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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · SR-14 · Strategic systems series

Risiko katastrofik global dan risiko ekor

Risiko berprobabilitas rendah dan berdampak tinggi serta risiko bencana global: cuaca antariksa ekstrem, supererupsi, pandemi rekayasa dan alami, mode kegagalan nuklir dan teknologi mutakhir, keruntuhan majemuk.

Konstruksi Indikator Ekor
Page GRX-SER-SR-14Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports SR-14 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

1

Keterpaparan cuaca antariksa

Indikator

156

5 index domains

Hazard families

56

Space and near-Earth · Solid Earth · Health and biosecurity.

Metode

100

Catastrophe risk · Networks, dependency and systemic risk.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
indeks ranah
156
indicators in scope
6
ranah bahaya
4
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Which tail risks deserve standing monitoring?
  2. How do tail events couple into systemic collapse?
  3. Which countries carry the largest share of tail exposure?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Global catastrophic and tail risk index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Keterpaparan cuaca antariksa

    Domain index · IDX · SPC
    0–10 index of space-weather exposure as the product of the space-weather hazard and space-service dependence sub-indices; mostly modelled and expert inputs, so its grade is capped.
  2. Global catastrophic and tail risk index

    Series index · SERIES · SR-14
    Risiko berprobabilitas rendah dan berdampak tinggi serta risiko bencana global: cuaca antariksa ekstrem, supererupsi, pandemi rekayasa dan alami, mode kegagalan nuklir dan teknologi mutakhir, keruntuhan majemuk.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · SR-14 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Global catastrophic and tail risk index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Keterpaparan cuaca antariksaNXS-GRX · SPC – – – – –

Domains read: Space environment, Hazard and exposure, Health, Technology and frontier, Conflict and security.

