The Global Risks Index · SR-08 · Strategic systems series
Vegirtina darayî û darayiya pergalî
Rûbirûbûnên bi hev ve girêdayî, girêdanên deynê serwerî û bankan, vegerandina herikînên sermiyanê û vegirtin bi rêya torên darayî.
Page GRX-SER-SR-08Edition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Subject NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) proposedNexus Reports SR-08 (planned)Values not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Series at a glance
Îndeksên waran
1
Financial stability risk
Nîşander
150
4 index domains
Hazard families
18
Systemic and compound events · Society, conflict and economy.
Rêbaz
78
Financial risk · Networks, dependency and systemic risk.
1
domain indices
150
indicators in scope
2
hazard domains
4
client groups
01Çarçove
Scope and questions
The subject of this index is proposed by NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk); the Nexus Reports edition with the same code sets its own subject at commissioning, and any difference is recorded as a crosswalk.
- Where would a default propagate through financial links?
- How tight is the sovereign–bank loop?
- Which economies are exposed to sudden stops?
02Construction
Domain indices to the series index
The series index is the expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices, with the intervals and class rule of the methodology.
computation
How the Financial contagion and systemic finance index is built
Graph5 nodes
Grafîk
01Îndeksên waran
02Series index
03Readings
100%
Lîste
-
Financial stability riskDomain index · IDX · FINExpert-weighted Mazziotta–Pareto aggregation of the six financial sub-indices and the MAC macroeconomic instability sub-index, each on 0–10, with a penalty for unbalanced profiles.
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Financial contagion and systemic finance indexSeries index · SERIES · SR-08Rûbirûbûnên bi hev ve girêdayî, girêdanên deynê serwerî û bankan, vegerandina herikînên sermiyanê û vegirtin bi rêya torên darayî.
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Country readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 195 profilesPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Regional readingsOutput · OUTPUT · 5 regionsPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
-
Global readingOutput · OUTPUT · population or exposure weightedPublished with intervals and classes when the edition is released.
Not runDi pêvajoyê deQediya
03Îndeks
Domain indices in this series
The Global Risks Index · SR-08 · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Financial contagion and systemic finance index, world
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
| Navnîşan | Nirx | Guhertin | Guhertin % | 90% interval | Class · probability | Meyl | Navber |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial stability riskNXS-GRX · FIN |
– | – | – | – | – |
Domains read: Financial system, Fiscal and public debt, Economic structure and trade, Macroeconomy.
04Nîşander
150 indicators in scope
Every indicator whose primary or secondary domain is in scope, with unit, levels and crosswalks to source code lists.
FIG 3 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
| Nîşander | Qad | Sub-domain | Component | Yekîne | Ast | Crosswalks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Berhema navxweyî ya giştî, dolarên DYA yên heyîIND.MAC.output.gdp.usd |
MAC | Output and growth | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.MKTP.CD IMF_WEO NGDPD |
GDP ji bo her kesî, PPP (ICP 2021)IND.MAC.output.gdp_per_capita.ppp21 |
MAC | Output and growth | coping capacity | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD |
Mezinbûna rastîn a GDPIND.MAC.output.real_gdp_growth |
MAC | Output and growth | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG IMF_WEO NGDP_RPCH |
Guhêrbariya mezinbûna rastîn a GDP (10 salî)IND.MAC.output.growth_volatility |
MAC | Output and growth | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Enflasyona bihayên xerîdaranIND.MAC.prices.cpi_inflation |
MAC | Prices and inflation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG IMF_WEO PCPIPCH |
Enflasyona bihayên xwarinêIND.MAC.prices.food_inflation |
MAC | Prices and inflation | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT CP |
Hevsengiya hesabê heyî, para GDPIND.MAC.external.current_account.gdp |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BN.CAB.XOKA.GD.ZS IMF_WEO BCA_NGDPD |
Rezerv bi mehên îthalatêIND.MAC.external.reserves_import_cover |
MAC | External balance and reserves | coping capacity | mo |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FI.RES.TOTL.MO |
