ransom, Environmental crime … 12
Cultural heritage loss Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
Supply-chain and flow disruption Sistemik ve bileşik olaylar Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure, Medical supply shortage, Semiconductor supply disruption … 17
Cascading failure Sistemik ve bileşik olaylar Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock, Cross-border grid cascade, Financial-physical risk feedback 10
Compound and multi-hazard events Sistemik ve bileşik olaylar Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic, Conflict and climate-stress compound 9
Structural fragility of interconnected systems Sistemik ve bileşik olaylar Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems, Globally synchronised shocks, Polycrisis … 11
03Alanlar

14 tehlike alanı

Each domain page lists every family and hazard with its definition, attributes, risk classes and expert relations.

54 tehlike · 8 aile

Atmosfer ve hava

Hazards that live in the air column: storms, winds, precipitation extremes, thermal extremes, airborne particles and large-scale circulation anomalies.

Open the domain 41 hazards · 5 families

Su sistemleri

Hazards of fresh and salt water: floods, water deficit, sea-level and wave hazards, ocean-state extremes and water-quality degradation.

Open the domain 18 hazards · 3 families

Buz ve kar

Hazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice.

Open the domain 47 hazards · 6 families

Katı Yer

Hazards of the crust and ground: fault shaking, eruptions, slope failure, ground deformation and surface erosion.

Open the domain 17 hazards · 2 families

Uzay ve Yer'e yakın alan

Hazards that arrive from or act in space: solar-terrestrial storms, impacts and orbital debris.

Open the domain 39 hazards · 6 families

Kara ve ekosistemler

Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts.

Open the domain 58 hazards · 7 families

Gezegen sınırları ve Yer sistemi eşik noktaları

Hazards of the Earth system as a whole: transgression of the boundaries that keep the planet in a stable state, tipping of large climate, ice, ocean and biome components, carbon-cycle feedbacks, and rare deep-time and cosmic catastrophes.

Open the domain 63 hazards · 9 families

Kirlilik ve tehlikeli maddeler

Harmful substances in air, water, soil and food, toxic releases, ionising radiation and waste-containment failures.

Open the domain 124 hazards · 21 families

Sağlık ve biyogüvenlik

Disease and biological harm to people, animals and plants, grouped by transmission route, plus systemic biological risks, chronic and mental-health burdens, drug resistance and the failure of health systems.

Open the domain 110 hazards · 13 families

Yapılı sistemler

Failure and accident hazards of structures, energy, water, digital and space-service networks, mobility, food systems, cities, ageing assets and industrial plants.

Open the domain 48 hazards · 6 families

Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler

Compromise or failure of information systems, including attacks that reach physical processes, identity and trust services, systemic cyber events and platforms everything else depends on.

Open the domain 109 hazards · 16 families

Öncü ve üstel teknoloji

Hazards that arise from frontier and exponential technologies: artificial intelligence, biotechnology, advanced materials, quantum, neurotechnology, autonomy, climate intervention, space systems, digital concentration, advanced manufacturing and energy-transition technology.

Open the domain 130 hazards · 14 families

Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi

Violence, geopolitical and nuclear confrontation, conflict-induced harm, humanitarian crises, governance and cohesion failure, crime, demographic and labour transitions, macro-fiscal and financial-system shocks, and loss of heritage.

Open the domain 47 hazards · 4 families

Sistemik ve bileşik olaylar

Events defined by interaction rather than by one process: supply-chain disruption, cascading failure, compound multi-hazard events and the structural fragility (concentration, coupling, polycrisis) that lets them spread.

Open the domain

04Eşleme

UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles

Each hazard maps to one of the 281 HIPs profiles (UNDRR-ISC HIP 2025) as an exact, chapeau or broader match, or records that none exists. HIPs are cited for interoperability; their text is not reproduced.

HIPs type Ad
MH Hydrological and Meteorological
ET Extraterrestrial
GH Geological
EN Çevresel
CH Chemical
BI Biological
TL Teknolojik
SO Toplumsal

See how hazards enter the index

The multi-hazard exposure index combines hazard and exposure with a complement aggregation, so any single high exposure lifts it.

Çoklu tehlikeye maruziyet endeksi

Durum

The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.

NXS-GRX ne değildir

NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.

Kurumlar ve kaynaklar

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.