اليابسة والنظم البيئية
Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts.
6 families, 39 hazards
Hazards of the living land and sea surface: vegetation fire, forest stress, land degradation, biodiversity loss and climate-state shifts. Organised by biosphere; families by driving process.
Vegetation and peat fire eco.wildfire
Fire in living or buried fuel: the family separates the weather conditions that make fire possible from the fire itself and from its two worst special cases (buildings in the path, and peat that smoulders for months).
Hot, dry and windy conditions over dry fuels in which any ignition spreads fast and suppression fails.
Also: red flag conditions, fire danger
An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.
Also: bushfire, forest fire, grass fire
A fire spreading between wildland vegetation and buildings, so that homes become fuel and evacuation routes close.
Also: interface fire
A smouldering fire in peat or coal seams that burns for weeks to years, releasing smoke and carbon and resisting suppression.
Also: smouldering fire, coal seam fire
A lasting change in how often, how large and how intensely landscapes burn, beyond what local ecosystems and communities are adapted to.
Also: megafire era, new fire regime
Forest and woodland stress eco.forest
Loss or decline of tree cover, split by cause (clearing, decline, single disturbance, invading pest) because the responses and data differ.
Clearing of forest for other land uses, losing habitat, carbon storage and watershed protection.
Also: forest clearing
Widespread tree decline and death from drought, heat, pests or disease.
Also: tree mortality, forest decline
A single event, such as windthrow, ice damage or defoliation, that damages a large share of the trees in a stand or landscape.
Also: windthrow, defoliation
A non-native insect or pathogen spreading through forests and killing or weakening trees.
An eruption of a native tree-killing insect, released by warm winters and drought-stressed trees, that kills forest across whole landscapes and raises fire risk.
Also: bark beetle outbreak, budworm outbreak
Land and wetland degradation eco.land
Long-term loss of the productive or protective function of land and wetlands; the slow end of the domain, where the hazard is cumulative state change rather than an event.
Long-term decline of the productivity and health of land from erosion, nutrient loss, compaction or salting.
Degradation of dryland into desert-like conditions through climate change and unsustainable land use.
Loss of soil organic matter, structure and nutrients that cuts yields and the water the soil can hold.
Also: soil degradation
Accumulation of salts or sodium in soil, from irrigation or seawater, that stunts crops and breaks soil structure.
Drainage, filling or drying of wetlands that removes flood buffering, water filtering and habitat.
Also: wetland degradation
Clearing or dieback of coastal mangroves, which removes shoreline protection, nursery habitat and carbon stores.
Draining or burning of peatland that oxidises stored carbon, sinks the land and raises fire risk.
Covering of fertile soil by buildings and pavement that permanently removes farmland, raises runoff and floods and removes soil carbon and habitat.
Also: land take, impervious surface spread
Gradual fall in soil pH from fertiliser, acid deposition and crop removal that locks up nutrients, releases toxic aluminium and lowers yields.
Also: acid soils
Biodiversity and species stress eco.species
Decline and sudden loss of living populations and the services they provide: reefs, pollinators, fisheries, wild animals and the conflict that follows when wildlife and people compete.
Decline in the variety and abundance of species and habitats that weakens services such as pollination, fisheries and soil formation.
Also: species decline, habitat loss
Corals expelling their algal partners under heat stress, turning white and often dying, with loss of reef fisheries and shore protection.
Also: reef mortality
A fall in pollinating insects and animals that cuts yields of pollinator-dependent crops and wild plant reproduction.
A fish stock cut so far by fishing, warming or habitat loss that it can no longer sustain catches.
Also: stock collapse
A sudden, large die-off of wild animals from disease, toxins, heat, cold or oxygen loss.
Also: die-off
Damage or injury from wild animals entering farms, villages or roads, and the retaliation that follows against them.
Also: crop raiding, predator attacks
A disease spreading across many wild species and continents that wipes out populations, drives extinctions and can carry pathogens to livestock and people.
Also: chytrid fungus, white-nose syndrome, avian influenza in wild birds.
Broad fall in insect abundance and biomass from habitat loss, pesticides, light and warming that starves birds and fish and weakens pest control and decomposition.
Also: insect apocalypse, insect biomass loss
Warming shifting the timing of flowering, breeding or migration at different rates, so that species miss the food or pollinators they depend on.
