The Global Risks Index · SR-09 · Strategic systems series
行星边界
地球系统边界和临界要素，作为缓发、高影响风险。
Page GRX-SER-SR-09Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports SR-09 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
领域指数
5
Climate physical hazard · Climate transition exposure · Environmental pressure · Water security risk.
指标
114
4 index domains
Hazard families
16
Planetary boundaries and Earth-system tipping · Land and ecosystems · Ice and snow.
方法
61
Climate, nature and biodiversity · Hazard science
5
领域指数
114
indicators in scope
3
危害领域
4
client groups
01范围
Scope and questions
The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.
- Which boundaries are transgressed and how far?
- Which tipping elements matter most for which countries?
- How do boundary transgressions translate into country risk?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Planetary boundaries index is built
Graph9 nodes
流程图
01领域指数
02Series index
03Readings
100%
索引
-
气候物理危害Domain index · IDX · CLI0–10 index of physical climate hazard combining chronic change, observed extremes and projected change (projection sub-index taken at SSP2-4.5, 2041–2060 by default, with other scenarios as alternative runs).
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气候转型暴露Domain index · IDX · CLI0–10 index of an economy’s exposure to a low-carbon transition, combining transition exposure (fossil rents, fuel exports, subsidies) and emissions intensity (per capita and per unit of GDP).
-
环境压力Domain index · IDX · ENV0–10 index of environmental pressure and ecosystem condition combining air pollution, land and forest degradation, biodiversity status, ocean condition and waste pressure.
-
水安全风险Domain index · IDX · WAT0–10 index of water security risk combining scarcity and stress, WASH access, water quality and transboundary dependence; geometric so that good access does not offset severe scarcity.
-
粮食不安全风险Domain index · IDX · FOOWeighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of acute and chronic food insecurity, food price stress, supply fragility and agricultural dependence.
-
Planetary boundaries indexSeries index · SERIES · SR-09地球系统边界和临界要素，作为缓发、高影响风险。
-
Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
未运行进行中已完成
03指数
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · SR-09 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Planetary boundaries index, world
–
数值随版本发布；区间、类别和变化将显示在这里。
| 指数 | 数值 | 变化 | 变化 % | 90% 区间 | 类别 · 概率 | 趋势 | 范围 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
气候物理危害NXS-GRX · CLI |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
气候转型暴露NXS-GRX · CLI |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
环境压力NXS-GRX · ENV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
水安全风险NXS-GRX · WAT |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
粮食不安全风险NXS-GRX · FOO |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Environment and biodiversity, Climate, Water, Food systems.
04指标
114 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| 指标 | 领域 | Sub-domain | 组件 | 单位 | 级别 | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
食品价格通胀率IND.MAC.prices.food_inflation |
MAC | Prices and inflation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT CP |
银行对碳密集行业的风险暴露IND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
面临高物理气候风险的银行贷款IND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
自然资源租金，占 GDP 比重IND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS |
食品进口，占商品进口比重IND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN |
相对工业化前的地表升温IND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrial |
CLI | Chronic physical change | hazard | K |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | FAO_FAOSTAT ET |
年降水量变化IND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_change |
CLI | Chronic physical change | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
相对海平面上升速率IND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trend |
CLI | Chronic physical change | hazard | mm/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402 |
年内最热日（TXx）IND.CLI.physical_acute.txx |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | Cel |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
暖日占比（TX90p）IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90p |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
酷热日数变化（35 °C 及以上）IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
暖期持续时间（WSDI）IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_duration |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
年内最大日降水量（Rx1day）IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1day |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | mm |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
年内最大五日降水量（Rx5day）IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5day |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | mm |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
极端湿润日降水量（R95pTOT）IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
最长连续干旱日数（CDD）IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_days |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | exposure | % |
SITE, PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(c) |
相对工业化前的预估升温IND.CLI.projection.projected_warming |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | K |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
最热日气温预估变化IND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_change |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | K |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
最大五日降水量预估变化IND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_change |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
预估相对海平面上升IND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
