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Глобальный индекс рисков (Global Risks Index)

Hazard Standard · 39 hazards

Суша и экосистемы

Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts.

Страница GRX-HAZ-ECOВыпуск Базовый выпуск 2026Дата закрытия доказательной базы 2026-09-30Значения пока не опубликованыМетод v1.0.0-draft
Hazard Standard · Land and ecosystems
происхождение
hybrid30
anthropogenic5
natural4
onset
slow13
creeping12
progressive9
rapid5
predictability
statistical33
forecastable2
nowcast-only2
seasonal1
unpredictable1
6
families
39
опасные явления
207
связи
31
risk-class tags

01Семейства

6 families, 39 hazards

Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts. Organised by biosphere; families by driving process.

Vegetation and peat fire eco.wildfire

Fire in living or buried fuel: the family separates the weather conditions that make fire possible from the fire itself and from its two worst special cases (buildings in the path, and peat that smoulders for months).

Extreme fire weathereco.wildfire.fire-weather-extreme

Hot, dry and windy conditions over dry fuels in which any ignition spreads fast and suppression fails.

Also: red flag conditions, fire danger

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastable
Wildfireeco.wildfire.wildfire

An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.

Also: bushfire, forest fire, grass fire

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · nowcast-only
Wildland-urban interface fireeco.wildfire.wui-fire

A fire spreading between wildland vegetation and buildings, so that homes become fuel and evacuation routes close.

Also: interface fire

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · cityPredictability · nowcast-only
Peat and underground fireeco.wildfire.peat-fire

A smouldering fire in peat or coal seams that burns for weeks to years, releasing smoke and carbon and resisting suppression.

Also: smouldering fire, coal seam fire

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · seasonalGlobal risk
Fire regime shifteco.wildfire.fire-regime-shift

A lasting change in how often, how large and how intensely landscapes burn, beyond what local ecosystems and communities are adapted to.

Also: megafire era, new fire regime

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk

Forest and woodland stress eco.forest

Loss or decline of tree cover, split by cause (clearing, decline, single disturbance, invading pest) because the responses and data differ.

Deforestationeco.forest.deforestation

Clearing of forest for other land uses, losing habitat, carbon storage and watershed protection.

Also: forest clearing

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Forest diebackeco.forest.forest-dieback

Widespread tree decline and death from drought, heat, pests or disease.

Also: tree mortality, forest decline

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalPlanetary risk
Large forest disturbanceeco.forest.forest-disturbance

A single event, such as windthrow, ice damage or defoliation, that damages a large share of the trees in a stand or landscape.

Also: windthrow, defoliation

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Forest pest invasioneco.forest.forest-pest-invasion

A non-native insect or pathogen spreading through forests and killing or weakening trees.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Native forest insect outbreakeco.forest.native-insect-outbreak

An eruption of a native tree-killing insect, released by warm winters and drought-stressed trees, that kills forest across whole landscapes and raises fire risk.

Also: bark beetle outbreak, budworm outbreak

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical

Land and wetland degradation eco.land

Long-term loss of the productive or protective function of land and wetlands; the slow end of the domain, where the hazard is cumulative state change rather than an event.

Land degradationeco.land.land-degradation

Long-term decline of the productivity and health of land from erosion, nutrient loss, compaction or salting.

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Desertificationeco.land.desertification

Degradation of dryland into desert-like conditions through climate change and unsustainable land use.

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · countryPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Soil quality declineeco.land.soil-decline

Loss of soil organic matter, structure and nutrients that cuts yields and the water the soil can hold.

Also: soil degradation

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Soil salinisation and sodicityeco.land.salinisation

Accumulation of salts or sodium in soil, from irrigation or seawater, that stunts crops and breaks soil structure.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Wetland losseco.land.wetland-loss

Drainage, filling or drying of wetlands that removes flood buffering, water filtering and habitat.

Also: wetland degradation

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Mangrove losseco.land.mangrove-loss

Clearing or dieback of coastal mangroves, which removes shoreline protection, nursery habitat and carbon stores.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Peatland drainage and degradationeco.land.peatland-degradation

Draining or burning of peatland that oxidises stored carbon, sinks the land and raises fire risk.