Also: timing mismatch, seasonal desynchronisation
Movement of species towards the poles, uphill or deeper as climate warms, reshuffling fisheries, pests and disease vectors and stranding species with nowhere to go.
Also: species redistribution, poleward shift
A swarm of jellyfish or similar animals that clogs power-plant and desalination intakes, kills farmed fish and closes beaches.
Also: jellyfish swarm
Loss of the defining species, structure and functions of an ecosystem, such as a reef, lake, kelp forest or wetland, beyond the point of natural recovery.
Also: ecological collapse, biodiversity collapse
Climate-state shifts eco.climate-state
Changes of the whole climate system rather than of one place; kept as hazards so that global-risk models can name them as triggers of the regional hazards.
A threshold crossing in a large climate-system component, such as an ocean circulation or a rainforest, that changes regional climate quickly and may not reverse.
Also: tipping point
A drop in global or hemispheric temperature for one to three years after a very large eruption loads the stratosphere with sulphate aerosol.
Also: volcanic winter
Ecosystem regime shifts eco.regime-shift
Ecosystems that flip to a different, often poorer and self-sustaining state when stress passes a threshold, so that removing the stress does not restore them.
Loss of kelp forests to marine heat, grazing urchins or turbid water, replacing them with barren seabed and losing fisheries, carbon and wave shelter.
Also: urchin barrens, kelp loss
Die-off or removal of seagrass meadows from heat, turbidity, nutrients or dredging, losing nursery habitat, sediment stability and stored carbon.
Also: seagrass dieback
A shallow lake switching from clear, plant-rich water to turbid, algae-dominated water once nutrient loading passes a threshold, which then persists even if loading falls.
Also: lake eutrophic flip, shallow lake regime shift.
Spread of shrubs and trees into grasslands and savannas through grazing, fire suppression and rising carbon dioxide, cutting forage and water yield.
Also: bush encroachment, shrub invasion of grassland
Loss of saltmarsh, mudflat and beach habitat trapped between rising seas and fixed defences or development, removing natural flood buffers.
Also: intertidal habitat loss, saltmarsh drowning
Loss of key predators, grazers or prey that cascades through a food web, restructuring the ecosystem and the services it supplies.
Also: trophic cascade, defaunation cascade
207 expert relations
Triggers, amplifications, compound pairs and reductions from the Hazard Standard expert model; 67 lead out of this domain into others.
| من | النوع | إلى | الآلية | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning strike | trigger |
حرائق البراري | dry-fuel ignition by a strike without much rain | مرتفعة |
| Derecho | trigger |
Large forest disturbance | wide swath of windthrow | مرتفعة |
| Windstorm | trigger |
Large forest disturbance | windthrow of trees | مرتفعة |
| Windstorm | amplify |
حرائق البراري | wind drives spread and spotting | مرتفعة |
| Downslope windstorm | amplify |
حرائق البراري | hot, dry, gusty air drives fire spread | مرتفعة |
| Downslope windstorm | amplify |
Wildland-urban interface fire | ember showers ignite structures | مرتفعة |
| Downslope windstorm | trigger |
حرائق البراري | downed or clashing lines ignite dry vegetation | medium |
| الأمطار الغزيرة | reduces |
Extreme fire weather | wet fuels and humid air | مرتفعة |
| الأمطار الغزيرة | reduces |
حرائق البراري | wet fuels slow ignition and spread | مرتفعة |
| Freezing rain | trigger |
Large forest disturbance | ice loading breaks branches and trees | مرتفعة |
| موجة حر | amplify |
Extreme fire weather | high temperature dries fuels and lowers humidity | مرتفعة |
| موجة حر | amplify |
حرائق البراري | dry fuels and strong fire behaviour | مرتفعة |
| موجة حر | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | lethal heat stress in wildlife and fish | medium |
| موجة حر | trigger |
Forest dieback | heat stress and hydraulic failure of trees | medium |
| Hard freeze | reduces |
Forest pest invasion | winter kill of insects | منخفضة |
| Atmospheric blocking | amplify |
Extreme fire weather | persistent hot, dry conditions | medium |
| Tropical Pacific climate swing | trigger |
Coral bleaching | sustained high sea temperature | medium |
| Tropical Pacific climate swing | amplify |
Fishery collapse | upwelling collapse and warm water | medium |
