Rischi catastrofici globali e rischi di coda
Rischi a bassa probabilità e alto impatto e rischi catastrofici globali: meteorologia spaziale estrema, supereruzioni, pandemie artificiali e naturali, modalità di guasto nucleari e delle tecnologie di frontiera, collassi composti.
1
Esposizione alla meteorologia spaziale
156
5 index domains
56
Space and near-Earth · Solid Earth · Health and biosecurity.
100
Catastrophe risk · Networks, dependency and systemic risk.
Scope and questions
The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.
- Which tail risks deserve standing monitoring?
- How do tail events couple into systemic collapse?
- Which countries carry the largest share of tail exposure?
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
How the Global catastrophic and tail risk index is built
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Esposizione alla meteorologia spazialeDomain index · IDX · SPC0–10 index of space-weather exposure as the product of the space-weather hazard and space-service dependence sub-indices; mostly modelled and expert inputs, so its grade is capped.
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Global catastrophic and tail risk indexSeries index · SERIES · SR-14Rischi a bassa probabilità e alto impatto e rischi catastrofici globali: meteorologia spaziale estrema, supereruzioni, pandemie artificiali e naturali, modalità di guasto nucleari e delle tecnologie di frontiera, collassi composti.
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Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
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Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
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Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Domain indices in this series
| Indice | Valore | Variazione | Variazione % | Intervallo al 90% | Classe · probabilità | Tendenza | Intervallo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Esposizione alla meteorologia spazialeNXS-GRX · SPC |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Space environment, Hazard and exposure, Health, Technology and frontier, Conflict and security.
156 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
| Indicatore | Dominio | Sub-domain | Componente | Unità | Livelli | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Costo fiscale annuo atteso dei disastri, quota del PILIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Divario di protezione dalle catastrofi naturaliIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | vulnerability | % |
REGION, COUNTRY | |
Prestiti bancari esposti a un elevato rischio fisico climaticoIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Dipendenza netta dalle importazioni di minerali criticiIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Commercio marittimo esposto ai colli di bottiglia marittimiIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Variazione dei giorni molto caldi (35 °C o più)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | exposure | % |
SITE, PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(c) |
Innalzamento relativo previsto del livello del mareIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise |
CLI | Scenario projections | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
Popolazione al di sotto del futuro livello di piena costiera con periodo di ritorno di 100 anni, quotaIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share |
CLI | Scenario projections | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
Popolazione esposta a due o più pericoli maggiori, quotaIND.HAZ.multi.multi_hazard_exposure.share |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | INFORM HA.NAT |
Perdita media annua multi-pericolo, quota del PILIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Perdita media annua multi-pericolo, quota dello stock di capitale prodottoIND.HAZ.multi.aal.capital_stock |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Perdita massima probabile con periodo di ritorno di 250 anni, quota del PILIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
Accelerazione di picco al suolo con periodo di ritorno di 475 anniIND.HAZ.seismic.pga_rp475 |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | hazard | [g] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0101 INFORM HA.NAT.EQ |
Persone esposte a forti scuotimenti sismici, media annuaIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | INFORM EX_EQ_MMI8 |
Persone esposte a forti scuotimenti sismici, quota della popolazioneIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Perdita media annua da terremoti, quota del PILIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Popolazione entro 30 km da un vulcano olocenicoIND.HAZ.seismic.volcano_population_30km |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0203 |
Probabilità di ricaduta dannosa di cenere vulcanica in 100 anniIND.HAZ.seismic.ash_fall_probability |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0202 EMDAT nat-geo-vol-ash |
Livello estremo del mare in acqua calma con periodo di ritorno di 100 anniIND.HAZ.coastal.extreme_sea_level_rp100 |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0703 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sur |
