US$ 981.3 million108% since 2020
2010min US$ 190.0 million · max US$ 981.3 million2025
Higher than 4% of 190 countriesMiddle Africa median US$ 21.4 billion
NXS-GRX-STP · Middle Africa · Indices
Sao Tome and Principe: twenty domain indices
Fiscal, financial, external, climate, hazard, water, health, food, energy, infrastructure, cyber, governance, conflict, social, demographic, environment, frontier technology, coping capacity, economy and space weather.
Page GRX-STP-IEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30ISO STP / STStatus UN member stateValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
20
domain indices
4
pillars
443
country indicators
90%
intervals
01Domains
Twenty domain indices
| Index | Value | Change | Change % | 90% interval | Class · probability | Trend | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiscal and public debt riskNXS-GRX-STP · FIS |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Financial stability riskNXS-GRX-STP · FIN |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
External dependence riskNXS-GRX-STP · ECO |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Climate physical hazardNXS-GRX-STP · CLI |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Climate transition exposureNXS-GRX-STP · CLI |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Multi-hazard exposureNXS-GRX-STP · HAZ |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Environmental pressureNXS-GRX-STP · ENV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Water security riskNXS-GRX-STP · WAT |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Space-weather exposureNXS-GRX-STP · SPC |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Health security riskNXS-GRX-STP · HLT |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Food insecurity riskNXS-GRX-STP · FOO |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Socio-economic vulnerabilityNXS-GRX-STP · SOC |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Displacement pressureNXS-GRX-STP · DEM |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Conflict riskNXS-GRX-STP · CON |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Governance weaknessNXS-GRX-STP · GOV |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Energy security riskNXS-GRX-STP · ENE |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Infrastructure fragilityNXS-GRX-STP · INF |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Cyber riskNXS-GRX-STP · CYB |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Technology concentration riskNXS-GRX-STP · TEC |
– | – | – | – | – | ||
Lack of coping capacityNXS-GRX-STP · CRS |
– | – | – | – | – |
02Areas
Profile areas for Sao Tome and Principe
Fourteen areas, one at a time: the latest open figures with their trend and where the country stands among others, the tools to run and download them, and every platform, standard and working group across the Nexus institutions that carries the area.
Open data for Sao Tome and Principe 564 observations from 46 World Bank series · CC BY 4.0 · source and licence on every rowChoose an area. Figures first; the sources, standards and ways to take part follow.
Area 01 · Partly admitted
Macroeconomy and external position
Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.
US$ 4,08488% since 2020
2010min US$ 1,045 · max US$ 4,0842025
Higher than 32% of 190 countriesMiddle Africa median US$ 2,515
1%1.6 pts since 2020
2010min 0.2% · max 5.2%2025
Higher than 16% of 189 countriesMiddle Africa median 3.1%
11.1%1.2 pts since 2020
2010min 5.3% · max 21.3%2025
Higher than 89% of 177 countriesMiddle Africa median 2.7%
-9.3%of GDP3.3 pts since 2020
2010min -46.7% · max -6.3%2025
Higher than 15% of 177 countriesMiddle Africa median -3.3%
2.7months of imports7.2% since 2019
2010min 2.2 · max 5.52024
Higher than 26% of 160 countriesMiddle Africa median 2.7
9.1%of labour force0.5 pts since 2020
2010min 8.7% · max 14.6%2025
Higher than 78% of 179 countriesMiddle Africa median 8.3%
Source standing
- Admitted
- 4
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 1
14 indicators · 2 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 14 indicators and 2 composites: Gross domestic product, current US dollars; GDP per capita, PPP (ICP 2021); Real GDP growth; Volatility of real GDP growth (10-year); Consumer price inflation; Food price inflation; and 8 more.
- Engines
- Growth-at-Risk, macro VAR and local projections in the model registry. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, fao-faostat-cpi, wb-ids, ilo-ilostatunder legal review: imf-weo, imf-cpi, imf-bop, imf-irfclnot in the register: national-cpi
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 02 · Partly admitted
Fiscal position and public debt
Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.
42.8%of GNI24 pts since 2019
2010min 42.8% · max 95.7%2024
Higher than 49% of 118 countriesMiddle Africa median 35.9%
3.5%of exports8.2 pts since 2019
2010min 2.5% · max 33.7%2024
Higher than 9% of 116 countriesMiddle Africa median 13.5%
Across the Nexus
Sovereign Capital Nexus · GRA Public Finance and Sovereign Debt · GRA Disaster Risk Finance · Capital Nexus.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 7
- Under legal review
- 13
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 8
37 indicators · 7 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 37 indicators and 7 composites: General government overall balance, share of GDP; General government primary balance, share of GDP; General government structural balance, share of potential GDP; Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g); General government revenue, current US dollars; General government revenue, share of GDP; and 31 more.
