Skip to content

Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · XT-01 · Exponential technology series

인공지능과 에이전트 시스템

물리적 인프라(컴퓨팅, 에너지, 물, 자재, 공급망)이자 재해 원천으로서의 AI 및 에이전트 시스템: 실패, 오용, 집중, 감독 공백.

Page GRX-SER-XT-01Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports XT-01 (drafted)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
영역 지수

5

Water security risk · Governance weakness · Energy security risk · Cyber risk.

지표

100

5 index domains

Hazard families

22

Frontier and exponential technology · Information and cyber-physical systems.

방법론

56

사이버, AI, 프런티어 기술

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
5
영역 지수
100
indicators in scope
2
재해 영역
5
client groups

01범위

Scope and questions

The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.

  1. Where does AI adoption outrun oversight capacity?
  2. What physical footprint and dependency does AI create?
  3. Which AI failure modes could cascade into essential services?
02Construction

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems index is built

Graph9 nodes
그래프
01영역 지수
02Series index
03Readings

100%
색인
  1. 물 안보 리스크

    Domain index · IDX · WAT
    0–10 index of water security risk combining scarcity and stress, WASH access, water quality and transboundary dependence; geometric so that good access does not offset severe scarcity.
  2. 거버넌스 취약성

    Domain index · IDX · GOV
    Weighted aggregation, on 0 to 10, of governance quality, rule of law, policy and institutional quality and statistical capacity, each oriented by its own polarity so that higher values mean weaker governance.
  3. 에너지 안보 리스크

    Domain index · IDX · ENE
    Index of energy access deficit, fuel import dependence, mix rigidity, supply unreliability and critical-mineral dependence on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  4. 사이버 리스크

    Domain index · IDX · CYB
    Index of cyber incident pressure, digital dependence and the lack of cyber capability on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  5. 기술 집중 리스크

    Domain index · IDX · TEC
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  6. Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-01
    물리적 인프라(컴퓨팅, 에너지, 물, 자재, 공급망)이자 재해 원천으로서의 AI 및 에이전트 시스템: 실패, 오용, 집중, 감독 공백.
  7. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  8. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  9. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
실행 전진행 중완료
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03지수

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-01 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems index, world
–
값은 판과 함께 게시되며, 구간, 등급, 변화가 여기에 표시됩니다.
지수 값 변화 변화 % 90% 구간 등급 · 확률 추세 범위
물 안보 리스크NXS-GRX · WAT – – – – –
거버넌스 취약성NXS-GRX · GOV – – – – –
에너지 안보 리스크NXS-GRX · ENE – – – – –
사이버 리스크NXS-GRX · CYB – – – – –
기술 집중 리스크NXS-GRX · TEC – – – – –

Domains read: Technology and frontier, Cyber and digital, Energy, Water, Governance and institutions.