Popolazione nella pianura alluvionale costiera con periodo di ritorno di 100 anni, quotaIND.HAZ.coastal.coastal_flood_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_CFL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0601 |
Popolazione al di sotto dei 5 m di quota, quotaIND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS |
Altezza massima di inondazione da tsunami con periodo di ritorno di 500 anniIND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_inundation_rp500 |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | hazard | m |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0705 INFORM HA.NAT.TS |
Popolazione esposta a tsunami, quotaIND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Coastal and sea level | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_TS EMDAT nat-geo-ear-tsu |
Fluvial flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.river_flood_depth_rp100 |
HAZ | Flood | hazard | m |
ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0604 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-riv |
Pluvial and flash flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.pluvial_flood_depth_rp100 |
HAZ | Flood | hazard | m |
ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0603 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0606 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-fla |
Persone esposte a piene fluviali, media annuaIND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed |
HAZ | Flood | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | INFORM EX_FL INFORM HA.NAT.FL |
Persone esposte a piene fluviali, quota della popolazioneIND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Flood | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | |
Standard di progetto della protezione dalle alluvioniIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard |
HAZ | Flood | coping capacity | a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE | |
Perdita media annua da piene fluviali, quota del PILIND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Flood | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Velocità del vento dei cicloni tropicali con periodo di ritorno di 100 anniIND.HAZ.storm.tc_wind_rp100 |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | m/s |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0309 INFORM HA.NAT.TC |
Probabilità annua di venti ciclonici di categoria 1 o superioreIND.HAZ.storm.tc_cat1_probability |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE | |
Persone esposte a venti ciclonici di categoria 1, media annuaIND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | INFORM EX_TC_SS1 |
Persone esposte a venti ciclonici di categoria 1, quota della popolazioneIND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Perdita media annua da cicloni tropicali, quota del PILIND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
Giorni di grandine di grandi dimensioni all'annoIND.HAZ.storm.large_hail_days |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID, SITE | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0404 EMDAT nat-met-sto-hai |
Giorni con condizioni favorevoli a forti temporaliIND.HAZ.storm.severe_convective_days |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0103 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sev |
Frequenza della siccità meteorologica graveIND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency |
HAZ | Siccità | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR |
Frequenza dello stress da siccità agricolaIND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency |
HAZ | Siccità | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | INFORM ASI |
Persone colpite dalla siccità, quota media annuaIND.HAZ.drought.drought_affected.share |
HAZ | Siccità | impact | % |
COUNTRY | INFORM AFF_DR EMDAT nat-cli-dro-dro |
Giorni di caldo umido pericoloso all'annoIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days |
HAZ | Extreme heat | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501 |
Eventi di esposizione alle ondate di calore per personaIND.HAZ.heat.heatwave_person_days |
HAZ | Extreme heat | exposure | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Popolazione esposta al caldo estremo, quotaIND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.share |
HAZ | Extreme heat | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Giorni con condizioni meteorologiche estreme per gli incendi all'annoIND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days |
HAZ | Incendio boschivo | hazard | d/a |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
Superficie bruciata annua, quota della superficie terrestreIND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share |
HAZ | Incendio boschivo | hazard | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil |
Popolazione nell'interfaccia urbano-foresta, quotaIND.HAZ.wildfire.wui_population.share |
HAZ | Incendio boschivo | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Popolazione in zone ad alta suscettibilità alle frane, quotaIND.HAZ.landslide.landslide_susceptible_population.share |
