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Глобальный индекс рисков (Global Risks Index)

The Global Risks Index · Hazard Standard

Every hazard NXS-GRX reads

From convective storms and fault rupture to space weather, AI system failure and the structural fragility of interconnected systems. Select a segment to filter the families.

All families HIPs crosswalk
Страница GRX-HAZВыпуск Базовый выпуск 2026Дата закрытия доказательной базы 2026-09-30Значения пока не опубликованыМетод v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Hazard Standard: every hazard NXS-GRX reads
AtmosphereВодаSolidPlanetaryЗагрязнениеЗдоровьеСтандарты опасностей застроенныхИнформацияПередний крайОбществоСистемные риски905HAZARDS
14 hazard domains (inner ring) and 120 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
14
домены угроз
120
families
905
опасные явления
281
HIPs 2025 hazards

01Explorer

Explore 905 hazards

Search names, aliases and definitions, and filter by domain, origin, onset, footprint, predictability and risk class; every hazard opens on its domain page with its relations.

ATMOAtmosphere and weatherHazards that live in the air column: storms, winds, precipitation extremes, thermal extremes, airborne particles and large-scale circulation anomalies. WATERWater systemsHazards of fresh and salt water: floods, water deficit, sea-level and wave hazards, ocean-state extremes and water-quality degradation. CRYOIce and snowHazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice. GEOSolid EarthHazards of the crust and ground: fault shaking, eruptions, slope failure, ground deformation and surface erosion. SPACESpace and near-EarthHazards that arrive from or act in space: solar-terrestrial storms, impacts and orbital debris. ECOLand and ecosystemsHazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts. PLANETPlanetary boundaries and Earth-system tippingHazards of the Earth system as a whole: transgression of the boundaries that keep the planet in a stable state, tipping of large climate, ice, ocean and biome components, carbon-cycle feedbacks, and rare deep-time and cosmic catastrophes. POLLPollution and hazardous substancesHarmful substances in air, water, soil and food, toxic releases, ionising radiation and waste-containment failures. HEALTHHealth and biosecurityDisease and biological harm to people, animals and plants, grouped by transmission route, plus systemic biological risks, chronic and mental-health burdens, drug resistance and the failure of health systems. INFRABuilt systemsFailure and accident hazards of structures, energy, water, digital and space-service networks, mobility, food systems, cities, ageing assets and industrial plants. CYBERInformation and cyber-physical systemsCompromise or failure of information systems, including attacks that reach physical processes, identity and trust services, systemic cyber events and platforms everything else depends on. TECHFrontier and exponential technologyHazards that arise from frontier and exponential technologies: artificial intelligence, biotechnology, advanced materials, quantum, neurotechnology, autonomy, climate intervention, space systems, digital concentration, advanced manufacturing and energy-transition technology. SOCSociety, conflict and economyViolence, geopolitical and nuclear confrontation, conflict-induced harm, humanitarian crises, governance and cohesion failure, crime, demographic and labour transitions, macro-fiscal and financial-system shocks, and loss of heritage. SYSSystemic and compound eventsEvents defined by interaction rather than by one process: supply-chain disruption, cascading failure, compound multi-hazard events and the structural fragility (concentration, coupling, polycrisis) that lets them spread.

Families group hazards by the process that drives them; systemic, compound, planetary and frontier-technology hazards are first-class, not footnotes.