04Indikator

156 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
HAZ · 53HLT · 31CON · 19TEC · 8SPC · 6
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Perkiraan biaya fiskal tahunan akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp FIS Kewajiban kontinjensi vulnerability % COUNTRY
Kesenjangan perlindungan bencana alamIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap FIN Non-bank financial intermediation vulnerability % REGION, COUNTRY
Kredit bank yang terpapar risiko iklim fisik tinggiIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Ketergantungan impor neto untuk mineral kritisIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Perdagangan laut yang terpapar titik sempit maritimIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Perubahan jumlah hari sangat panas (35 °C atau lebih)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Acute climate extremes keterpaparan % SITE, PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(c)
Proyeksi kenaikan muka laut relatifIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise CLI Scenario projections hazard m COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Penduduk di bawah tingkat banjir pesisir 100 tahunan di masa depan, porsiIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share CLI Scenario projections keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Penduduk yang terpapar dua bahaya besar atau lebih, porsiIND.HAZ.multi.multi_hazard_exposure.share HAZ Multi-hazard keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID INFORM HA.NAT
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan multibahaya, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan multibahaya, porsi terhadap stok modal terbangunIND.HAZ.multi.aal.capital_stock HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Kerugian maksimum yang mungkin pada periode ulang 250 tahun, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Percepatan tanah puncak pada periode ulang 475 tahunIND.HAZ.seismic.pga_rp475 HAZ Seismic and volcanic hazard [g] COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0101 INFORM HA.NAT.EQ
Penduduk yang terpapar guncangan gempa kuat, rata-rata tahunanIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed HAZ Seismic and volcanic keterpaparan {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID INFORM EX_EQ_MMI8
Penduduk yang terpapar guncangan gempa kuat, porsi terhadap populasiIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_population_exposed.share HAZ Seismic and volcanic keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan akibat gempa bumi, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdp HAZ Seismic and volcanic impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Penduduk dalam radius 30 km dari gunung api HolosenIND.HAZ.seismic.volcano_population_30km HAZ Seismic and volcanic keterpaparan {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0203
Probabilitas hujan abu vulkanik yang merusak dalam 100 tahunIND.HAZ.seismic.ash_fall_probability HAZ Seismic and volcanic hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0202 EMDAT nat-geo-vol-ash
Muka air laut tenang ekstrem pada periode ulang 100 tahunIND.HAZ.coastal.extreme_sea_level_rp100 HAZ Coastal and sea level hazard m COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0703 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sur
Penduduk di dataran banjir pesisir 100 tahunan, porsiIND.HAZ.coastal.coastal_flood_population_exposed.share HAZ Coastal and sea level keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY INFORM EX_CFL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0601
Penduduk di bawah ketinggian 5 m, porsiIND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share HAZ Coastal and sea level keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Tinggi genangan maksimum tsunami pada periode ulang 500 tahunIND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_inundation_rp500 HAZ Coastal and sea level hazard m COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0705 INFORM HA.NAT.TS
Penduduk yang terpapar tsunami, porsiIND.HAZ.coastal.tsunami_population_exposed.share HAZ Coastal and sea level keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY INFORM EX_TS EMDAT nat-geo-ear-tsu
Fluvial flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.river_flood_depth_rp100 HAZ Flood hazard m ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0604 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-riv
Pluvial and flash flood depth at 100-year return periodIND.HAZ.flood.pluvial_flood_depth_rp100 HAZ Flood hazard m ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0603 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0606 EMDAT nat-hyd-flo-fla
Penduduk yang terpapar banjir sungai, rata-rata tahunanIND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed HAZ Flood keterpaparan {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY INFORM EX_FL INFORM HA.NAT.FL
Penduduk yang terpapar banjir sungai, porsi terhadap populasiIND.HAZ.flood.flood_population_exposed.share HAZ Flood keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY
Standar desain perlindungan banjirIND.HAZ.flood.flood_protection_standard HAZ Flood kapasitas penanggulangan a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan akibat banjir sungai, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdp HAZ Flood impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Kecepatan angin siklon tropis pada periode ulang 100 tahunIND.HAZ.storm.tc_wind_rp100 HAZ Tropical and severe storms hazard m/s COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0309 INFORM HA.NAT.TC
Probabilitas tahunan angin siklon kategori 1 atau lebih kuatIND.HAZ.storm.tc_cat1_probability HAZ Tropical and severe storms hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE
Penduduk yang terpapar angin siklon kategori 1, rata-rata tahunanIND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed HAZ Tropical and severe storms keterpaparan {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY INFORM EX_TC_SS1