- Engines
- Debt fan chart on the SRDSF structure (not an IMF or World Bank DSA), fiscal stress. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, oecd-revenue-statistics, wb-qpsd, oecd-sovereign-borrowing, wb-ids, wb-ppi, wb-country-climate-development-reportsunder legal review: imf-weo, imf-gfs, imf-fiscal-monitor, imf-gdd, imf-dsa, imf-sovereign-investor-base, imf-wb-lic-dsf, imf-public-sector-balance-sheet and 5 morenot in the register: unu-wider-grd, eiti, national-dmo, jpm-embi:licensed, national-bond-yields, cds-vendor:licensed, national-soe-reports, national-fiscal-risk-statements
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 03 · Partly admitted
Financial system
Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.
4.8%of loans5.2 pts since 2024
2024min 4.8% · max 10%2025
Higher than 71% of 144 countriesMiddle Africa median 14.1%
16.7%2.3 pts since 2024
2024min 16.7% · max 19%2025
Higher than 98% of 144 countriesMiddle Africa median 8.6%
17.7%1.1 pts since 2020
2010min 17.7% · max 28.9%2025
Higher than 86% of 111 countriesMiddle Africa median 19.4%
Across the Nexus
Banking Nexus · Asset Management Nexus · GRA Fintech · Capital Nexus Markets · Private Equity Nexus · Institutional Funds Nexus.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 8
32 indicators · 7 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 32 indicators and 7 composites: Regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets; Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assets; Common Equity Tier 1 capital to risk-weighted assets; Capital to total assets (leverage); Non-performing loans net of provisions to capital; Non-performing loans to total gross loans; and 26 more.
- Engines
- VaR and expected shortfall, credit risk, DebtRank contagion. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, bis-credit, bis-credit-gap, wb-findex, bis-rpp, oecd-house-prices, wb-gfdd, oecd-insurance and 1 moreunder legal review: imf-fsi, imf-mfs, imf-ifs, imf-gddprohibited: emdatnot in the register: national-supervisor, national-central-bank, fsb-nbfi-monitoring, swiss-re-sigma:licensed, munich-re-natcat:licensed, eiopa-protection-gap, bcbs-climate-disclosure-2025, national-supervisor-credit-register
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 04 · Partly admitted
Trade, economic structure and supply chains
Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.
46.6%of GDP2.1 pts since 2020
2010min 44.3% · max 114.8%2025
Higher than 20% of 169 countriesMiddle Africa median 52.9%
13.3%of GDP2.7 pts since 2020
2010min 10.6% · max 33.7%2025
Higher than 8% of 169 countriesMiddle Africa median 29.4%
0%of merchandise exports0 pts since 2017
2011min 0% · max 0.8%2022
Higher than 11% of 165 countriesMiddle Africa median 54%
10.5%of GDP0.5 pts since 2020
2010min 1.8% · max 26.6%2025
Higher than 92% of 186 countriesMiddle Africa median 1.8%
Across the Nexus
GCRI Trade and Strategic Resources · Food Nexus · GCRI Advanced Industry and Robotics.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 8
- Under legal review
- 6
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 5
18 indicators · 5 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 18 indicators and 5 composites: Trade openness (exports plus imports, share of GDP); International tourism receipts, share of exports; Personal remittances received, share of GDP; Net official development assistance received, share of GNI; Export product concentration (normalised HHI); Export market concentration (normalised HHI); and 12 more.
- Engines
- Leontief input–output, inoperability, supplier concentration. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, wb-knomad, oecd-dac, unctad-stat, un-comtrade, wb-changing-wealth-of-nations, oecd-tiva, unctad-fdiunder legal review: imf-bop, un-tourism, imf-dots, usgs-mineral-commodity-summaries, unctad-eora, imf-portwatchnot in the register: harvard-growth-lab-atlas:licence-check, oec-world:licence-check, iea-critical-minerals, adb-mrio, ais-vessel-tracking:licensed
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 05 · Partly admitted
Water
Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.
