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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · XT-13 · Exponential technology series

Enerji dönüşümü teknolojileri

Bataryalar, hidrojen, şebeke depolama, yenilenebilir enerji ve bunların tedarik zincirleri, arıza modları ve geçiş riski.

İnşaat Göstergeler Patikalar
Page GRX-SER-XT-13Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports XT-13 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Alan endeksleri

1

İklim geçişine maruziyet

Göstergeler

111

4 index domains

Hazard families

29

Frontier and exponential technology · Built systems

Yöntemler

56

Energy risk · Markets, trade and supply chains.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
alan endeksleri
111
indicators in scope
2
tehlike alanları
4
client groups

01Kapsam

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Which transition technologies carry concentrated supply risk?
  2. What new failure modes do they introduce?
  3. How do they shift energy security?
02İnşaat

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Energy transition technologies index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafik
01Alan endeksleri
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Dizin
  1. İklim geçişine maruziyet

    Domain index · IDX · CLI
    0–10 index of an economy’s exposure to a low-carbon transition, combining transition exposure (fossil rents, fuel exports, subsidies) and emissions intensity (per capita and per unit of GDP).
  2. Energy transition technologies index

    Series index · SERIES · XT-13
    Bataryalar, hidrojen, şebeke depolama, yenilenebilir enerji ve bunların tedarik zincirleri, arıza modları ve geçiş riski.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
ÇalıştırılmadıSürüyorTamamlandı
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Endeksler

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · XT-13 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Energy transition technologies index, world
–
Değerler baskıyla yayımlanır; aralık, sınıf ve değişim burada görünür.
Endeks Değer Değişim Değişim % %90 aralık Sınıf · olasılık Eğilim Aralık
İklim geçişine maruziyetNXS-GRX · CLI – – – – –

Domains read: Energy, Technology and frontier, Economic structure and trade, Climate.

