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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-CLI-PHYSICALCHRONIC · HTE Hazard and threat exposure

जलवायु भौतिक संकट सूचकांक

0–10 index of physical climate hazard combining chronic change, observed extremes and projected change (projection sub-index taken at SSP2-4.5, 2041–2060 by default, with other scenarios as alternative runs).

Page GRX-IDX-CLI-PHYSICALCHRONICEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.CLI.physical_chronic.climate_physical_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

equal weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

अनिश्चितता

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation

संरचना

3 components

16 leaf indicators

कवरेज

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 20%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
16
leaf indicators
3
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
8
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

The physical climate dimension of a place profile; adaptation readiness and realised loss are reported beside it as separate dimensions.

computation
How Climate physical hazard is computed
Graph22 nodes
ग्राफ़
01संकेतक
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04स्तंभ
05समग्र
100%
अनुक्रमणिका
  1. पूर्व-औद्योगिक काल से सतही तापन
    Indicator · IND · K
    Difference between the latest 20-year mean near-surface air temperature over the area and the 1850–1900 mean, from observational datasets; where national records start later, the offset to 1850–1900 is bridged with the global observational estimate.
  2. वार्षिक वर्षण में परिवर्तन
    Indicator · IND · %
    Absolute percentage difference between mean annual precipitation of the latest 30 years and the 1961–1990 mean; the signed value is carried alongside for direction.
  3. सापेक्ष समुद्र-स्तर वृद्धि दर
    Indicator · IND · mm/a
    Linear trend of relative sea level at the coast over the latest 30 years, combining tide-gauge and satellite-altimetry records with vertical land motion.
  4. वर्ष का सबसे गर्म दिन (TXx)
    Indicator · IND · Cel
    Highest daily maximum near-surface temperature of the year (ETCCDI-style TXx); the 30-year mean and the latest year are both reported.
  5. गर्म दिनों का हिस्सा (TX90p)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Percentage of days in the year whose maximum temperature exceeds the calendar-day 90th percentile of 1961–1990 (ETCCDI-style TX90p); 10% is the baseline expectation.
  6. बहुत गर्म दिनों में परिवर्तन (35 °C या अधिक)
    Indicator · IND · d/a
    Change in the mean annual number of days with maximum temperature of 35 °C or more between the latest 30 years and 1961–1990 (ET-SCI-style TXge35).
  7. गर्म अवधि की लंबाई (WSDI)
    Indicator · IND · d/a
    Annual count of days in spells of at least six consecutive days with maximum temperature above the calendar-day 90th percentile of 1961–1990 (ETCCDI-style WSDI).
  8. वर्ष का सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाला दिन (Rx1day)
    Indicator · IND · mm
    Maximum one-day precipitation total of the year (ETCCDI-style Rx1day); the 30-year mean and trend are reported.
  9. वर्ष के सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले पाँच दिन (Rx5day)
    Indicator · IND · mm
    Maximum consecutive five-day precipitation total of the year (ETCCDI-style Rx5day).
  10. बहुत अधिक वर्षा वाले दिनों से वर्षण (R95pTOT)
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of annual precipitation falling on days wetter than the 95th percentile of wet days in 1961–1990 (ETCCDI-style R95pTOT relative to the annual total).
  11. सबसे लंबी शुष्क अवधि (CDD)
    Indicator · IND · d
    Maximum number of consecutive days in the year with precipitation below 1 mm (ETCCDI-style CDD).
  12. पूर्व-औद्योगिक काल से अनुमानित तापन
    Indicator · IND · K
    Multi-model median change in mean near-surface temperature relative to 1850–1900 for the area; scenario (SSP-RCP), horizon (2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2081–2100) and ensemble statistic are observation dimensions, values flagged S.
  13. सबसे गर्म दिन के तापमान में अनुमानित परिवर्तन
    Indicator · IND · K
    Multi-model median change in TXx relative to 1995–2014; scenario, horizon and ensemble statistic are observation dimensions, values flagged S.
  14. सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले पाँच दिनों के वर्षण में अनुमानित परिवर्तन
    Indicator · IND · %
    Multi-model median percentage change in Rx5day relative to 1995–2014; scenario, horizon and ensemble statistic are observation dimensions, values flagged S.
  15. अनुमानित सापेक्ष समुद्र-स्तर वृद्धि
    Indicator · IND · m
    Median projected relative sea-level change at the coast relative to 1995–2014, including vertical land motion; scenario, horizon and likely-range bounds are observation dimensions, values flagged S.
  16. भविष्य के 100-वर्षीय तटीय बाढ़ स्तर से नीचे की जनसंख्या, हिस्सा
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of today’s residents living below the 100-year extreme still-water level raised by projected relative sea-level rise; scenario and horizon are observation dimensions, values flagged S.
  17. Chronic climate change sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of observed warming since pre-industrial, change in annual precipitation and relative sea-level rise rate.
  18. Climate extremes sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of ETCCDI-style extremes indices: TXx, TX90p, change in very hot days, WSDI, Rx1day, Rx5day, R95pTOT and CDD.
  19. Projected climate change sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 33.3%
    Composite of projected warming, projected change in TXx and Rx5day, projected sea-level rise and population below the future 100-year coastal flood level, computed separately for each scenario and horizon; never averaged across scenarios.
  20. जलवायु भौतिक संकट सूचकांक
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    0–10 index of physical climate hazard combining chronic change, observed extremes and projected change (projection sub-index taken at SSP2-4.5, 2041–2060 by default, with other scenarios as alternative runs).
  21. संकट और खतरे का जोखिम-संपर्क
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    What can strike, how often, how hard and who and what stands in its way?
  22. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
नहीं चलाया गयाप्रगति मेंपूर्ण
FIG 2. 16 indicators, 3 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate climate physical hazard on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
25
1
–
आपके ब्राउज़र में चलता है
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03पद्धति