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalPlanetary risk
Soil sealingeco.land.soil-sealing

Covering of fertile soil by buildings and pavement that permanently removes farmland, raises runoff and floods and removes soil carbon and habitat.

Also: land take, impervious surface spread

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Soil acidificationeco.land.soil-acidification

Gradual fall in soil pH from fertiliser, acid deposition and crop removal that locks up nutrients, releases toxic aluminium and lowers yields.

Also: acid soils

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · creepingDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical

Biodiversity and species stress eco.species

Decline and sudden loss of living populations and the services they provide: reefs, pollinators, fisheries, wild animals and the conflict that follows when wildlife and people compete.

Biodiversity losseco.species.biodiversity-loss

Decline in the variety and abundance of species and habitats that weakens services such as pollination, fisheries and soil formation.

Also: species decline, habitat loss

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic riskPlanetary risk
Coral bleachingeco.species.coral-bleaching

Corals expelling their algal partners under heat stress, turning white and often dying, with loss of reef fisheries and shore protection.

Also: reef mortality

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · extendedFootprint · regionPredictability · forecastableGlobal riskPlanetary risk
Pollinator declineeco.species.pollinator-decline

A fall in pollinating insects and animals that cuts yields of pollinator-dependent crops and wild plant reproduction.

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Fishery collapseeco.species.fishery-collapse

A fish stock cut so far by fishing, warming or habitat loss that it can no longer sustain catches.

Also: stock collapse

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Mass wildlife mortalityeco.species.mass-mortality

A sudden, large die-off of wild animals from disease, toxins, heat, cold or oxygen loss.

Also: die-off

Origin · naturalOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · unpredictable
Human-wildlife conflicteco.species.human-wildlife-conflict

Damage or injury from wild animals entering farms, villages or roads, and the retaliation that follows against them.

Also: crop raiding, predator attacks

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Wildlife disease panzooticeco.species.wildlife-panzootic

A disease spreading across many wild species and continents that wipes out populations, drives extinctions and can carry pathogens to livestock and people.

Also: chytrid fungus, white-nose syndrome, avian influenza in wild birds.

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskEmerging riskExponential risk
Insect declineeco.species.insect-decline

Broad fall in insect abundance and biomass from habitat loss, pesticides, light and warming that starves birds and fish and weakens pest control and decomposition.

Also: insect apocalypse, insect biomass loss

Origin · anthropogenicOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskEmerging risk
Phenological mismatcheco.species.phenological-mismatch

Warming shifting the timing of flowering, breeding or migration at different rates, so that species miss the food or pollinators they depend on.

Also: timing mismatch, seasonal desynchronisation

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · continentPredictability · statisticalEmerging risk
Climate-driven species range shifteco.species.climate-range-shift

Movement of species towards the poles, uphill or deeper as climate warms, reshuffling fisheries, pests and disease vectors and stranding species with nowhere to go.

Also: species redistribution, poleward shift

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal risk
Jellyfish bloomeco.species.jellyfish-bloom

A swarm of jellyfish or similar animals that clogs power-plant and desalination intakes, kills farmed fish and closes beaches.

Also: jellyfish swarm

Origin · hybridOnset · rapidDuration · shortFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Ecosystem collapseeco.species.ecosystem-collapse

Loss of the defining species, structure and functions of an ecosystem, such as a reef, lake, kelp forest or wetland, beyond the point of natural recovery.

Also: ecological collapse, biodiversity collapse

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalPlanetary risk

Climate-state shifts eco.climate-state

Changes of the whole climate system rather than of one place; kept as hazards so that global-risk models can name them as triggers of the regional hazards.

Abrupt climate-system shifteco.climate-state.abrupt-regime-shift

A threshold crossing in a large climate-system component, such as an ocean circulation or a rainforest, that changes regional climate quickly and may not reverse.

Also: tipping point

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic riskPlanetary risk
Volcanic coolingeco.climate-state.volcanic-cooling

A drop in global or hemispheric temperature for one to three years after a very large eruption loads the stratosphere with sulphate aerosol.