HAZ | Landslide | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0300 |
Decessi per frane per 100,000 abitanti, media annuaIND.HAZ.landslide.fatal_landslide_rate |
HAZ | Landslide | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT nat-hyd-mmw-lan |
Popolazione vicina a siti industriali a pericolo di incidente rilevante, quotaIND.HAZ.technological.major_hazard_site_population.share |
HAZ | Tecnologico | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0304 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0309 |
Popolazione entro 30 km da un reattore nucleare in funzioneIND.HAZ.technological.nuclear_population_30km |
HAZ | Tecnologico | exposure | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0208 |
Decessi per incidenti industriali per 100,000 abitanti, media annuaIND.HAZ.technological.industrial_accident_deaths |
HAZ | Tecnologico | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | EMDAT tec-ind-ind-ind |
Superficie edificataIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area |
HAZ | Esposizione | context | km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Stock di capitale prodottoIND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stock |
HAZ | Esposizione | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
Area edificata in zone ad alto pericoloIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed |
HAZ | Esposizione | exposure | km2 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Area edificata in zone ad alto pericolo, quotaIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed.share |
HAZ | Esposizione | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY | |
PIL generato in zone ad alto pericolo, quotaIND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.share |
HAZ | Esposizione | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Morti e dispersi per disastri per 100,000 abitantiIND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
Persone direttamente colpite da disastri per 100,000 abitantiIND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1 |
Perdita economica diretta da disastri, quota del PILIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2 |
Morti per disastri registrati per 100,000 abitanti, media su 30 anniIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_deaths |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT Total Deaths |
Persone colpite da disastri registrati per 100,000 abitanti, media su 30 anniIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_affected |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | EMDAT Total Affected |
Danni da disastri registrati, quota del PIL, media su 30 anniIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY | EMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$) |
Esposizione al PM2.5, media ponderata per la popolazioneIND.ENV.air.pm25_exposure |
ENV | Qualità dell'aria | hazard | ug/m3 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD |
Popolazione esposta oltre il valore guida OMS per il PM2.5, quotaIND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.share |
ENV | Qualità dell'aria | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS |
Esposizione stagionale ai picchi di ozonoIND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure |
ENV | Qualità dell'aria | hazard | [ppb] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID | |
Popolazione che utilizza acqua potabile gestita in modo sicuroIND.WAT.access.safely_managed_drinking_water.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | SDG 6.1.1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS EPI UWD |
Popolazione che utilizza almeno acqua potabile di baseIND.WAT.access.basic_drinking_water.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.H2O.BASW.ZS |
Popolazione che utilizza servizi igienico-sanitari gestiti in modo sicuroIND.WAT.access.safely_managed_sanitation.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI SH.STA.SMSS.ZS SDG 6.2.1 EPI USD |
Popolazione con strutture di base per il lavaggio delle maniIND.WAT.access.basic_handwashing.share |
WAT | Drinking water and sanitation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.STA.HYGN.ZS SDG 6.2.1 |
Indice di dipendenza da acque rinnovabili esterneIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency |
WAT | Transboundary dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Severe geomagnetic storm days per yearIND.SPC.weather.severe_geomagnetic_storm_days |
SPC | Meteorologia spaziale | hazard | d/a |
GLOBAL | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0101 EMDAT nat-ext-spa-geo |
Ampiezza del campo geoelettrico con periodo di ritorno di 100 anniIND.SPC.weather.geoelectric_field_rp100 |
SPC | Meteorologia spaziale | hazard | V/km |
COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID | |
Strong solar radiation storm days per yearIND.SPC.weather.radiation_storm_days |
SPC | Meteorologia spaziale | hazard | d/a |
GLOBAL | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0104 EMDAT nat-ext-spa-ene |
PIL in attività dipendenti dai GNSS, quotaIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102 |