04Göstergeler

111 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CLI · 31ENE · 23ECO · 18TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Gösterge Alan Sub-domain Bileşen Birim Düzeyler Crosswalks
Mal ve hizmet ihracatı, cari ABD dolarıIND.MAC.external.exports.usd MAC External balance and reserves context [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD
Dış ticaret hadlerinin oynaklığı (10 yıllık)IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY
Doğal kaynak gelirleri, genel devlet gelirlerinin payıIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share FIS Revenue vulnerability % COUNTRY
Bankaların karbon yoğun sektörlere maruziyetiIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure FIN Climate-related financial exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Yüksek fiziksel iklim riskine maruz banka kredileriIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending FIN Climate-related financial exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Ticari dışa açıklık (ihracat artı ithalat, GSYH payı)IND.ECO.trade.trade_openness.gdp ECO Ticaret maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS
Uluslararası turizm gelirleri, ihracatın payıIND.ECO.trade.tourism_receipts.exports ECO Ticaret vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI ST.INT.RCPT.XP.ZS
Alınan kişisel işçi dövizleri, GSYH payıIND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp ECO Ticaret maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2
Alınan net resmî kalkınma yardımı, GSMG payıIND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni ECO Ticaret maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS
İhracat ürün yoğunlaşması (normalleştirilmiş HHI)IND.ECO.concentration.export_product_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
İhracat pazarı yoğunlaşması (normalleştirilmiş HHI)IND.ECO.concentration.export_market_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Emtia ihracatına bağımlılıkIND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN
İmalat ürünleri, mal ihracatının payıIND.ECO.concentration.manufactures_export_share ECO Export and import concentration uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.MANF.ZS.UN
Doğal kaynak rantları, GSYH payıIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS
Ekonomik karmaşıklık endeksiIND.ECO.concentration.economic_complexity ECO Export and import concentration uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Gıda ithalatı, mal ithalatının payıIND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN
Yakıt ithalatı, mal ithalatının payıIND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Kritik minerallerde net ithalat bağımlılığıIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
İthalat kaynağı yoğunlaşması (normalleştirilmiş HHI)IND.ECO.concentration.import_partner_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Brüt ihracatta yabancı katma değer payıIND.ECO.supply_chain.gvc_backward_participation ECO Supply-chain exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Ara malı ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ECO.supply_chain.intermediate_supplier_concentration ECO Supply-chain exposure vulnerability % COUNTRY
Deniz dar geçitlerine maruz deniz yolu ticaretiIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Doğrudan yabancı yatırım net girişleri, GSYH payıIND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp ECO Yatırım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS
Sanayi öncesinden bu yana yüzey ısınmasıIND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrial CLI Chronic physical change hazard K GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID FAO_FAOSTAT ET
Yıllık yağıştaki değişimIND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_change CLI Chronic physical change hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Göreli deniz seviyesi yükselme hızıIND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trend CLI Chronic physical change hazard mm/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE UNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402
Yılın en sıcak günü (TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txx CLI Acute climate extremes hazard Cel COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Sıcak günlerin payı (TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90p CLI Acute climate extremes hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Çok sıcak günlerdeki değişim (35 °C veya üzeri)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_change CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Sıcak dönem süresi (WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_duration CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Yılın en yağışlı günü (Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1day CLI Acute climate extremes hazard mm COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Yılın en yağışlı beş günü (Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5day CLI Acute climate extremes hazard mm COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Çok yağışlı günlerden gelen yağış (R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_share CLI Acute climate extremes hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
En uzun kurak dönem (CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_days CLI Acute climate extremes hazard d COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Acute climate extremes maruziyet % SITE, PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(c)
Sanayi öncesinden bu yana öngörülen ısınmaIND.CLI.projection.projected_warming CLI Scenario projections hazard K GLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
