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The Global Risks Index

The Global Risks Index · SR-08 · Strategic systems series

Penularan keuangan dan keuangan sistemik

Keterpaparan yang saling terhubung, keterkaitan negara–bank, pembalikan arus modal, dan penularan melalui jaringan keuangan.

Konstruksi Indikator Keterkaitan
Page GRX-SER-SR-08Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports SR-08 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Indeks domain

1

Risiko stabilitas keuangan

Indikator

150

4 index domains

Hazard families

18

Systemic and compound events · Society, conflict and economy.

Metode

78

Financial risk · Networks, dependency and systemic risk.

Counts from the indicator, hazard and model registries.
1
indeks ranah
150
indicators in scope
2
ranah bahaya
4
client groups

01Lingkup

Scope and questions

The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.

  1. Where would a default propagate through financial links?
  2. How tight is the sovereign–bank loop?
  3. Which economies are exposed to sudden stops?
02Konstruksi

Domain indices to the series index

The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.

computation

How the Financial contagion and systemic finance index is built

Graph5 nodes
Grafik
01Indeks domain
02Series index
03Readings

100%
Indeks
  1. Risiko stabilitas keuangan

    Domain index · IDX · FIN
    Expert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.
  2. Financial contagion and systemic finance index

    Series index · SERIES · SR-08
    Keterpaparan yang saling terhubung, keterkaitan negara–bank, pembalikan arus modal, dan penularan melalui jaringan keuangan.
  3. Country readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 195 profiles
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  4. Regional readings

    Output · OUTPUT · 5 regions
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
  5. Global reading

    Output · OUTPUT · population or exposure weighted
    Published with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Belum dijalankanSedang berjalanSelesai
FIG 2. Select a domain index to open its full construction; Simulate run plays the computation. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
03Indeks

Domain indices in this series

The Global Risks Index · SR-08 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Financial contagion and systemic finance index, world
–
Nilai terbit bersama edisi; interval, kelas, dan perubahan muncul di sini.
Indeks Nilai Perubahan Perubahan % Interval 90% Kelas · probabilitas Tren Rentang
Risiko stabilitas keuanganNXS-GRX · FIN – – – – –

Domains read: Financial system, Fiscal and public debt, Economic structure and trade, Macroeconomy.

04Indikator

150 indicators in scope

Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.

FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
FIS · 37FIN · 32ECO · 18MAC · 14
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
Indikator Domain Sub-domain Komponen Unit Tingkat Crosswalks
Produk domestik bruto, dolar AS berlakuIND.MAC.output.gdp.usd MAC Output and growth context [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.MKTP.CD IMF_WEO NGDPD
PDB per kapita, PPP (ICP 2021)IND.MAC.output.gdp_per_capita.ppp21 MAC Output and growth kapasitas penanggulangan [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD
Pertumbuhan PDB riilIND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth MAC Output and growth vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG IMF_WEO NGDP_RPCH
Volatilitas pertumbuhan PDB riil (10 tahun)IND.MAC.output.growth_volatility MAC Output and growth vulnerability % COUNTRY
Inflasi harga konsumenIND.MAC.prices.cpi_inflation MAC Prices and inflation vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG IMF_WEO PCPIPCH
Inflasi harga panganIND.MAC.prices.food_inflation MAC Prices and inflation vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT CP
Neraca transaksi berjalan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI BN.CAB.XOKA.GD.ZS IMF_WEO BCA_NGDPD
Cadangan devisa dalam bulan imporIND.MAC.external.reserves_import_cover MAC External balance and reserves kapasitas penanggulangan mo COUNTRY WB_WDI FI.RES.TOTL.MO
Utang luar negeri jangka pendek, porsi terhadap cadangan devisaIND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.DOD.DSTC.IR.ZS
Posisi utang luar negeri, porsi terhadap PNBIND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS
Volatilitas nilai tukar (36 bulan)IND.MAC.monetary.exchange_rate_volatility MAC Monetary and exchange-rate conditions vulnerability % COUNTRY
Tingkat pengangguranIND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate MAC Labour market vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.5.2 ILO UNE_DEAP_SEX_AGE_RT
Ekspor barang dan jasa, dolar AS berlakuIND.MAC.external.exports.usd MAC External balance and reserves context [USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD
Volatilitas nilai tukar perdagangan (10 tahun)IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility MAC External balance and reserves vulnerability % COUNTRY
Saldo keseluruhan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp FIS Fiscal balance vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS
Keseimbangan primer pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp FIS Fiscal balance vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP
Saldo struktural pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDB potensialIND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdp FIS Fiscal balance vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential FIS Fiscal balance vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pendapatan pemerintah umum, dolar AS berlakuIND.FIS.revenue.total.usd FIS Revenue context [USD] COUNTRY IMF_GFS 1
Pendapatan pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp FIS Revenue kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS
Penerimaan pajak, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdp FIS Revenue kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11
Upaya pajak (aktual terhadap estimasi kapasitas pajak)IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effort FIS Revenue kapasitas adaptif 1 COUNTRY
Pendapatan sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap pendapatan pemerintah umumIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share FIS Revenue vulnerability % COUNTRY
Belanja pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdp FIS Expenditure context % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS
Belanja kaku, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue FIS Expenditure vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pembayaran bunga, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue FIS Expenditure vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS
Utang bruto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS
Utang neto pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP
Porsi valuta asing dalam utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.fx_share FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY
Porsi jangka pendek utang pemerintah umum (sisa jatuh tempo)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY
Rata-rata waktu jatuh tempo utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability a COUNTRY
Kepemilikan nonresiden atas utang pemerintah umumIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY
Porsi konsesional utang luar negeri pemerintahIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS
Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS
Nilai kini utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap eksporIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports FIS Debt stock and composition vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS
Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto pemerintah, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp FIS Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap pendapatanIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue FIS Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pembayaran utang luar negeri pemerintah, porsi terhadap eksporIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports FIS Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1
Selisih imbal hasil obligasi negara terhadap acuanIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread FIS Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto vulnerability % COUNTRY
Selisih credit default swap negara lima tahunIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5y FIS Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto vulnerability % COUNTRY
Utang badan usaha publik nonkeuangan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp FIS Kewajiban kontinjensi vulnerability % COUNTRY
Jaminan pemerintah yang beredar, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp FIS Kewajiban kontinjensi vulnerability % COUNTRY
Perkiraan biaya fiskal tahunan akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp FIS Kewajiban kontinjensi vulnerability % COUNTRY
Skor indikator komposit LIC-DSF (terbitan, rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator FIS Debt-carrying capacity kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: nilai kini utang luar negeri terhadap PDB (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdp FIS Debt-carrying capacity context % COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: nilai kini utang luar negeri terhadap ekspor (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exports FIS Debt-carrying capacity context % COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: pembayaran utang luar negeri terhadap ekspor (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exports FIS Debt-carrying capacity context % COUNTRY
Ambang LIC-DSF: pembayaran utang luar negeri terhadap pendapatan (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenue FIS Debt-carrying capacity context % COUNTRY
Tolok ukur LIC-DSF: nilai kini total utang publik terhadap PDB (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdp FIS Debt-carrying capacity context % COUNTRY
Risiko kesulitan utang LIC-DSF, sesuai terbitan (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_published FIS Debt-carrying capacity context {class} COUNTRY
Risiko tekanan negara keseluruhan SRDSF, sesuai terbitan (rujukan)IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_published FIS Debt-carrying capacity context {class} COUNTRY
Modal regulasi terhadap aset tertimbang menurut risikoIND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwa FIN Capital adequacy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSKRC_PT