36.7%of people1.5 pts since 2019
2010min 30.8% · max 36.7%2024
Higher than 21% of 137 countriesMiddle Africa median 11.9%
1.9%of available freshwater0 pts since 2017
2010min 1.5% · max 1.9%2022
Higher than 15% of 177 countriesMiddle Africa median 0.5%
9,633 m³8.5% since 2017
2010min 9,633 m³ · max 11,991 m³2022
Higher than 75% of 182 countriesMiddle Africa median 9,880 m³
Across the Nexus
Water Nexus · GRF Diplomacy · GRF Climate and Nature Governance.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 3
- Under legal review
- 2
- Prohibited
- 2
- Not in the register
- 4
13 indicators · 5 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 13 indicators and 5 composites: Level of water stress; Baseline water stress score (sub-basin); Total renewable freshwater resources per capita; Groundwater storage decline; Water-use efficiency; Population using safely managed drinking water; and 7 more.
- Engines
- Baseline water stress, SPI drought, water balance, shallow-water flooding. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: fao-aquastat, wb-wdi, nasa-grace-founder legal review: un-sdg-database, wri-aqueduct-4prohibited: who-unicef-jmp, who-un-habitat-wastewaternot in the register: igrac-ggis, national-groundwater-monitoring, unep-gems-water, unece-unesco-sdg652
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 06 · Partly admitted
Energy
Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.
77.7%of people2.6 pts since 2019
2010min 57.9% · max 81.3%2024
Higher than 22% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 55.5%
42.5%of final consumption3.3 pts since 2017
2010min 38.1% · max 42.8%2022
Higher than 71% of 192 countriesMiddle Africa median 71.4%
Across the Nexus
Source standing
- Admitted
- 7
- Under legal review
- 5
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 18
23 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 23 indicators and 6 composites: Population with access to electricity; Population relying primarily on clean cooking fuels and technologies; Electricity consumption per capita; Renewable share of total final energy consumption; Primary energy intensity of GDP; Electricity generation-mix concentration; and 17 more.
- Engines
- DC power flow and N-1 screening; an energy-security kernel is still to be built. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, wb-icp, wri-global-power-plant-database, un-comtrade, eurostat-emergency-oil-stocks, wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-b-readyunder legal review: un-energy-statistics-database, imf-bop, us-eia-861, copernicus-era5, usgs-mineral-commodity-summariesprohibited: who-household-energy-databasenot in the register: iea-sdg7-tracking, national-household-surveys, iea-world-energy-balances, irena-renewable-energy-statistics, iea-electricity-information, ember-global-electricity-review, irena-renewable-capacity-statistics, iea-oil-information and 10 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 07 · Partly admitted
Food systems
Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.
23%of people6.5 pts since 2019
2010min 15.6% · max 23%2024
Higher than 90% of 165 countriesMiddle Africa median 24.1%
2,004kg per hectare0.1% since 2019
2010min 1,615 · max 2,1002024
Higher than 35% of 176 countriesMiddle Africa median 990
11.7%of children5.5 pts since 2014
2014min 11.7% · max 17.2%2019
Higher than 36% of 92 countriesMiddle Africa median 31.9%
12.2%of GDP2 pts since 2020
2010min 11.6% · max 15.3%2025
Higher than 68% of 185 countriesMiddle Africa median 12.2%
Across the Nexus
Food Nexus · GCRI Biotechnology and Biosecurity · GRF Climate and Nature Governance.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 14
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 2
23 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 23 indicators and 6 composites: Prevalence of undernourishment; Number of people undernourished; Average dietary energy supply adequacy; Per capita food supply variability; Cereal import dependency ratio; Moderate or severe food insecurity (FIES); and 17 more.
- Engines
- Food energy gap, price anomaly, threshold evidence. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: fao-faostat-fs, fao-sofi, wb-wdi, fao-fies, wb-food-prices-for-nutrition, fao-giews-fpma, fao-faostat-cpi, ilo-ilostat and 6 moreunder legal review: ipc-API, ipc-famine-review-committee, un-national-accounts, noaa-star-vhpnot in the register: cadre-harmonise, fsin-grfc
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 08 · Partly admitted
Health security
Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.