Penduduk yang terpapar angin siklon kategori 1, porsi terhadap populasiIND.HAZ.storm.tc_population_exposed.share HAZ Tropical and severe storms keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan akibat siklon tropis, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdp HAZ Tropical and severe storms impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Hari hujan es besar per tahunIND.HAZ.storm.large_hail_days HAZ Tropical and severe storms hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0404 EMDAT nat-met-sto-hai
Hari dengan kondisi badai petir hebatIND.HAZ.storm.severe_convective_days HAZ Tropical and severe storms hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0103 EMDAT nat-met-sto-sev
Frekuensi kekeringan meteorologis parahIND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency HAZ Kekeringan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR
Frekuensi cekaman kekeringan pertanianIND.HAZ.drought.agricultural_stress_frequency HAZ Kekeringan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID INFORM ASI
Penduduk yang terdampak kekeringan, porsi rata-rata tahunanIND.HAZ.drought.drought_affected.share HAZ Kekeringan impact % COUNTRY INFORM AFF_DR EMDAT nat-cli-dro-dro
Hari panas lembap berbahaya per tahunIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days HAZ Panas ekstrem hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501
Kejadian keterpaparan gelombang panas per orangIND.HAZ.heat.heatwave_person_days HAZ Panas ekstrem keterpaparan d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Penduduk yang terpapar panas ekstrem, porsiIND.HAZ.heat.heat_population_exposed.share HAZ Panas ekstrem keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Hari cuaca kebakaran ekstrem per tahunIND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days HAZ Kebakaran hutan dan lahan hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Area terbakar tahunan, porsi terhadap luas daratanIND.HAZ.wildfire.burned_area.share HAZ Kebakaran hutan dan lahan hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0205 EMDAT nat-cli-wil-wil
Penduduk di zona peralihan hutan-perkotaan, porsiIND.HAZ.wildfire.wui_population.share HAZ Kebakaran hutan dan lahan keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Penduduk di zona kerawanan longsor tinggi, porsiIND.HAZ.landslide.landslide_susceptible_population.share HAZ Landslide keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 GH0300
Kematian akibat tanah longsor per 100,000, rata-rata tahunanIND.HAZ.landslide.fatal_landslide_rate HAZ Landslide impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 EMDAT nat-hyd-mmw-lan
Penduduk di dekat lokasi industri berbahaya besar, porsiIND.HAZ.technological.major_hazard_site_population.share HAZ Teknologi keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0304 UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0309
Penduduk dalam radius 30 km dari reaktor nuklir yang beroperasiIND.HAZ.technological.nuclear_population_30km HAZ Teknologi keterpaparan {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY UNDRR_HIPS_2025 TL0208
Kematian akibat kecelakaan industri per 100,000, rata-rata tahunanIND.HAZ.technological.industrial_accident_deaths HAZ Teknologi impact /10*5 COUNTRY EMDAT tec-ind-ind-ind
Luas permukaan terbangunIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_area HAZ Keterpaparan context km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Stok modal terbangunIND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stock HAZ Keterpaparan context [USD] COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Area terbangun di zona bahaya tinggiIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed HAZ Keterpaparan keterpaparan km2 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Area terbangun di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.HAZ.exposure.built_up_exposed.share HAZ Keterpaparan keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY
PDB yang dihasilkan di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.share HAZ Keterpaparan keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Korban meninggal dan hilang akibat bencana per 100,000IND.HAZ.loss.deaths_missing_rate HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI A-1 SDG 1.5.1
Penduduk yang terdampak langsung oleh bencana per 100,000IND.HAZ.loss.directly_affected_rate HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI B-1 SDG 1.5.1
Kerugian ekonomi langsung akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp HAZ Losses and impacts impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2
Kematian akibat bencana tercatat per 100,000, rata-rata 30 tahunIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_deaths HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 EMDAT Total Deaths
Penduduk terdampak bencana tercatat per 100,000, rata-rata 30 tahunIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_affected HAZ Losses and impacts impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 EMDAT Total Affected
Kerusakan akibat bencana tercatat, porsi terhadap PDB, rata-rata 30 tahunIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdp HAZ Losses and impacts impact % COUNTRY EMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$)
Keterpaparan PM2.5, rata-rata tertimbang populasiIND.ENV.air.pm25_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard ug/m3 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 SDG 11.6.2 EPI PMD
Penduduk yang terpapar di atas pedoman PM2.5 WHO, porsiIND.ENV.air.pm25_guideline_exceedance.share ENV Kualitas udara keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.ATM.PM25.MC.ZS
Keterpaparan ozon puncak musimanIND.ENV.air.ozone_exposure ENV Kualitas udara hazard [ppb] COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Penduduk yang menggunakan air minum yang dikelola secara amanIND.WAT.access.safely_managed_drinking_water.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY SDG 6.1.1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS EPI UWD
