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Глобальный индекс рисков (Global Risks Index)

The Global Risks Index · 54 series · 5 regions

A family of specialised indices

Each series has its own scope, questions, domain indices, indicator set, hazard families, methods and edition, and shares its code with the Nexus Reports edition of the same subject. Series are listed by code, never by value.

Sector series Strategic systems Technology
Страница GRX-SERВыпуск Базовый выпуск 2026Дата закрытия доказательной базы 2026-09-30Значения пока не опубликованыМетод v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Which index domains each series reads
Dark cells: domains whose index feeds the series directly. Light cells: domains read for context.
54
серии
24
subjects shared with Nexus Reports
25
subjects proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)
5
UN M49 regions

01GS

Глобальные отраслевые серии

Fifteen sector indices on the grammar of the Nexus Reports sector screen.

GS-01Global WaterAccess, scarcity, quality, floods and droughts, groundwater depletion, transboundary dependency and the couplings of water to energy, food, health and nature.NR drafted GS-02Global EnergySupply adequacy, import dependency, grid reliability, affordability, extreme-weather exposure, critical minerals and transition pathways.NR planned GS-03Global Food and agrifoodAcute and chronic food insecurity, production shocks, import dependency, prices, fertiliser and logistics chokepoints, nutrition and pollination dependency.NR planned GS-04Global HealthHealth security capacity, epidemic emergence and spread, heat and air-quality burden, health system stress and access.NR planned GS-05Global Finance and economyFiscal and public debt risk, financial stability, external dependence, inflation and growth at risk, and the macro-financial channels of physical and transition risk.NR planned GS-06Global DevelopmentPoverty, inequality, human development, demographic pressure and displacement as the ground on which shocks become losses.NR planned GS-07Global ClimateChronic and acute physical climate hazard, transition exposure, adaptation gaps and scenario pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100.NR planned GS-08Global DisasterMulti-hazard exposure, disaster losses and mortality, return-period losses, protection gaps and coping capacity.NR planned GS-09Global InfrastructureInfrastructure fragility, service continuity, interdependency of power, water, transport and telecommunications, and investment exposure.NR planned GS-10Global CitiesUrban exposure, heat, flooding, informal settlement, service dependency and the economic weight of cities at risk.NR planned GS-11Global BiodiversityEnvironmental pressure, ecosystem condition, nature dependency of economies and the nature–climate–water–food feedbacks.NR planned GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems behind NXS-GRX.NR planned GS-13Global Cyber and digitalCyber capability and threat exposure, digital dependency, connectivity resilience and the cyber-physical channels into essential services.NR planned GS-14Global Policy and institutionsGovernance weakness, state capacity, rule of law, preparedness frameworks and the institutional ability to anticipate and adapt.NR planned GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration.NR planned
02SR

Серия стратегических систем

Cross-cutting systems where crises entangle.

SR-01Global PolycrisisHow crises become entangled: common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, economy, health and security.NR drafted SR-02Conflict, fragility and human securityConflict risk and escalation, fragility, organised violence, civilian harm and the conflict–climate–food–displacement nexus.NR planned SR-03Supply chains, trade and chokepointsTrade concentration, maritime and overland chokepoints, input–output exposure and the propagation of supply shocks.NR planned SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction.NR planned SR-05Fiscal resilienceFiscal space, debt sustainability signals, contingent liabilities from disasters, and pre-arranged finance.NR planned SR-06Displacement and demographic changeForced displacement, migration pressure, ageing, youth bulges and urbanisation as risk multipliers.NR planned SR-07Food, water and energyThe food–water–energy nexus: shared stressors, trade-offs and joint failures.NR planned SR-08Financial contagion and systemic financeInterconnected exposures, sovereign–bank links, capital-flow reversals and contagion through financial networks.NR planned SR-09Planetary boundariesEarth-system boundaries and tipping elements as slow-onset, high-impact risk.NR planned SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk.NR planned SR-11Information integrity and social cohesionInformation disorder, polarisation, trust and cohesion as amplifiers of every other risk.NR planned SR-12Health security and biosecurityPandemic and epidemic preparedness, antimicrobial resistance, zoonotic spillover and biosecurity controls, at public-safe level.NR planned SR-13Strategic technologyConcentration and control of strategic technologies, export controls and technological dependency.NR planned SR-14Global catastrophic and tail riskLow-probability, high-impact and global catastrophic risks: severe space weather, super-eruptions, engineered and natural pandemics, nuclear and frontier-technology failure modes, compound collapses.NR planned
03XT

Серия экспоненциальных технологий

Frontier technologies as infrastructure, dependency and hazard.

XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps.NR drafted XT-02Cyber and cyber-physical systemsThreats to operational technology, industrial control and cyber-physical systems across energy, water, health, ports and logistics.NR planned XT-03Telecommunications, open radio networks and edgeTelecom resilience, open and AI-native radio access networks, private wireless, edge compute and spectrum constraints.NR planned XT-04Sovereign compute, HPC and cloudCompute dependency and concentration, cloud and data-residency risk, accelerator supply and secure compute.NR planned XT-05Quantum-relevant securityCryptographic resilience and the migration to post-quantum cryptography across public and financial systems.NR planned XT-06SemiconductorsSemiconductor supply concentration, fabrication chokepoints, materials and equipment dependency and export-control exposure.NR planned XT-07Earth observation and space systemsDependency on satellites for navigation, communications and observation; orbital congestion, debris and space-weather exposure.NR planned XT-08Drones, robotics and autonomous systemsAutonomous and robotic systems in logistics, agriculture, industry and security: failure, misuse and safety oversight.NR planned XT-09Sensors, IoT and industrial IoTConnected sensing and control across cities, utilities and industry: attack surface, data integrity and dependency.NR planned XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency.NR planned XT-11Digital identity and trustIdentity, authentication and trust infrastructure: exclusion, fraud, breach and concentration risk.NR planned XT-12Positioning, navigation and timingDependency of power, telecom, finance and transport on positioning and timing signals; jamming, spoofing and space weather.NR planned XT-13Energy transition technologiesBatteries, hydrogen, grid storage, renewables and their supply chains, failure modes and transition risk.NR planned XT-14Software and supply-chain integrityOpen-source and commercial software dependencies, build integrity and provenance across critical systems.NR planned XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published.NR planned XT-16Advanced manufacturingAdvanced and additive manufacturing, industrial automation and their supply, cyber and labour risks.NR planned XT-17Distributed ledgers and decentralised infrastructureDistributed ledgers and decentralised physical infrastructure networks: operational, financial-stability and governance risk.NR planned XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only.NR planned XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks.NR planned XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.NR planned
04TH

Тематические серии

Disaster risk reduction, finance and intelligence, and the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.

TH-01Nexus InterdependencyThe water, energy, food, health and biodiversity systems read together: drought to energy stress, energy disruption to health stress, biodiversity loss to food-system stress, flood to water contamination, heat to health and grid stress, cyber-physical disruption across all five. TH-02Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)Hazard, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, preparedness, redundancy and recovery readings for planning and learning, aligned to the Sendai Framework targets. TH-03Disaster Risk Finance (DRF)Loss sensitivity, protection gaps, contingent liabilities and the readiness questions for pre-arranged finance, insurance and risk transfer. TH-04Disaster Risk Intelligence (DRI)Signals, observations, event streams, geospatial layers and scenario packs turned into structured risk intelligence for preparedness and planning.
05RG

Региональные серии

The five UN M49 regions and their twenty-two sub-regions.

AFRAfricaEastern Africa · Middle Africa · Northern Africa · Southern Africa · Western Africa54 profiles AMEAmericasCaribbean · Central America · Northern America · South America35 profiles ASIAsiaCentral Asia · Eastern Asia · South-eastern Asia · Southern Asia · Western Asia48 profiles EUREuropeEastern Europe · Northern Europe · Southern Europe · Western Europe44 profiles OCEOceaniaAustralia and New Zealand · Melanesia · Micronesia · Polynesia14 profiles

Every series reads the same twenty domains

So a sector, strategic or technology reading can be compared with the global and country readings it comes from.

The twenty domain indices

Статус

Методология, структура и определения The Global Risks Index представляют собой предварительный рабочий проект (2026), распространяемый для рассмотрения и комментариев, а не для применения. Значения не появляются, пока выпуск не будет опубликован на основе управляемого среза доказательной базы; тогда значения сопровождаются интервалами, классами, источниками и порядком их исправления. Симуляторы применяют опубликованные методы к выбранным вами числам и никогда не показывают значение NXS-GRX.

Чем NXS-GRX не является

NXS-GRX является исследовательской и риск-аналитической информацией. Это не кредитный и не ESG-рейтинг, и в нём не используется рейтинговая шкала; это не эталон для финансовых инструментов, не официальная статистика, не экстренное предупреждение или официальная классификация и не консультация. Его нельзя использовать для оценки физических лиц. Классы риска являются диапазонами на опубликованной шкале и никогда не являются рейтингами стран или людей.

Учреждения и источники

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Каждое значение сопровождается указанием его источников, которые сохраняют собственные лицензии. Внешние названия приводятся только для обеспечения совместимости. Тексты, подготовленные Nexus, предполагается публиковать по лицензии CC BY 4.0.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.