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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · SR-10 · Strategic systems series

Dijital kamu altyapısı

Kamu malı olarak kimlik, ödeme ve veri değişimi altyapısı ile bunların yoğunlaşma, siber ve süreklilik riski.

İnşaat Göstergeler Bağlantı
Page GRX-SER-SR-10Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports SR-10 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Alan endeksleri

4

Governance weakness · Infrastructure fragility · Cyber risk · Technology concentration risk.

Göstergeler

93

4 index domains

Hazard families

35

Information and cyber-physical systems · Built systems · Frontier and exponential technology.

Yöntemler

83

Cyber, AI and frontier technology · Critical infrastructure and industrial systems.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
4
alan endeksleri
93
indicators in scope
3
tehlike alanları
4
client groups

01Kapsam

Scope and questions

The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.

  1. Which public services depend on single digital rails?
  2. How resilient is digital public infrastructure to outage and attack?
  3. Where does digital exclusion create new vulnerability?
02İnşaat

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Digital public infrastructure index is built

Graph8 nodes
Grafik
01Alan endeksleri
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Dizin
  1. Yönetişim zayıflığı

    Domain index · IDX · GOV
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  2. Altyapı kırılganlığı

    Domain index · IDX · INF
    Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
  3. Siber risk

    Domain index · IDX · CYB
    Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  4. Teknoloji yoğunlaşması riski

    Domain index · IDX · TEC
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  5. Digital public infrastructure index

    Series index · SERIES · SR-10
    Kamu malı olarak kimlik, ödeme ve veri değişimi altyapısı ile bunların yoğunlaşma, siber ve süreklilik riski.
  6. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  7. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  8. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
ÇalıştırılmadıSürüyorTamamlandı
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Endeksler

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · SR-10 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Digital public infrastructure index, world
–
Değerler baskıyla yayımlanır; aralık, sınıf ve değişim burada görünür.
Endeks Değer Değişim Değişim % %90 aralık Sınıf · olasılık Eğilim Aralık
Yönetişim zayıflığıNXS-GRX · GOV – – – – –
Altyapı kırılganlığıNXS-GRX · INF – – – – –
Siber riskNXS-GRX · CYB – – – – –
Teknoloji yoğunlaşması riskiNXS-GRX · TEC – – – – –

Domains read: Cyber and digital, Technology and frontier, Governance and institutions, Infrastructure.