Семейство Домен Опасные явления Количество
Convective storms Атмосфера и погода Thunderstorm, Lightning strike, Downburst, Tornado, Waterspout, Hail, Squall, Derecho, Fire-generated thunderstorm, Dry lightning storm … 11
Cyclonic storm systems Атмосфера и погода Tropical cyclone, Subtropical cyclone, Extratropical cyclone, Low-pressure system, Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, Polar low, Rapid cyclone intensification, Explosive cyclogenesis 8
Damaging wind Атмосфера и погода Windstorm, Gale, Downslope windstorm, Clear-air turbulence 4
Precipitation extremes Атмосфера и погода Intense rainfall, Heavy snowfall, Snowstorm, Blizzard, Lake-effect snow band, Freezing rain, Structural icing 7
Thermal extremes Атмосфера и погода Heatwave, Humid heat stress, Cold wave, Livestock winter disaster, Hard freeze, Frost, Rapid thaw, Extreme night-time heat, Urban heat island 9
Airborne particles and low visibility Атмосфера и погода Fog, Dust storm, Dust haze, Haze, Smoke plume, Airborne allergen surge 6
Large-scale circulation anomalies Атмосфера и погода Atmospheric river, Atmospheric blocking, Tropical Pacific climate swing, Monsoon failure, Polar vortex disruption, Indian Ocean dipole event, North Atlantic pressure-seesaw extreme 7
Surface radiation extremes Атмосфера и погода Extreme ultraviolet exposure, Stratospheric ozone loss episode 2
Freshwater inundation Водные системы River flood, Flash flood, Surface-water flood, Groundwater flood, Snowmelt flood, Ice-jam flood, Reservoir release flood, Natural-dam outburst flood, Lake-level flood 9
Water deficit Водные системы Meteorological drought, Agricultural drought, Hydrological drought, Groundwater depletion, Flash drought, Water supply shortfall, Megadrought, Lake and inland sea desiccation, Post-peak glacier meltwater decline 9
Coastal and sea-level hazards Водные системы Storm surge, Storm tide, Coastal flood, Estuary flood, High-tide flooding, Tsunami, Seiche, Rogue wave, Dangerous surf, Rip current … 13
Ocean-state extremes Водные системы Marine heatwave, Ocean acidification, Marine oxygen depletion, Upper-ocean stratification increase, Marine cold spell, Lake and river heatwave 6
Water-quality degradation Водные системы Eutrophication, Harmful algal bloom, Freshwater salinisation, Sargassum seaweed influx 4
Snowpack hazards Лед и снег Snow avalanche, Snow drought, Rain-on-snow event 3
Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost change Лед и снег Glacial lake outburst flood, Glacier or ice-mass collapse, Glacier mass loss, Ice-sheet mass loss, Permafrost thaw, Ice-shelf disintegration, Subglacial outburst flood, Glacier surge, Permafrost thaw slump, Rock glacier destabilisation 10
Floating ice Лед и снег Sea ice, Iceberg and ice-floe drift, Sea-ice loss, Lake and river ice loss, Shoreline ice shove 5
Fault shaking and rupture Твердая Земля Earthquake, Induced earthquake, Aftershock sequence, Fault surface rupture, Soil liquefaction, Ground fissure, Earthquake swarm 7
Eruption products and unrest Твердая Земля Volcanic unrest, Lava flow, Volcanic ash fall, Volcanic ash cloud, Volcanic ballistic projectiles, Pyroclastic flow, Lahar, Volcanic gas and aerosol emission, Volcano flank collapse, Phreatic and hydrothermal explosion … 12
Slope failure and mass movement Твердая Земля Rockfall, Topple, Slope slide, Lateral spread, Debris flow, Earthflow and mudflow, Rock avalanche, Submarine landslide, Slope creep 9
Ground deformation and subsidence Твердая Земля Land subsidence, Crustal uplift, Sinkhole, Shrink-swell soil movement, Soft-soil settlement, Ground gas seepage, Mining-induced subsidence 7
Erosion and sediment movement Твердая Земля Soil erosion, River bank erosion, Coastal erosion, Dune encroachment, Reservoir and channel siltation, River avulsion, Delta sediment starvation 7
Seabed and deep-sea hazards Твердая Земля Turbidity current, Submarine volcanic eruption, Seabed gas escape, Pumice raft, Deep-sea mining disturbance 5
Solar-terrestrial storms Космос и околоземное пространство Geomagnetic storm, Solar flare radio blackout, Solar radiation storm, Ionospheric disturbance, Geomagnetically induced current, Satellite space-environment anomaly, Thermospheric drag surge, Radiation-belt electron enhancement, South Atlantic weak-field anomaly 9
Impacts and orbital hazards Космос и околоземное пространство Near-Earth object approach, Meteorite impact, Airburst, Space debris, Orbital collision cascade, Uncontrolled re-entry, Spaceflight accident, Meteoroid stream encounter 8
Vegetation and peat fire Суша и экосистемы Extreme fire weather, Wildfire, Wildland-urban interface fire, Peat and underground fire, Fire regime shift 5
Forest and woodland stress Суша и экосистемы Deforestation, Forest dieback, Large forest disturbance, Forest pest invasion, Native forest insect outbreak 5
Land and wetland degradation Суша и экосистемы Land degradation, Desertification, Soil quality decline, Soil salinisation and sodicity, Wetland loss, Mangrove loss, Peatland drainage and degradation, Soil sealing, Soil acidification 9
Biodiversity and species stress Суша и экосистемы Biodiversity loss, Coral bleaching, Pollinator decline, Fishery collapse, Mass wildlife mortality, Human-wildlife conflict, Wildlife disease panzootic, Insect decline, Phenological mismatch, Climate-driven species range shift … 12
