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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · XT-06 · Exponential technology series

Yarı iletkenler

Yarı iletken tedarik yoğunlaşması, üretim darboğazları, malzeme ve ekipman bağımlılığı ve ihracat kontrolü maruziyeti.

İnşaat Göstergeler
Page GRX-SER-XT-06Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject Nexus ReportsNexus Reports XT-06 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Alan endeksleri

3

External dependence risk · Infrastructure fragility · Technology concentration risk.

Göstergeler

84

3 index domains

Hazard families

36

Frontier and exponential technology · Solid Earth · Society, conflict and economy.

Yöntemler

86

Markets, trade and supply chains · Cyber, AI and frontier technology.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
3
alan endeksleri
84
indicators in scope
3
tehlike alanları
4
client groups

01Kapsam

Scope and questions

The subject is the one named by the Nexus Reports programme for this code.

  1. Where is fabrication capacity concentrated?
  2. Which economies depend on single-source chips?
  3. How would a fabrication outage propagate?
02İnşaat

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Semiconductors index is built

Graph7 nodes
Grafik
01Alan endeksleri
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Dizin
  1. Dış bağımlılık riski

    Domain index · IDX · ECO
    Weighted arithmetic mean of the four ECO sub-indices and the MAC external vulnerability sub-index, each on 0–10.
  2. Altyapı kırılganlığı

    Domain index · IDX · INF
    Index of transport and digital connectivity deficits, utility fragility, energy supply unreliability and realised disruption impact on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning more fragile.
  3. Teknoloji yoğunlaşması riski

    Domain index · IDX · TEC
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  4. Semiconductors index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-06
    Yarı iletken tedarik yoğunlaşması, üretim darboğazları, malzeme ve ekipman bağımlılığı ve ihracat kontrolü maruziyeti.
  5. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  6. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  7. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
ÇalıştırılmadıSürüyorTamamlandı
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Endeksler

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-06 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Semiconductors index, world
–
Değerler baskıyla yayımlanır; aralık, sınıf ve değişim burada görünür.
Endeks Değer Değişim Değişim % %90 aralık Sınıf · olasılık Eğilim Aralık
Dış bağımlılık riskiNXS-GRX · ECO – – – – –
Altyapı kırılganlığıNXS-GRX · INF – – – – –
Teknoloji yoğunlaşması riskiNXS-GRX · TEC – – – – –

Domains read: Technology and frontier, Economic structure and trade, Infrastructure.