En sıcak gün sıcaklığında öngörülen değişimIND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_change CLI Scenario projections hazard K COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
En yağışlı beş günlük yağışta öngörülen değişimIND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_change CLI Scenario projections hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Öngörülen göreli deniz seviyesi yükselmesiIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_rise CLI Scenario projections hazard m COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
Gelecekteki 100 yıllık kıyı taşkını seviyesinin altındaki nüfus, payIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share CLI Scenario projections maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
LULUCF hariç toplam sera gazı emisyonlarıIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_total CLI Emissions maruziyet Mt/a COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
Kişi başına sera gazı emisyonlarıIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capita CLI Emissions maruziyet t/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP
GSYH'nin karbon yoğunluğuIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp CLI Emissions maruziyet kg/[USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions CLI Emissions maruziyet Mt/a PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi)
Fosil yakıt rantları, GSYH payıIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp CLI Transition exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS
Yakıt ihracatı, mal ihracatının payıIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share CLI Transition exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Açık fosil yakıt sübvansiyonları, GSYH payıIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp CLI Transition exposure maruziyet % COUNTRY
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Transition exposure maruziyet % PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(b)
NDC 2030 ekonomi geneli emisyon hedefiIND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambition CLI Transition exposure response % COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Ulusal uyum planı sunulduIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submitted CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi {bool} COUNTRY SDG 13.2.1
Uyum yatırımı için ekonomik hazırlıkIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN economic
Uyum için yönetişim hazırlığıIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN governance
Uyum için toplumsal hazırlıkIND.CLI.adaptation.social_readiness CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY ND_GAIN social
Kişi başına alınan uluslararası uyum finansmanıIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pc CLI Adaptation readiness uyum kapasitesi [USD] COUNTRY
5 m rakımın altındaki nüfus, payIND.HAZ.coastal.low_elevation_population.share HAZ Coastal and sea level maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY WB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
Şiddetli meteorolojik kuraklık sıklığıIND.HAZ.drought.spei_drought_frequency HAZ Kuraklık hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0401 INFORM HA.NAT.DR
Yılda tehlikeli nemli sıcak gün sayısıIND.HAZ.heat.dangerous_heat_days HAZ Aşırı sıcak hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0501
Yılda aşırı yangın havası gün sayısıIND.HAZ.wildfire.extreme_fire_weather_days HAZ Orman yangını hazard d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Yıllık ağaç örtüsü kaybı oranıIND.ENV.land.tree_cover_loss.share ENV Land and forests hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID EPI TCL
Yılda deniz sıcak hava dalgası gün sayısıIND.ENV.ocean.marine_heatwave_days ENV Ocean hazard d/a COUNTRY, REGION, GRID UNDRR_HIPS_2025 MH0708
Doğaya yüksek derecede bağımlı sektörlerdeki GSYH, payIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share ENV Nature dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO
Su stresi düzeyiIND.WAT.stress.water_stress WAT Su stresi hazard % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 6.4.2 WB_WDI ER.H2O.FWST.ZS
Su kullanım verimliliğiIND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency WAT Su stresi uyum kapasitesi [USD]/m3 COUNTRY SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD
GNSS'ye bağımlı faaliyetlerdeki GSYH, payIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Yüksek jeoelektrik tehlike bölgelerindeki yüksek gerilim şebekesi, payIND.SPC.dependence.grid_gic_exposure.share SPC Space-service dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1
Sıtma insidansıIND.HLT.burden.malaria_incidence HLT Disease burden and mortality hazard /10*3 COUNTRY WB_WDI SH.MLR.INCD.P3 SDG 3.3.3 WHO_GHO SDGMALARIA
Tahıl ithalatı bağımlılık oranıIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency FOO Availability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21035
Gıda ithalatı faturası, mal ihracatının payıIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports FOO Food prices vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21033
Tarım, ormancılık ve balıkçılık katma değeri, GSYH payıIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Tarımda istihdam, toplam istihdamın payıIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_employment_share FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS
Tahıl verimi değişkenliği (15 yıllık)IND.FOO.agriculture.cereal_yield_variability FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY
Ekili alanlarda Bitki Sağlığı EndeksiIND.FOO.agriculture.vegetation_health_index FOO Agricultural production and dependence hazard {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, GRID
İş ortamı puanı (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