低于未来 100 年一遇沿海洪水水位的人口占比IND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share |
CLI | Scenario projections | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
温室气体排放总量（不含 LULUCF）IND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2 |
人均温室气体排放量IND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capita |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | t/a/{person} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP |
GDP 碳强度IND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | kg/[USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1 |
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi) |
化石燃料租金，占 GDP 比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS |
燃料出口，占商品出口比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
显性化石燃料补贴，占 GDP 比重IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(b) |
NDC 2030 全经济范围排放目标IND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambition |
CLI | Transition exposure | response | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 13.2.1 |
已提交国家适应计划IND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | SDG 13.2.1 |
适应投资的经济准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN economic |
适应的治理准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN governance |
适应的社会准备度IND.CLI.adaptation.social_readiness |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | ND_GAIN social |
人均获得的国际适应资金IND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc |
CLI | Adaptation readiness | adaptive capacity | [USD] |
COUNTRY | |
海拔 5 m 以下人口占比IND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
严重气象干旱频率IND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency |
HAZ | 干旱 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR |
农业干旱胁迫频率IND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency |
HAZ | 干旱 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | INFORM ASI |
每年危险湿热日数IND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days |
HAZ | Extreme heat | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501 |
每年极端火险天气日数IND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days |
HAZ | 野火 | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
年过火面积，占陆地面积比重IND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share |
HAZ | 野火 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil |
PM2.5 风险暴露，人口加权平均值IND.ENV.air.pm25_exposure |
ENV | 空气质量 | hazard | ug/m3 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD |
暴露浓度高于 WHO PM2.5 指导值的人口占比IND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.share |
ENV | 空气质量 | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS |
季节性臭氧峰值风险暴露IND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure |
ENV | 空气质量 | hazard | [ppb] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
陆地面积IND.ENV.land.land_area |
ENV | Land and forests | context | km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | WB_WDI AG.LND.TOTL.K2 |
森林面积，占陆地面积比重IND.ENV.land.forest_cover.share |
ENV | Land and forests | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 15.1.1 WB_WDI AG.LND.FRST.ZS |
年树木覆盖损失率IND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.share |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | EPI TCL |
退化土地，占陆地面积比重IND.ENV.land.land_degradation.share |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | SDG 15.3.1 |
道路密度IND.ENV.land.road_density |
ENV | Land and forests | hazard | km/km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
红色名录指数IND.ENV.biodiversity.red_list_index |
ENV | 生物多样性 | vulnerability | 1 |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY | SDG 15.5.1 |
生物多样性完整性指数IND.ENV.biodiversity.biodiversity_intactness |
ENV | 生物多样性 | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
陆地保护区，占陆地面积比重IND.ENV.biodiversity.terrestrial_protected.share |
ENV | 生物多样性 | response | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI ER.LND.PTLD.ZS |
保护区覆盖的关键生物多样性区域IND.ENV.biodiversity.key_biodiversity_area_protected.share |
ENV | 生物多样性 | response | % |
COUNTRY, REGION | SDG 15.1.2 |
海洋保护区，占领海面积比重IND.ENV.ocean.marine_protected.share |
ENV | Ocean | response | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS SDG 14.5.1 |
沿海富营养化指数IND.ENV.ocean.coastal_eutrophication |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, REGION | SDG 14.1.1 |
平均海洋酸度（pH）IND.ENV.ocean.ocean_acidity |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | [pH] |
COUNTRY, REGION, SITE | SDG 14.3.1 |
处于生物可持续水平内的鱼类种群IND.ENV.ocean.sustainable_fish_stocks.share |
ENV | Ocean | vulnerability | % |
GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY | SDG 14.4.1 |
每年海洋热浪日数IND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_days |
ENV | Ocean | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, REGION, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708 |
人均城市固体废物产生量IND.ENV.pollution.msw_generation.pc |
ENV | Pollution and waste | hazard | kg/a/{person} |
COUNTRY, CITY | |
在受控设施中处理的城市固体废物IND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share |
ENV | Pollution and waste | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, CITY | SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW |
人均管理不善的塑料废物IND.ENV.pollution.mismanaged_plastic_waste.pc |
ENV | Pollution and waste | hazard | kg/a/{person} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
高度依赖自然的行业 GDP 占比IND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share |
ENV | Nature dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | |
依赖动物授粉的作物产值占比IND.ENV.nature_dependence.pollinator_dependent_crops.share |
ENV | Nature dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
水资源压力水平IND.WAT.stress.water_stress |
WAT | 水资源压力 | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 6.4.2 WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWST.ZS |