Modal Tier 1 terhadap aset tertimbang menurut risikoIND.FIN.capital.tier1_rwa FIN Capital adequacy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSKRTC_PT
Modal Common Equity Tier 1 terhadap aset tertimbang menurut risikoIND.FIN.capital.cet1_rwa FIN Capital adequacy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSCET_PT
Modal terhadap total aset (leverage)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assets FIN Capital adequacy kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSKA_PT WB_WDI FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS
Kredit bermasalah setelah dikurangi pencadangan terhadap modalIND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capital FIN Capital adequacy vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSKNL_PT
Kredit bermasalah terhadap total kredit brutoIND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratio FIN Asset quality vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSANL_PT WB_WDI FB.AST.NPER.ZS
Pencadangan terhadap kredit bermasalahIND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_npl FIN Asset quality kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSPN_PT
Konsentrasi kredit menurut kegiatan ekonomiIND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentration FIN Asset quality vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSCLE_PT
Tagihan bank kepada pemerintah umum, porsi terhadap aset bankIND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposure FIN Asset quality vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSASDG_PT
Imbal hasil asetIND.FIN.earnings.roa FIN Earnings kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSERA_PT
Imbal hasil ekuitasIND.FIN.earnings.roe FIN Earnings kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSERE_PT
Aset likuid terhadap total asetIND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_total FIN Liquidity and funding kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSLT_PT WB_WDI FD.RES.LIQU.AS.ZS
Aset likuid terhadap kewajiban jangka pendekIND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilities FIN Liquidity and funding kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSLS_PT
Rasio kecukupan likuiditasIND.FIN.liquidity.lcr FIN Liquidity and funding kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSLCR_PT
Rasio pendanaan stabil bersihIND.FIN.liquidity.nsfr FIN Liquidity and funding kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSNSF_PT
Simpanan nasabah terhadap total kredit non-antarbankIND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loans FIN Liquidity and funding kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSCD_PT
Posisi devisa neto terhadap modal (absolut)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capital FIN Foreign-exchange risk vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSSNO_PT
Kredit valuta asing, porsi terhadap total kredit (dolarisasi kredit)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_share FIN Foreign-exchange risk vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSFC_PT
Simpanan valuta asing, porsi terhadap total simpanan (dolarisasi simpanan)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_share FIN Foreign-exchange risk vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSFCD_PT
Kredit domestik kepada sektor swasta, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIN.depth.private_credit.gdp FIN Financial depth and inclusion context % COUNTRY WB_WDI FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS WB_WDI GFDD.DI.14
Kesenjangan kredit terhadap PDB (BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gap FIN Financial depth and inclusion vulnerability % COUNTRY
Pertumbuhan riil kredit kepada sektor swastaIND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growth FIN Financial depth and inclusion vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSCGPS_PT
Utang rumah tangga, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp FIN Financial depth and inclusion vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSHG_PT
Utang korporasi nonkeuangan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdp FIN Financial depth and inclusion vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSTDGDP_PT
Kepemilikan rekening, orang dewasaIND.FIN.depth.account_ownership FIN Financial depth and inclusion kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2
Pertumbuhan riil harga properti residensialIND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growth FIN Real estate vulnerability % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSREPRR_PC_CP_A_PT
Rasio harga rumah terhadap pendapatan, deviasi dari rata-rata jangka panjangIND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gap FIN Real estate vulnerability % COUNTRY, CITY
Aset korporasi keuangan lainnya, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FIN.nbfi.ofc_assets.gdp FIN Non-bank financial intermediation context % COUNTRY IMF_FSI FSFAG_PT
Penetrasi asuransi (premi terhadap PDB)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration FIN Non-bank financial intermediation kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10
Kesenjangan perlindungan bencana alamIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap FIN Non-bank financial intermediation vulnerability % REGION, COUNTRY
Eksposur bank terhadap sektor padat karbonIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Kredit bank yang terpapar risiko iklim fisik tinggiIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending FIN Climate-related financial exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Keterbukaan perdagangan (ekspor ditambah impor, porsi terhadap PDB)IND.ECO.trade.trade_openness.gdp ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS
Penerimaan pariwisata internasional, porsi terhadap eksporIND.ECO.trade.tourism_receipts.exports ECO Perdagangan vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI ST.INT.RCPT.XP.ZS
Remitansi perorangan yang diterima, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2
Bantuan pembangunan resmi neto yang diterima, porsi terhadap PNBIND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni ECO Perdagangan keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS
Konsentrasi produk ekspor (HHI ternormalisasi)IND.ECO.concentration.export_product_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pasar ekspor (HHI ternormalisasi)IND.ECO.concentration.export_market_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Ketergantungan pada ekspor komoditasIND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN
Barang manufaktur, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.ECO.concentration.manufactures_export_share ECO Export and import concentration kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.MANF.ZS.UN
Rente sumber daya alam, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS
Indeks kompleksitas ekonomiIND.ECO.concentration.economic_complexity ECO Export and import concentration kapasitas adaptif {score} COUNTRY
Impor pangan, porsi terhadap impor barangIND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN
Impor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap impor barangIND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Ketergantungan impor neto untuk mineral kritisIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi asal impor (HHI ternormalisasi)IND.ECO.concentration.import_partner_hhi ECO Export and import concentration vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Porsi nilai tambah asing dalam ekspor brutoIND.ECO.supply_chain.gvc_backward_participation ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor barang setengah jadiIND.ECO.supply_chain.intermediate_supplier_concentration ECO Supply-chain exposure vulnerability % COUNTRY