Climate-state shifts Суша и экосистемы Abrupt climate-system shift, Volcanic cooling 2
Ecosystem regime shifts Суша и экосистемы Kelp forest collapse, Seagrass meadow loss, Lake clear-to-turbid shift, Woody plant encroachment, Coastal habitat squeeze, Food-web collapse 6
Planetary boundary transgressions Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли Climate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance, Green-water disturbance, Nitrogen flow boundary transgression … 14
Ice tipping elements Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли Greenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction 6
Ocean circulation and marine tipping Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли Atlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation 7
Biome tipping elements Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли Amazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift 5
Carbon-cycle feedbacks Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли Permafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback 7
Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tipping Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли South Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup, Tipping cascade 9
Deep-time and cosmic catastrophes Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли Supereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova, Geomagnetic reversal or excursion, Ocean anoxic event 10
Air pollution episodes Загрязнение и опасные вещества Outdoor air pollution episode, Point-source air emission, Household air pollution, Black carbon, Acid deposition, Ground-level ozone episode, Open waste burning, Agricultural residue burning, Agricultural ammonia emission 9
Contaminated water, soil and food Загрязнение и опасные вещества Diffuse runoff pollution, Soil contamination, Chemical water contamination, Oil spill, Microplastic contamination, Food and feed contamination, Mycotoxin contamination, Seafood biotoxin contamination, Pesticide exposure, Nitrate contamination of drinking water 10
Persistent and bioaccumulative substances Загрязнение и опасные вещества Persistent organic pollutants, PFAS contamination, Mercury exposure, Lead exposure, Cadmium exposure, Arsenic in drinking water, Trace-element imbalance, Asbestos exposure, Benzene and hydrocarbon exposure 9
Hazardous releases and chemical agents Загрязнение и опасные вещества Chemical spill or leak, Toxic gas release, Asphyxiant gas release, Carbon monoxide poisoning, Corrosive substance release, Deliberate chemical-agent release 6
Ionising radiation and nuclear material Загрязнение и опасные вещества Nuclear plant accident, Radioactive material release, Nuclear detonation, Radioactive waste containment failure 4
Waste and residue failures Загрязнение и опасные вещества Solid waste mismanagement, Landfill failure, Hazardous and clinical waste release, Electronic waste exposure, Plastic waste accumulation, Marine debris, Untreated wastewater discharge, Waste impoundment failure, Disaster and conflict debris 9
Novel entities and emerging contaminants Загрязнение и опасные вещества Nanoplastic accumulation, Tyre and road wear particles, Endocrine-disrupting chemical exposure, Pharmaceutical pollution, Environmental spread of antimicrobial resistance, Unassessed chemical mixture exposure, Engineered nanomaterial release 7
Indoor environment hazards Загрязнение и опасные вещества Poor indoor air quality, Damp and mould exposure, Indoor chemical off-gassing, Indoor overheating, Second-hand smoke exposure 5
Noise, light and thermal pollution Загрязнение и опасные вещества Environmental noise pollution, Light pollution, Underwater noise pollution, Thermal water pollution 4
Airborne and respiratory infection Здоровье и биобезопасность Respiratory pandemic, Seasonal influenza epidemic, Zoonotic influenza spillover, Coronavirus outbreak, Tuberculosis surge, Bacterial meningitis outbreak 6
Vaccine-preventable outbreaks Здоровье и биобезопасность Measles outbreak, Polio outbreak, Diphtheria and whooping cough outbreak, Other vaccine-preventable outbreak 4
Faecal-oral and foodborne infection Здоровье и биобезопасность Cholera outbreak, Typhoid and paratyphoid fever, Shigellosis and dysentery outbreak, Viral diarrhoea outbreak, Faecal-oral hepatitis outbreak, Foodborne illness outbreak, Waterborne disease outbreak 7
Vector-borne infection Здоровье и биобезопасность Dengue epidemic, Chikungunya and Zika outbreak, Yellow fever outbreak, West Nile and Culex-borne virus outbreak, Malaria resurgence, Plague outbreak, Trypanosomiasis outbreak, Tick-borne disease surge, Neglected tropical disease outbreak, Emerging arbovirus outbreak 10
Haemorrhagic fever Здоровье и биобезопасность Ebola and Marburg outbreak, Lassa fever outbreak, Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever outbreak 3
Blood-borne and sexually transmitted infection Здоровье и биобезопасность HIV epidemic, Chronic viral hepatitis B and C burden, Sexually transmitted infection resurgence 3