Deynê derve yê kurtdem, para rezervanIND.MAC.external.short_term_debt_to_reserves |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.DSTC.IR.ZS |
Stoka deynê derve, para GNIIND.MAC.external.external_debt.gni |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS |
Guhêrbariya rêjeya danûstandinê (36 mehî)IND.MAC.monetary.exchange_rate_volatility |
MAC | Monetary and exchange-rate conditions | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Rêjeya bêkariyêIND.MAC.labour.unemployment_rate |
MAC | Labour market | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.5.2 ILO UNE_DEAP_SEX_AGE_RT |
Hinardekirina mal û xizmetan, dolarên DYA yên heyîIND.MAC.external.exports.usd |
MAC | External balance and reserves | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.GSR.GNFS.CD WB_WDI NE.EXP.GNFS.CD |
Guhêrbariya mercên bazirganiyê (10 salî)IND.MAC.external.terms_of_trade_volatility |
MAC | External balance and reserves | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Hevsengiya giştî ya hikûmeta giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.balance.overall_balance.gdp |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXCNL_NGDP WB_WDI GC.NLD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Hevsengiya seretayî ya hikûmeta giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.balance.primary_balance.gdp |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXONLB_NGDP |
Hevsengiya avahîsaz a hikûmeta giştî, para GDP ya potansiyelIND.FIS.balance.structural_balance.potgdp |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGSB_NPGDP |
Interest-rate-growth differential (r – g)IND.FIS.balance.interest_growth_differential |
FIS | Fiscal balance | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Dahata hikûmeta giştî, dolarên DYA yên heyîIND.FIS.revenue.total.usd |
FIS | Revenue | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY | IMF_GFS 1 |
Dahata hikûmeta giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.revenue.total.gdp |
FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGR_NGDP SDG 17.1.1 WB_WDI GC.REV.XGRT.GD.ZS |
Dahata bacê, para GDPIND.FIS.revenue.tax.gdp |
FIS | Revenue | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS IMF_GFS 11 |
Hewla bacê (rastîn li hember kapasîteya bacê ya texmînkirî)IND.FIS.revenue.tax_effort |
FIS | Revenue | adaptive capacity | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Dahata çavkaniyên xwezayî, para dahata hikûmeta giştîIND.FIS.revenue.resource_revenue_share |
FIS | Revenue | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Lêçûnên hikûmeta giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.expenditure.total.gdp |
FIS | Expenditure | context | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGX_NGDP WB_WDI GC.XPN.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Lêçûnên hişk, para dahatêIND.FIS.expenditure.rigid_share.revenue |
FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Dayîna faîzê, para dahatêIND.FIS.expenditure.interest.revenue |
FIS | Expenditure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GC.XPN.INTP.RV.ZS |
Deynê gelemperî yê hikûmeta giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.debt.gross_debt.gdp |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDG_NGDP WB_WDI GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS |
Deynê net ê hikûmeta giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.debt.net_debt.gdp |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_WEO GGXWDN_NGDP |
Para dirava biyanî di deynê hikûmeta giştî deIND.FIS.debt.fx_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Para kurtdem a deynê hikûmeta giştî (mehdûdiya mayî)IND.FIS.debt.short_term_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Navgîniya dema heta mehdûdiyê ya deynê hikûmeta giştîIND.FIS.debt.average_maturity |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | a |
COUNTRY | |
Deynê hikûmeta giştî yê di destê nerûniştvanan deIND.FIS.debt.nonresident_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Para bi mercên nerm a deynê derve yê giştîIND.FIS.debt.concessional_share |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.ALLC.ZS |
Nirxa niha ya deynê derve yê giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.gdp |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.GN.ZS |
Nirxa niha ya deynê derve yê giştî, para hinardekirinêIND.FIS.debt.external_ppg_pv.exports |
FIS | Debt stock and composition | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.DOD.PVLX.EX.ZS |