| Tropical Pacific climate swing | amplify |
Peat and underground fire | drought lowers peat water tables | medium |
| Stratospheric ozone loss episode | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | ultraviolet damage to plankton and plants | منخفضة |
| الجفاف الجوي | amplify |
حرائق البراري | dry fuels | مرتفعة |
| الجفاف الجوي | amplify |
Peat and underground fire | falling peat water table | مرتفعة |
| الجفاف الجوي | amplify |
Forest dieback | tree hydraulic stress | مرتفعة |
| الجفاف الجوي | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | water and food scarcity for wildlife | medium |
| الجفاف الجوي | amplify |
Desertification | repeated drought degrades dryland | medium |
| الجفاف الجوي | amplify |
Human-wildlife conflict | wildlife enter farms and villages for water and food | medium |
| Hydrological drought | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | low flow and low oxygen kill fish | medium |
| Flash drought | amplify |
حرائق البراري | fast fuel drying | medium |
| العرام العاصفي | trigger |
Soil salinisation and sodicity | salt water deposited on farmland | medium |
| الفيضان الساحلي | trigger |
Soil salinisation and sodicity | salt deposition on soils | medium |
| Tsunami | trigger |
Soil salinisation and sodicity | salt deposition on farmland | medium |
| ارتفاع مستوى سطح البحر | trigger |
Wetland loss | coastal wetlands drown or are squeezed | medium |
| ارتفاع مستوى سطح البحر | trigger |
Mangrove loss | inundation and coastal squeeze | medium |
| Saltwater intrusion | trigger |
Soil salinisation and sodicity | irrigation with, or flooding by, salty water | مرتفعة |
| Marine heatwave | trigger |
Coral bleaching | thermal stress on reef corals | مرتفعة |
| Marine heatwave | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | lethal heat stress in marine life | مرتفعة |
| Marine heatwave | amplify |
Fishery collapse | stock stress and range shifts | medium |
| Marine heatwave | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | heat stress on marine ecosystems | medium |
| تحمض المحيطات | amplify |
Coral bleaching | weakened calcification lowers reef resilience | medium |
| تحمض المحيطات | amplify |
Fishery collapse | stress on shell-building prey and larvae | منخفضة |
| تحمض المحيطات | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | chemical stress on marine calcifiers | medium |
| Marine oxygen depletion | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | fish and bottom life suffocate | مرتفعة |
| Marine oxygen depletion | amplify |
Fishery collapse | loss of habitat and stock | medium |
| ازدهار الطحالب الضارة | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | toxins and oxygen loss kill fish and wildlife | مرتفعة |
| Snow drought | amplify |
حرائق البراري | earlier drying and a longer fire season | medium |
| Ice-sheet mass loss | trigger |
Abrupt climate-system shift | freshwater input may weaken ocean circulation | منخفضة |
| فقدان الجليد البحري | trigger |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | habitat loss for ice-dependent species | medium |
| Lava flow | trigger |
حرائق البراري | contact ignition of vegetation | مرتفعة |
| Volcanic ballistic projectiles | trigger |
حرائق البراري | hot fragments ignite vegetation | medium |
| Pyroclastic flow | trigger |
حرائق البراري | hot current ignites everything it reaches | مرتفعة |
| Volcanic gas and aerosol emission | trigger |
Volcanic cooling | stratospheric sulphate reflects sunlight | medium |
| Soil erosion | trigger |
Soil quality decline | topsoil and organic matter lost | مرتفعة |
| Soil erosion | amplify |
Land degradation | productive capacity declines | مرتفعة |
| التآكل الساحلي | trigger |
Mangrove loss | shoreline retreat removes the mangrove fringe | منخفضة |
| Dune encroachment | amplify |
Desertification | moving sand buries farmland | medium |
| Meteorite impact | trigger |
حرائق البراري | thermal radiation and hot ejecta | medium |
| Meteorite impact | trigger |
Abrupt climate-system shift | a very large impact loads the atmosphere with dust and soot | منخفضة |
| Airburst | trigger |
Large forest disturbance | blast flattens forest | medium |
| Extreme fire weather | amplify |
حرائق البراري | low humidity, heat and wind raise spread and intensity | مرتفعة |
| Extreme fire weather | amplify |