04지표

100 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
ENE · 23GOV · 20WAT · 13CYB · 13TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
지표 영역 Sub-domain 구성 요소 단위 단계 Crosswalks
LIC-DSF 복합 지표 점수(공표치, 참고)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
연료 수입, 상품 수입 대비 비율IND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
핵심 광물 순수입 의존도IND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
LULUCF 제외 온실가스 총배출량IND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total CLI Emissions exposure Mt/a COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
GDP 탄소 집약도IND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp CLI Emissions exposure kg/[USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
명시적 화석연료 보조금, GDP 대비 비율IND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp CLI Transition exposure exposure % COUNTRY
적응 투자에 대한 경제적 준비도IND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness adaptive capacity {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
적응에 대한 거버넌스 준비도IND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness adaptive capacity {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
심각한 기상학적 가뭄 빈도IND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency HAZ 가뭄 hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR
물 스트레스 수준IND.WAT.stress.water_stress WAT 물 스트레스 hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 6.4.2 WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWST.ZS
기준 물 스트레스 점수(소유역)IND.WAT.stress.baseline_water_stress WAT 물 스트레스 hazard {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE, PORTFOLIO
1인당 재생 가능 담수 자원 총량IND.WAT.stress.renewable_water.pc WAT 물 스트레스 hazard m3/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI ER.H2O.INTR.PC
지하수 저장량 감소IND.WAT.stress.groundwater_depletion WAT 물 스트레스 hazard mm/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
물 이용 효율IND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency WAT 물 스트레스 adaptive capacity [USD]/m3 COUNTRY SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD
안전하게 관리되는 식수를 이용하는 인구IND.WAT.access.safely_managed_drinking_water.share WAT Drinking water and sanitation vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 6.1.1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS EPI UWD
최소한 기본적인 식수를 이용하는 인구IND.WAT.access.basic_drinking_water.share WAT Drinking water and sanitation vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.BASW.ZS
안전하게 관리되는 위생 시설을 이용하는 인구IND.WAT.access.safely_managed_sanitation.share WAT Drinking water and sanitation vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI SH.STA.SMSS.ZS SDG 6.2.1 EPI USD
기본 손 씻기 시설을 갖춘 인구IND.WAT.access.basic_handwashing.share WAT Drinking water and sanitation vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.STA.HYGN.ZS SDG 6.2.1
주변 수질이 양호한 수역IND.WAT.quality.good_ambient_water_quality.share WAT Water quality vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 6.3.2
안전하게 처리된 폐수IND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality coping capacity % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
외부 재생 가능 수자원 의존 비율IND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence exposure % COUNTRY
운영 협력이 이루어지는 초국경 유역 면적IND.WAT.dependence.transboundary_cooperation.share WAT Transboundary dependence coping capacity % COUNTRY SDG 6.5.2
지자기 재해 고위험 지역 내 고압 송전망, 비율IND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1
보고된 콜레라 환자 수, 인구 100,000명당IND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k HLT Epidemic and outbreak hazard /10*5 COUNTRY WHO_GHO CHOLERA_0000000001
농업용수 취수량, 전체 대비 비율IND.FOO.agriculture.agri_water_withdrawal FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS
국회 내 여성 의석 비율IND.SOC.gender.women_in_parliament SOC Gender adaptive capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI SG.GEN.PARL.ZS SDG 5.5.1
발언권과 책임성(WGI)IND.GOV.quality.voice_accountability GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_VA.EST
정치적 안정성과 폭력 부재(WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
정부 효과성(WGI)IND.GOV.quality.government_effectiveness GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_GE.EST
부패 통제(WGI)IND.GOV.quality.control_of_corruption GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_CC.EST
부패인식지수(Transparency International)IND.GOV.quality.corruption_perceptions GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
언론 자유 점수(RSF)IND.GOV.quality.press_freedom GOV Governance quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
법치(WGI)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.rule_of_law GOV Rule of law coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RL.EST
재산권과 규칙 기반 거버넌스(CPIA)IND.GOV.rule_of_law.property_rights GOV Rule of law coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PROP.XQ
미결 구금자, 수감 인구 대비 비율IND.GOV.rule_of_law.unsentenced_detainees GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.3.2
기업 대상 뇌물 발생률IND.GOV.rule_of_law.bribery_incidence_firms GOV Rule of law vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.BRIB.ZS SDG 16.5.2
규제 품질(WGI)IND.GOV.policy.regulatory_quality GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_RQ.EST
CPIA 종합 등급(IDA 자원 배분 지수)IND.GOV.policy.cpia_overall GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.IRAI.XQ
CPIA 공공부문 관리 및 제도IND.GOV.policy.cpia_public_sector_management GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.PUBS.XQ
CPIA 공공부문의 투명성, 책임성 및 부패IND.GOV.policy.cpia_transparency GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.TRAN.XQ
세입 동원 효율성(CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
승인 예산 대비 예산 집행 편차IND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
통계 성과 지표 종합 점수IND.GOV.statistics.spi_overall GOV Statistical capacity coping capacity {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.SPI.OVRL WB_WDI IQ.SCI.OVRL
출생 등록 완전성IND.GOV.statistics.birth_registration GOV Statistical capacity coping capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.REG.BRTH.ZS SDG 16.9.1
마지막 인구 센서스 이후 경과 연수IND.GOV.statistics.years_since_census GOV Statistical capacity vulnerability a COUNTRY SDG 17.19.2
기업 환경 점수(B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
전기를 이용할 수 있는 인구IND.ENE.access.electricity_access ENE 이용 vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.1 WB_WDI EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
