The Global Risks Index · SR-04 · Strategic systems series
矿产
关键矿产的集中度、加工依赖、价格和出口限制风险，以及开采的环境和社会足迹。
Page GRX-SER-SR-04Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports SR-04 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
领域指数
5
External dependence risk · Environmental pressure · Governance weakness · Energy security risk.
指标
128
5 index domains
Hazard families
29
Society, conflict and economy · Land and ecosystems · Pollution and hazardous substances.
方法
56
Markets, trade and supply chains · Energy risk.
5
领域指数
128
indicators in scope
3
危害领域
4
client groups
01范围
Scope and questions
The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.
- Where is mineral supply most concentrated?
- Which transition technologies depend on fragile mineral chains?
- What environmental and social risk travels with extraction?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Minerals index is built
Graph9 nodes
流程图
01领域指数
02Series index
03Readings
100%
索引
-
外部依赖风险Domain index · IDX · ECOWeighted arithmetic mean of the four ECO sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10.
-
环境压力Domain index · IDX · ENV0–10 index of environmental pressure and ecosystem condition combining air pollution, land and forest degradation, biodiversity status, ocean condition and waste pressure.
-
治理薄弱Domain index · IDX · GOVWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
-
能源安全风险Domain index · IDX · ENEIndex of energy access deficit, fuel import dependence, mix rigidity, supply unreliability and critical-mineral dependence on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
-
技术集中风险Domain index · IDX · TECIndex of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
-
Minerals indexSeries index · SERIES · SR-04关键矿产的集中度、加工依赖、价格和出口限制风险，以及开采的环境和社会足迹。
-
Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
未运行进行中已完成
03指数
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · SR-04 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Minerals index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
| 指数 | 数值 | 变化 | 变化 % | 90% 区间 | 类别 · 概率 | 趋势 | 范围 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
外部依赖风险NXS-GRX · ECO |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
环境压力NXS-GRX · ENV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
治理薄弱NXS-GRX · GOV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
能源安全风险NXS-GRX · ENE |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
技术集中风险NXS-GRX · TEC |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Economic structure and trade, Technology and frontier, Energy, Environment and biodiversity, Governance and institutions.
04指标
128 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指标 | 领域 | Sub-domain | 组件 | 单位 | 级别 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
货物和服务出口，现价美元IND.MAC.external.exports.usd |
MAC | External balance and reserves | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD |
贸易条件波动性（10 年）IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
自然资源收入，占广义政府收入比重IND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share |
FIS | Revenue | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
LIC-DSF 综合指标得分（已发布，参考）IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
贸易开放度（进出口总额，占 GDP 比重）IND.ECO.trade.trade_openness.gdp |
ECO | 贸易 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS |
国际旅游收入，占出口比重IND.ECO.trade.tourism_receipts.exports |
ECO | 贸易 | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI ST.INT.RCPT.XP.ZS |
收到的个人汇款，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp |
ECO | 贸易 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2 |
收到的官方发展援助净额，占 GNI 比重IND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni |
ECO | 贸易 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS |
出口产品集中度（标准化 HHI）IND.ECO.concentration.export_product_hhi |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
出口市场集中度（标准化 HHI）IND.ECO.concentration.export_market_hhi |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
大宗商品出口依赖度IND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN |
制成品，占商品出口比重IND.ECO.concentration.manufactures_export_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.MANF.ZS.UN |
自然资源租金，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS |
经济复杂度指数IND.ECO.concentration.economic_complexity |
ECO | Export and import concentration | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
食品进口，占商品进口比重IND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN |
燃料进口，占商品进口比重IND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
关键矿产净进口依赖度IND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
进口来源集中度（标准化 HHI）IND.ECO.concentration.import_partner_hhi |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
总出口中的国外增加值占比IND.ECO.supply_chain.gvc_backward_participation |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
中间品进口供应方集中度IND.ECO.supply_chain.intermediate_supplier_concentration |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
受海上咽喉要道影响的海运贸易IND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
外国直接投资净流入，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp |
ECO | 投资 | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS |
温室气体排放总量（不含 LULUCF）IND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2 |
GDP 碳强度IND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | kg/[USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1 |
燃料出口，占商品出口比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
显性化石燃料补贴，占 GDP 比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
适应投资的经济准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN economic |
适应的治理准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN governance |
年过火面积，占陆地面积比重IND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share |
HAZ | 野火 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil |
PM2.5 风险暴露，人口加权平均值IND.ENV.air.pm25_exposure |
ENV | 空气质量 | hazard | ug/m3 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD |
暴露浓度高于 WHO PM2.5 指导值的人口占比IND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.share |
ENV | 空气质量 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS |
季节性臭氧峰值风险暴露IND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure |
ENV | 空气质量 | hazard | [ppb] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
陆地面积IND.ENV.land.land_area |
ENV | Land and forests | context | km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | WB_WDI AG.LND.TOTL.K2 |
森林面积，占陆地面积比重IND.ENV.land.forest_cover.share |
ENV | Land and forests | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 15.1.1 WB_WDI AG.LND.FRST.ZS |
年树木覆盖损失率IND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.share |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | EPI TCL |
退化土地，占陆地面积比重IND.ENV.land.land_degradation.share |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | SDG 15.3.1 |
道路密度IND.ENV.land.road_density |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | km/km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
红色名录指数IND.ENV.biodiversity.red_list_index |
ENV | 生物多样性 | vulnerability | 1 |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY | SDG 15.5.1 |
生物多样性完整性指数IND.ENV.biodiversity.biodiversity_intactness |
ENV | 生物多样性 | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
陆地保护区，占陆地面积比重IND.ENV.biodiversity.terrestrial_protected.share |
ENV | 生物多样性 | response | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI ER.LND.PTLD.ZS |
保护区覆盖的关键生物多样性区域IND.ENV.biodiversity.key_biodiversity_area_protected.share |
ENV | 生物多样性 | response | % |
COUNTRY, REGION | SDG 15.1.2 |
海洋保护区，占领海面积比重IND.ENV.ocean.marine_protected.share |
ENV | Ocean | response | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS SDG 14.5.1 |
沿海富营养化指数IND.ENV.ocean.coastal_eutrophication |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, REGION | SDG 14.1.1 |
平均海洋酸度（pH）IND.ENV.ocean.ocean_acidity |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | [pH] |
COUNTRY, REGION, SITE | SDG 14.3.1 |
处于生物可持续水平内的鱼类种群IND.ENV.ocean.sustainable_fish_stocks.share |
ENV | Ocean | vulnerability | % |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY | SDG 14.4.1 |
每年海洋热浪日数IND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_days |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, REGION, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708 |
人均城市固体废物产生量IND.ENV.pollution.msw_generation.pc |
ENV | Pollution and waste | hazard | kg/a/{person} |
COUNTRY, CITY | |
在受控设施中处理的城市固体废物IND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share |
ENV | Pollution and waste | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, CITY | SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW |
人均管理不善的塑料废物IND.ENV.pollution.mismanaged_plastic_waste.pc |
ENV | Pollution and waste | hazard | kg/a/{person} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
高度依赖自然的行业 GDP 占比IND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share |
ENV | Nature dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | |
依赖动物授粉的作物产值占比IND.ENV.nature_dependence.pollinator_dependent_crops.share |
ENV | Nature dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
水资源压力水平IND.WAT.stress.water_stress |
WAT | 水资源压力 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 6.4.2 WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWST.ZS |
用水效率IND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency |
WAT | 水资源压力 | adaptive capacity | [USD]/m3 |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD |
环境水质良好的水体IND.WAT.quality.good_ambient_water_quality.share |
WAT | Water quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 6.3.2 |
经安全处理的废水IND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share |
WAT | Water quality | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, CITY | SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT |
对外部可再生水的依赖率IND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
有运作中合作安排的跨界流域面积IND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.5.2 |
依赖 GNSS 的活动所产生的 GDP 占比IND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102 |
位于高地电危害区的高压电网占比IND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
谷物进口依赖率IND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21035 |
食品进口支出，占商品出口比重IND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports |
FOO | Food prices | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21033 |
农林渔业增加值，占 GDP 比重IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS |
耕地，占陆地面积比重IND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.share |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS |
国家议会中女性所占席位IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1 |
话语权和问责（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST |
政治稳定和无暴力（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.political_stability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
政府效能（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST |
腐败控制（WGI）IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST |
清廉指数（透明国际）IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
新闻自由得分（RSF）IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
法治（WGI）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law |
GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST |
产权和基于规则的治理（CPIA）IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights |
GOV | Rule of law | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ |
未判决被拘留者，占在押人口比重IND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees |
GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.3.2 |
企业行贿发生率IND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms |
GOV | Rule of law | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2 |
监管质量（WGI）IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST |
CPIA 总体评级（IDA 资源分配指数）IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ |
CPIA 公共部门管理和机构IND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ |
CPIA 公共部门透明度、问责和腐败IND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ |
收入动员效率（CPIA）IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
预算执行与核定预算的偏差IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
统计绩效指标总得分IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL |
出生登记完整性IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration |
GOV | Statistical capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1 |
距上次人口普查的年数IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census |
GOV | Statistical capacity | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | SDG 17.19.2 |
营商环境得分（B-READY）IND.GOV.business.bready_overall |
GOV | Business environment | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
用电人口IND.ENE.access.electricity_access |
ENE | 访问 | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 7.1.1 WB_WDI EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS |
主要依靠清洁烹饪燃料和技术的人口IND.ENE.access.clean_cooking |
ENE | 访问 | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS |
人均用电量IND.ENE.access.electricity_consumption.pc |
ENE | 访问 | context | kW.h/a/{person} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC |
可再生能源在最终能源消费总量中的占比IND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec |
ENE | Energy mix | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS |
GDP 一次能源强度IND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | MJ/[USD] |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD |
发电结构集中度IND.ENE.mix.generation_concentration |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
化石能源发电占比IND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS |
人均可再生能源装机容量IND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc |
ENE | Energy mix | adaptive capacity | W/{person} |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.b.1 |
依赖水的发电占比IND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.share |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
能源净进口依赖度IND.ENE.security.net_energy_imports |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EG.IMP.CONS.ZS |
燃料进口支出，占货物和服务出口比重IND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
原油及成品油进口供应方集中度IND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
天然气进口供应方集中度IND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
煤炭进口供应方集中度IND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
石油储备可满足净进口天数IND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocks |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | coping capacity | d |
COUNTRY | |
企业在典型月份遭遇的停电次数IND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages |
ENE | Reliability | vulnerability | /mo |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG |
停电造成的损失，占企业销售额比重IND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss |
ENE | Reliability | impact | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IC.FRM.OUTG.ZS |
系统平均停电持续时间（SAIDI）IND.ENE.reliability.saidi |
ENE | Reliability | vulnerability | h/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
系统平均停电频率（SAIFI）IND.ENE.reliability.saifi |
ENE | Reliability | vulnerability | /a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
输配电损耗IND.ENE.reliability.td_losses |
ENE | Reliability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS |
采暖和制冷度日数IND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days |
ENE | Reliability | hazard | K.d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
关键矿产进口供应方集中度IND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration |
ENE | Critical minerals | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
关键矿产进口中最大单一供应方占比IND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share |
ENE | Critical minerals | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
物流绩效IND.INF.transport.logistics_performance |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ |
班轮运输连通性（相对前沿水平）IND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ |
电网韧性IND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience |
INF | Utilities | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
位于高危害区的发电和电网资产占比IND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
基础设施投资缺口，占 GDP 比重IND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp |
INF | Utilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours |
INF | Urban systems | vulnerability | h/a |
CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
ITU GCI 法律措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_legal |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Legal Measures |
ITU GCI 组织措施支柱IND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Organizational Measures |
数据保护和隐私立法已生效IND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law |
CYB | Cyber capability | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | ITU_GCI Legal Measures |
ICT 服务增加值，占 GDP 比重IND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp |
CYB | Digital dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS |
电子政务发展IND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development |
CYB | Digital dependence | exposure | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
研发总支出，占 GDP 比重IND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS |
每百万居民研究人员数IND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | /10*6 |
COUNTRY | SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6 |
高技术出口，占制成品出口比重IND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1 |
半导体进口供应方集中度IND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration |
TEC | Concentration and dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
云基础设施提供方集中度IND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration |
TEC | Concentration and dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
受外国或单一提供方控制的 AI 算力IND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control |
TEC | 人工智能 | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
基础模型提供方集中度IND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration |
TEC | 人工智能 | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
高等级防护实验室的生物安全和生物安保监督IND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight |
TEC | 生物技术 | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
与《仙台框架》一致的国家减少灾害风险战略IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy |
CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2 |
拥有与国家战略一致的减少灾害风险战略的地方政府IND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies |
CRS | DRR strategy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3 |
05危害
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| 类别 | 领域 | 危害 | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Organised and collective violence | 社会、冲突与经济 | Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence | 5 |
| Conflict-induced harm | 社会、冲突与经济 | Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial | 4 |
| Humanitarian crises | 社会、冲突与经济 | Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption | 6 |
| Crowd and collective behaviour | 社会、冲突与经济 | Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster | 3 |
| Economic shocks and governance failure | 社会、冲突与经济 | Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty | 8 |
| Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons | 社会、冲突与经济 | Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … | 15 |
| Governance and institutional failure | 社会、冲突与经济 | Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … | 18 |
| Financial-system fragility | 社会、冲突与经济 | Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … | 12 |
| Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks | 社会、冲突与经济 | Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … | 12 |
| Labour and technology transition | 社会、冲突与经济 | Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock | 7 |
| Population structure and movement | 社会、冲突与经济 | Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … | 12 |
| Social cohesion and atrocity risk | 社会、冲突与经济 | Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … | 9 |
| Organised crime and illicit economies | 社会、冲突与经济 | Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … | 12 |
| Cultural heritage loss | 社会、冲突与经济 | Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation | 7 |
| Vegetation and peat fire | 陆地与生态系统 | Extreme fire weather, Wildfire, Wildland-urban interface fire, Peat and underground fire, Fire regime shift | 5 |
| Forest and woodland stress | 陆地与生态系统 | Deforestation, Forest dieback, Large forest disturbance, Forest pest invasion, Native forest insect outbreak | 5 |
| Land and wetland degradation | 陆地与生态系统 | Land degradation, Desertification, Soil quality decline, Soil salinisation and sodicity, Wetland loss, Mangrove loss, Peatland drainage and degradation, Soil sealing … | 9 |
| Biodiversity and species stress | 陆地与生态系统 | Biodiversity loss, Coral bleaching, Pollinator decline, Fishery collapse, Mass wildlife mortality, Human-wildlife conflict, Wildlife disease panzootic, Insect decline … | 12 |
| Climate-state shifts | 陆地与生态系统 | Abrupt climate-system shift, Volcanic cooling | 2 |
| Ecosystem regime shifts | 陆地与生态系统 | Kelp forest collapse, Seagrass meadow loss, Lake clear-to-turbid shift, Woody plant encroachment, Coastal habitat squeeze, Food-web collapse | 6 |
| Air pollution episodes | 污染与有害物质 | Outdoor air pollution episode, Point-source air emission, Household air pollution, Black carbon, Acid deposition, Ground-level ozone episode, Open waste burning, Agricultural residue burning … | 9 |
| Contaminated water, soil and food | 污染与有害物质 | Diffuse runoff pollution, Soil contamination, Chemical water contamination, Oil spill, Microplastic contamination, Food and feed contamination, Mycotoxin contamination, Seafood biotoxin contamination … | 10 |
| Persistent and bioaccumulative substances | 污染与有害物质 | Persistent organic pollutants, PFAS contamination, Mercury exposure, Lead exposure, Cadmium exposure, Arsenic in drinking water, Trace-element imbalance, Asbestos exposure … | 9 |
| Hazardous releases and chemical agents | 污染与有害物质 | Chemical spill or leak, Toxic gas release, Asphyxiant gas release, Carbon monoxide poisoning, Corrosive substance release, Deliberate chemical-agent release | 6 |
| Ionising radiation and nuclear material | 污染与有害物质 | Nuclear plant accident, Radioactive material release, Nuclear detonation, Radioactive waste containment failure | 4 |
| Waste and residue failures | 污染与有害物质 | Solid waste mismanagement, Landfill failure, Hazardous and clinical waste release, Electronic waste exposure, Plastic waste accumulation, Marine debris, Untreated wastewater discharge, Waste impoundment failure … | 9 |
| Novel entities and emerging contaminants | 污染与有害物质 | Nanoplastic accumulation, Tyre and road wear particles, Endocrine-disrupting chemical exposure, Pharmaceutical pollution, Environmental spread of antimicrobial resistance, Unassessed chemical mixture exposure, Engineered nanomaterial release | 7 |
| Indoor environment hazards | 污染与有害物质 | Poor indoor air quality, Damp and mould exposure, Indoor chemical off-gassing, Indoor overheating, Second-hand smoke exposure | 5 |
| Noise, light and thermal pollution | 污染与有害物质 | Environmental noise pollution, Light pollution, Underwater noise pollution, Thermal water pollution | 4 |
06方法
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
30 methods
市场、贸易与供应链
Commodity Price Risk · Price Volatility · Market Regime · Demand Forecasting · Supply Forecasting · Trade Dependency · Bilateral Concentration …
26 methods
能源风险
Generation Adequacy · Load Forecasting · Renewable Intermittency · Reserve Margin · Loss of Load Probability · Expected Unserved Energy · Grid Reliability …
07Users
Who uses it
Companies and supply chains
Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.
Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors
Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
International financial institutions and development banks
Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.
09引用
引用与再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Minerals series (GRX-SER-SR-04), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-04/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000077.
- Series key
grix:SER.SR-04:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.ECO.trade.external_dependence_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:Anis:IDX.ENV.biodiversity.environmental_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:Anis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.