Perdagangan laut yang terpapar titik sempit maritimIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure ECO Supply-chain exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Arus masuk neto investasi asing langsung, porsi terhadap PDBIND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp ECO Investasi kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Acute climate extremes keterpaparan % SITE, PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(c)
Intensitas karbon PDBIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp CLI Emissions keterpaparan kg/[USD] COUNTRY WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions CLI Emissions keterpaparan Mt/a PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi)
Rente bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS
Ekspor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Subsidi eksplisit bahan bakar fosil, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % COUNTRY
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share CLI Transition exposure keterpaparan % PORTFOLIO IFRS_S2 29(b)
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan multibahaya, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Kerugian maksimum yang mungkin pada periode ulang 250 tahun, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp HAZ Multi-hazard impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan akibat gempa bumi, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdp HAZ Seismic and volcanic impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan akibat banjir sungai, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdp HAZ Flood impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO
Rata-rata kerugian tahunan akibat siklon tropis, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdp HAZ Tropical and severe storms impact % COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
Stok modal terbangunIND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stock HAZ Keterpaparan context [USD] COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO
PDB yang dihasilkan di zona bahaya tinggi, porsiIND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.share HAZ Keterpaparan keterpaparan % COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY
Kerugian ekonomi langsung akibat bencana, porsi terhadap PDBIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp HAZ Losses and impacts impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2
Kerusakan akibat bencana tercatat, porsi terhadap PDB, rata-rata 30 tahunIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdp HAZ Losses and impacts impact % COUNTRY EMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$)
PDB di sektor yang sangat bergantung pada alam, porsiIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share ENV Nature dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO
Skor dasar cekaman air (sub-DAS)IND.WAT.stress.baseline_water_stress WAT Tekanan air hazard {score} COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE, PORTFOLIO
Efisiensi penggunaan airIND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency WAT Tekanan air kapasitas adaptif [USD]/m3 COUNTRY SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD
PDB dalam kegiatan yang bergantung pada GNSS, porsiIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share SPC Space-service dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102
Rasio ketergantungan impor serealiaIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency FOO Availability vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21035
Tagihan impor pangan, porsi terhadap ekspor barangIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports FOO Food prices vulnerability % COUNTRY FAO_FAOSTAT 21033
Nilai tambah pertanian, kehutanan, dan perikanan, porsi terhadap PDBIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp FOO Agricultural production and dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Tingkat partisipasi angkatan kerja perempuanIND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation SOC Gender kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI SL.TLF.CACT.FE.ZS
Pekerjaan informal, porsi terhadap total pekerjaanIND.SOC.protection.informal_employment SOC Perlindungan sosial vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 8.3.1 ILO SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT WB_WDI SL.ISV.IFRM.ZS
Belanja militer, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp CON Organised violence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS
Efisiensi mobilisasi pendapatan (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration GOV Policy and institutional quality kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ
Deviasi realisasi anggaran dari anggaran yang disetujuiIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation GOV Policy and institutional quality vulnerability % COUNTRY SDG 16.6.1
Skor lingkungan usaha (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall GOV Business environment kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY
Tagihan impor bahan bakar, porsi terhadap ekspor barang dan jasaIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability % COUNTRY WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
Konsentrasi pemasok impor minyak mentah dan produknyaIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor gas alamIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor batu baraIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration ENE Supply security and import dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Konsentrasi pemasok impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Porsi pemasok tunggal terbesar dalam impor mineral kritisIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share ENE Mineral kritis vulnerability % COUNTRY
Kinerja logistikIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan {score} COUNTRY WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ
Konektivitas pelayaran reguler relatif terhadap batas terbaikIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity INF Transportasi kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ
Kesenjangan investasi infrastruktur, porsi terhadap PDBIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp INF Utilities vulnerability % COUNTRY
Kerugian ekonomi langsung pada infrastruktur kritis, porsi terhadap PDBIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp INF Service disruption impact % COUNTRY, ADM1 SENDAI C-5
Nilai tambah layanan TIK, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp CYB Digital dependence keterpaparan % COUNTRY WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS
Ekspor teknologi tinggi, porsi terhadap ekspor manufakturIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports TEC Technology capability kapasitas adaptif % COUNTRY WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
Konsentrasi pemasok impor semikonduktorIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration TEC Concentration and dependence vulnerability 1 COUNTRY
Strategi pembiayaan risiko bencana telah diadopsiIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY
Partisipasi dalam pool risiko regional negaraIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan {bool} COUNTRY
Kredit kontinjensi bencana yang disiapkan sebelumnya, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY
Batas transfer risiko katastrofe negara, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY
Kesenjangan perlindungan asuransi bencana alamIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap CRS Risk financing and protection gap vulnerability % COUNTRY
Premi asuransi umum, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration CRS Risk financing and protection gap kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY
Dukungan resmi internasional untuk PRB yang diterima, porsi terhadap PDBIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp CRS Response capacity kapasitas penanggulangan % COUNTRY SENDAI F-1
05Bahaya