청정 조리 연료와 기술에 주로 의존하는 인구IND.ENE.access.clean_cooking ENE 이용 vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
1인당 전력 소비량IND.ENE.access.electricity_consumption.pc ENE 이용 context kW.h/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC
최종 에너지 소비 중 재생에너지 비중IND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec ENE Energy mix adaptive capacity % COUNTRY SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
GDP 1차 에너지 집약도IND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity ENE Energy mix vulnerability MJ/[USD] COUNTRY SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
발전원 구성 집중도IND.ENE.mix.generation_concentration ENE Energy mix vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
발전량 중 화석연료 비중IND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
1인당 재생에너지 설비 용량IND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc ENE Energy mix adaptive capacity W/{person} COUNTRY SDG 7.b.1
물 의존 발전량, 비율IND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1
순에너지 수입 의존도IND.ENE.security.net_energy_imports ENE Supply security and import dependence exposure % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.IMP.CONS.ZS
연료 수입액, 재화 및 서비스 수출 대비 비율IND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
원유 및 석유제품 수입 공급처 집중도IND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
천연가스 수입 공급처 집중도IND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
석탄 수입 공급처 집중도IND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
순수입 일수 기준 석유 비축량IND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocks ENE Supply security and import dependence coping capacity d COUNTRY
일반적인 한 달 동안 기업이 겪는 정전 횟수IND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
정전으로 인한 손실액, 기업 매출 대비 비율IND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss ENE Reliability impact % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.OUTG.ZS
계통 평균 정전 시간(SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
계통 평균 정전 빈도(SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
송배전 손실IND.ENE.reliability.td_losses ENE Reliability vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS
난방 및 냉방 도일IND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days ENE Reliability hazard K.d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
핵심 광물 수입 공급처 집중도IND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Critical minerals vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
핵심 광물 수입 중 최대 단일 공급처 비중IND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share ENE Critical minerals vulnerability % COUNTRY
인터넷 이용자IND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
국제 연결 경로 이중화IND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity coping capacity 1 COUNTRY
전국 규모 인터넷 장애 시간IND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
전력망 회복력IND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities coping capacity {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
상수도망 회복력IND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience INF Utilities coping capacity {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
고위험 재해 지역 내 상수도 자산, 비율IND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
고위험 재해 지역 내 발전 및 전력망 자산, 비율IND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities exposure % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
ITU 글로벌 사이버보안 지수 점수IND.CYB.capability.gci_score CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Overall score
ITU 글로벌 사이버보안 지수 등급IND.CYB.capability.gci_tier CYB Cyber capability vulnerability {class} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Tier
ITU GCI 법적 조치 기둥IND.CYB.capability.gci_legal CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
ITU GCI 기술적 조치 기둥IND.CYB.capability.gci_technical CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
ITU GCI 조직적 조치 기둥IND.CYB.capability.gci_organizational CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Organizational Measures
ITU GCI 역량 개발 조치 기둥IND.CYB.capability.gci_capacity_development CYB Cyber capability adaptive capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Capacity Development Measures
ITU GCI 협력 조치 기둥IND.CYB.capability.gci_cooperation CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {score} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Cooperation Measures
국가 컴퓨터 침해사고 대응팀 운영 여부IND.CYB.capability.national_cert CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Technical Measures
개인정보 보호 법률 시행 여부IND.CYB.capability.data_protection_law CYB Cyber capability coping capacity {bool} COUNTRY ITU_GCI Legal Measures
인구 100만 명당 중대 사이버 사고IND.CYB.incidents.significant_incident_rate CYB Incidents hazard /10*6/a COUNTRY
핵심 서비스를 방해한 사이버 사고IND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
ICT 서비스 부가가치, GDP 대비 비율IND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence exposure % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
전자정부 발전도IND.CYB.dependence.egovernment_development CYB Digital dependence exposure {score} COUNTRY
국내 총 R&D 지출, GDP 대비 비율IND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability adaptive capacity % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
주민 100만 명당 연구원 수IND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability adaptive capacity /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
첨단기술 수출, 제조업 수출 대비 비율IND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability adaptive capacity % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
반도체 수입 공급처 집중도IND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
클라우드 인프라 제공자 집중도IND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
외국 또는 단일 제공자가 통제하는 AI 컴퓨팅 역량IND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC 인공지능 vulnerability % COUNTRY
파운데이션 모델 제공자 집중도IND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC 인공지능 vulnerability % COUNTRY
고위험 밀폐 실험실의 생물안전 및 생물보안 감독IND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC 생명공학 coping capacity {score} COUNTRY
센다이 프레임워크에 부합하는 국가 DRR 전략IND.CRS.drr.national_drr_strategy CRS DRR strategy coping capacity {score} COUNTRY SENDAI E-1 SDG 1.5.3 SDG 11.b.1 SDG 13.1.2
국가 전략에 부합하는 DRR 전략을 갖춘 지방정부IND.CRS.drr.local_drr_strategies CRS DRR strategy coping capacity % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI E-2 SDG 1.5.4 SDG 11.b.2 SDG 13.1.3
05재해