Also: volcanic winter

Origin · naturalOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · planetPredictability · statisticalGlobal riskCatastrophic risk

Ecosystem regime shifts eco.regime-shift

Ecosystems that flip to a different, often poorer and self-sustaining state when stress passes a threshold, so that removing the stress does not restore them.

Kelp forest collapseeco.regime-shift.kelp-forest-collapse

Loss of kelp forests to marine heat, grazing urchins or turbid water, replacing them with barren seabed and losing fisheries, carbon and wave shelter.

Also: urchin barrens, kelp loss

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statisticalEmerging risk
Seagrass meadow losseco.regime-shift.seagrass-meadow-loss

Die-off or removal of seagrass meadows from heat, turbidity, nutrients or dredging, losing nursery habitat, sediment stability and stored carbon.

Also: seagrass dieback

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Lake clear-to-turbid shifteco.regime-shift.lake-turbid-shift

A shallow lake switching from clear, plant-rich water to turbid, algae-dominated water once nutrient loading passes a threshold, which then persists even if loading falls.

Also: lake eutrophic flip, shallow lake regime shift.

Origin · hybridOnset · progressiveDuration · multi-yearFootprint · districtPredictability · statistical
Woody plant encroachmenteco.regime-shift.woody-encroachment

Spread of shrubs and trees into grasslands and savannas through grazing, fire suppression and rising carbon dioxide, cutting forage and water yield.

Also: bush encroachment, shrub invasion of grassland

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Coastal habitat squeezeeco.regime-shift.coastal-squeeze

Loss of saltmarsh, mudflat and beach habitat trapped between rising seas and fixed defences or development, removing natural flood buffers.

Also: intertidal habitat loss, saltmarsh drowning

Origin · hybridOnset · creepingDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
Food-web collapseeco.regime-shift.trophic-cascade-collapse

Loss of key predators, grazers or prey that cascades through a food web, restructuring the ecosystem and the services it supplies.

Also: trophic cascade, defaunation cascade

Origin · hybridOnset · slowDuration · permanentFootprint · regionPredictability · statistical
02Связи

207 expert relations

Triggers, amplifications, compound pairs and reductions from the Hazard Standard expert model; 67 lead out of this domain into others.