Animal-to-human spillover Здоровье и биобезопасность Zoonotic spillover event, Anthrax outbreak, Brucellosis outbreak, Rabies outbreak, Leptospirosis outbreak, Mpox outbreak, Rift Valley fever outbreak, Nipah and henipavirus outbreak 8
Rare and persistent human infections Здоровье и биобезопасность Prion disease cluster, Smallpox reintroduction 2
Livestock and aquaculture epizootics Здоровье и биобезопасность Swine fever epizootic, Foot-and-mouth epizootic, Ruminant respiratory epizootic, Vector-borne livestock disease, Poultry epizootic, Screwworm infestation, Aquaculture disease outbreak, Livestock disease outbreak 8
Plant disease and pests Здоровье и биобезопасность Bacterial and fungal crop disease, Plant virus epidemic, Crop insect pest outbreak, Locust swarm, Invasive species spread 5
Systemic biological risks Здоровье и биобезопасность Antimicrobial resistance, Deliberate or accidental biological-agent release 2
Environmental and product harm to people Здоровье и биобезопасность Snakebite envenoming, Substandard and falsified medicines, Adulterated alcohol poisoning, Overdose epidemic 4
Climate-sensitive illness Здоровье и биобезопасность Heat-related illness surge, Cold-related illness surge, Disease vector range expansion, Aeroallergen season intensification, Warm-water bacterial infection 5
Drug and insecticide resistance by pathogen class Здоровье и биобезопасность Multidrug-resistant bacterial infection spread, Antiviral drug resistance, Antimalarial and antiparasitic drug resistance, Antifungal drug resistance, Insecticide resistance in disease vectors, Antimicrobial development and supply failure 6
Emerging and unknown infection threats Здоровье и биобезопасность Unknown future pathogen emergence, Emerging fungal pathogen, Endemic fungal disease range expansion, Healthcare-associated infection outbreak, Undiagnosed illness cluster 5
Maternal, newborn and child health emergencies Здоровье и биобезопасность Maternal mortality rise, Newborn mortality surge, Preterm and low birthweight birth rise, Childhood immunisation coverage collapse, Infant feeding disruption, Reproductive health service disruption 6
Mental health crises Здоровье и биобезопасность Population mental distress surge, Post-disaster traumatic stress, Suicide rate rise, Youth mental health crisis, Climate-related psychological distress, Social isolation and loneliness epidemic, Mass psychogenic illness outbreak, Gambling harm surge 8
Noncommunicable disease surges Здоровье и биобезопасность Cardiovascular disease surge, Diabetes epidemic, Obesity epidemic, Cancer burden rise, Chronic respiratory disease burden, Chronic kidney disease surge, Dementia burden growth, Post-infection chronic illness, Tobacco and nicotine use epidemic, Harmful alcohol use burden … 11
Malnutrition and micronutrient deficiency Здоровье и биобезопасность Acute malnutrition surge, Chronic undernutrition and stunting, Micronutrient deficiency, Nutritional deficiency disease outbreak, Unhealthy diet transition, Crop nutrient decline 6
Occupational disease and injury Здоровье и биобезопасность Occupational lung disease, Occupational heat strain, Occupational cancer, Occupational chemical poisoning, Workplace injury burden, Work-related psychosocial harm 6
Health system capacity failure Здоровье и биобезопасность Health workforce shortage, Health worker industrial action, Health financing collapse, Catastrophic out-of-pocket health spending, Vaccine confidence collapse, Essential health service disruption, Disease surveillance failure, Health facility loss of function, Global health cooperation breakdown 9
Structural and civil failure Искусственные системы Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage Искусственные системы Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents Искусственные системы Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents Искусственные системы Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire, Hydrogen release and explosion, Pressurised liquefied gas explosion … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall Искусственные системы Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall, Cooling-water curtailment of power plants, Nuclear station loss of power and cooling … 22
Water and wastewater system failure Искусственные системы Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply, Firefighting water shortfall 9
Telecom and data-centre failure Искусственные системы Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss Искусственные системы Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage Искусственные системы Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption Искусственные системы Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident, Ship cargo fire, Container loss at sea … 12
Food system infrastructure failure Искусственные системы Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress Искусственные системы Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure Искусственные системы Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
Malicious compromise Информационные и киберфизические системы Malware outbreak, Ransomware attack, Data breach, Persistent intrusion, Denial-of-service attack, Software or hardware supply-chain compromise, Social-engineering campaign, Online harassment campaign, Re-identification of protected data 9