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
정보프런티어157HAZARDS
2 hazard domains (inner ring) and 22 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
계열 영역 재해 Count
AI system failure and misalignment 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
생명공학과 합성생물학 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
기후 개입 기술 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Distributed ledgers and digital assets 첨단 및 기하급수적 기술 Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Malicious compromise 정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템 Malware outbreak, Ransomware attack, Data breach, Persistent intrusion, Denial-of-service attack, Software or hardware supply-chain compromise, Social-engineering campaign, Online harassment campaign … 9
Information-integrity attacks 정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템 Disinformation campaign, Data and model integrity attack, Election infrastructure attack, Public record tampering, Misinformation surge and infodemic, Hazardous information disclosure 6
Cyber-physical disruption 정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템 Industrial control system compromise, Power-grid cyberattack, Transport control-system attack, Health-system cyberattack, Medical device compromise, Water utility cyberattack, Building systems compromise, Mass connected-device manipulation … 11
Signal and platform disruption 정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템 Satellite-navigation disruption, Major cloud or platform outage, Internet routing or naming failure, Subsea cable damage, Payment system outage, Radio-spectrum interference, Digital public infrastructure failure 7
Identity, trust and cryptographic failure 정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템 Identity provider compromise, Signing key or certificate compromise, Certificate or credential expiry outage, Cryptographic algorithm or implementation break, Mass account takeover, National digital identity system failure 6
Systemic cyber events 정보 및 사이버 물리 시스템 Defective update mass outage, Mass vulnerability exploitation, Connected-device botnet, Managed service provider compromise, Firmware or hardware backdoor, Insider threat, Cyber theft from financial infrastructure, Irrecoverable data loss … 9
06방법론

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

56 methods

사이버, AI, 프런티어 기술

Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …

07Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

Regulators, supervisors and central banks

Design supervisory scenarios. Read systemic coupling. Replicate methods.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

Universities and research

Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.

08보고서

Nexus Reports

Edition code
XT-01
Edition status
drafted, in stewardship review
주제
Named by Nexus Reports

Nexus Reports

09인용

인용과 재사용

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems series (GRX-SER-XT-01), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-01/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000088.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-01:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.WAT.stress.water_security_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.GOV.quality.governance_weakness:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.ENE.security.energy_security_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.