От Вид К Механизм Confidence
Lightning strike trigger Лесной пожар dry-fuel ignition by a strike without much rain высокая
Derecho trigger Large forest disturbance wide swath of windthrow высокая
Windstorm trigger Large forest disturbance windthrow of trees высокая
Windstorm amplify Лесной пожар wind drives spread and spotting высокая
Downslope windstorm amplify Лесной пожар hot, dry, gusty air drives fire spread высокая
Downslope windstorm amplify Wildland-urban interface fire ember showers ignite structures высокая
Downslope windstorm trigger Лесной пожар downed or clashing lines ignite dry vegetation medium
Интенсивные осадки reduces Extreme fire weather wet fuels and humid air высокая
Интенсивные осадки reduces Лесной пожар wet fuels slow ignition and spread высокая
Freezing rain trigger Large forest disturbance ice loading breaks branches and trees высокая
Аномальная жара amplify Extreme fire weather high temperature dries fuels and lowers humidity высокая
Аномальная жара amplify Лесной пожар dry fuels and strong fire behaviour высокая
Аномальная жара trigger Mass wildlife mortality lethal heat stress in wildlife and fish medium
Аномальная жара trigger Forest dieback heat stress and hydraulic failure of trees medium
Hard freeze reduces Forest pest invasion winter kill of insects низкая
Atmospheric blocking amplify Extreme fire weather persistent hot, dry conditions medium
Tropical Pacific climate swing trigger Coral bleaching sustained high sea temperature medium
Tropical Pacific climate swing amplify Fishery collapse upwelling collapse and warm water medium
Tropical Pacific climate swing amplify Peat and underground fire drought lowers peat water tables medium
Stratospheric ozone loss episode amplify Утрата биоразнообразия ultraviolet damage to plankton and plants низкая
Метеорологическая засуха amplify Лесной пожар dry fuels высокая
Метеорологическая засуха amplify Peat and underground fire falling peat water table высокая
Метеорологическая засуха amplify Forest dieback tree hydraulic stress высокая
Метеорологическая засуха trigger Mass wildlife mortality water and food scarcity for wildlife medium
Метеорологическая засуха amplify Desertification repeated drought degrades dryland medium
Метеорологическая засуха amplify Human-wildlife conflict wildlife enter farms and villages for water and food medium
Hydrological drought trigger Mass wildlife mortality low flow and low oxygen kill fish medium
Flash drought amplify Лесной пожар fast fuel drying medium
Штормовой нагон trigger Soil salinisation and sodicity salt water deposited on farmland medium
Прибрежное наводнение trigger Soil salinisation and sodicity salt deposition on soils medium
Tsunami trigger Soil salinisation and sodicity salt deposition on farmland medium
Повышение уровня моря trigger Wetland loss coastal wetlands drown or are squeezed medium
Повышение уровня моря trigger Mangrove loss inundation and coastal squeeze medium
Saltwater intrusion trigger Soil salinisation and sodicity irrigation with, or flooding by, salty water высокая
Marine heatwave trigger Coral bleaching thermal stress on reef corals высокая
Marine heatwave trigger Mass wildlife mortality lethal heat stress in marine life высокая
Marine heatwave amplify Fishery collapse stock stress and range shifts medium
Marine heatwave amplify Утрата биоразнообразия heat stress on marine ecosystems medium
Закисление океана amplify Coral bleaching weakened calcification lowers reef resilience medium
Закисление океана amplify Fishery collapse stress on shell-building prey and larvae низкая
Закисление океана amplify Утрата биоразнообразия chemical stress on marine calcifiers medium
Marine oxygen depletion trigger Mass wildlife mortality fish and bottom life suffocate высокая
Marine oxygen depletion amplify Fishery collapse loss of habitat and stock medium
Вредоносное цветение водорослей trigger Mass wildlife mortality toxins and oxygen loss kill fish and wildlife высокая
Snow drought amplify Лесной пожар earlier drying and a longer fire season medium
Ice-sheet mass loss trigger Abrupt climate-system shift freshwater input may weaken ocean circulation низкая
Потеря морского льда trigger Утрата биоразнообразия habitat loss for ice-dependent species medium
Lava flow trigger Лесной пожар contact ignition of vegetation высокая
Volcanic ballistic projectiles trigger Лесной пожар hot fragments ignite vegetation medium
Pyroclastic flow trigger Лесной пожар hot current ignites everything it reaches высокая
Volcanic gas and aerosol emission trigger Volcanic cooling stratospheric sulphate reflects sunlight medium
Soil erosion trigger Soil quality decline topsoil and organic matter lost высокая
Soil erosion amplify Land degradation productive capacity declines высокая
Береговая эрозия trigger Mangrove loss shoreline retreat removes the mangrove fringe низкая
Dune encroachment amplify Desertification moving sand buries farmland medium
Meteorite impact trigger Лесной пожар thermal radiation and hot ejecta medium
Meteorite impact trigger Abrupt climate-system shift a very large impact loads the atmosphere with dust and soot низкая