Wildland-urban interface fire | embers carried into settlements | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Smoke plume | combustion emits smoke | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Wildland-urban interface fire | the fire front reaches settlements | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Outdoor air pollution episode | smoke raises fine particle levels downwind | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Black carbon | incomplete combustion emits soot | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Debris flow | burned slopes shed sediment in the next heavy rain | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Soil erosion | loss of vegetation and water-repellent soil | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
الفيضان الخاطف | burned catchments produce rapid runoff | medium |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Widespread power outage | lines burned or de-energised as a precaution | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | habitat destroyed | medium |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Large forest disturbance | stand-replacing fire | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Chemical water contamination | ash and retardant wash into supplies | medium |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
النزوح الجماعي | evacuation and loss of homes | medium |
| حرائق البراري | amplify |
Glacier mass loss | soot darkens snow and ice | منخفضة |
| Wildland-urban interface fire | trigger |
Building and urban fire | embers and radiant heat ignite buildings | مرتفعة |
| Wildland-urban interface fire | trigger |
Toxic gas release | burning building materials and stores | medium |
| Wildland-urban interface fire | trigger |
Disaster and conflict debris | burned buildings leave contaminated debris | مرتفعة |
| Wildland-urban interface fire | trigger |
Emergency-response overload | many structures threatened at once | medium |
| Peat and underground fire | trigger |
Outdoor air pollution episode | long smouldering smoke episodes | مرتفعة |
| Peat and underground fire | trigger |
الضباب | regional smoke haze | مرتفعة |
| Peat and underground fire | amplify |
Peatland drainage and degradation | carbon store burned away | مرتفعة |
| Deforestation | trigger |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | habitat removal and fragmentation | مرتفعة |
| Deforestation | trigger |
Soil erosion | bare soil exposed to rain | مرتفعة |
| Deforestation | amplify |
Slope slide | loss of root reinforcement on slopes | medium |
| Deforestation | amplify |
الفيضان الخاطف | faster runoff from cleared slopes | medium |
| Deforestation | amplify |
Zoonotic spillover event | more contact between people, wildlife and livestock | medium |
| Deforestation | amplify |
Malaria resurgence | clearing creates breeding habitat at forest edges | منخفضة |
| Deforestation | amplify |
حرائق البراري | fire used for clearing escapes; drier fragmented forest | medium |
| Forest dieback | amplify |
حرائق البراري | dead fuel accumulates | medium |
| Forest dieback | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | habitat quality falls | medium |
| Large forest disturbance | amplify |
حرائق البراري | fallen trees add fuel | medium |
| Large forest disturbance | amplify |
Forest pest invasion | damaged trees host bark beetles | medium |
| Forest pest invasion | trigger |
Forest dieback | infestation kills trees | مرتفعة |
| Land degradation | amplify |
Acute food crisis | lower yields and grazing capacity | medium |
| Land degradation | amplify |
Dust storm | bare degraded soil is a dust source | medium |
| Land degradation | trigger |
النزوح الجماعي | livelihoods on the land fail | منخفضة |
| Desertification | amplify |
Dust storm | more erodible surface | مرتفعة |
| Desertification | amplify |
Water and resource conflict | competition for shrinking productive land | medium |
| Desertification | trigger |
Dune encroachment | loss of vegetation lets sand move | medium |
| Soil salinisation and sodicity | amplify |
Acute food crisis | lower crop yields on salt-affected land | medium |
| Wetland loss | amplify |
الفيضان النهري | loss of flood storage | medium |
| Wetland loss | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | habitat loss for wetland species | مرتفعة |
| Mangrove loss | amplify |
العرام العاصفي | less wave and surge attenuation | مرتفعة |
| Mangrove loss | amplify |
التآكل الساحلي | roots no longer hold sediment | مرتفعة |
| Mangrove loss | amplify |
Fishery collapse | nursery habitat lost | medium |
| Peatland drainage and degradation | amplify |
Peat and underground fire | drained peat burns more easily | مرتفعة |