Hazard families this series reads

families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.

FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
MasyarakatSistemik177HAZARDS
2 hazard domains (inner ring) and 18 families (outer ring), sized by hazard count. Select a segment to filter the table below. Source: Hazard Standard Nexus Hazard Standard.
Keluarga Domain Bahaya Jumlah
Supply-chain and flow disruption Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … 17
Cascading failure Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … 10
Compound and multi-hazard events Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … 9
Structural fragility of interconnected systems Peristiwa sistemik dan majemuk Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … 11
Organised and collective violence Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence 5
Conflict-induced harm Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial 4
Humanitarian crises Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption 6
Crowd and collective behaviour Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster 3
Economic shocks and governance failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty 8
Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … 15
Governance and institutional failure Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … 18
Financial-system fragility Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … 12
Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … 12
Labour and technology transition Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock 7
Population structure and movement Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … 12
Social cohesion and atrocity risk Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … 9
Organised crime and illicit economies Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … 12
Cultural heritage loss Masyarakat, konflik, dan ekonomi Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation 7
06Keterkaitan

How shocks cascade across systems

FIG 5 · Expected direct couplings between systems (row affects column)
WAT ENE FOO HLT BIO FIN TRD INF DIG SEC
Air
Weak expected couplingModerate expected couplingStrong expected coupling
Schematic: the couplings the Coupling instrument expects to estimate. Strengths here are expectations from the literature the edition will cite, not estimates; each becomes ◆ ESTIMATED with its method and references in an edition.
FIG 6 · Simulator: how a shock cascades across systems
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.2
–
berjalan di peramban Anda

AirEnergiPanganKesehatanKeanekaragaman hayatiKeuanganPerdaganganInfrastrukturDigitalKeamanan

Simulator: a threshold cascade on a schematic network of systems. Edge strengths are expected couplings (weak, moderate, strong), not estimates; the shock, coupling, threshold and buffers are yours. NXS-GRX estimates couplings per edition before any coupled value is published.
07Metode

Method libraries

Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.

57 methods

Risiko keuangan

Probability of Default · Loss Given Default · Exposure at Default · Expected Credit Loss · Unexpected Credit Loss · Credit Migration · Structural Credit Merton …

21 methods

Jaringan, ketergantungan, dan risiko sistemik

Dependency Graph · Centrality · Critical Node · Cascading Failure · Contagion · Percolation · Interdependency …

08Users

Who uses it

Regulators, supervisors and central banks

Design supervisory scenarios. Read systemic coupling. Replicate methods.

Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors

Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.

International financial institutions and development banks

Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.

Governments and national risk agencies

Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.

09Laporan

Edisi Nexus Reports

Edition code
SR-08
Edition status
direncanakan
Subjek
Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning

Edisi Nexus Reports

10Kutip

Kutip dan gunakan kembali

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Financial contagion and systemic finance series (GRX-SER-SR-08), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-08/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000081.
Series key
grix:SER.SR-08:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Domain keys
nis:IDX.FIN.capital.financial_stability_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A

Every country reads this series

Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.

Profil negara Semua seri

Status

Metodologi, struktur, dan definisi The Global Risks Index merupakan draf kerja persiapan (2026), yang diedarkan untuk ditinjau dan dikomentari, bukan untuk diterapkan. Tidak ada nilai yang ditampilkan sampai sebuah edisi dirilis dari pemotongan bukti yang diatur; nilai-nilai tersebut kemudian memuat interval, kelas, sumber, dan jalur koreksinya. Simulator menjalankan metode yang diterbitkan pada angka yang Anda pilih dan tidak pernah menampilkan nilai NXS-GRX.

Apa yang bukan NXS-GRX

NXS-GRX adalah informasi riset dan analitik risiko. NXS-GRX bukan peringkat kredit atau ESG dan tidak memakai skala peringkat, bukan acuan untuk instrumen keuangan, bukan statistik resmi, bukan peringatan darurat atau klasifikasi resmi, dan bukan nasihat. NXS-GRX tidak boleh digunakan untuk menilai orang perseorangan. Kelas risiko adalah pita pada skala yang diterbitkan, tidak pernah peringkat negara atau orang.

Lembaga dan sumber

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

Setiap nilai memuat atribusi sumbernya, yang tetap memiliki lisensinya masing-masing. Nama-nama eksternal dikutip semata-mata untuk interoperabilitas. Teks yang disusun Nexus direncanakan berlisensi CC BY 4.0 saat dirilis.

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.