Servizi critici che dipendono da satelliti senza sistemi di riserva, quotaIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Rete ad alta tensione in zone ad alto pericolo geoelettrico, quotaIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
Tasso di mortalità sotto i cinque anniIND.HLT.burden.under5_mortality |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.DYN.MORT SDG 3.2.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000007 |
Tasso di mortalità neonataleIND.HLT.burden.neonatal_mortality |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.DYN.NMRT SDG 3.2.2 |
Rapporto di mortalità maternaIND.HLT.burden.maternal_mortality |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.MMRT SDG 3.1.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000026 |
Speranza di vita alla nascitaIND.HLT.burden.life_expectancy |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.DYN.LE00.IN WHO_GHO WHOSIS_000001 |
Mortalità prematura per le principali malattie non trasmissibiliIND.HLT.burden.ncd_premature_mortality |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.DYN.NCOM.ZS SDG 3.4.1 WHO_GHO NCDMORT3070 |
Incidenza della tubercolosiIND.HLT.burden.tb_incidence |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.TBS.INCD SDG 3.3.2 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000020 |
Incidenza della malariaIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA |
Incidenza dell'HIVIND.HLT.burden.hiv_incidence |
HLT | Disease burden and mortality | hazard | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.TL.P3 SDG 3.3.1 WHO_GHO SDGHIV WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.ZS |
Medici per 1,000 abitantiIND.HLT.system.physician_density |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MED.PHYS.ZS WHO_GHO HWF_0001 SDG 3.c.1 |
Infermieri e ostetriche per 1,000 abitantiIND.HLT.system.nurse_midwife_density |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MED.NUMW.P3 WHO_GHO HWF_0006 SDG 3.c.1 |
Posti letto ospedalieri per 1,000 abitantiIND.HLT.system.hospital_beds |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | /10*3 |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.MED.BEDS.ZS WHO_GHO WHS6_102 |
Indice di copertura dei servizi UHCIND.HLT.system.uhc_service_coverage |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SDG 3.8.1 WHO_GHO UHC_INDEX_REPORTED WB_WDI SH.UHC.SRVS.CV.XD |
Popolazione con spese sanitarie catastrofiche a proprio caricoIND.HLT.system.catastrophic_oop |
HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 3.8.2 WB_WDI SH.UHC.OOPC.10.ZS |
Spesa sanitaria a carico dei pazienti, quota della spesa sanitaria correnteIND.HLT.system.oop_share |
HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.XPD.OOPC.CH.ZS WHO_GHO GHED_OOPSCHE_SHA2011 |
Spesa sanitaria corrente, quota del PILIND.HLT.system.health_expenditure.gdp |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS |
Copertura vaccinale DTP3IND.HLT.system.dtp3_coverage |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WHO_GHO WHS4_100 WB_WDI SH.IMM.IDPT SDG 3.b.1 |
Copertura vaccinale con la seconda dose contro il morbilloIND.HLT.system.mcv2_coverage |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WHO_GHO MCV2 WB_WDI SH.IMM.MEA2 SDG 3.b.1 |
Parti assistiti da personale sanitario qualificatoIND.HLT.system.skilled_birth_attendance |
HLT | Health system capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.BRTC.ZS SDG 3.1.2 |
Tempo di percorrenza fino alla struttura sanitaria più vicinaIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time |
HLT | Health system capacity | vulnerability | min |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Punteggio delle capacità fondamentali RSI (SPAR)IND.HLT.security.spar_capacity |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SDG 3.d.1 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2021 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2018 |
Capacità di laboratorio RSI (SPAR C4)IND.HLT.security.spar_laboratory |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SPAR C4 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C04 JEE D1 |
Capacità di sorveglianza RSI (SPAR C5)IND.HLT.security.spar_surveillance |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SPAR C5 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C05 JEE D2 |
Capacità di gestione delle emergenze sanitarie RSI (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1 |
Capacità di comunicazione del rischio RSI (SPAR C10)IND.HLT.security.spar_risk_communication |
HLT | Health security (IHR) | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | SPAR C10 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C10 JEE R5 |
Frequenza degli eventi epidemiciIND.HLT.epidemic.outbreak_event_frequency |
HLT | Epidemic and outbreak | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | |
Casi di colera segnalati, per 100,000 abitantiIND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k |
HLT | Epidemic and outbreak | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | WHO_GHO CHOLERA_0000000001 |
Infezioni del circolo sanguigno da MRSAIND.HLT.amr.mrsa_bloodstream |
HLT | Antimicrobial resistance | hazard | % |
COUNTRY | WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_MRSA SDG 3.d.2 |