| Peatland drainage and degradation | trigger |
Land subsidence | drained peat oxidises and compacts | مرتفعة |
| فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | amplify |
تراجع الملقِّحات | fewer floral resources and nesting sites | medium |
| فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | amplify |
Zoonotic spillover event | loss of buffer species changes host communities | منخفضة |
| فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | amplify |
Abrupt climate-system shift | ecosystems lose resilience to change | منخفضة |
| فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | amplify |
Tick-borne disease surge | fewer predators and fewer low-competence hosts for ticks | منخفضة |
| Coral bleaching | amplify |
Fishery collapse | reef fish lose habitat | medium |
| Coral bleaching | amplify |
التآكل الساحلي | dead reefs dissipate less wave energy | medium |
| Coral bleaching | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | reef species lose their structure | مرتفعة |
| تراجع الملقِّحات | amplify |
Acute food crisis | lower yields of pollinated crops | منخفضة |
| Fishery collapse | trigger |
Acute food crisis | loss of protein and income in fishing communities | medium |
| Fishery collapse | trigger |
Commodity price shock | fish supply falls | منخفضة |
| Mass wildlife mortality | trigger |
Chemical water contamination | decomposing carcasses foul water | medium |
| Human-wildlife conflict | trigger |
Rabies outbreak | bites from infected wild animals | منخفضة |
| Abrupt climate-system shift | amplify |
ارتفاع مستوى سطح البحر | accelerated ice loss and ocean warming | medium |
| Abrupt climate-system shift | amplify |
Simultaneous multi-region crop failure | simultaneous shifts in growing conditions | medium |
| Abrupt climate-system shift | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | climates move faster than species can follow | medium |
| Volcanic cooling | trigger |
Simultaneous multi-region crop failure | short, cold growing seasons | medium |
| Volcanic cooling | amplify |
Hard freeze | lower summer and autumn temperatures | medium |
| Volcanic cooling | reduces |
موجة حر | less sunlight at the surface | medium |
| Acid deposition | trigger |
Forest dieback | soil acidification and leaf damage | medium |
| Acid deposition | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | acidified lakes and soils | medium |
| Chemical water contamination | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | toxic exposure of fish and wildlife | medium |
| Oil spill | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | oiling of birds and marine life | مرتفعة |
| Oil spill | trigger |
Fishery collapse | fishing grounds closed and stocks harmed | medium |
| Oil spill | trigger |
Mangrove loss | oil smothers roots | medium |
| Pesticide exposure | trigger |
تراجع الملقِّحات | insecticides harm bees and other pollinators | مرتفعة |
| Marine debris | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | entanglement and ingestion | medium |
| Waste impoundment failure | trigger |
Mass wildlife mortality | toxic slurry kills aquatic life | مرتفعة |
| Invasive species spread | trigger |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | native species outcompeted | مرتفعة |
| Invasive species spread | amplify |
حرائق البراري | invasive grasses add continuous fuel | medium |
| Concurrent heat and drought | amplify |
حرائق البراري | extreme fuel dryness | مرتفعة |
| Concurrent heat and drought | trigger |
Forest dieback | hydraulic failure of trees | مرتفعة |
| Climate-forcing boundary transgression | trigger |
Fire regime shift | longer, hotter fire seasons | مرتفعة |
| Extinction-rate boundary transgression | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | lost species and genes remove recovery capacity | مرتفعة |
| Deforestation | amplify |
Land-system change boundary transgression | local clearing sums into biome-scale loss | مرتفعة |
| Deforestation | amplify |
Emerging arbovirus outbreak | new contact with vectors | medium |
| Deforestation | trigger |
Amazon rainforest dieback | clearing reduces moisture recycling | مرتفعة |
| Nitrogen flow boundary transgression | amplify |
Soil acidification | nitrification of fertiliser acidifies soil | مرتفعة |
| Phosphorus flow boundary transgression | trigger |
Lake clear-to-turbid shift | nutrient loading passes the lake threshold | مرتفعة |
| Novel-entities boundary transgression | amplify |