Penduduk yang menggunakan setidaknya air minum dasarIND.WAT.access.basic_drinking_water.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.H2O.BASW.ZS
Penduduk yang menggunakan sanitasi yang dikelola secara amanIND.WAT.access.safely_managed_sanitation.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI SH.STA.SMSS.ZS SDG 6.2.1 EPI USD
Penduduk dengan fasilitas cuci tangan dasarIND.WAT.access.basic_handwashing.share WAT Air minum dan sanitasi vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.STA.HYGN.ZS SDG 6.2.1
Rasio ketergantungan pada air terbarukan dari luarIND.WAT.dependence.external_water_dependency WAT Transboundary dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Severe geomagnetic storm days per yearIND.SPC.weather.severe_geomagnetic_storm_days SPC Cuaca antariksa hazard d/a GLOBAL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0101 EMDAT nat-ext-spa-geo
Amplitudo medan geolistrik pada periode ulang 100 tahunIND.SPC.weather.geoelectric_field_rp100 SPC Cuaca antariksa hazard V/km COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Strong solar radiation storm days per yearIND.SPC.weather.radiation_storm_days SPC Cuaca antariksa hazard d/a GLOBAL UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0104 EMDAT nat-ext-spa-ene
PDB dalam kegiatan yang bergantung pada GNSS, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Layanan kritis yang bergantung pada satelit tanpa cadangan, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.satellite_service_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Jaringan tegangan tinggi di zona bahaya geolistrik tinggi, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1
Angka kematian balitaIND.HLT.burden.under5_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.DYN.MORT SDG 3.2.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000007
Angka kematian neonatalIND.HLT.burden.neonatal_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.DYN.NMRT SDG 3.2.2
Rasio kematian ibuIND.HLT.burden.maternal_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability /10*5 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.MMRT SDG 3.1.1 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000026
Angka harapan hidup saat lahirIND.HLT.burden.life_expectancy HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability a COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.DYN.LE00.IN WHO_GHO WHOSIS_000001
Kematian dini akibat penyakit tidak menular utamaIND.HLT.burden.ncd_premature_mortality HLT Disease burden and mortality vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.DYN.NCOM.ZS SDG 3.4.1 WHO_GHO NCDMORT3070
Insidensi tuberkulosisIND.HLT.burden.tb_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*5 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.TBS.INCD SDG 3.3.2 WHO_GHO MDG_0000000020
Insidensi malariaIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA
Insidensi HIVIND.HLT.burden.hiv_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.TL.P3 SDG 3.3.1 WHO_GHO SDGHIV WB_WDI SH.HIV.INCD.ZS
Dokter per 1,000 pendudukIND.HLT.system.physician_density HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MED.PHYS.ZS WHO_GHO HWF_0001 SDG 3.c.1
Perawat dan bidan per 1,000 pendudukIND.HLT.system.nurse_midwife_density HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MED.NUMW.P3 WHO_GHO HWF_0006 SDG 3.c.1
Tempat tidur rumah sakit per 1,000 pendudukIND.HLT.system.hospital_beds HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MED.BEDS.ZS WHO_GHO WHS6_102
Indeks cakupan layanan UHCIND.HLT.system.uhc_service_coverage HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SDG 3.8.1 WHO_GHO UHC_INDEX_REPORTED WB_WDI SH.UHC.SRVS.CV.XD
Penduduk dengan belanja kesehatan pribadi yang katastrofikIND.HLT.system.catastrophic_oop HLT Health system capacity vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 3.8.2 WB_WDI SH.UHC.OOPC.10.ZS
Belanja pribadi langsung, porsi terhadap belanja kesehatan berjalanIND.HLT.system.oop_share HLT Health system capacity vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.XPD.OOPC.CH.ZS WHO_GHO GHED_OOPSCHE_SHA2011
Belanja kesehatan berjalan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HLT.system.health_expenditure.gdp HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS
Cakupan imunisasi DTP3IND.HLT.system.dtp3_coverage HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WHO_GHO WHS4_100 WB_WDI SH.IMM.IDPT SDG 3.b.1
Cakupan imunisasi campak dosis keduaIND.HLT.system.mcv2_coverage HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WHO_GHO MCV2 WB_WDI SH.IMM.MEA2 SDG 3.b.1
Persalinan yang ditolong tenaga kesehatan terlatihIND.HLT.system.skilled_birth_attendance HLT Health system capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.BRTC.ZS SDG 3.1.2
Waktu tempuh ke fasilitas kesehatan terdekatIND.HLT.system.health_facility_travel_time HLT Health system capacity vulnerability min COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Skor kapasitas inti IHR (SPAR)IND.HLT.security.spar_capacity HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SDG 3.d.1 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2021 WHO_GHO SDGIHR2018
Kapasitas laboratorium IHR (SPAR C4)IND.HLT.security.spar_laboratory HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C4 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C04 JEE D1
Kapasitas surveilans IHR (SPAR C5)IND.HLT.security.spar_surveillance HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C5 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C05 JEE D2
Kapasitas manajemen kedaruratan kesehatan IHR (SPAR C7)IND.HLT.security.spar_emergency_management HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C7 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C07 JEE R1
Kapasitas komunikasi risiko IHR (SPAR C10)IND.HLT.security.spar_risk_communication HLT Health security (IHR) kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY SPAR C10 WHO_GHO IHRSPAR2_C10 JEE R5
Frekuensi kejadian epidemiIND.HLT.epidemic.outbreak_event_frequency HLT Epidemic and outbreak hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1