69.9 years2.7% since 2019
2010min 63.9 years · max 69.9 years2024
Higher than 32% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 64 years
13.6per 1,000 births20% since 2019
2010min 13.6 · max 36.22024
Higher than 47% of 193 countriesMiddle Africa median 64.8
5.8%of GDP0.2 pts since 2018
2010min 5.5% · max 8.9%2023
Higher than 44% of 193 countriesMiddle Africa median 3.7%
0.46per 1,000 people44% since 2015
2015min 0.32 · max 0.492022
Higher than 27% of 180 countriesMiddle Africa median 0.17
Across the Nexus
Health Nexus · GCRI Biotechnology and Biosecurity · Health Nexus and Biosecurity Governance · Insurance Nexus.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 4
- Under legal review
- 2
- Prohibited
- 15
- Not in the register
- 8
31 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 31 indicators and 6 composites: Under-five mortality rate; Neonatal mortality rate; Maternal mortality ratio; Life expectancy at birth; Premature mortality from major non-communicable diseases; Tuberculosis incidence; and 25 more.
- Engines
- SEIR, Rt estimation, outbreak detection. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, un-wpp, oecd-health, wb-hnp-statsunder legal review: un-igme, un-mmeigprohibited: who-gho, who-ghe, who-global-tb-programme, who-world-malaria-report, who-nhwa, who-wb-financial-protection, who-ghed, who-unicef-wuenic and 7 morenot in the register: unaids, household-surveys, unicef-who-joint-database, map-accessibility-to-healthcare, openstreetmap, africa-cdc-epidemic-intelligence, unicef-who-wb-jme, smart-surveys
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 09 · Partly admitted
Environment and biodiversity
Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.
57.5%of land0.1 pts since 2019
2010min 57.3% · max 60.4%2024
Higher than 82% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 61.5%
0.2%of territory0 pts since 2020
2013min 0% · max 0.2%2025
Higher than 7% of 193 countriesMiddle Africa median 14.8%
15.1 µg/m³17% since 2018
2010min 12.3 µg/m³ · max 18.7 µg/m³2023
Higher than 40% of 193 countriesMiddle Africa median 35.8 µg/m³
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 5
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 22
22 indicators · 6 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 22 indicators and 6 composites: PM2.5 exposure, population-weighted mean; Population exposed above the WHO PM2.5 guideline, share; Seasonal peak ozone exposure; Land area; Forest area, share of land area; Annual tree cover loss rate; and 16 more.
- Engines
- Nature pressure-overlap screening. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-wdi, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop, fao-faostat-land-use, geoboundaries, fao-fra, fao-fisheries-sofia, wb-what-a-waste, oecd-global-plastics-outlook and 1 moreunder legal review: copernicus-cams, un-sdg-database, copernicus-marine, noaa-oisst, un-habitat-waste-wise-citiesprohibited: who-ambient-air-quality-databasenot in the register: acag-satellite-pm25, state-of-global-air, toar, gfw-umd-tree-cover-loss, unccd-prais, trends-earth, openstreetmap, grip-global-roads and 14 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 10 · Partly admitted
Climate: physical and transition
Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.
0.6 t CO₂e16% since 2019
2010min 0.6 t CO₂e · max 0.8 t CO₂e2024
Higher than 24% of 186 countriesMiddle Africa median 0.6 t CO₂e
0.3 Mt CO₂e0% since 2019
2010min 0.2 Mt CO₂e · max 0.3 Mt CO₂e2024
Higher than 5% of 186 countriesMiddle Africa median 24.6 Mt CO₂e
2%of people
2015min 2% · max 2%2015
Higher than 45% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 1.5%
Source standing
- Admitted
- 10
- Under legal review
- 7
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 24
31 indicators · 8 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 31 indicators and 8 composites: Surface warming since pre-industrial; Change in annual precipitation; Relative sea-level rise rate; Hottest day of the year (TXx); Share of warm days (TX90p); Change in very hot days (35 °C or more); and 25 more.
- Engines
- Return-period shift, bias correction, ensembles, sea level, climate-adjusted default risk. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: fao-faostat-temperature-change, wb-cckp, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop, wb-wdi, wb-changing-wealth-of-nations, un-comtrade, oecd-fossil-fuel-support, ngfs-scenarios and 2 moreunder legal review: copernicus-era5, noaa-globaltemp, copernicus-sea-level, nasa-sea-level-change, nasa-sea-level-projection-tool, imf-fossil-fuel-subsidies, wb-wginot in the register: berkeley-earth, gpcc, cru-ts, psmsl, hadex3, national-met-services, gpcc-full-data-daily, entity-disclosures and 16 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 11 · Partly admitted
Conflict, governance and security
Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.