Insect decline | pesticide and chemical burden harms insects | medium |
| Novel-entities boundary transgression | amplify |
فقدان التنوع البيولوجي | chemical stress on ecosystems | medium |
| Warm-water coral reef die-off | amplify |
Fishery collapse | loss of reef habitat for fish stocks | مرتفعة |
| Coral bleaching | amplify |
Warm-water coral reef die-off | repeated bleaching outpaces recovery | مرتفعة |
| Coral bleaching | trigger |
Ecosystem collapse | repeated bleaching kills reefs | مرتفعة |
| Arctic Ocean atlantification | amplify |
Climate-driven species range shift | Atlantic species move into Arctic waters | مرتفعة |
| Amazon rainforest dieback | amplify |
حرائق البراري | degraded forest burns more readily | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | amplify |
Amazon rainforest dieback | repeated fire kills fire-sensitive trees | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Fire-generated thunderstorm | intense fire heat drives deep convection | مرتفعة |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage | fire reaches historic landscapes and buildings | medium |
| حرائق البراري | trigger |
Carbon removal reversal | offset forests burn | مرتفعة |
| Native forest insect outbreak | amplify |
Boreal forest southern dieback | beetle-killed stands do not regenerate in warmer climate | medium |
| Native forest insect outbreak | amplify |
حرائق البراري | dead trees add fuel | medium |
| Sahel vegetation regime shift | amplify |
Desertification | vegetation loss reinforces drying | medium |
| Permafrost carbon release | amplify |
Abrupt climate-system shift | added greenhouse gases speed warming | medium |
| Soil carbon respiration feedback | amplify |
Soil quality decline | loss of organic matter | medium |
47 more relations are in the Hazard Standard dataset.
Risk classes in this domain
Risk classes are Hazard Standard tags with published criteria; a tag is not a severity value.
Global risk
A hazard is global when its occurrence, its consequences or its causal chain cross national borders and act at continental or planetary scale, so that no single country can fully assess, prevent or absorb it.
Risk type
9 hazardsPlanetary risk
A hazard is planetary when it concerns the stability of an Earth-system process: it pressures a planetary boundary, or it is, or directly drives, a tipping element whose change of state would alter the Earth system as a whole.
Risk type
3 hazardsالمخاطر الكارثية
A hazard is catastrophic when at least one plausible scenario for it would cause global catastrophe: a very large loss of life, the crippling of global systems, or a civilisational setback that would take generations to recover from.
Risk type
4 hazardsEmerging risk
A hazard is emerging when it is new, or is changing fast in nature, scale, likelihood or reach, and the evidence base for assessing it is still thin or immature.
Risk type
1 hazardsExponential risk
A hazard is exponential when its growth or diffusion is self-accelerating, through compounding technology capability, contagion, network effects or reinforcing feedback, so that its scale can outrun linear planning and response.
Risk type
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms, standards, learning and working groups across GCRI, GRF and GRA for the systems these hazards act on.
Propose a change to Hazard Standard
Definitions and relations are a draft for expert review; corrections follow the standards development process.
الحالة
منهجية The Global Risks Index وبنيته وتعاريفه مسودة عمل تحضيرية (2026)، تُعمَّم للمراجعة والتعليق لا للتطبيق. ولا تظهر أي قيمة إلى أن يصدر إصدار من مقطع أدلة خاضع للحوكمة؛ وعندئذ تحمل القيم فترات وفئات ومصادر ومسار تصويبها. وتُطبِّق أدوات المحاكاة المنهجيات المنشورة على أرقام تختارها أنت، ولا تعرض أبدًا أي قيمة من NXS-GRX.
ما ليس عليه NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX معلومات بحثية وتحليلية للمخاطر. وهو ليس تصنيفًا ائتمانيًا ولا تصنيفًا بيئيًا واجتماعيًا وحوكميًا ولا يستخدم أي مقياس تصنيف، وليس مؤشرًا مرجعيًا للأدوات المالية، ولا إحصاءً رسميًا، ولا إنذارًا طارئًا أو تصنيفًا رسميًا، ولا مشورة. ولا يجوز استخدامه لتقييم الأشخاص الطبيعيين. فئات المخاطر نطاقات على مقياس منشور، وليست أبدًا ترتيبًا للبلدان أو الأشخاص.
المؤسسات والمصادر
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
تحمل كل قيمة إسناد مصادرها، التي تحتفظ بتراخيصها الخاصة. ولا يُستشهد بالأسماء الخارجية إلا لأغراض قابلية التشغيل البيني. ويُعتزم إصدار النصوص التي تؤلفها Nexus بموجب ترخيص CC BY 4.0 عند نشرها.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.