Airburst trigger Large forest disturbance blast flattens forest medium
Extreme fire weather amplify Лесной пожар low humidity, heat and wind raise spread and intensity высокая
Extreme fire weather amplify Wildland-urban interface fire embers carried into settlements высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Smoke plume combustion emits smoke высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Wildland-urban interface fire the fire front reaches settlements высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Outdoor air pollution episode smoke raises fine particle levels downwind высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Black carbon incomplete combustion emits soot высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Debris flow burned slopes shed sediment in the next heavy rain высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Soil erosion loss of vegetation and water-repellent soil высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Внезапный паводок burned catchments produce rapid runoff medium
Лесной пожар trigger Widespread power outage lines burned or de-energised as a precaution высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Утрата биоразнообразия habitat destroyed medium
Лесной пожар trigger Large forest disturbance stand-replacing fire высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Chemical water contamination ash and retardant wash into supplies medium
Лесной пожар trigger Массовое перемещение населения evacuation and loss of homes medium
Лесной пожар amplify Glacier mass loss soot darkens snow and ice низкая
Wildland-urban interface fire trigger Building and urban fire embers and radiant heat ignite buildings высокая
Wildland-urban interface fire trigger Toxic gas release burning building materials and stores medium
Wildland-urban interface fire trigger Disaster and conflict debris burned buildings leave contaminated debris высокая
Wildland-urban interface fire trigger Emergency-response overload many structures threatened at once medium
Peat and underground fire trigger Outdoor air pollution episode long smouldering smoke episodes высокая
Peat and underground fire trigger Дымка regional smoke haze высокая
Peat and underground fire amplify Peatland drainage and degradation carbon store burned away высокая
Deforestation trigger Утрата биоразнообразия habitat removal and fragmentation высокая
Deforestation trigger Soil erosion bare soil exposed to rain высокая
Deforestation amplify Slope slide loss of root reinforcement on slopes medium
Deforestation amplify Внезапный паводок faster runoff from cleared slopes medium
Deforestation amplify Zoonotic spillover event more contact between people, wildlife and livestock medium
Deforestation amplify Malaria resurgence clearing creates breeding habitat at forest edges низкая
Deforestation amplify Лесной пожар fire used for clearing escapes; drier fragmented forest medium
Forest dieback amplify Лесной пожар dead fuel accumulates medium
Forest dieback amplify Утрата биоразнообразия habitat quality falls medium
Large forest disturbance amplify Лесной пожар fallen trees add fuel medium
Large forest disturbance amplify Forest pest invasion damaged trees host bark beetles medium
Forest pest invasion trigger Forest dieback infestation kills trees высокая
Land degradation amplify Acute food crisis lower yields and grazing capacity medium
Land degradation amplify Dust storm bare degraded soil is a dust source medium
Land degradation trigger Массовое перемещение населения livelihoods on the land fail низкая
Desertification amplify Dust storm more erodible surface высокая
Desertification amplify Water and resource conflict competition for shrinking productive land medium
Desertification trigger Dune encroachment loss of vegetation lets sand move medium
Soil salinisation and sodicity amplify Acute food crisis lower crop yields on salt-affected land medium
Wetland loss amplify Речное наводнение loss of flood storage medium
Wetland loss amplify Утрата биоразнообразия habitat loss for wetland species высокая
Mangrove loss amplify Штормовой нагон less wave and surge attenuation высокая
Mangrove loss amplify Береговая эрозия roots no longer hold sediment высокая
Mangrove loss amplify Fishery collapse nursery habitat lost medium
Peatland drainage and degradation amplify Peat and underground fire drained peat burns more easily высокая
Peatland drainage and degradation trigger Land subsidence drained peat oxidises and compacts высокая
Утрата биоразнообразия amplify Сокращение числа опылителей fewer floral resources and nesting sites medium
Утрата биоразнообразия amplify Zoonotic spillover event loss of buffer species changes host communities низкая
Утрата биоразнообразия amplify Abrupt climate-system shift ecosystems lose resilience to change низкая
Утрата биоразнообразия amplify Tick-borne disease surge fewer predators and fewer low-competence hosts for ticks низкая
Coral bleaching amplify Fishery collapse reef fish lose habitat medium
Coral bleaching amplify Береговая эрозия dead reefs dissipate less wave energy medium