基线水资源压力得分（子流域）IND.WAT.stress.baseline_water_stress |
WAT | 水资源压力 | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE, PORTFOLIO | |
人均可再生淡水资源总量IND.WAT.stress.renewable_water.pc |
WAT | 水资源压力 | hazard | m3/a/{person} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI ER.H2O.INTR.PC |
地下水储量下降IND.WAT.stress.groundwater_depletion |
WAT | 水资源压力 | hazard | mm/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
用水效率IND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency |
WAT | 水资源压力 | adaptive capacity | [USD]/m3 |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD |
使用安全管理饮用水的人口IND.WAT.access.safely_managed_drinking_water.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | SDG 6.1.1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS EPI UWD |
至少使用基本饮用水的人口IND.WAT.access.basic_drinking_water.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.H2O.BASW.ZS |
使用安全管理卫生设施的人口IND.WAT.access.safely_managed_sanitation.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI SH.STA.SMSS.ZS SDG 6.2.1 EPI USD |
拥有基本洗手设施的人口IND.WAT.access.basic_handwashing.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.STA.HYGN.ZS SDG 6.2.1 |
环境水质良好的水体IND.WAT.quality.good_ambient_water_quality.share |
WAT | Water quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 6.3.2 |
经安全处理的废水IND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share |
WAT | Water quality | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, CITY | SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT |
对外部可再生水的依赖率IND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
有运作中合作安排的跨界流域面积IND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.5.2 |
疟疾发病率IND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA |
报告的霍乱病例，每 100,000 人IND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k |
HLT | Epidemic and outbreak | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | WHO_GHO CHOLERA_0000000001 |
五岁以下儿童发育迟缓IND.HLT.nutrition.stunting |
HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.STNT.ME.ZS SDG 2.2.1 WHO_GHO NUTSTUNTINGPREV FAO_FAOSTAT 21025 |
五岁以下儿童消瘦IND.HLT.nutrition.wasting |
HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.STA.WAST.ZS SDG 2.2.2 WHO_GHO NUTRITION_WH_2 FAO_FAOSTAT 21026 |
育龄妇女贫血IND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women |
HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.ANM.ALLW.ZS WHO_GHO NUTRITION_ANAEMIA_REPRODUCTIVEAGE_PREV SDG 2.2.3 FAO_FAOSTAT 21043 |
食物不足发生率IND.FOO.availability.undernourishment |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 210041 SDG 2.1.1 WB_WDI SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS |
食物不足人数IND.FOO.availability.people_undernourished |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | {persons} |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 210011 |
平均膳食能量供应充足率IND.FOO.availability.dietary_energy_adequacy |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21010 |
人均食物供应波动性IND.FOO.availability.food_supply_variability |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | kcal/d/{person} |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21031 |
谷物进口依赖率IND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21035 |
中度或重度粮食不安全（FIES）IND.FOO.access.fies_moderate_severe |
FOO | Access and affordability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 210091 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.MSFI.ZS |
重度粮食不安全（FIES）IND.FOO.access.fies_severe |
FOO | Access and affordability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 210401 SDG 2.1.2 WB_WDI SN.ITK.SVFI.ZS |
健康膳食成本IND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_cost |
FOO | Access and affordability | vulnerability | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI CoHD_PPP |
无力负担健康膳食的人口IND.FOO.access.healthy_diet_unaffordable |
FOO | Access and affordability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI CoHD_headcount |
处于 IPC 第 3 阶段及以上的人口IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population |
FOO | Acute food insecurity | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | IPC Phase 3+ |
受分析人口中处于 IPC 第 3 阶段及以上的占比IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_share |
FOO | Acute food insecurity | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | IPC Phase 3+ |
IPC 第 3 阶段及以上，占总人口比重IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase3plus_population_share_total |
FOO | Acute food insecurity | impact | % |
COUNTRY | |
是否存在处于 IPC 第 5 阶段的人口IND.FOO.acute.ipc_phase5_presence |
FOO | Acute food insecurity | impact | {bool} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | IPC Phase 5 |
食品价格异常指标（食品 CPI）IND.FOO.prices.food_price_anomaly |
FOO | Food prices | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY | SDG 2.c.1 |
食品价格异常偏高的月数IND.FOO.prices.abnormal_price_months |
FOO | Food prices | hazard | % |
COUNTRY | |
食品进口支出，占商品出口比重IND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports |
FOO | Food prices | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21033 |
农林渔业增加值，占 GDP 比重IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS |
农业就业，占总就业比重IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS |
谷物单产IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | kg/har |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI AG.YLD.CREL.KG |
谷物单产波动性（15 年）IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
农业取水量，占总取水量比重IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawal |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS |
耕地，占陆地面积比重IND.FOO.agriculture.cropland.share |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | WB_WDI AG.LND.ARBL.ZS |
耕地植被健康指数IND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_index |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | |
地雷和战争遗留爆炸物造成的伤亡IND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | |
可再生能源在最终能源消费总量中的占比IND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec |
ENE | Energy mix | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS |
GDP 一次能源强度IND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | MJ/[USD] |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD |
化石能源发电占比IND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS |
人均可再生能源装机容量IND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc |
ENE | Energy mix | adaptive capacity | W/{person} |
COUNTRY | SDG 7.b.1 |
依赖水的发电占比IND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.share |
ENE | Energy mix | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
采暖和制冷度日数IND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days |
ENE | Reliability | hazard | K.d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
供水网络韧性IND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience |
INF | Utilities | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
位于高危害区的供水资产占比IND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID |
05危害
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| 类别 | 领域 | 危害 | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Planetary boundary transgressions | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | Climate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance … | 14 |
| Ice tipping elements | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | Greenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction | 6 |
| Ocean circulation and marine tipping | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | Atlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation | 7 |
| Biome tipping elements | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | Amazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift | 5 |
| Carbon-cycle feedbacks | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | Permafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback | 7 |
| Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tipping | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | South Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup … | 9 |
| Deep-time and cosmic catastrophes | 行星边界与地球系统临界点 | Supereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova … | 10 |
| Vegetation and peat fire | 陆地与生态系统 | Extreme fire weather, Wildfire, Wildland-urban interface fire, Peat and underground fire, Fire regime shift | 5 |
| Forest and woodland stress | 陆地与生态系统 | Deforestation, Forest dieback, Large forest disturbance, Forest pest invasion, Native forest insect outbreak | 5 |
| Land and wetland degradation | 陆地与生态系统 | Land degradation, Desertification, Soil quality decline, Soil salinisation and sodicity, Wetland loss, Mangrove loss, Peatland drainage and degradation, Soil sealing … | 9 |
| Biodiversity and species stress | 陆地与生态系统 | Biodiversity loss, Coral bleaching, Pollinator decline, Fishery collapse, Mass wildlife mortality, Human-wildlife conflict, Wildlife disease panzootic, Insect decline … | 12 |
| Climate-state shifts | 陆地与生态系统 | Abrupt climate-system shift, Volcanic cooling | 2 |
| Ecosystem regime shifts | 陆地与生态系统 | Kelp forest collapse, Seagrass meadow loss, Lake clear-to-turbid shift, Woody plant encroachment, Coastal habitat squeeze, Food-web collapse | 6 |
| Snowpack hazards | 冰与雪 | Snow avalanche, Snow drought, Rain-on-snow event | 3 |
| Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost change | 冰与雪 | Glacial lake outburst flood, Glacier or ice-mass collapse, Glacier mass loss, Ice-sheet mass loss, Permafrost thaw, Ice-shelf disintegration, Subglacial outburst flood, Glacier surge … | 10 |
| Floating ice | 冰与雪 | Sea ice, Iceberg and ice-floe drift, Sea-ice loss, Lake and river ice loss, Shoreline ice shove | 5 |
06路径
How this risk can move to 2100
FIG 5 · Explorer: a pathway fan chart to 2100
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07方法
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
24 methods
气候、自然与生物多样性
Climate Extremes · Chronic Climate Risk · Compound Climate Risk · Climate Scenario Ensemble · Climate Attribution Science · Land Cover Change · Deforestation …
37 methods
危害科学
Hazard Intensity Footprint Screening · Earthquake Hazard · Earthquake Ground Motion · Earthquake Rupture · Liquefaction · Landslide · Tsunami …
08Users
Who uses it
Universities and research
Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
UN system and humanitarian organisations
Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.
Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors
Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.
10引用
引用与再利用
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Planetary boundaries series (GRX-SER-SR-09), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-09/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000082.
- Series key
grix:SER.SR-09:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.CLI.physical_chronic.climate_physical_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:Anis:IDX.CLI.transition.transition_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:Anis:IDX.ENV.biodiversity.environmental_pressure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
状态
The Global Risks Index 的方法、结构和定义为预备性工作草案（2026），供审阅和评论，不供实施。在从受治理的证据截取中发布版本之前，不会出现任何数值；届时数值将附有区间、类别、来源及其更正途径。模拟器以您选择的数字运行已发布的方法，绝不显示 NXS-GRX 数值。
NXS-GRX 不是什么
NXS-GRX 是研究和风险分析信息。它不是信用评级或 ESG 评级，不使用任何评级尺度；它不是金融工具的基准，不是官方统计，不是紧急警报或官方分类，也不是建议。不得用于评估自然人。风险等级是已发布尺度上的区间，绝不是对国家或个人的排名。
机构与来源
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
每个数值均附有其来源的署名，这些来源保留各自的许可。外部名称仅为互操作性而引用。Nexus 撰写的文本拟在发布时采用 CC BY 4.0。
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.