Kasus kolera yang dilaporkan, per 100,000 pendudukIND.HLT.epidemic.cholera_cases.p100k HLT Epidemic and outbreak hazard /10*5 COUNTRY WHO_GHO CHOLERA_0000000001
Infeksi aliran darah akibat MRSAIND.HLT.amr.mrsa_bloodstream HLT Resistansi antimikroba hazard % COUNTRY WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_MRSA SDG 3.d.2
Infeksi aliran darah akibat E. coli yang resisten terhadap sefalosporin generasi ketigaIND.HLT.amr.ecoli_3gc_bloodstream HLT Resistansi antimikroba hazard % COUNTRY WHO_GHO AMR_INFECT_ECOLI SDG 3.d.2
Stunting pada balitaIND.HLT.nutrition.stunting HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.STA.STNT.ME.ZS SDG 2.2.1 WHO_GHO NUTSTUNTINGPREV FAO_FAOSTAT 21025
Wasting pada balitaIND.HLT.nutrition.wasting HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 WB_WDI SH.STA.WAST.ZS SDG 2.2.2 WHO_GHO NUTRITION_WH_2 FAO_FAOSTAT 21026
Anemia pada perempuan usia reproduksiIND.HLT.nutrition.anaemia_women HLT Nutrition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.ANM.ALLW.ZS WHO_GHO NUTRITION_ANAEMIA_REPRODUCTIVEAGE_PREV SDG 2.2.3 FAO_FAOSTAT 21043
Pemuda yang tidak bekerja, tidak bersekolah, atau tidak mengikuti pelatihanIND.SOC.protection.youth_neet SOC Perlindungan sosial vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.NEET.ZS SDG 8.6.1 ILO SDG_0861_SEX_RT
Penduduk usia 65 tahun ke atas, porsi terhadap totalIND.DEM.structure.share_65plus DEM Age structure vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS
Pengungsi menurut negara asalIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY UNHCR REF WB_WDI SM.POP.REFG.OR
Pengungsi menurut negara asal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.refugees_origin.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY SDG 10.7.4
Pengungsi internal, konflik dan kekerasan (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_total_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.TOCV UNHCR IDP
Pengungsi internal, bencana (stok)IND.DEM.displacement.idp_disaster DEM Forced displacement impact {persons} COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC disaster_total_displacement
Pengungsi internal, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.idp_total.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Pengungsian internal baru, konflik dan kekerasanIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_conflict DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC conflict_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWCV
Pengungsian internal baru, bencanaIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement_disaster DEM Forced displacement impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 IDMC disaster_new_displacement WB_WDI VC.IDP.NWDS
Pengungsian internal baru, per 100,000 pendudukIND.DEM.displacement.new_displacement.p100k DEM Forced displacement impact /10*5 COUNTRY
Korban jiwa yang dilaporkan akibat kekerasan politik terorganisasiIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED fatalities
Korban jiwa konflik per 100,000 pendudukIND.CON.violence.conflict_fatalities.p100k CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2 SDG 16.1.2
Kematian terkait pertempuran (UCDP)IND.CON.violence.battle_related_deaths CON Organised violence hazard {persons} COUNTRY WB_WDI VC.BTL.DETH
Peristiwa kekerasan politikIND.CON.violence.political_violence_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Political violence
Peristiwa konflik bersenjataIND.CON.violence.armed_conflict_events CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED Battles ACLED Explosions/Remote violence
Sebaran geografis konflikIND.CON.violence.conflict_diffusion CON Organised violence keterpaparan % COUNTRY ACLED Diffusion
Fragmentasi aktor bersenjataIND.CON.violence.armed_group_fragmentation CON Organised violence hazard 1 COUNTRY ACLED Fragmentation
Angka pembunuhan disengajaIND.CON.violence.homicide_rate CON Organised violence hazard /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 SDG 16.1.1
Belanja militer, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
Personel angkatan bersenjata, porsi terhadap angkatan kerjaIND.CON.violence.armed_forces_share CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.TOTL.TF.ZS
Peristiwa yang menyasar warga sipilIND.CON.civilian.civilian_targeting_events CON Civilian harm hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID ACLED civilian_targeting ACLED Violence against civilians
Korban jiwa warga sipil akibat kekerasan yang menyasar, per 100,000 pendudukIND.CON.civilian.civilian_fatalities.p100k CON Civilian harm impact /10*5 COUNTRY, ADM1 ACLED Danger
Serangan terhadap layanan kesehatanIND.CON.civilian.attacks_on_health_care CON Civilian harm impact 1 COUNTRY
Korban ranjau darat dan sisa bahan peledak perangIND.CON.civilian.explosive_ordnance_casualties CON Civilian harm impact {persons} COUNTRY
Kerusuhan dan demonstrasi dengan kekerasanIND.CON.peace.riot_events CON Peacefulness hazard 1 COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ACLED Riots
Skor keseluruhan Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_score CON Peacefulness vulnerability {score} COUNTRY GPI Overall Score
Skor domain konflik berlangsung Global Peace Index (IEP)IND.CON.peace.gpi_ongoing_conflict CON Peacefulness hazard {score} COUNTRY GPI Ongoing Domestic and International Conflict
Klasifikasi OECD States of FragilityIND.CON.fragility.oecd_fragility_class CON Fragility vulnerability {class} COUNTRY OECD_FRAGILITY Fragile contexts
Status situasi rapuh dan terdampak konflik menurut Bank DuniaIND.CON.fragility.wb_fcs_status CON Fragility vulnerability {bool} COUNTRY
Stabilitas politik dan ketiadaan kekerasan (WGI)IND.GOV.quality.political_stability GOV Governance quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.SC WB_WGI GOV_WGI_PV.EST
Penduduk yang terutama mengandalkan bahan bakar dan teknologi memasak bersihIND.ENE.access.clean_cooking ENE Akses vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