04Göstergeler

84 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
INF · 24ECO · 18TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Gösterge Alan Sub-domain Bileşen Birim Düzeyler Crosswalks
Mal ve hizmet ihracatı, cari ABD dolarıIND.MAC.external.exports.usd MAC External balance and reserves context [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD
Dış ticaret hadlerinin oynaklığı (10 yıllık)IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY
Doğal kaynak gelirleri, genel devlet gelirlerinin payıIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share FIS Revenue vulnerability % COUNTRY
Ticari dışa açıklık (ihracat artı ithalat, GSYH payı)IND.ECO.trade.trade_openness.gdp ECO Ticaret maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS
Uluslararası turizm gelirleri, ihracatın payıIND.ECO.trade.tourism_receipts.exports ECO Ticaret vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI ST.INT.RCPT.XP.ZS
Alınan kişisel işçi dövizleri, GSYH payıIND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp ECO Ticaret maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2
Alınan net resmî kalkınma yardımı, GSMG payıIND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni ECO Ticaret maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS
İhracat ürün yoğunlaşması (normalleştirilmiş HHI)IND.ECO.concentration.export_product_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
İhracat pazarı yoğunlaşması (normalleştirilmiş HHI)IND.ECO.concentration.export_market_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Emtia ihracatına bağımlılıkIND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN
İmalat ürünleri, mal ihracatının payıIND.ECO.concentration.manufactures_export_share ECO Export and import concentration uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.MANF.ZS.UN
Doğal kaynak rantları, GSYH payıIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS
Ekonomik karmaşıklık endeksiIND.ECO.concentration.economic_complexity ECO Export and import concentration uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Gıda ithalatı, mal ithalatının payıIND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN
Yakıt ithalatı, mal ithalatının payıIND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Kritik minerallerde net ithalat bağımlılığıIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
İthalat kaynağı yoğunlaşması (normalleştirilmiş HHI)IND.ECO.concentration.import_partner_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Brüt ihracatta yabancı katma değer payıIND.ECO.supply_chain.gvc_backward_participation ECO Supply-chain exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Ara malı ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ECO.supply_chain.intermediate_supplier_concentration ECO Supply-chain exposure vulnerability % COUNTRY
Deniz dar geçitlerine maruz deniz yolu ticaretiIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Doğrudan yabancı yatırım net girişleri, GSYH payıIND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp ECO Yatırım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS
Yakıt ihracatı, mal ihracatının payıIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share CLI Transition exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Taşkın koruma tasarım standardıIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood başa çıkma kapasitesi a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Yapılaşmış yüzey alanıIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area HAZ Maruziyet context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki yapılaşmış alanIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed HAZ Maruziyet maruziyet km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yol yoğunluğuIND.ENV.land.road_density ENV Land and forests hazard km/km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Kontrollü tesislerde yönetilen belediye katı atığıIND.ENV.pollution.msw_controlled_management.share ENV Pollution and waste başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 11.6.1 EPI MSW
Doğaya yüksek derecede bağımlı sektörlerdeki GSYH, payIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share ENV Nature dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO
Su kullanım verimliliğiIND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency WAT Su stresi uyum kapasitesi [USD]/m3 COUNTRY SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD
Güvenli biçimde arıtılan atık su akışlarıIND.WAT.quality.wastewater_safely_treated.share WAT Water quality başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, CITY SDG 6.3.1 EPI WWT
GNSS'ye bağımlı faaliyetlerdeki GSYH, payIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Yedeği olmadan uydulara dayanan kritik hizmetler, payIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek jeoelektrik tehlike bölgelerindeki yüksek gerilim şebekesi, payIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1
En yakın sağlık tesisine ulaşım süresiIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Tahıl ithalatı bağımlılık oranıIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency FOO Availability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21035
Gıda ithalatı faturası, mal ihracatının payıIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports FOO Food prices vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21033
Tarım, ormancılık ve balıkçılık katma değeri, GSYH payıIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Kentsel nüfus, toplamın payıIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_share DEM Urbanisation context % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS
Kentsel nüfus artışıIND.DEM.urbanisation.urban_growth DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.URB.GROW
Gecekondu bölgelerinde yaşayan kentsel nüfusIND.DEM.urbanisation.slum_share DEM Urbanisation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.POP.SLUM.UR.ZS SDG 11.1.1
İş ortamı puanı (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Ham petrol ve ürünleri ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Doğal gaz ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kömür ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Firmaların tipik bir ayda yaşadığı elektrik kesintileriIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
Sistem ortalama kesinti süresi (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Sistem ortalama kesinti sıklığı (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Kritik mineral ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Kritik mineraller vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kritik mineral ithalatında en büyük tek tedarikçinin payıIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share ENE Kritik mineraller vulnerability % COUNTRY
Her mevsim kullanılabilen bir yola 2 km mesafedeki kırsal nüfusIND.INF.transport.rural_road_access INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.1.1
Lojistik performansıIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
En iyi performansa göre düzenli hat taşımacılığı bağlantısıIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Kişi başına taşınan hava yolu yolcusuIND.INF.transport.air_passengers.pc INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {passengers}/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.AIR.PSGR
Toplu taşımaya kolay erişimi olan kentsel nüfusIND.INF.transport.public_transport_access INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % CITY, ADM1, COUNTRY SDG 11.2.1 ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki kara yolu ve demir yolu ağı, payIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share INF Ulaşım maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
İnternet kullanan bireylerIND.INF.digital.internet_users INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 17.8.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.USER.ZS
Mobil ağ kapsamındaki nüfus, teknolojiye göreIND.INF.digital.mobile_network_coverage INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 9.c.1
100 kişi başına sabit geniş bant abonelikleriIND.INF.digital.fixed_broadband INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi /10*2 COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 17.6.1 WB_WDI IT.NET.BBND.P2
Uluslararası bağlantı güzergâhı yedekliliğiIND.INF.digital.international_connectivity_redundancy INF Digital connectivity başa çıkma kapasitesi 1 COUNTRY
Ulusal ölçekli internet kesintisi saatleriIND.INF.digital.internet_disruption_hours INF Digital connectivity impact h/a COUNTRY
Elektrik şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Su temin şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.water_network_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
72 saatlik yedek güce sahip kritik tesislerIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki su temin varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki elektrik üretim ve şebeke varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki hayati altyapı tesisleri, payIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Altyapı yatırım açığı, GSYH payıIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan kritik altyapı birimleriIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan sağlık tesisleriIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
Afetlerde hasar gören veya yıkılan eğitim tesisleriIND.INF.disruption.education_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-3
Afetlere bağlanan temel hizmet kesintileriIND.INF.disruption.basic_service_disruptions INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-5
Kritik altyapıdaki doğrudan ekonomik kayıp, GSYH payıIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
Kritik hizmetleri aksatan siber olaylarIND.CYB.incidents.critical_sector_incidents CYB Incidents impact 1 COUNTRY
BİT hizmetleri katma değeri, GSYH payıIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
Ar-Ge'ye yönelik gayri safi yurt içi harcama, GSYH payıIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Milyon kişi başına araştırmacıIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Yüksek teknoloji ihracatı, imalat ihracatının payıIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Yarı iletken ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Bulut altyapısı sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Yabancı veya tek sağlayıcı denetimindeki yapay zekâ hesaplama kapasitesiIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Temel model sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek muhafazalı laboratuvarların biyogüvenlik ve biyoemniyet denetimiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Biyoteknoloji başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Acil hizmetlere 15 dakika mesafedeki nüfusIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05Tehlikeler