3.2per 100,000 people2.1% since 2010
2010min 3.2 · max 3.32011
Across the Nexus
GCRI Registry · GCRI Campaigns · GCRI Agency · GRF Diplomacy · Governance Nexus · GRF Information Integrity and Public Trust.
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 4
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 14
39 indicators · 10 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 39 indicators and 10 composites: Reported fatalities from organised political violence; Conflict fatalities per 100,000 population; Battle-related deaths (UCDP); Political violence events; Armed conflict events; Geographic diffusion of conflict; and 33 more.
- Engines
- Conflict kernels in the model registry. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: ucdp-ged, ucdp-battle-related-deaths, wb-wdi, oecd-states-of-fragility, wb-fcs-list, wb-cpia, wb-enterprise-surveys, wb-spi and 1 moreunder legal review: acled, wb-wgi, imf-isora, unsd-census-programmeprohibited: who-surveillance-system-attacks-health-carenot in the register: ghsl-pop, unodc-homicide, sipri-milex, iiss-military-balance, insecurity-insight, landmine-monitor, unmas, iep-global-peace-index and 6 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 12 · Partly admitted
Frontier technology and innovation
Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.
29.3%of manufactured exports17 pts since 2018
2011min 1.4% · max 68.1%2023
Higher than 92% of 164 countriesMiddle Africa median 3.2%
59.1%of people15 pts since 2019
2010min 18.8% · max 59.1%2024
Higher than 26% of 185 countriesMiddle Africa median 46.3%
3per 100 people288% since 2019
2010min 0.3 · max 32024
Higher than 30% of 193 countriesMiddle Africa median 0.4
5448% since 2018
2010min 0 · max 52023
Higher than 5% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 52
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 5
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 26
27 indicators · 10 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 27 indicators and 10 composites: Severe geomagnetic storm days per year; Geoelectric field amplitude at 100-year return period; Strong solar radiation storm days per year; GDP in GNSS-dependent activities, share; Critical services relying on satellites without backup, share; High-voltage grid in high geoelectric hazard zones, share; and 21 more.
- Engines
- Technology series XT-01 to XT-20; the innovation index is planned. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: first-member-directory, unctad-global-cyberlaw-tracker, oecd-stan, unctad-digital-economy, un-desa-egovernment-survey, oecd-msti, wb-wdi, un-comtrade and 1 moreunder legal review: noaa-swpc, usgs-geoelectric-hazard, osm-power-grid, eu-nis2-incident-reporting, un-national-accounts-main-aggregatesprohibited: who-jee-reportsnot in the register: gfz-kp-index, bgs-geoelectric-models, nexus-gic-model, goes-energetic-particles, nexus-gnss-dependence-model, national-accounts-value-added, euspa-market-report, nexus-expert-assessment and 18 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 13 · Partly admitted
Coping capacity and disaster finance
Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.
8.7%of people
2017min 8.7% · max 8.7%2017
Source standing
- Admitted
- 9
- Under legal review
- 1
- Prohibited
- 1
- Not in the register
- 18
18 indicators · 5 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 18 indicators and 5 composites: National DRR strategy aligned with the Sendai Framework; Local governments with DRR strategies aligned to the national strategy; Multi-hazard early warning system score; Multi-hazard monitoring and forecasting systems; People covered by early warning information; Local governments with a plan to act on early warnings; and 12 more.
- Engines
- Capability readiness ladder; disaster-finance readiness dossier. Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wmo-early-warnings-for-all-dashboard, wmo-observing-systems-capability-analysis, wb-gfdrr-drfip-country-profiles, wb-projects-database, wb-treasury-cat-bond-issuances, oecd-global-insurance-statistics, worldpop, oecd-crs-drr-marker and 1 moreunder legal review: undrr-sendai-framework-monitorprohibited: emdatnot in the register: mcr2030-resilience-roadmap, itu-cell-broadcast-deployments, national-civil-protection-reports, national-finance-ministry-publications, arc-annual-reports, ccrif-spc-annual-reports, pcric-annual-reports, seadrif-annual-reports and 10 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
Area 14 · Partly admitted
Society, demography and mobility
Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.
240,25410% since 2020
2010min 181,802 · max 240,2542025
Higher than 10% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 6.5 million
69.2%of people1.1 pts since 2020
2010min 66.1% · max 69.2%2025
Higher than 60% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 64.1%
13%of people5.9 pts since 2010
2010min 13% · max 18.9%2017
40.7index 0–1009.9 pts since 2010
2010min 30.8 · max 40.72017
3.9%of people0.1 pts since 2020
2010min 3.6% · max 3.9%2025
Higher than 25% of 194 countriesMiddle Africa median 3.1%
Source standing
- Admitted
- 11
- Under legal review
- 1
- Prohibited
- 0
- Not in the register
- 12
46 indicators · 11 composites
Indicators, engines and sources
- Appears here
- Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement. For Sao Tome and Principe, with intervals and class probabilities, when the edition releases it.
