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NXS-GRX-NGA · Western Africa

Nijerya

Country risk profile on The Global Risks Index: hazard and threat exposure, vulnerability, macro-financial fragility, coping capacity and systemic coupling, with intervals, sources and corrections on every value.

Sayfa GRX-NGASayı Temel Sürüm 2026Kanıt kapanışı 2026-09-30ISO NGA / NGDurum UN member stateDeğerler henüz yayımlanmadıYöntem v1.0.0-draft
ŞEKİL 1 · Nigeria in Western Africa
Harita yükleniyor
Tanzanya Birleşik CumhuriyetiAmerika Birleşik DevletleriKazakistanÖzbekistanKongo Demokratik CumhuriyetiSomaliKenyaSudanÇadDominik CumhuriyetiRusyaBrezilyaPeruKolombiyaVenezuela (Bolivarcı Cumhuriyeti)GuyanaSurinamFransaSenegalMaliMoritanyaBeninNijerNijeryaKamerunTogoGanaCôte d’IvoireGineGine-BissauLiberyaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoOrta Afrika CumhuriyetiKongoGabonEkvator GinesiAngolaBurundiİsrailLübnanFilistin DevletiGambiyaTunusCezayirÜrdünBirleşik Arap EmirlikleriKatarKuveytIrakUmmanPakistanAfganistanTürkmenistanİran (İslam Cumhuriyeti)SuriyeErmenistanYunanistanTürkiyeArnavutlukPortekizİspanyaİtalyaAzerbaycanGürcistanEritreYemenSuudi ArabistanKıbrısFasMısırLibyaEtiyopyaCibutiUgandaRuandaKuzey MakedonyaTrinidad ve TobagoGüney SudanAntigua ve BarbudaBahreynBarbadosYeşil Burun AdalarıDominikaGrenadaSaint Kitts ve NevisSaint LuciaMaltaSão Tomé ve PríncipeSeyşellerSaint Vincent ve Grenadinler
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110m · locatorYayımlandığında değerler
Select a neighbouring profile to open it. Boundaries are shown at 1:110m for location only and take no position on any boundary or status.
20
alan endeksleri
443
country indicators
14
hazard domains
15
sub-regional peers
02Humanitarian data

Nigeria in humanitarian data

Source observations from the Humanitarian Data Exchange, each with its reference date, provider and licence. They are not index values.

Population · 2022-12-31

216,798,930

people. UNFPA · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Poverty headcount · 2021-12-31

33%

of people in multidimensional poverty. Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative · Public Domain / No restrictions (CC0).

Refugees hosted · 2025-12-31

142,407

refugees and asylum-seekers in the country. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Refugees from the country · 2025-12-31

534,473

refugees and asylum-seekers abroad, most in Niger, Cameroon, Canada. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Humanitarian funding · 2025-12-31

US$ 287 m

received against US$ 910 m required. OCHA Financial Tracking System (FTS) · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Rainfall

186 units

with rainfall against the long-term average, on the unit pages. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution International (CC BY).

Food prices · 2026-01-14

68 markets

Yam: 646 NGN per 2.5 KG. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

03Alanlar

The full profile of Nigeria, area by area

Fourteen areas from macroeconomy to frontier technology, and the planned innovation index. Each card says whether its sources are cleared, shows the mix, and gives two actions: what the area needs, and a scenario you can run now on open data.

Nasıl okunurAdmitted: usableUnder legal review: waitingProhibited: excludedNot in the register: not yet assessedAcross the 14 areas: 113 admitted · 63 under legal review · 23 prohibited · 170 not in the register
Partly admitted14 indicators · 2 composites

Macroeconomy and external position

Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.

GDP
US$ 290.8 billion 2025
GDP per person
US$ 1,224 2025
GDP growth
4% 2025
4 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 not in the register
Partly admitted37 indicators · 7 composites

Fiscal position and public debt

Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.

External debt
60% 2024
External debt service
21.9% 2024
7 admitted · 13 under legal review · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted32 indicators · 7 composites

Financial system

Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.

Non-performing loans
8.1% 2025
Bank capital to assets
4.5% 2025
Lending interest rate
18.4% 2025
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Trade, economic structure and supply chains

Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.