Konsentrasi pemasok impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Jaringan jalan dan rel di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.transport.network_exposed.share INF Transportasi keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Fasilitas kritis dengan daya cadangan 72 jamIND.INF.utilities.critical_facility_backup_power INF Utilities kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Aset pasokan air di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.water_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Aset pembangkit dan jaringan listrik di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Fasilitas vital di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.INF.utilities.lifeline_facilities_exposed.share INF Utilities keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Unit infrastruktur kritis yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_damage INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-1 SDG 11.5.2
Fasilitas kesehatan yang rusak atau hancur akibat bencanaIND.INF.disruption.health_facilities_damaged INF Service disruption impact 1 COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI D-2
Kerugian ekonomi langsung pada infrastruktur kritis, porsi terhadap PDBIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
Belanja domestik bruto untuk litbang, porsi terhadap PDBIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Peneliti per juta pendudukIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Ekspor teknologi tinggi, porsi terhadap ekspor manufakturIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Konsentrasi pemasok impor semikonduktorIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia infrastruktur cloudIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kapasitas komputasi AI di bawah kendali asing atau penyedia tunggalIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi penyedia model fondasiIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Kecerdasan buatan vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pengawasan biosafety dan biosekuriti laboratorium penahanan tinggiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Bioteknologi kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Penduduk dalam jangkauan 15 menit dari layanan daruratIND.CRS.response.emergency_service_access CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
SolidPlanetaryKesehatanGaris depanSistemik402HAZARDS
6 hazard domains (inner ring) and 56 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
Solar-terrestrial storms Antariksa dan dekat Bumi Geomagnetic storm, Solar flare radio blackout, Solar radiation storm, Ionospheric disturbance, Geomagnetically induced current, Satellite space-environment anomaly, Thermospheric drag surge, Radiation-belt electron enhancement … 9
Impacts and orbital hazards Antariksa dan dekat Bumi Near-Earth object approach, Meteorite impact, Airburst, Space debris, Orbital collision cascade, Uncontrolled re-entry, Spaceflight accident, Meteoroid stream encounter 8
Fault shaking and rupture Bumi padat Earthquake, Induced earthquake, Aftershock sequence, Fault surface rupture, Soil liquefaction, Ground fissure, Earthquake swarm 7
Eruption products and unrest Bumi padat Volcanic unrest, Lava flow, Volcanic ash fall, Volcanic ash cloud, Volcanic ballistic projectiles, Pyroclastic flow, Lahar, Volcanic gas and aerosol emission … 12
Slope failure and mass movement Bumi padat Rockfall, Topple, Slope slide, Lateral spread, Debris flow, Earthflow and mudflow, Rock avalanche, Submarine landslide … 9
Ground deformation and subsidence Bumi padat Land subsidence, Crustal uplift, Sinkhole, Shrink-swell soil movement, Soft-soil settlement, Ground gas seepage, Mining-induced subsidence 7
Erosion and sediment movement Bumi padat Soil erosion, River bank erosion, Coastal erosion, Dune encroachment, Reservoir and channel siltation, River avulsion, Delta sediment starvation 7
Seabed and deep-sea hazards Bumi padat Turbidity current, Submarine volcanic eruption, Seabed gas escape, Pumice raft, Deep-sea mining disturbance 5
Airborne and respiratory infection Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Respiratory pandemic, Seasonal influenza epidemic, Zoonotic influenza spillover, Coronavirus outbreak, Tuberculosis surge, Bacterial meningitis outbreak 6
Vaccine-preventable outbreaks Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Measles outbreak, Polio outbreak, Diphtheria and whooping cough outbreak, Other vaccine-preventable outbreak 4
Faecal-oral and foodborne infection Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Cholera outbreak, Typhoid and paratyphoid fever, Shigellosis and dysentery outbreak, Viral diarrhoea outbreak, Faecal-oral hepatitis outbreak, Foodborne illness outbreak, Waterborne disease outbreak 7
Vector-borne infection Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Dengue epidemic, Chikungunya and Zika outbreak, Yellow fever outbreak, West Nile and Culex-borne virus outbreak, Malaria resurgence, Plague outbreak, Trypanosomiasis outbreak, Tick-borne disease surge … 10
Haemorrhagic fever Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Ebola and Marburg outbreak, Lassa fever outbreak, Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever outbreak 3
Blood-borne and sexually transmitted infection Kesehatan dan biosekuriti HIV epidemic, Chronic viral hepatitis B and C burden, Sexually transmitted infection resurgence 3
Animal-to-human spillover Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Zoonotic spillover event, Anthrax outbreak, Brucellosis outbreak, Rabies outbreak, Leptospirosis outbreak, Mpox outbreak, Rift Valley fever outbreak, Nipah and henipavirus outbreak 8
Rare and persistent human infections Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Prion disease cluster, Smallpox reintroduction 2
Livestock and aquaculture epizootics Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Swine fever epizootic, Foot-and-mouth epizootic, Ruminant respiratory epizootic, Vector-borne livestock disease, Poultry epizootic, Screwworm infestation, Aquaculture disease outbreak, Livestock disease outbreak 8