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
min–max rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
20% of weight
Weighting
equal
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
अनिश्चितता
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation
Framework basis
IPCC AR6 WGII risk framing; INFORM Climate Change; ND-GAIN vulnerability (exposure component, structure only)
बहुत कम0.0 से < 2.0
कम2.0 से < 3.5
मध्यम3.5 से < 5.0
उच्च5.0 से < 6.5
बहुत उच्च6.5 से 10.0
04Components

3 components, 16 indicators

Chronic climate change sub-index w 1

Composite of observed warming since pre-industrial, change in annual precipitation and relative sea-level rise rate.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
पूर्व-औद्योगिक काल से सतही तापनIND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrialKClass Cberkeley-earth, copernicus-era5, noaa-globaltemp, fao-faostat-temperature-change33.3%
वार्षिक वर्षण में परिवर्तनIND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_change%Class Cgpcc, cru-ts, copernicus-era533.3%
सापेक्ष समुद्र-स्तर वृद्धि दरIND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trendmm/aClass Bpsmsl, copernicus-sea-level, nasa-sea-level-change33.3%

Climate extremes sub-index w 1

Composite of ETCCDI-style extremes indices: TXx, TX90p, change in very hot days, WSDI, Rx1day, Rx5day, R95pTOT and CDD.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
वर्ष का सबसे गर्म दिन (TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txxCelClass Chadex3, copernicus-era5, national-met-services12.5%
गर्म दिनों का हिस्सा (TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90p%Class Chadex3, copernicus-era512.5%
बहुत गर्म दिनों में परिवर्तन (35 °C या अधिक)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_changed/aClass Ccopernicus-era5, hadex312.5%
गर्म अवधि की लंबाई (WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_durationd/aClass Chadex3, copernicus-era512.5%
वर्ष का सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाला दिन (Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1daymmClass Chadex3, gpcc-full-data-daily, copernicus-era512.5%
वर्ष के सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले पाँच दिन (Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5daymmClass Chadex3, gpcc-full-data-daily, copernicus-era512.5%
बहुत अधिक वर्षा वाले दिनों से वर्षण (R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_share%Class Chadex3, copernicus-era512.5%
सबसे लंबी शुष्क अवधि (CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_daysdClass Chadex3, copernicus-era512.5%