Elektriğe erişimi olan nüfusIND.ENE.access.electricity_access ENE Erişim vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.1 WB_WDI EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
Öncelikle temiz pişirme yakıtları ve teknolojilerine dayanan nüfusIND.ENE.access.clean_cooking ENE Erişim vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1 SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
Kişi başına elektrik tüketimiIND.ENE.access.electricity_consumption.pc ENE Erişim context kW.h/a/{person} COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC
Toplam nihai enerji tüketiminde yenilenebilir payıIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec ENE Energy mix uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY SDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
GSYH'nin birincil enerji yoğunluğuIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensity ENE Energy mix vulnerability MJ/[USD] COUNTRY SDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
Elektrik üretim karması yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.mix.generation_concentration ENE Energy mix vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Elektrik üretiminde fosil payıIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
Kişi başına kurulu yenilenebilir üretim kapasitesiIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pc ENE Energy mix uyum kapasitesi W/{person} COUNTRY SDG 7.b.1
Suya bağımlı elektrik üretimi, payIND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.share ENE Energy mix vulnerability % COUNTRY, ADM1
Net enerji ithalatı bağımlılığıIND.ENE.security.net_energy_imports ENE Supply security and import dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.IMP.CONS.ZS
Yakıt ithalatı faturası, mal ve hizmet ihracatının payıIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Ham petrol ve ürünleri ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Doğal gaz ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kömür ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Net ithalat günü cinsinden petrol stoklarıIND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocks ENE Supply security and import dependence başa çıkma kapasitesi d COUNTRY
Firmaların tipik bir ayda yaşadığı elektrik kesintileriIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages ENE Reliability vulnerability /mo COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
Elektrik kesintileri nedeniyle kaybedilen değer, firma satışlarının payıIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss ENE Reliability impact % COUNTRY WB_WDI IC.FRM.OUTG.ZS
Sistem ortalama kesinti süresi (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidi ENE Reliability vulnerability h/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Sistem ortalama kesinti sıklığı (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi ENE Reliability vulnerability /a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
Elektrik iletim ve dağıtım kayıplarıIND.ENE.reliability.td_losses ENE Reliability vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS
Isıtma ve soğutma derece günleriIND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_days ENE Reliability hazard K.d/a COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
Kritik mineral ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Kritik mineraller vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Kritik mineral ithalatında en büyük tek tedarikçinin payıIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share ENE Kritik mineraller vulnerability % COUNTRY
Lojistik performansıIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
En iyi performansa göre düzenli hat taşımacılığı bağlantısıIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Ulaşım başa çıkma kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Elektrik şebekesi dayanıklılığıIND.INF.utilities.power_grid_resilience INF Utilities başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY ISO_37123 ISO 37123:2019
Yüksek tehlikeli bölgelerdeki elektrik üretim ve şebeke varlıkları, payIND.INF.utilities.power_assets_exposed.share INF Utilities maruziyet % COUNTRY, ADM1, ADM2, CITY, GRID
Altyapı yatırım açığı, GSYH payıIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
City electricity interruption hours per customerIND.INF.urban.power_interruption_hours INF Urban systems vulnerability h/a CITY ISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
BİT hizmetleri katma değeri, GSYH payıIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence maruziyet % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
Ar-Ge'ye yönelik gayri safi yurt içi harcama, GSYH payıIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY SDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
Milyon kişi başına araştırmacıIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi /10*6 COUNTRY SDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
Yüksek teknoloji ihracatı, imalat ihracatının payıIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability uyum kapasitesi % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Yarı iletken ithalatında tedarikçi yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Bulut altyapısı sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Yabancı veya tek sağlayıcı denetimindeki yapay zekâ hesaplama kapasitesiIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Temel model sağlayıcı yoğunlaşmasıIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration TEC Yapay zekâ vulnerability % COUNTRY
Yüksek muhafazalı laboratuvarların biyogüvenlik ve biyoemniyet denetimiIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight TEC Biyoteknoloji başa çıkma kapasitesi {score} COUNTRY
05Tehlikeler