Information-integrity attacks Информационные и киберфизические системы Disinformation campaign, Data and model integrity attack, Election infrastructure attack, Public record tampering, Misinformation surge and infodemic, Hazardous information disclosure 6
Cyber-physical disruption Информационные и киберфизические системы Industrial control system compromise, Power-grid cyberattack, Transport control-system attack, Health-system cyberattack, Medical device compromise, Water utility cyberattack, Building systems compromise, Mass connected-device manipulation, Industrial safety system attack, Satellite or ground control compromise … 11
Signal and platform disruption Информационные и киберфизические системы Satellite-navigation disruption, Major cloud or platform outage, Internet routing or naming failure, Subsea cable damage, Payment system outage, Radio-spectrum interference, Digital public infrastructure failure 7
Identity, trust and cryptographic failure Информационные и киберфизические системы Identity provider compromise, Signing key or certificate compromise, Certificate or credential expiry outage, Cryptographic algorithm or implementation break, Mass account takeover, National digital identity system failure 6
Systemic cyber events Информационные и киберфизические системы Defective update mass outage, Mass vulnerability exploitation, Connected-device botnet, Managed service provider compromise, Firmware or hardware backdoor, Insider threat, Cyber theft from financial infrastructure, Irrecoverable data loss, Date and time rollover software fault 9
AI system failure and misalignment Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration, Runaway recursive AI capability gain, Unanticipated dangerous capability emergence … 11
AI security and model supply chain Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots, AI-driven inference of private traits, AI compute energy and water demand surge … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure, Hijacking of connected robot fleets, Autonomous machine malfunction 10
Биотехнологии и синтетическая биология Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release, Self-spreading vaccine or transmissible agent release, Unregulated do-it-yourself biohacking 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
Технологии климатического вмешательства Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage, Weather modification side effects and disputes, Ice-sheet and sea-ice intervention side effects … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Распределённые реестры и цифровые активы Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Organised and collective violence Общество, конфликты и экономика Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Общество, конфликты и экономика Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Общество, конфликты и экономика Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Общество, конфликты и экономика Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Общество, конфликты и экономика Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Общество, конфликты и экономика Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility, Arms-race instability, Collapse of arms control … 15
Governance and institutional failure Общество, конфликты и экономика Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space, State-ordered internet shutdown, Disputed election and contested transfer of power … 18
Financial-system fragility Общество, конфликты и экономика Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse, Stablecoin run, Insurance market withdrawal … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Общество, конфликты и экономика Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis, Remittance collapse, Aid and humanitarian funding shock … 12
Labour and technology transition Общество, конфликты и экономика Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Общество, конфликты и экономика Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation, Mass expulsion and forced return, Brain drain … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Общество, конфликты и экономика Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation, Surge in gender-based violence 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Общество, конфликты и экономика Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea, Kidnapping for ransom, Environmental crime … 12
Cultural heritage loss Общество, конфликты и экономика Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
Supply-chain and flow disruption Системные и составные события Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure, Medical supply shortage, Semiconductor supply disruption … 17
Cascading failure Системные и составные события Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock, Cross-border grid cascade, Financial-physical risk feedback 10
Compound and multi-hazard events Системные и составные события Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic, Conflict and climate-stress compound 9
Structural fragility of interconnected systems Системные и составные события Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems, Globally synchronised shocks, Polycrisis … 11
03Домены