04Göstergeler

93 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
INF · 24GOV · 20CYB · 13TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Gösterge Alan Sub-domain Bileşen Birim Düzeyler Crosswalks
LIC-DSF bileşik gösterge puanı (yayımlanan, referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Kritik minerallerde net ithalat bağımlılığıIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Deniz dar geçitlerine maruz deniz yolu ticaretiIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Uyum yatırımı için ekonomik hazırlıkIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Uyum için yönetişim hazırlığıIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Taşkın koruma tasarım standardıIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood başa çıkma kapasitesi a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Yapılaşmış yüzey alanıIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area HAZ Maruziyet context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki yapılaşmış alanIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed HAZ Maruziyet maruziyet km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yol yoğunluğuIND.ENV.land.road_density ENV Land and forests hazard km/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Kontrollü tesislerde yönetilen belediye katı atığıIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share ENV Pollution and waste başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
Güvenli biçimde arıtılan atık su akışlarıIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
Dış kaynaklı yenilenebilir suya bağımlılık oranıIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY
İşleyen bir işbirliği düzenlemesi bulunan sınır aşan havza alanıIND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share WAT Transboundary dependence başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY SDG 6.5.2
GNSS'ye bağımlı faaliyetlerdeki GSYH, payIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Yedeği olmadan uydulara dayanan kritik hizmetler, payIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek jeoelektrik tehlike bölgelerindeki yüksek gerilim şebekesi, payIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1
En yakın sağlık tesisine ulaşım süresiIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Ulusal parlamentoda kadınların sahip olduğu sandalyelerIND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
Kentsel nüfus, toplamın payıIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share DEM Urbanisation context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
Kentsel nüfus artışıIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
Gecekondu bölgelerinde yaşayan kentsel nüfusIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
Söz hakkı ve hesap verebilirlik (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
Siyasi istikrar ve şiddetin yokluğu (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Hükümet etkinliği (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
Yolsuzluğun kontrolü (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
Yolsuzluk Algı Endeksi (Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Basın özgürlüğü puanı (RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom GOV Governance quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Hukukun üstünlüğü (WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law GOV Rule of law başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
Mülkiyet hakları ve kurala dayalı yönetişim (CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights GOV Rule of law başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
Hüküm giymemiş tutuklular, cezaevi nüfusunun payıIND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.3.2
Firmalar arasında rüşvet görülme sıklığıIND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
Düzenleyici kalite (WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality GOV Policy and institutional quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
CPIA genel notu (IDA kaynak tahsis endeksi)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall GOV Policy and institutional quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA kamu sektörü yönetimi ve kurumlarıIND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management GOV Policy and institutional quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA kamu sektöründe şeffaflık, hesap verebilirlik ve yolsuzlukIND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency GOV Policy and institutional quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
Gelir seferberliğinin etkinliği (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Bütçe uygulamasının onaylanan bütçeden sapmasıIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
İstatistiksel Performans Göstergeleri genel puanıIND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall GOV Statistical capacity başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
Doğum kaydının eksiksizliğiIND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
Son nüfus sayımından bu yana geçen yılIND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
İş ortamı puanı (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Firmaların tipik bir ayda yaşadığı elektrik kesintileriIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
Sistem ortalama kesinti süresi (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Sistem ortalama kesinti sıklığı (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Kritik mineral ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Kritik mineraller vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Her mevsim kullanılabilen bir yola 2 km mesafedeki kırsal nüfusIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
Lojistik performansıIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
En iyi performansa göre düzenli hat taşımacılığı bağlantısıIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Kişi başına taşınan hava yolu yolcusuIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {passengers}/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR
Toplu taşımaya kolay erişimi olan kentsel nüfusIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki kara yolu ve demir yolu ağı, payIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share INF Ulaşım maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
İnternet kullanan bireylerIND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
Mobil ağ kapsamındaki nüfus, teknolojiye göreIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
100 kişi başına sabit geniş bant abonelikleriIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi /10*2 COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2
Uluslararası bağlantı güzergâhı yedekliliğiIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi 1 COUNTRY
Ulusal ölçekli internet kesintisi saatleriIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
Elektrik şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Su temin şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
72 saatlik yedek güce sahip kritik tesislerIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki su temin varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki elektrik üretim ve şebeke varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki hayati altyapı tesisleri, payIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Altyapı yatırım açığı, GSYH payıIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan kritik altyapı birimleriIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan sağlık tesisleriIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan eğitim tesisleriIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-3
Afetlere bağlanan temel hizmet kesintileriIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-5
Kritik altyapıdaki doğrudan ekonomik kayıp, GSYH payıIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
ITU Küresel Siber Güvenlik Endeksi puanıIND.CYB.capability.gci_score CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Overall score
ITU Küresel Siber Güvenlik Endeksi kademesiIND.CYB.capability.gci_tier CYB Cyber capability vulnerability {class} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Tier
ITU GCI yasal önlemler sütunuIND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
ITU GCI teknik önlemler sütunuIND.CYB.capability.gci_technical CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
ITU GCI örgütsel önlemler sütunuIND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
ITU GCI kapasite geliştirme önlemleri sütunuIND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_development CYB Cyber capability uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Capacity Development Measures
ITU GCI işbirliği önlemleri sütunuIND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperation CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Cooperation Measures
Faal ulusal bilgisayar olaylarına müdahale ekibiIND.CYB.capability.national_cert CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
Yürürlükte veri koruma ve gizlilik mevzuatıIND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability başa çıkma kapasitesi {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
Milyon kişi başına önemli siber olaylarIND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rate CYB Incidents hazard /10*6/a COUNTRY
Kritik hizmetleri aksatan siber olaylarIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
BİT hizmetleri katma değeri, GSYH payıIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
E-devlet gelişimiIND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence maruziyet {score} COUNTRY
Ar-Ge'ye yönelik gayri safi yurt içi harcama, GSYH payıIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Milyon kişi başına araştırmacıIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Yüksek teknoloji ihracatı, imalat ihracatının payıIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Yarı iletken ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Bulut altyapısı sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Yabancı veya tek sağlayıcı denetimindeki yapay zekâ hesaplama kapasitesiIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Temel model sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek muhafazalı laboratuvarların biyogüvenlik ve biyoemniyet denetimiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Biyoteknoloji başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Sendai Afet Riskinin Azaltılması Çerçevesi 2015-2030 ile uyumlu ulusal DRR stratejisiIND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy CRS DRR strategy başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
Ulusal stratejiyle uyumlu DRR stratejileri olan yerel yönetimlerIND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies CRS DRR strategy başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
Acil hizmetlere 15 dakika mesafedeki nüfusIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05Tehlikeler