Fuel exports
85.9% 2025
Foreign direct investment, net inflows
1.4% 2025
8 admitted · 6 under legal review · 5 not in the register
Partly admitted13 indicators · 5 composites

Su

Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.

Safely managed drinking water
29.9% 2024
Water stress
9.7% 2022
Renewable internal freshwater per person
990 m³ 2022
3 admitted · 2 under legal review · 2 prohibited · 4 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Enerji

Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.

Access to electricity
62.5% 2024
Renewable energy
80.3% 2021
Energy imports, net
-83.1% 2024
7 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Food systems

Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.

Undernourishment
22.2% 2024
Cereal yield
1,558 2024
Stunting, under 5
33.8% 2021
14 admitted · 4 under legal review · 2 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 6 composites

Sağlık güvenliği

Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.

Life expectancy
54.6 years 2024
Under-5 mortality
115.6 2024
Health spending
4.2% 2023
4 admitted · 2 under legal review · 15 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted22 indicators · 6 composites

Environment and biodiversity

Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.

Forest area
18.9% 2024
Protected areas
11.6% 2025
PM2.5 air pollution
65.7 µg/m³ 2023
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 22 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 8 composites

Climate: physical and transition

Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.

CO₂ emissions per person
0.6 t CO₂e 2024
Greenhouse gas emissions
350.6 Mt CO₂e 2024
People below 5 m elevation
3.5% 2015
10 admitted · 7 under legal review · 24 not in the register
Partly admitted39 indicators · 10 composites

Conflict, governance and security

Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.

Intentional homicides
15.8 2023
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 14 not in the register
Partly admitted27 indicators · 10 composites

Frontier technology and innovation

Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.

Research and development spending
0.28% 2019
Researchers in R&D
22 2019
High-technology exports
2.7% 2024
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 26 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Coping capacity and disaster finance

Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.

Social protection coverage
3.3% 2018
9 admitted · 1 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted46 indicators · 11 composites

Society, demography and mobility

Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.

Nüfus
237.5 million 2025
Urban population
63.8% 2025
Poverty at $3.00 a day
41.8% 2022
11 admitted · 1 under legal review · 12 not in the register
Planned12 planned indicators

Innovation index

Research, patents, talent, compute, digital infrastructure and capital for Nigeria, read beside frontier technology risk. Not in Indicator Standard yet; each indicator needs its source admitted.

04Quote

Nigeria composite risk

Value, change since the previous edition, 90% interval and class probability; the history and the published indicators follow.

NXS-GRX-NGA · CRI · Western Africa · 0–10 scale
Nigeria composite risk
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Yöntem
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Nigeria composite risk, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.

“Nigeria: published indicators” is not connected: the Foundry connection it needs is switched off on this network.

05Profile

Four pillars, composite and coupled composite

The composite is shown only with its four pillars and twenty domain indices beside it; each value carries a 90% interval and a class with its probability.

AraçDeğerDeğişimDeğişim %%90 aralıkSınıf · olasılıkEğilimAralık
NXS-GRX Bileşik RiskNXS-GRX-NGA · CRI–––––
NXS-GRX Bağlantılı RiskNXS-GRX-NGA · CPL–––––
Tehlike ve tehdit maruziyetiNXS-GRX-NGA · HTE–––––
İnsan ve sistem kırılganlığıNXS-GRX-NGA · VUL–––––
Makro-finansal ve yapısal kırılganlıkNXS-GRX-NGA · MSF–––––
Başa çıkma ve uyum kapasitesi eksikliğiNXS-GRX-NGA · LCC–––––
Çok düşük0.0 ile < 2.0 arası
Düşük2.0 ile < 3.5 arası
Orta3.5 ile < 5.0 arası
Yüksek5.0 ile < 6.5 arası
Çok yüksek6.5 ile 10.0 arası
07Bağlantı

How Nigeria is coupled to the world

Not yet estimated. Coupling strengths through trade and inputs, finance and debt, energy, food trade, infrastructure and information are ◆ ESTIMATED per edition with their method and references; the coupled composite is reported beside the standalone one.
09Peers

Profiles in Western Africa

A peer group is a reading context, not a ranking; profiles are listed by name.

Explore Nigeria

Indices, hazards, the map and the data behind every value.

Page GRX-NGA · UNI NXS-GRX-AR-NGA-000001