Índice de presión por desplazamiento
Weighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
arithmetic
expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric
1,000 draws
normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
4 components
10 leaf indicators
67% minimum
modelled share ≤ 20%
From indicators to the composite
One view of the demographic and mobility strain a country carries; the sub-indices stay visible so outflow and hosting pressure are never confused.
- Refugiados por país de origen, por cada 100,000 habitantesIndicator · IND · /10*5Refugees originating from the country at year end per 100,000 of the country’s mid-year population.
- Desplazados internos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIndicator · IND · /10*5Sum of the year-end conflict and disaster displacement stocks per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- Nuevos desplazamientos internos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIndicator · IND · /10*5Conflict and disaster displacement movements of the year combined, per 100,000 of the mid-year population.
- Refugiados acogidos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIndicator · IND · /10*5Refugees residing in the country at year end per 100,000 of the host’s mid-year population.
- Solicitantes de asilo acogidos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIndicator · IND · /10*5People in the country whose claim for international protection is pending at year end, per 100,000 of the host population.
- Tasa de dependencia por edadIndicator · IND · %People younger than 15 or older than 64 per hundred people aged 15 to 64.
- Población de 65 años o más, porcentaje del totalIndicator · IND · %Residents aged 65 years or more as a percentage of the mid-year population.
- Crecimiento de la poblaciónIndicator · IND · %Annual exponential rate of change of the mid-year population, in percent.
- Crecimiento de la población urbanaIndicator · IND · %Annual exponential rate of change of the urban population, in percent.
- Población urbana que vive en barrios marginalesIndicator · IND · %Share of the urban population living in households that lack one or more of improved water, improved sanitation, durable housing, sufficient living area or secure tenure.
- Displacement outflow sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 2 · 50.0%Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
- Refugee hosting pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 1 · 25.0%Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
- Age-structure pressure sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
- Unplanned urbanisation sub-indexSub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 12.5%Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
- Índice de presión por desplazamientoDomain index · IDX · arithmeticWeighted aggregation of displacement outflow, refugee hosting pressure, age-structure pressure and unplanned urbanisation, on 0 to 10.
- Vulnerabilidad humana y de los sistemasPillar · PILLAR · 8 indicesHow susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
- NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite RiskComposite · COMPOSITE · four pillarsComposite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Run this index’s own aggregation
Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.
Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty
- Treatment
- WINSORISE
- Outlier rule
- |skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
- Normalisation
- IDENTITY
- Imputation
- NONE
- Coverage minimum
- 67% of components
- Modelled share cap
- 20% of weight
- Weighting
- experto
- Aggregation
- arithmetic
- Scale
- 0 to 10
- Incertidumbre
- 1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
- Framework basis
- OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; INFORM Risk 2024 vulnerability dimension (structure only)
4 components, 10 indicators
Displacement outflow sub-index w 2
Composite of refugees originating from the country, the internal displacement stock and new internal displacements, each relative to population.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Refugiados por país de origen, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin | 33.3% |
Desplazados internos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k | /10*5 | Class C | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster | 33.3% |
Nuevos desplazamientos internos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k | /10*5 | Class C | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict, derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster | 33.3% |
Refugee hosting pressure sub-index w 1
Composite of refugees and asylum-seekers hosted, each per 100,000 of the host population.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Refugiados acogidos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | derived:nis:IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted | 66.7% |
Solicitantes de asilo acogidos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k | /10*5 | Class B | unhcr-refugee-data-finder | 33.3% |
Age-structure pressure sub-index w 0.5
Composite of the age dependency ratio, the share aged 65 and over and population growth.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tasa de dependencia por edadIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Población de 65 años o más, porcentaje del totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Crecimiento de la poblaciónIND.DEM.population.growth | % | Class A | wb-wdi, un-wpp | 33.3% |
Unplanned urbanisation sub-index w 0.5
Composite of urban population growth and the share of urban residents living in slums.
| Indicador | Unidad | Evidencia | Fuentes | Proporción |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Crecimiento de la población urbanaIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth | % | Class B | wb-wdi, un-wup | 50.0% |
Población urbana que vive en barrios marginalesIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share | % | Class C | un-habitat-urban-indicators, wb-wdi | 50.0% |
Demography and mobility
Population size and structure, urbanisation, migration and forced displacement.
| Sub-domain | Indicadores |
|---|---|
| Población | 4 |
| Age structure | 3 |
| Urbanisation | 3 |
| Forced displacement | 11 |
| Migration | 3 |
Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): UN WPP; UNHCR; IDMC.