Projected climate change sub-index w 1

Composite of projected warming, projected change in TXx and Rx5day, projected sea-level rise and population below the future 100-year coastal flood level, computed separately for each scenario and horizon; never averaged across scenarios.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
पूर्व-औद्योगिक काल से अनुमानित तापनIND.CLI.projection.projected_warmingKClass Cipcc-ar6-interactive-atlas, cmip6, wb-cckp20.0%
सबसे गर्म दिन के तापमान में अनुमानित परिवर्तनIND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_changeKClass Cipcc-ar6-interactive-atlas, cmip620.0%
सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले पाँच दिनों के वर्षण में अनुमानित परिवर्तनIND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_change%Class Cipcc-ar6-interactive-atlas, cmip620.0%
अनुमानित सापेक्ष समुद्र-स्तर वृद्धिIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_risemClass Cipcc-ar6-sea-level-projections, nasa-sea-level-projection-tool20.0%
भविष्य के 100-वर्षीय तटीय बाढ़ स्तर से नीचे की जनसंख्या, हिस्साIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.share%Class Dipcc-ar6-sea-level-projections, deltares-gtsr, jrc-ghsl-ghs-pop20.0%
05क्षेत्र

जलवायु

Physical climate hazards and trends, emissions and transition exposure, and adaptation readiness.

Sub-domainसंकेतक
Chronic physical change3
Acute climate extremes9
Emissions4
Transition exposure5
Adaptation readiness5
Scenario projections5

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IPCC AR6; INFORM Climate Change; ND-GAIN; IMF Climate Change Indicators Dashboard; IFRS S2; NGFS Phase V.

06संकेतक

All 31 climate indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
CLI · 31
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
संकेतकक्षेत्रSub-domainघटकइकाईस्तरCrosswalks
पूर्व-औद्योगिक काल से सतही तापनIND.CLI.physical_chronic.warming_since_preindustrialCLIChronic physical changehazardKGLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRIDFAO_FAOSTAT ET
वार्षिक वर्षण में परिवर्तनIND.CLI.physical_chronic.precipitation_changeCLIChronic physical changehazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
सापेक्ष समुद्र-स्तर वृद्धि दरIND.CLI.physical_chronic.relative_sea_level_trendCLIChronic physical changehazardmm/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITEUNDRR_HIPS_2025 EN0402
वर्ष का सबसे गर्म दिन (TXx)IND.CLI.physical_acute.txxCLIAcute climate extremeshazardCelCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
गर्म दिनों का हिस्सा (TX90p)IND.CLI.physical_acute.tx90pCLIAcute climate extremeshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
बहुत गर्म दिनों में परिवर्तन (35 °C या अधिक)IND.CLI.physical_acute.hot_days_changeCLIAcute climate extremeshazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
गर्म अवधि की लंबाई (WSDI)IND.CLI.physical_acute.warm_spell_durationCLIAcute climate extremeshazardd/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
वर्ष का सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाला दिन (Rx1day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx1dayCLIAcute climate extremeshazardmmCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
वर्ष के सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले पाँच दिन (Rx5day)IND.CLI.physical_acute.rx5dayCLIAcute climate extremeshazardmmCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
बहुत अधिक वर्षा वाले दिनों से वर्षण (R95pTOT)IND.CLI.physical_acute.very_wet_day_shareCLIAcute climate extremeshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
सबसे लंबी शुष्क अवधि (CDD)IND.CLI.physical_acute.consecutive_dry_daysCLIAcute climate extremeshazarddCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.shareCLIAcute climate extremesexposure%SITE, PORTFOLIOIFRS_S2 29(c)
पूर्व-औद्योगिक काल से अनुमानित तापनIND.CLI.projection.projected_warmingCLIScenario projectionshazardKGLOBAL, REGION, COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
सबसे गर्म दिन के तापमान में अनुमानित परिवर्तनIND.CLI.projection.projected_txx_changeCLIScenario projectionshazardKCOUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
सबसे अधिक वर्षा वाले पाँच दिनों के वर्षण में अनुमानित परिवर्तनIND.CLI.projection.projected_rx5day_changeCLIScenario projectionshazard%COUNTRY, ADM1, GRID
अनुमानित सापेक्ष समुद्र-स्तर वृद्धिIND.CLI.projection.projected_sea_level_riseCLIScenario projectionshazardmCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, SITE
भविष्य के 100-वर्षीय तटीय बाढ़ स्तर से नीचे की जनसंख्या, हिस्साIND.CLI.projection.slr_coastal_population_exposed.shareCLIScenario projectionsexposure%COUNTRY, ADM1, CITYWB_WDI EN.POP.EL5M.ZS
LULUCF को छोड़कर कुल ग्रीनहाउस गैस उत्सर्जनIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_totalCLIEmissionsexposureMt/aCOUNTRYWB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5 SDG 13.2.2
प्रति व्यक्ति ग्रीनहाउस गैस उत्सर्जनIND.CLI.emissions.ghg_per_capitaCLIEmissionsexposuret/a/{person}COUNTRYWB_WDI EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 EPI GHP
GDP की कार्बन तीव्रताIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdpCLIEmissionsexposurekg/[USD]COUNTRYWB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissionsCLIEmissionsexposureMt/aPORTFOLIOIFRS_S2 29(a)(vi)
जीवाश्म ईंधन किराया, GDP का हिस्साIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdpCLITransition exposureexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS
ईंधन निर्यात, वाणिज्यिक निर्यात का हिस्साIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.shareCLITransition exposureexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
प्रत्यक्ष जीवाश्म ईंधन सब्सिडी, GDP का हिस्साIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdpCLITransition exposureexposure%COUNTRY
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.shareCLITransition exposureexposure%PORTFOLIOIFRS_S2 29(b)
NDC 2030 अर्थव्यवस्था-व्यापी उत्सर्जन लक्ष्यIND.CLI.transition.ndc_target_ambitionCLITransition exposureresponse%COUNTRYSDG 13.2.1
राष्ट्रीय अनुकूलन योजना प्रस्तुतIND.CLI.adaptation.nap_submittedCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{bool}COUNTRYSDG 13.2.1
अनुकूलन निवेश के लिए आर्थिक तत्परताIND.CLI.adaptation.economic_readinessCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYND_GAIN economic
अनुकूलन के लिए शासन तत्परताIND.CLI.adaptation.governance_readinessCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYND_GAIN governance
अनुकूलन के लिए सामाजिक तत्परताIND.CLI.adaptation.social_readinessCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity{score}COUNTRYND_GAIN social
प्रति व्यक्ति प्राप्त अंतरराष्ट्रीय अनुकूलन वित्तIND.CLI.adaptation.adaptation_finance_received.pcCLIAdaptation readinessadaptive capacity[USD]COUNTRY
07उद्धरण