Infezioni del circolo sanguigno da E. coli resistente alle cefalosporine di terza generazioneIND.HLT.amr.ecoli_3gc_bloodstream |
HLT | Antimicrobial resistance | hazard | % |
COUNTRY | WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_ECOLI SDG 3.d.2 |
Ritardo della crescita nei bambini sotto i cinque anniIND.HLT.nutrition.stunting |
HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.STA.STNT.ME.ZS SDG 2.2.1 WHO_GHO NUTSTUNTINGPREV FAO_FAOSTAT 21025 |
Deperimento nei bambini sotto i cinque anniIND.HLT.nutrition.wasting |
HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | WB_WDI SH.STA.WAST.ZS SDG 2.2.2 WHO_GHO NUTRITION_WH_2 FAO_FAOSTAT 21026 |
Anemia nelle donne in età riproduttivaIND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women |
HLT | Nutrition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SH.ANM.ALLW.ZS WHO_GHO NUTRITION_ANAEMIA_REPRODUCTIVEAGE_PREV SDG 2.2.3 FAO_FAOSTAT 21043 |
Giovani che non studiano, non lavorano e non seguono una formazioneIND.SOC.protection.youth_neet |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT |
Popolazione di 65 anni e oltre, quota del totaleIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus |
DEM | Age structure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS |
Rifugiati per paese di origineIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR |
Rifugiati per paese di origine, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | SDG 10.7.4 |
Sfollati interni, conflitti e violenza (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP |
Sfollati interni, disastri (stock)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_total_displacement |
Sfollati interni, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, conflitti e violenzaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, disastriIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS |
Nuovi sfollamenti interni, per 100,000 abitantiIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k |
DEM | Forced displacement | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY | |
Vittime segnalate della violenza politica organizzataIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED fatalities |
Vittime dei conflitti per 100,000 abitantiIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 | SDG 16.1.2 |
Morti in combattimento (UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | {persons} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH |
Eventi di violenza politicaIND.CON.violence.political_violence_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Political violence |
Eventi di conflitto armatoIND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence |
Diffusione geografica del conflittoIND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion |
CON | Organised violence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | ACLED Diffusion |
Frammentazione degli attori armatiIND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY | ACLED Fragmentation |
Tasso di omicidi volontariIND.CON.violence.homicide_rate |
CON | Organised violence | hazard | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1 |
Spesa militare, quota del PILIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS |
Personale delle forze armate, quota della forza lavoroIND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS |
Eventi rivolti contro i civiliIND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events |
CON | Civilian harm | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID | ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians |
Vittime civili di violenza mirata, per 100,000 abitantiIND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | /10*5 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | ACLED Danger |
Attacchi contro l'assistenza sanitariaIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Vittime di mine terrestri e residuati bellici esplosiviIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties |
CON | Civilian harm | impact | {persons} |
COUNTRY | |
Rivolte e manifestazioni violenteIND.CON.peace.riot_events |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ACLED Riots |
Punteggio complessivo del Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score |
CON | Peacefulness | vulnerability | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Overall Score |
Punteggio del dominio conflitti in corso del Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict |
CON | Peacefulness | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY | GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict |
Classificazione OCSE degli Stati di fragilitàIND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {class} |
COUNTRY | OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts |
Status di situazione fragile e colpita da conflitti della Banca mondialeIND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status |
CON | Fragility | vulnerability | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
Stabilità politica e assenza di violenza (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability |
GOV | Governance quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST |
Popolazione che utilizza principalmente combustibili e tecnologie pulite per cucinareIND.ENE.access.clean_cooking |
ENE | Accesso | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS |
Concentrazione dei fornitori di minerali critici importatiIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration |
ENE | Critical minerals | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Rete stradale e ferroviaria in zone ad alto pericolo, quotaIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share |
INF | Transport | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Strutture critiche con alimentazione di riserva per 72 oreIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power |
INF | Utilities | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019 |
Infrastrutture di approvvigionamento idrico in zone ad alto pericolo, quotaIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Impianti di generazione e rete elettrica in zone ad alto pericolo, quotaIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Strutture salvavita in zone ad alto pericolo, quotaIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share |
INF | Utilities | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID | |
Unità di infrastrutture critiche danneggiate o distrutte da disastriIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage |
INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2 |
Strutture sanitarie danneggiate o distrutte da disastriIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged |
INF | Service disruption | impact | 1 |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI D-2 |
Perdita economica diretta alle infrastrutture critiche, quota del PILIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp |
INF | Service disruption | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-5 |
Spesa interna lorda in R&S, quota del PILIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS |
Ricercatori per milione di abitantiIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | /10*6 |
COUNTRY | SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6 |
Esportazioni ad alta tecnologia, quota delle esportazioni manifatturiereIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1 |
Concentrazione dei fornitori di semiconduttori importatiIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration |
TEC | Concentration and dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Concentrazione dei fornitori di infrastrutture cloudIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration |
TEC | Concentration and dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Capacità di calcolo per l'IA sotto controllo estero o di un unico fornitoreIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control |
TEC | Intelligenza artificiale | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Concentrazione dei fornitori di modelli di baseIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration |
TEC | Intelligenza artificiale | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Supervisione di biosicurezza dei laboratori ad alto contenimentoIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight |
TEC | Biotecnologie | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
Popolazione entro 15 minuti dai servizi di emergenzaIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018 |
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
| Famiglia | Dominio | Pericoli | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solar-terrestrial storms | Spazio e ambiente circumterrestre | Geomagnetic storm, Solar flare radio blackout, Solar radiation storm, Ionospheric disturbance, Geomagnetically induced current, Satellite space-environment anomaly, Thermospheric drag surge, Radiation-belt electron enhancement … | 9 |
| Impacts and orbital hazards | Spazio e ambiente circumterrestre | Near-Earth object approach, Meteorite impact, Airburst, Space debris, Orbital collision cascade, Uncontrolled re-entry, Spaceflight accident, Meteoroid stream encounter | 8 |
| Fault shaking and rupture | Terra solida | Earthquake, Induced earthquake, Aftershock sequence, Fault surface rupture, Soil liquefaction, Ground fissure, Earthquake swarm | 7 |
| Eruption products and unrest | Terra solida | Volcanic unrest, Lava flow, Volcanic ash fall, Volcanic ash cloud, Volcanic ballistic projectiles, Pyroclastic flow, Lahar, Volcanic gas and aerosol emission … | 12 |
| Slope failure and mass movement | Terra solida | Rockfall, Topple, Slope slide, Lateral spread, Debris flow, Earthflow and mudflow, Rock avalanche, Submarine landslide … | 9 |
| Ground deformation and subsidence | Terra solida | Land subsidence, Crustal uplift, Sinkhole, Shrink-swell soil movement, Soft-soil settlement, Ground gas seepage, Mining-induced subsidence | 7 |
| Erosion and sediment movement | Terra solida | Soil erosion, River bank erosion, Coastal erosion, Dune encroachment, Reservoir and channel siltation, River avulsion, Delta sediment starvation | 7 |
| Seabed and deep-sea hazards | Terra solida | Turbidity current, Submarine volcanic eruption, Seabed gas escape, Pumice raft, Deep-sea mining disturbance | 5 |