All 24 demography and mobility indicators
| Indicador | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unidad | Niveles | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Población totalIND.DEM.population.total | DEM | Población | context | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI SP.POP.TOTL UN_WPP TPopulation1July |
Densidad de poblaciónIND.DEM.population.density | DEM | Población | context | {persons}/km2 | COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI EN.POP.DNST UN_WPP PopDensity |
Crecimiento de la poblaciónIND.DEM.population.growth | DEM | Población | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.GROW UN_WPP PopGrowthRate |
Tasa global de fecundidadIND.DEM.population.fertility_rate | DEM | Población | context | {births}/{woman} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.DYN.TFRT.IN UN_WPP TFR |
Tasa de dependencia por edadIND.DEM.structure.age_dependency | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.DPND |
Población de 65 años o más, porcentaje del totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS |
Población menor de 15 años, porcentaje del totalIND.DEM.structure.share_under15 | DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS |
Población urbana, porcentaje del totalIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share | DEM | Urbanisation | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS |
Crecimiento de la población urbanaIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth | DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW |
Población urbana que vive en barrios marginalesIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share | DEM | Urbanisation | vulnerability | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1 |
Refugiados por país de origenIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
Refugiados por país de origen, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
Refugiados acogidos (país de asilo)IND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | {persons} | COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG |
Refugiados acogidos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_hosted.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
Solicitantes de asilo acogidos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.asylum_seekers_hosted.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | exposure | /10*5 | COUNTRY | UNHCR ASY |
Desplazados internos, conflicto y violencia (total)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
Desplazados internos, desastres (total)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_total_displacement |
Desplazados internos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
Nuevos desplazamientos internos, conflicto y violenciaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
Nuevos desplazamientos internos, desastresIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 | COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS |
Nuevos desplazamientos internos, por cada 100,000 habitantesIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k | DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 | COUNTRY | |
Migración netaIND.DEM.migration.net_migration | DEM | Migration | context | {persons} | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.NETM UN_WPP NetMigrations |
Tasa de migración netaIND.DEM.migration.net_migration_rate | DEM | Migration | context | /10*3 | COUNTRY | UN_WPP CNMR |
Población migrante internacional, porcentaje de la poblaciónIND.DEM.migration.migrant_stock_share | DEM | Migration | context | % | COUNTRY | WB_WDI SM.POP.TOTL.ZS |
Displacement pressure index, world
The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.
- Edición anterior
- –
- Range since 2016
- –
- Compuesto acoplado
- –
- Puntuación de acoplamiento S
- –
- Pulso, última semana
- –
- Outlook, 12 months
- –
- Método
- Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
- Extracciones
- 1,000
Aún no hay valores publicados. La primera edición trazará aquí la serie histórica con su banda de intervalo y los límites de clase.
Country values
- Teselas
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/dem/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt- Clave de observación
nis:IDX.DEM.displacement.displacement_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Series that read this index
Crosswalks and validity checks
Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.
| Code system | Leaf indicators mapped |
|---|---|
WB_WDI | 5 |
SDG | 2 |
UNHCR | 1 |
UN_WPP | 1 |
Platforms, standards and ways to take part
Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.
Citar y reutilizar
See this index in every country profile
Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.
Estado
La metodología, la estructura y las definiciones de The Global Risks Index son un borrador de trabajo preparatorio (2026), difundido para examen y comentarios y no para su aplicación. Ningún valor aparece hasta que se publica una edición a partir de un corte de evidencia gobernado; los valores incluyen entonces intervalos, clases, fuentes y su vía de corrección. Los simuladores aplican los métodos publicados a las cifras que usted elija y nunca muestran un valor del NXS-GRX.
Lo que NXS-GRX no es
NXS-GRX es información de investigación y analítica de riesgos. No es una calificación crediticia ni ESG y no usa ninguna escala de calificación; no es un índice de referencia para instrumentos financieros, ni estadística oficial, ni una alerta de emergencia o clasificación oficial, ni asesoramiento. No debe usarse para evaluar a personas físicas. Las clases de riesgo son bandas en una escala publicada, nunca clasificaciones de países ni de personas.
Instituciones y fuentes
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Cada valor lleva la atribución de sus fuentes, que conservan sus propias licencias. Los nombres externos se citan únicamente a efectos de interoperabilidad. Los textos de autoría de Nexus están destinados a publicarse bajo CC BY 4.0.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.