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
YapılıÖncü219HAZARDS
2 hazard domains (inner ring) and 29 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Aile Alan Tehlikeler Sayı
AI system failure and misalignment Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI malfunction in a critical service, Out-of-distribution model failure, Correlated failure of shared AI models, Reliance on fabricated AI output, Specification gaming and reward hacking, Deceptive or strategically misaligned AI, Loss of human control over advanced AI, AI self-replication and exfiltration … 11
AI security and model supply chain Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Theft of frontier model weights, Backdoored AI model, AI model supply-chain compromise, Prompt injection against AI agents, AI-enabled cyber offence, Attack on AI compute infrastructure, Adversarial manipulation of machine learning 7
AI misuse and capability uplift Öncü ve üstel teknoloji AI uplift for biological weapons, AI uplift for chemical weapons, Synthetic media at scale, Non-consensual synthetic intimate imagery, AI-driven mass persuasion, AI-enabled mass surveillance and repression, AI-enabled seizure or entrenchment of power, Malicious use of AI 8
Agentic AI acting at scale Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Runaway autonomous agent action, Multi-agent interaction cascade, Algorithmic market flash crash, Human deskilling and over-reliance on AI, Gradual human disempowerment by AI, Autonomous agent overreach 6
Algorithmic decision and structural harm Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Harmful automated decision-making, Clinical AI error, Rapid AI-driven labour displacement, Concentration of frontier AI capability, Competitive AI race and safety erosion, Degradation of the shared knowledge base, Recommender-system amplification harm, Harm from AI companions and chatbots … 12
Robotics, autonomy and autonomous weapons Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lethal autonomous weapon use, Drone swarm attack, Weaponised small drone attack, Drone intrusion into protected airspace, AI-accelerated military escalation, AI in nuclear command, control and warning, Industrial and service robot injury, Autonomous vehicle system failure … 10
Biyoteknoloji ve sentetik biyoloji Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered pandemic pathogen, Dual-use research of concern, Benchtop DNA synthesis misuse, Biological design tool misuse, Automated biofoundry accident, Gene drive escape, Engineered organism escape into the environment, Mirror-image organism creation or release … 10
Nanotechnology and advanced materials Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Engineered nanomaterial exposure, High-aspect-ratio nanofibre inhalation, Nanomaterial accumulation in the environment, Uncontrolled self-replicating nanomachines, Molecular manufacturing arms race 5
Neurotechnology, human enhancement and extended reality Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Brain-computer interface failure, Neural device compromise, Neural data exploitation, Cognitive enhancement harm and coercion, Heritable human genome editing harm, Extended-reality physical and psychological harm, Manipulation of augmented perception 7
Quantum technology and cryptographic transition Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Cryptographically relevant quantum computer, Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection, Post-quantum migration failure, Quantum sensing erosion of strategic concealment 4
İklim müdahalesi teknolojileri Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Solar geoengineering termination shock, Stratospheric aerosol injection side effects, Marine cloud brightening side effects, Unilateral or rogue geoengineering deployment, Ocean fertilisation side effects, Ocean alkalinity enhancement side effects, Large-scale carbon removal land and water competition, Geological carbon storage leakage … 11
Space technology and orbital infrastructure Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Destructive anti-satellite strike, Non-kinetic counterspace attack, Mega-constellation orbital congestion, Constellation-wide service failure, Upper-atmosphere pollution from launches and re-entries, Satellite interference with sky observation, Back-contamination from extraterrestrial samples 7
Digital infrastructure concentration and monoculture Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Critical open-source dependency failure, Advanced semiconductor fabrication concentration, Digital identity and trust service failure 3
Advanced and distributed manufacturing Öncü ve üstel teknoloji 3D-printed and untraceable firearms, Distributed production of weapon components, Additively manufactured critical part failure 3
Energy-transition technology failures Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Lithium battery fire in vehicles and transport, Mass manipulation of connected energy devices, Advanced reactor material security risk, Critical mineral supply concentration 4
Dağıtık defterler ve dijital varlıklar Öncü ve üstel teknoloji Smart-contract and oracle exploit 1
Structural and civil failure Yapılı sistemler Building collapse, Facade and cladding failure, Non-building structure failure, Bridge failure, Tunnel failure, Dam failure, Levee breach, Pipeline rupture 8
Utility and communication network outage Yapılı sistemler Widespread power outage, Water supply failure, Sewer and drain failure, Gas supply network failure, Telecommunications outage, Emergency communications failure 6
Transport accidents Yapılı sistemler Air transport accident, Maritime accident, Inland waterway accident, Rail accident, Road crash 5
Industrial and process accidents Yapılı sistemler Industrial explosion, Reactive chemical store explosion, Industrial fire, Building and urban fire, Explosives accident, Mine accident, Oil and gas extraction accident, Battery thermal runaway fire … 15
Energy system instability and shortfall Yapılı sistemler Low-inertia grid instability, System frequency collapse, Voltage collapse, Mass inverter disconnection, Grid power oscillation, Generation adequacy shortfall, Low wind and solar energy drought, Drought-driven hydropower shortfall … 22
Water and wastewater system failure Yapılı sistemler Wastewater treatment plant failure, Distribution network contamination intrusion, Water treatment dosing error, Prolonged drinking-water advisory, Desalination plant outage, Raw-water intake loss, Chronic distribution leakage, Intermittent piped supply … 9
Telecom and data-centre failure Yapılı sistemler Data-centre outage, Data-centre fire, Mobile or fixed core network failure, Terrestrial fibre backbone cut, Internet exchange or landing hub failure, Time and synchronisation failure, Telecom backup power exhaustion, Broadcast transmission loss 8
Space-based service loss Yapılı sistemler Navigation satellite system fault, Satellite communications outage, Weather and Earth-observation satellite gap, Satellite ground segment failure 4
Seabed infrastructure damage Yapılı sistemler Subsea pipeline damage, Subsea power cable damage, Covert seabed infrastructure sabotage 3
Transport network disruption Yapılı sistemler Air traffic management failure, Large-scale airspace closure, Rail network outage, Heat-induced track buckling, Strategic road network closure, Low-water navigation restriction, Navigation lock or canal structure failure, Dangerous goods transport accident … 12
Food system infrastructure failure Yapılı sistemler Food storage loss, Irrigation system failure, Food processing bottleneck, Strategic food reserve depletion, Loss of energy for food production 5
Urban and building-stock stress Yapılı sistemler Building overheating, Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock, Defective building material in use, Construction and temporary works collapse, Tunnelling and excavation ground damage, High-rise evacuation failure 6
Ageing and degraded infrastructure Yapılı sistemler Infrastructure deterioration, Deferred maintenance backlog, Reinforced concrete deterioration, Metal fatigue cracking, Ageing dam and reservoir stock, Legacy technology obsolescence, Infrastructure skills shortage 7
06Patikalar