| Airborne and respiratory infection | Salute e biosicurezza | Respiratory pandemic, Seasonal influenza epidemic, Zoonotic influenza spillover, Coronavirus outbreak, Tuberculosis surge, Bacterial meningitis outbreak | 6 |
| Vaccine-preventable outbreaks | Salute e biosicurezza | Measles outbreak, Polio outbreak, Diphtheria and whooping cough outbreak, Other vaccine-preventable outbreak | 4 |
| Faecal-oral and foodborne infection | Salute e biosicurezza | Cholera outbreak, Typhoid and paratyphoid fever, Shigellosis and dysentery outbreak, Viral diarrhoea outbreak, Faecal-oral hepatitis outbreak, Foodborne illness outbreak, Waterborne disease outbreak | 7 |
| Vector-borne infection | Salute e biosicurezza | Dengue epidemic, Chikungunya and Zika outbreak, Yellow fever outbreak, West Nile and Culex-borne virus outbreak, Malaria resurgence, Plague outbreak, Trypanosomiasis outbreak, Tick-borne disease surge … | 10 |
| Haemorrhagic fever | Salute e biosicurezza | Ebola and Marburg outbreak, Lassa fever outbreak, Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever outbreak | 3 |
| Blood-borne and sexually transmitted infection | Salute e biosicurezza | HIV epidemic, Chronic viral hepatitis B and C burden, Sexually transmitted infection resurgence | 3 |
| Animal-to-human spillover | Salute e biosicurezza | Zoonotic spillover event, Anthrax outbreak, Brucellosis outbreak, Rabies outbreak, Leptospirosis outbreak, Mpox outbreak, Rift Valley fever outbreak, Nipah and henipavirus outbreak | 8 |
| Rare and persistent human infections | Salute e biosicurezza | Prion disease cluster, Smallpox reintroduction | 2 |
| Livestock and aquaculture epizootics | Salute e biosicurezza | Swine fever epizootic, Foot-and-mouth epizootic, Ruminant respiratory epizootic, Vector-borne livestock disease, Poultry epizootic, Screwworm infestation, Aquaculture disease outbreak, Livestock disease outbreak | 8 |
| Plant disease and pests | Salute e biosicurezza | Bacterial and fungal crop disease, Plant virus epidemic, Crop insect pest outbreak, Locust swarm, Invasive species spread | 5 |
| Systemic biological risks | Salute e biosicurezza | Antimicrobial resistance, Deliberate or accidental biological-agent release | 2 |
| Environmental and product harm to people | Salute e biosicurezza | Snakebite envenoming, Substandard and falsified medicines, Adulterated alcohol poisoning, Overdose epidemic | 4 |
| Climate-sensitive illness | Salute e biosicurezza | Heat-related illness surge, Cold-related illness surge, Disease vector range expansion, Aeroallergen season intensification, Warm-water bacterial infection | 5 |
| Drug and insecticide resistance by pathogen class | Salute e biosicurezza | Multidrug-resistant bacterial infection spread, Antiviral drug resistance, Antimalarial and antiparasitic drug resistance, Antifungal drug resistance, Insecticide resistance in disease vectors, Antimicrobial development and supply failure | 6 |
| Emerging and unknown infection threats | Salute e biosicurezza | Unknown future pathogen emergence, Emerging fungal pathogen, Endemic fungal disease range expansion, Healthcare-associated infection outbreak, Undiagnosed illness cluster | 5 |
| Maternal, newborn and child health emergencies | Salute e biosicurezza | Maternal mortality rise, Newborn mortality surge, Preterm and low birthweight birth rise, Childhood immunisation coverage collapse, Infant feeding disruption, Reproductive health service disruption | 6 |
| Mental health crises | Salute e biosicurezza | Population mental distress surge, Post-disaster traumatic stress, Suicide rate rise, Youth mental health crisis, Climate-related psychological distress, Social isolation and loneliness epidemic, Mass psychogenic illness outbreak, Gambling harm surge | 8 |
| Noncommunicable disease surges | Salute e biosicurezza | Cardiovascular disease surge, Diabetes epidemic, Obesity epidemic, Cancer burden rise, Chronic respiratory disease burden, Chronic kidney disease surge, Dementia burden growth, Post-infection chronic illness … | 11 |
| Malnutrition and micronutrient deficiency | Salute e biosicurezza | Acute malnutrition surge, Chronic undernutrition and stunting, Micronutrient deficiency, Nutritional deficiency disease outbreak, Unhealthy diet transition, Crop nutrient decline | 6 |
| Occupational disease and injury | Salute e biosicurezza | Occupational lung disease, Occupational heat strain, Occupational cancer, Occupational chemical poisoning, Workplace injury burden, Work-related psychosocial harm | 6 |
| Health system capacity failure | Salute e biosicurezza | Health workforce shortage, Health worker industrial action, Health financing collapse, Catastrophic out-of-pocket health spending, Vaccine confidence collapse, Essential health service disruption, Disease surveillance failure, Health facility loss of function … | 9 |
| AI system failure and misalignment | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … | 11 |
| AI security and model supply chain | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning | 7 |
| AI misuse and capability uplift | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI | 8 |
| Agentic AI acting at scale | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach | 6 |