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
SolidÖncüToplum286HAZARDS
3 hazard domains (inner ring) and 36 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Aile Alan Tehlikeler Sayı
AI system failure and misalignment Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Biyoteknoloji ve sentetik biyoloji Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
İklim müdahalesi teknolojileri Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Öncü ve üstel teknoloji 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Dağıtık defterler ve dijital varlıklar Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Fault shaking and rupture Katı Yer Earthquake, Induced earthquake, Aftershock sequence, Fault surface rupture, Soil liquefaction, Ground fissure, Earthquake swarm 7
Eruption products and unrest Katı Yer Volcanic unrest, Lava flow, Volcanic ash fall, Volcanic ash cloud, Volcanic ballistic projectiles, Pyroclastic flow, Lahar, Volcanic gas and aerosol emission … 12
Slope failure and mass movement Katı Yer Rockfall, Topple, Slope slide, Lateral spread, Debris flow, Earthflow and mudflow, Rock avalanche, Submarine landslide … 9
Ground deformation and subsidence Katı Yer Land subsidence, Crustal uplift, Sinkhole, Shrink-swell soil movement, Soft-soil settlement, Ground gas seepage, Mining-induced subsidence 7
Erosion and sediment movement Katı Yer Soil erosion, River bank erosion, Coastal erosion, Dune encroachment, Reservoir and channel siltation, River avulsion, Delta sediment starvation 7
Seabed and deep-sea hazards Katı Yer Turbidity current, Submarine volcanic eruption, Seabed gas escape, Pumice raft, Deep-sea mining disturbance 5
Organised and collective violence Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … 15
Governance and institutional failure Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … 18
Financial-system fragility Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … 12
Labour and technology transition Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … 12
Cultural heritage loss Toplum, çatışma ve ekonomi Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
06Yöntemler

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

30 methods

Piyasalar, ticaret ve tedarik zincirleri

Commodity Price Risk · Price Volatility · Market Regime · Demand Forecasting · Supply Forecasting · Trade Dependency · Bilateral Concentration …

56 methods

Siber, yapay zekâ ve öncü teknoloji

Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …

07Users

Who uses it

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors

Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

08Raporlar

Nexus Reports

Edition code
XT-06
Edition status
planlanıyor
Konu
Named by Nexus Reports

Nexus Reports

09Atıf

Atıf ve yeniden kullanım

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk)): Semiconductors series (GRX-SER-XT-06), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-06/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000093.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-06:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.ECO.trade.external_dependence_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.INF.disruption.infrastructure_fragility:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A nis:IDX.TEC.concentration.technology_concentration_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Ülke profilleri Tüm seriler

Durum

The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.

NXS-GRX ne değildir

NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.

Kurumlar ve kaynaklar

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.