Coral bleaching amplify Утрата биоразнообразия reef species lose their structure высокая
Сокращение числа опылителей amplify Acute food crisis lower yields of pollinated crops низкая
Fishery collapse trigger Acute food crisis loss of protein and income in fishing communities medium
Fishery collapse trigger Commodity price shock fish supply falls низкая
Mass wildlife mortality trigger Chemical water contamination decomposing carcasses foul water medium
Human-wildlife conflict trigger Rabies outbreak bites from infected wild animals низкая
Abrupt climate-system shift amplify Повышение уровня моря accelerated ice loss and ocean warming medium
Abrupt climate-system shift amplify Simultaneous multi-region crop failure simultaneous shifts in growing conditions medium
Abrupt climate-system shift amplify Утрата биоразнообразия climates move faster than species can follow medium
Volcanic cooling trigger Simultaneous multi-region crop failure short, cold growing seasons medium
Volcanic cooling amplify Hard freeze lower summer and autumn temperatures medium
Volcanic cooling reduces Аномальная жара less sunlight at the surface medium
Acid deposition trigger Forest dieback soil acidification and leaf damage medium
Acid deposition amplify Утрата биоразнообразия acidified lakes and soils medium
Chemical water contamination trigger Mass wildlife mortality toxic exposure of fish and wildlife medium
Oil spill trigger Mass wildlife mortality oiling of birds and marine life высокая
Oil spill trigger Fishery collapse fishing grounds closed and stocks harmed medium
Oil spill trigger Mangrove loss oil smothers roots medium
Pesticide exposure trigger Сокращение числа опылителей insecticides harm bees and other pollinators высокая
Marine debris trigger Mass wildlife mortality entanglement and ingestion medium
Waste impoundment failure trigger Mass wildlife mortality toxic slurry kills aquatic life высокая
Invasive species spread trigger Утрата биоразнообразия native species outcompeted высокая
Invasive species spread amplify Лесной пожар invasive grasses add continuous fuel medium
Concurrent heat and drought amplify Лесной пожар extreme fuel dryness высокая
Concurrent heat and drought trigger Forest dieback hydraulic failure of trees высокая
Climate-forcing boundary transgression trigger Fire regime shift longer, hotter fire seasons высокая
Extinction-rate boundary transgression amplify Утрата биоразнообразия lost species and genes remove recovery capacity высокая
Deforestation amplify Land-system change boundary transgression local clearing sums into biome-scale loss высокая
Deforestation amplify Emerging arbovirus outbreak new contact with vectors medium
Deforestation trigger Amazon rainforest dieback clearing reduces moisture recycling высокая
Nitrogen flow boundary transgression amplify Soil acidification nitrification of fertiliser acidifies soil высокая
Phosphorus flow boundary transgression trigger Lake clear-to-turbid shift nutrient loading passes the lake threshold высокая
Novel-entities boundary transgression amplify Insect decline pesticide and chemical burden harms insects medium
Novel-entities boundary transgression amplify Утрата биоразнообразия chemical stress on ecosystems medium
Warm-water coral reef die-off amplify Fishery collapse loss of reef habitat for fish stocks высокая
Coral bleaching amplify Warm-water coral reef die-off repeated bleaching outpaces recovery высокая
Coral bleaching trigger Ecosystem collapse repeated bleaching kills reefs высокая
Arctic Ocean atlantification amplify Climate-driven species range shift Atlantic species move into Arctic waters высокая
Amazon rainforest dieback amplify Лесной пожар degraded forest burns more readily высокая
Лесной пожар amplify Amazon rainforest dieback repeated fire kills fire-sensitive trees высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Fire-generated thunderstorm intense fire heat drives deep convection высокая
Лесной пожар trigger Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage fire reaches historic landscapes and buildings medium
Лесной пожар trigger Carbon removal reversal offset forests burn высокая
Native forest insect outbreak amplify Boreal forest southern dieback beetle-killed stands do not regenerate in warmer climate medium
Native forest insect outbreak amplify Лесной пожар dead trees add fuel medium
Sahel vegetation regime shift amplify Desertification vegetation loss reinforces drying medium
Permafrost carbon release amplify Abrupt climate-system shift added greenhouse gases speed warming medium
Soil carbon respiration feedback amplify Soil quality decline loss of organic matter medium

47 more relations are in the Hazard Standard dataset.

04По всему Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms, standards, learning and working groups across GCRI, GRF and GRA for the systems these hazards act on.

05Стандарты

Standards that govern this domain

Propose a change to Hazard Standard

Definitions and relations are a draft for expert review; corrections follow the standards development process.