How this risk can move to 2100

FIG 5 · Explorer: a pathway fan chart to 2100
4
0.35
0.45
10
1
–
tarayıcınızda çalışır

Explorer: 2,000 paths from your drift, volatility and shock settings, shown as a fan chart (50% and 90% bands, median line) against the class bounds. Pathways editions project each domain under named scenario families; this explainer uses no scenario data.
07Yöntemler

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

26 methods

Enerji riski

Generation Adequacy · Load Forecasting · Renewable Intermittency · Reserve Margin · Loss of Load Probability · Expected Unserved Energy · Grid Reliability …

30 methods

Piyasalar, ticaret ve tedarik zincirleri

Commodity Price Risk · Price Volatility · Market Regime · Demand Forecasting · Supply Forecasting · Trade Dependency · Bilateral Concentration …

08Users

Who uses it

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors

Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.

Companies and supply chains

Screen sites and suppliers. Watch chokepoints and pulse. Read country context.

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.

09Raporlar

Nexus Reports

Edition code
XT-13
Edition status
planlanıyor
Konu
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Nexus Reports

10Atıf

Atıf ve yeniden kullanım

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Energy transition technologies series (GRX-SER-XT-13), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/xt-13/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000100.
Series key
grix:SER.XT-13:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.CLI.transition.transition_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Ülke profilleri Tüm seriler

Durum

The Global Risks Index’in metodolojisi, yapısı ve tanımları, uygulama için değil, inceleme ve yorum için dolaşıma sunulmuş hazırlık niteliğinde bir çalışma taslağıdır (2026). Bir sürüm yönetilen bir kanıt kesitinden yayımlanana kadar hiçbir değer görünmez; değerler o zaman aralıkları, sınıfları, kaynakları ve düzeltme yollarını taşır. Simülatörler yayımlanan yöntemleri sizin seçtiğiniz sayılarla çalıştırır ve asla bir NXS-GRX değeri göstermez.

NXS-GRX ne değildir

NXS-GRX bir araştırma ve risk analitiği bilgisidir. Kredi ya da ESG derecelendirmesi değildir ve derecelendirme ölçeği kullanmaz; finansal araçlar için gösterge, resmî istatistik, acil durum uyarısı ya da resmî sınıflandırma ve tavsiye değildir. Gerçek kişileri değerlendirmek için kullanılmamalıdır. Risk sınıfları yayımlanmış bir ölçek üzerindeki bantlardır, asla ülkelerin ya da kişilerin sıralaması değildir.

Kurumlar ve kaynaklar

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Her değer, kendi lisanslarını koruyan kaynaklarının atfını taşır. Harici adlara yalnızca birlikte çalışabilirlik amacıyla atıf yapılır. Nexus tarafından yazılan metinlerin yayımlandığında CC BY 4.0 kapsamında olması amaçlanmaktadır.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.