- Indicators
- 46 indicators and 11 composites: Extreme poverty headcount, USD 3.00 a day (2021 PPP); Poverty headcount, USD 4.20 a day (2021 PPP); Poverty headcount, USD 8.30 a day (2021 PPP); Poverty headcount at the national poverty line; Multidimensional poverty headcount (global MPI); Gini index; and 40 more.
- Engines
- Social and demographic composites (Indicator Standard). Kernels are reference-tested in the Foundry and not yet independently validated.
- Sources
- admitted: wb-pip, wb-wdi, wb-learning-poverty, ilo-ilostat, ilo-world-social-protection-database, wb-aspire, un-wpp, worldpop and 3 moreunder legal review: un-habitat-urban-indicatorsnot in the register: national-statistical-offices, undp-ophi-global-mpi, undp-hdr, unesco-uis, barro-lee, ipu-parline, unicef-mics, national-census and 4 more
- Status
- Some sources are admitted; the others wait for legal review or stay excluded, and the area publishes on what is admitted.
03Innovation
The innovation index (planned)
Capacity, not only risk: research, patents, talent, compute, digital infrastructure and capital for Sao Tome and Principe. These indicators are not in Indicator Standard yet; each needs its source admitted before it appears.
- R&D expenditure, share of GDP
- unesco-uis · not in the register
- Researchers per million people
- unesco-uis · not in the register
- Patent applications by residents
- wipo · not in the register
- High-technology exports, share of manufactured exports
- un-comtrade · admitted
- Fixed and mobile broadband subscriptions
- itu · not in the register
- Data-centre and compute capacity
- national-registers · not in the register
- Venture capital investment, share of GDP
- oecd · admitted
- AI adoption in firms and government
- oecd · admitted
- STEM graduates, share of graduates
- unesco-uis · not in the register
- E-government development
- un · under legal review
- Scientific publications and citations
- openalex · under legal review
- Critical-minerals processing capacity
- national-registers · not in the register
04Pillars
How the domains combine
HTE
Hazard and threat exposure
5 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
Method
VULHuman and systems vulnerability
8 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
Method
MSFMacro-financial and structural fragility
5 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
Method
LCCLack of coping and adaptive capacity
2 domain indices, combined by geometric mean with intervals propagated.
Method
05Global
Each index across all countries
- FISFiscal and public debt risk index
- FINFinancial stability risk index
- ECOExternal dependence risk index
- CLIClimate physical hazard index
- CLIClimate transition exposure index
- HAZMulti-hazard exposure index
- ENVEnvironmental pressure index
- WATWater security risk index
- SPCSpace-weather exposure index
- HLTHealth security risk index
- FOOFood insecurity risk index
- SOCSocio-economic vulnerability index
- DEMDisplacement pressure index
- CONConflict risk index
- GOVGovernance weakness index
- ENEEnergy security risk index
- INFInfrastructure fragility index
- CYBCyber risk index
- TECTechnology concentration risk index
- CRSLack of coping capacity index
Status
The methodology, structure and definitions of The Global Risks Index are a preparatory working draft (2026), circulated for review and comment and not for implementation. No value appears until an edition is released from a governed evidence cut; values then carry intervals, classes, sources and their correction pathway. Simulators run the published methods on numbers you choose and never show a NXS-GRX value.
A country profile reads public evidence about a place. It is not a statement by or about the policy of any government, takes no position on the status of any territory, and does not imply a national programme or participation. Names follow UN M49.
What NXS-GRX is not
NXS-GRX is research and risk-analytics information. It is not a credit or ESG rating and uses no rating scale, not a benchmark for financial instruments, not official statistics, not an emergency warning or official classification, and not advice. It must not be used to evaluate natural persons. Risk classes are bands on a published scale, never rankings of countries or people.
Pulse signals and outlook probabilities are information for review by competent authorities, never public warnings; official warnings come only from mandated authorities.
Institutions and sources
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Every value carries the attribution of its sources, which keep their own licences. External names are cited for interoperability only. Nexus-authored text is intended for CC BY 4.0 on release.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.