| Algorithmic decision and structural harm | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … | 12 |
| Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … | 10 |
| Biotecnologie e biologia sintetica | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … | 10 |
| Nanotechnology and advanced materials | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race | 5 |
| Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception | 7 |
| Quantum technology and cryptographic transition | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment | 4 |
| Tecnologie di intervento climatico | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … | 11 |
| Space technology and orbital infrastructure | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples | 7 |
| Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure | 3 |
| Advanced and distributed manufacturing | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure | 3 |
| Energy-transition technology failures | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration | 4 |
| Distributed ledgers and digital assets | Tecnologie di frontiera ed esponenziali | Smart-contract and oracle exploit | 1 |
| Supply-chain and flow disruption | Eventi sistemici e composti | Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … | 17 |
| Cascading failure | Eventi sistemici e composti | Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … | 10 |
| Compound and multi-hazard events | Eventi sistemici e composti | Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … | 9 |
| Structural fragility of interconnected systems | Eventi sistemici e composti | Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … | 11 |
| Planetary boundary transgressions | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | Climate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance … | 14 |
| Ice tipping elements | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | Greenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction | 6 |
| Ocean circulation and marine tipping | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | Atlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation | 7 |
| Biome tipping elements | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | Amazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift | 5 |
| Carbon-cycle feedbacks | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | Permafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback | 7 |
| Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tipping | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | South Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup … | 9 |
| Deep-time and cosmic catastrophes | Confini planetari e punti di non ritorno del sistema Terra | Supereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova … | 10 |
The severe end of the distribution
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
Rischio catastrofale
Stochastic Event Catalogue · Historical Event Catalogue · Event Footprint · Secondary Uncertainty · Loss Amplification · Financial Terms · Event Loss Table …
Reti, dipendenza e rischio sistemico
Dependency Graph · Centrality · Critical Node · Cascading Failure · Contagion · Percolation · Interdependency …
Cyber, IA e tecnologie di frontiera
Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …
Who uses it
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools
Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.
Universities and research
Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.
UN system and humanitarian organisations
Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.
Nexus Reports
- Edition code
SR-14- Edition status
- prevista
- Oggetto
- Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning
Cita e riutilizza
- Series key
grix:SER.SR-14:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.SPC.weather.space_weather_exposure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Every country reads this series
Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.
Stato
La metodologia, la struttura e le definizioni di The Global Risks Index sono una bozza di lavoro preparatoria (2026), diffusa per esame e commenti e non destinata all’attuazione. Nessun valore compare finché un’edizione non viene pubblicata a partire da un taglio di evidenze regolamentato; i valori riporteranno allora intervalli, classi, fonti e il relativo percorso di correzione. I simulatori applicano i metodi pubblicati ai numeri che scegli e non mostrano mai un valore NXS-GRX.
Che cosa non è NXS-GRX
NXS-GRX è un'informazione di ricerca e di analisi del rischio. Non è un rating creditizio o ESG e non usa alcuna scala di rating, non è un indice di riferimento per strumenti finanziari, non è una statistica ufficiale, non è un allerta di emergenza né una classificazione ufficiale e non è una consulenza. Non deve essere usato per valutare persone fisiche. Le classi di rischio sono fasce su una scala pubblicata, mai graduatorie di paesi o persone.
Istituzioni e fonti
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
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La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.