14 областей опасностей

Each domain page lists every family and hazard with its definition, attributes, risk classes and expert relations.

54 опасности · 8 семейств

Атмосфера и погода

Hazards that live in the air column: storms, winds, precipitation extremes, thermal extremes, airborne particles and large-scale circulation anomalies.

Open the domain 41 hazards · 5 families

Водные системы

Hazards of fresh and salt water: floods, water deficit, sea-level and wave hazards, ocean-state extremes and water-quality degradation.

Open the domain 18 hazards · 3 families

Лед и снег

Hazards of the frozen Earth: snowpack and avalanche, glacier and permafrost change, floating ice.

Open the domain 47 hazards · 6 families

Твердая Земля

Hazards of the crust and ground: fault shaking, eruptions, slope failure, ground deformation and surface erosion.

Open the domain 17 hazards · 2 families

Космос и околоземное пространство

Hazards that arrive from or act in space: solar-terrestrial storms, impacts and orbital debris.

Open the domain 39 hazards · 6 families

Суша и экосистемы

Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts.

Open the domain 58 hazards · 7 families

Планетарные границы и переломные точки системы Земли

Hazards of the Earth system as a whole: transgression of the boundaries that keep the planet in a stable state, tipping of large climate, ice, ocean and biome components, carbon-cycle feedbacks, and rare deep-time and cosmic catastrophes.

Open the domain 63 hazards · 9 families

Загрязнение и опасные вещества

Harmful substances in air, water, soil and food, toxic releases, ionising radiation and waste-containment failures.

Open the domain 124 hazards · 21 families

Здоровье и биобезопасность

Disease and biological harm to people, animals and plants, grouped by transmission route, plus systemic biological risks, chronic and mental-health burdens, drug resistance and the failure of health systems.

Open the domain 110 hazards · 13 families

Искусственные системы

Failure and accident hazards of structures, energy, water, digital and space-service networks, mobility, food systems, cities, ageing assets and industrial plants.

Open the domain 48 hazards · 6 families

Информационные и киберфизические системы

Compromise or failure of information systems, including attacks that reach physical processes, identity and trust services, systemic cyber events and platforms everything else depends on.

Open the domain 109 hazards · 16 families

Передовые и экспоненциальные технологии

Hazards that arise from frontier and exponential technologies: artificial intelligence, biotechnology, advanced materials, quantum, neurotechnology, autonomy, climate intervention, space systems, digital concentration, advanced manufacturing and energy-transition technology.

Open the domain 130 hazards · 14 families

Общество, конфликты и экономика

Violence, geopolitical and nuclear confrontation, conflict-induced harm, humanitarian crises, governance and cohesion failure, crime, demographic and labour transitions, macro-fiscal and financial-system shocks, and loss of heritage.

Open the domain 47 hazards · 4 families

Системные и составные события

Events defined by interaction rather than by one process: supply-chain disruption, cascading failure, compound multi-hazard events and the structural fragility (concentration, coupling, polycrisis) that lets them spread.

Open the domain

04Сопоставление

UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles

Each hazard maps to one of the 281 HIPs profiles (UNDRR-ISC HIP 2025) as an exact, chapeau or broader match, or records that none exists. HIPs are cited for interoperability; their text is not reproduced.

HIPs type Название
MH Hydrological and Meteorological
ET Extraterrestrial
GH Geological
EN Экологические
CH Chemical
BI Biological
TL Техногенные
SO Социальные

See how hazards enter the index

The multi-hazard exposure index combines hazard and exposure with a complement aggregation, so any single high exposure lifts it.

Индекс подверженности множественным опасностям

Статус

Методология, структура и определения The Global Risks Index представляют собой предварительный рабочий проект (2026), распространяемый для рассмотрения и комментариев, а не для применения. Значения не появляются, пока выпуск не будет опубликован на основе управляемого среза доказательной базы; тогда значения сопровождаются интервалами, классами, источниками и порядком их исправления. Симуляторы применяют опубликованные методы к выбранным вами числам и никогда не показывают значение NXS-GRX.

Чем NXS-GRX не является

NXS-GRX является исследовательской и риск-аналитической информацией. Это не кредитный и не ESG-рейтинг, и в нём не используется рейтинговая шкала; это не эталон для финансовых инструментов, не официальная статистика, не экстренное предупреждение или официальная классификация и не консультация. Его нельзя использовать для оценки физических лиц. Классы риска являются диапазонами на опубликованной шкале и никогда не являются рейтингами стран или людей.

Учреждения и источники

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Каждое значение сопровождается указанием его источников, которые сохраняют собственные лицензии. Внешние названия приводятся только для обеспечения совместимости. Тексты, подготовленные Nexus, предполагается публиковать по лицензии CC BY 4.0.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.