Climate physical hazard index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · CLI · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Climate physical hazard index, world
–
मान संस्करण के साथ प्रकाशित होते हैं; अंतराल, वर्ग और बदलाव यहाँ दिखते हैं।
पिछला संस्करण
–
Range since 2016
–
युग्मित समग्र
–
युग्मन अंक S
–
पल्स, नवीनतम सप्ताह
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
पद्धति
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
ड्रॉ
1,000
Climate physical hazard index, world, by edition

अभी कोई जारी मान नहीं। पहला संस्करण यहाँ अपने अंतराल पट्टी और वर्ग सीमाओं के साथ इतिहास खींचता है।

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
अभी कोई परिवर्तन नहीं। पिछले संस्करण के बाद के परिवर्तन दूसरे संस्करण से यहाँ सूचीबद्ध होंगे, उन्हें प्रेरित करने वाले संकेतकों के साथ।
08मान

Country values

FIG 5 · Climate physical hazard index: countries (values when released)
मानचित्र लोड हो रहा है
एंडोराएंटिगुआ और बरबुडाबहरीनबारबाडोसकोमोरोसकाबो वर्डेडोमिनिकामाइक्रोनेशिया (संघीय राज्य)ग्रेनाडाकिरिबातीसेंट किट्स और नेविससेंट लूसियालिचेंस्टीनमोनाकोमालदीवमार्शल द्वीपसमूहमाल्टामॉरीशसनाउरुपलाऊसिंगापुरसैन मेरीनोसाओ टोमे और प्रिंसिपेसेशेल्सटोंगातुवालूहोली सीसेंट विंसेंट और ग्रेनाडाइंससमोआ
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
टाइलें
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/cli/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
अवलोकन कुंजी
nis:IDX.CLI.physical_chronic.climate_physical_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
FAO_FAOSTAT1
UNDRR_HIPS_20251
WB_WDI1
11Nexus भर में

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12उद्धरण

उद्धरण और पुनः उपयोग

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Climate physical hazard index (GRX-IDX-CLI-PHYSICALCHRONIC), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/climate-physical-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000112.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.