Plant disease and pests Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Bacterial and fungal crop disease, Plant virus epidemic, Crop insect pest outbreak, Locust swarm, Invasive species spread 5
Systemic biological risks Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Antimicrobial resistance, Deliberate or accidental biological-agent release 2
Environmental and product harm to people Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Snakebite envenoming, Substandard and falsified medicines, Adulterated alcohol poisoning, Overdose epidemic 4
Climate-sensitive illness Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Heat-related illness surge, Cold-related illness surge, Disease vector range expansion, Aeroallergen season intensification, Warm-water bacterial infection 5
Drug and insecticide resistance by pathogen class Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Multidrug-resistant bacterial infection spread, Antiviral drug resistance, Antimalarial and antiparasitic drug resistance, Antifungal drug resistance, Insecticide resistance in disease vectors, Antimicrobial development and supply failure 6
Emerging and unknown infection threats Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Unknown future pathogen emergence, Emerging fungal pathogen, Endemic fungal disease range expansion, Healthcare-associated infection outbreak, Undiagnosed illness cluster 5
Maternal, newborn and child health emergencies Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Maternal mortality rise, Newborn mortality surge, Preterm and low birthweight birth rise, Childhood immunisation coverage collapse, Infant feeding disruption, Reproductive health service disruption 6
Mental health crises Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Population mental distress surge, Post-disaster traumatic stress, Suicide rate rise, Youth mental health crisis, Climate-related psychological distress, Social isolation and loneliness epidemic, Mass psychogenic illness outbreak, Gambling harm surge 8
Noncommunicable disease surges Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Cardiovascular disease surge, Diabetes epidemic, Obesity epidemic, Cancer burden rise, Chronic respiratory disease burden, Chronic kidney disease surge, Dementia burden growth, Post-infection chronic illness … 11
Malnutrition and micronutrient deficiency Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Acute malnutrition surge, Chronic undernutrition and stunting, Micronutrient deficiency, Nutritional deficiency disease outbreak, Unhealthy diet transition, Crop nutrient decline 6
Occupational disease and injury Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Occupational lung disease, Occupational heat strain, Occupational cancer, Occupational chemical poisoning, Workplace injury burden, Work-related psychosocial harm 6
Health system capacity failure Kesehatan dan biosekuriti Health workforce shortage, Health worker industrial action, Health financing collapse, Catastrophic out-of-pocket health spending, Vaccine confidence collapse, Essential health service disruption, Disease surveillance failure, Health facility loss of function … 9
AI system failure and misalignment Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Bioteknologi dan biologi sintetis Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
Teknologi intervensi iklim Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Buku besar terdistribusi dan aset digital Teknologi terdepan dan eksponensial Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Supply-chain and flow disruption Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … 17
Cascading failure Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … 10
Compound and multi-hazard events Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … 9
Structural fragility of interconnected systems Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … 11
Planetary boundary transgressions Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Climate-forcing boundary transgression, Global temperature overshoot, Global warming acceleration, Atmospheric methane surge, Extinction-rate boundary transgression, Biosphere functional integrity loss, Land-system change boundary transgression, Blue-water flow disturbance … 14
Ice tipping elements Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Greenland ice sheet tipping, West Antarctic ice sheet collapse, East Antarctic subglacial basin retreat, Arctic winter sea-ice collapse, Antarctic sea-ice regime shift, Regional glacier extinction 6
Ocean circulation and marine tipping Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Atlantic overturning weakening, Atlantic overturning collapse, Subpolar gyre convection collapse, Antarctic overturning slowdown, Arctic Ocean atlantification, Warm-water coral reef die-off, Marine methane hydrate destabilisation 7
Biome tipping elements Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Amazon rainforest dieback, Boreal forest southern dieback, Boreal forest northern advance, Tropical forest carbon-sink reversal, Sahel vegetation regime shift 5
Carbon-cycle feedbacks Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Permafrost carbon release, Abrupt permafrost thaw emission, Subsea permafrost greenhouse gas release, Wetland methane feedback, Land carbon sink weakening, Ocean carbon sink weakening, Soil carbon respiration feedback 7
Atmospheric circulation and monsoon tipping Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi South Asian monsoon regime shift, West African monsoon regime shift, South American monsoon weakening, East Asian monsoon regime shift, Tropical belt widening, Tropical Pacific regime change, Jet-stream regime change, Marine stratocumulus deck breakup … 9
Deep-time and cosmic catastrophes Batas planet dan titik kritis sistem Bumi Supereruption, Large-magnitude explosive eruption, Flood-basalt eruption episode, Impact winter, Comet shower, Solar superflare, Gamma-ray burst, Nearby supernova … 10
06Ekor