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
YapılıBilgiÖncü267HAZARDS
3 hazard domains (inner ring) and 35 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Aile Alan Tehlikeler Sayı
Malicious compromise Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Malware outbreak, Ransomware attack, Data breach, Persistent intrusion, Denial-of-service attack, Software or hardware supply-chain compromise, Social-engineering campaign, Online harassment campaign … 9
Information-integrity attacks Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Disinformation campaign, Data and model integrity attack, Election infrastructure attack, Public record tampering, Misinformation surge and infodemic, Hazardous information disclosure 6
Cyber-physical disruption Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Industrial control system compromise, Power-grid cyberattack, Transport control-system attack, Health-system cyberattack, Medical device compromise, Water utility cyberattack, Building systems compromise, Mass connected-device manipulation … 11
Signal and platform disruption Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Satellite-navigation disruption, Major cloud or platform outage, Internet routing or naming failure, Subsea cable damage, Payment system outage, Radio-spectrum interference, Digital public infrastructure failure 7
Identity, trust and cryptographic failure Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Identity provider compromise, Signing key or certificate compromise, Certificate or credential expiry outage, Cryptographic algorithm or implementation break, Mass account takeover, National digital identity system failure 6
Systemic cyber events Bilgi ve siber-fiziksel sistemler Defective update mass outage, Mass vulnerability exploitation, Connected-device botnet, Managed service provider compromise, Firmware or hardware backdoor, Insider threat, Cyber theft from financial infrastructure, Irrecoverable data loss … 9
Structural and civil failure Yapılı sistemler Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage Yapılı sistemler Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents Yapılı sistemler Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents Yapılı sistemler Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall Yapılı sistemler Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall … 22
Water and wastewater system failure Yapılı sistemler Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply … 9
Telecom and data-centre failure Yapılı sistemler Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss Yapılı sistemler Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage Yapılı sistemler Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption Yapılı sistemler Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident … 12
Food system infrastructure failure Yapılı sistemler Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress Yapılı sistemler Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure Yapılı sistemler Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
AI system failure and misalignment Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Biyoteknoloji ve sentetik biyoloji Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
İklim müdahalesi teknolojileri Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Öncü ve üstel teknoloji 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Dağıtık defterler ve dijital varlıklar Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
06Bağlantı

How shocks cascade across systems

FIG 5 · Expected direct couplings between systems (row affects column)
WAT ENE FOO HLT BIO FIN TRD INF DIG SEC
Su
Weak expected couplingModerate expected couplingStrong expected coupling
Schematic: the couplings the Coupling instrument expects to estimate. Strengths here are expectations from the literature the edition will cite, not estimates; each becomes ◆ ESTIMATED with its method and references in an edition.
FIG 6 · Simulator: how a shock cascades across systems
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.2
–
tarayıcınızda çalışır

SuEnerjiGıdaSağlıkBiyoçeşitlilikFinansTicaretAltyapıDigitalGüvenlik

Simulator: a threshold cascade on a schematic network of systems. Edge strengths are expected couplings (weak, moderate, strong), not estimates; the shock, coupling, threshold and buffers are yours. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) estimates couplings per edition before any coupled value is published.
07Yöntemler

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

56 methods

Siber, yapay zekâ ve öncü teknoloji

Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …

27 methods

Kritik altyapı ve endüstriyel sistemler

Asset Reliability · Process Safety · HAZOP · FMEA FMECA · Industrial Fault Tree · Industrial Event Tree · LOPA …

08Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

09Raporlar

Nexus Reports

Edition code
SR-10
Edition status
planlanıyor
Konu
Named by Nexus Reports

Nexus Reports

10Atıf

Atıf ve yeniden kullanım

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Digital public infrastructure series (GRX-SER-SR-10), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-10/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000083.
Series key
grix:SER.SR-10:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragility:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.CYB.capability.cyber_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Ülke profilleri Tüm seriler

Durum

The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.

NXS-GRX ne değildir

NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.

Kurumlar ve kaynaklar

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.