The severe end of the distribution

FIG 5 · Explorer: exceedance, return-period loss and the protection gap
Frequency and severity
1.2
20
1.4
One risk-transfer layer
60
240
–
berjalan di peramban Anda

Explorer: 20,000 simulated years from your frequency and severity settings; the exceedance curve, average annual loss, 1-in-100 and 1-in-250 annual losses, expected shortfall, and how one layer splits loss into retained, transferred and gap. Units are yours; nothing here is a modelled loss for any place.
07Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

23 methods

Risiko katastrofe

Stochastic Event Catalogue · Historical Event Catalogue · Event Footprint · Secondary Uncertainty · Loss Amplification · Financial Terms · Event Loss Table …

21 methods

Jaringan, ketergantungan, dan risiko sistemik

Dependency Graph · Centrality · Critical Node · Cascading Failure · Contagion · Percolation · Interdependency …

56 methods

Siber, AI, dan teknologi mutakhir

Cyber Attack Surface · Exploitability · Threat Likelihood · Cyber Asset Criticality · Intrusion Propagation · Ransomware Risk · Identity Compromise …

08Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Insurers, reinsurers and risk pools

Read hazard, exposure and protection-gap context. Run scenario and tail analytics. Study parametric index design questions.

Universities and research

Replicate every value. Study methods. Contribute data and review.

UN system and humanitarian organisations

Compare needs across contexts with intervals. Watch weekly signals for review. Read outlooks for anticipatory planning.

09Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
SR-14
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Edisi Nexus Reports

10Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Global catastrophic and tail risk series (GRX-SER-SR-14), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-14/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000087.
Series key
grix:SER.SR-14:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.SPC.weather.space_weather_exposure:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.