Pêdiviyên darayîkirinê yên gelemperî yên giştî, para GDPIND.FIS.financing.gross_financing_needs.gdp |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Xizmeta deynê derve yê giştî, para dahatêIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.revenue |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Xizmeta deynê derve yê giştî, para hinardekirinêIND.FIS.financing.external_ppg_debt_service.exports |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.TDS.DPPG.XP.ZS SDG 17.4.1 |
Cudahiya bondên serwerî li hember pîvana referansêIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_spread |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Cudahiya credit default swap a serwerî ya pênc salîIND.FIS.financing.sovereign_cds_5y |
FIS | Gross financing needs | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Deynê pargîdaniyên giştî yên nedarayî, para GDPIND.FIS.contingent.soe_debt.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Garantiyên hikûmetê yên berdewam, para GDPIND.FIS.contingent.guarantees.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Lêçûna darayî ya salane ya hêvîkirî ya karesatan, para GDPIND.FIS.contingent.disaster_fiscal_cost.gdp |
FIS | Contingent liabilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Puana nîşanderê hevedudanî ya LIC-DSF (weşandî, referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_composite_indicator |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
Sînorê LIC-DSF: PV ya deynê derve li hember GDP (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_gdp |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
Sînorê LIC-DSF: PV ya deynê derve li hember hinardekirinê (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_ext_exports |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
Sînorê LIC-DSF: xizmeta deynê derve li hember hinardekirinê (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_exports |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
Sînorê LIC-DSF: xizmeta deynê derve li hember dahatê (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.ds_ext_revenue |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
Pîvana LIC-DSF: PV ya tevahiya deynê giştî li hember GDP (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_threshold.pv_public_gdp |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | % |
COUNTRY | |
Xetera tengasiya deynê ya LIC-DSF, wekî hatiye weşandin (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.lic_dsf_risk_published |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} |
COUNTRY | |
Xetera giştî ya stresa serwerî ya SRDSF, wekî hatiye weşandin (referans)IND.FIS.capacity.srdsf_risk_published |
FIS | Debt-carrying capacity | context | {class} |
COUNTRY | |
Sermayeya rêziknameyî li hember malûmilkên bi xetereyê giraniyê hatî kirinIND.FIN.capital.regulatory_capital_rwa |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKRC_PT |
Sermayeya Tier 1 li hember malûmilkên bi xetereyê giraniyê hatî kirinIND.FIN.capital.tier1_rwa |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKRTC_PT |
Sermayeya Common Equity Tier 1 li hember malûmilkên bi xetereyê giraniyê hatî kirinIND.FIN.capital.cet1_rwa |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCET_PT |
Sermaye li hember tevahiya malûmilkan (leverage)IND.FIN.capital.capital_to_assets |
FIN | Capital adequacy | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKA_PT WB_WDI FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS |
Deynên nexebitî yên bê teredarkirin li hember sermayeyêIND.FIN.capital.npl_net_capital |
FIN | Capital adequacy | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSKNL_PT |
Deynên nexebitî li hember tevahiya deynên gelemperîIND.FIN.asset_quality.npl_ratio |
FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSANL_PT WB_WDI FB.AST.NPER.ZS |
Teredarkirin li hember deynên nexebitîIND.FIN.asset_quality.provisions_to_npl |
FIN | Asset quality | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSPN_PT |
Komkirina deynan li gorî çalakiya aborîIND.FIN.asset_quality.loan_concentration |
FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCLE_PT |
Daxwazên bankan li ser hikûmeta giştî, para malûmilkên bankanIND.FIN.asset_quality.sovereign_exposure |
FIN | Asset quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSASDG_PT |
Vegera li ser malûmilkanIND.FIN.earnings.roa |
FIN | Earnings | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSERA_PT |
Vegera li ser sermayeya xwedîtiyêIND.FIN.earnings.roe |
FIN | Earnings | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSERE_PT |
Malûmilkên şil li hember tevahiya malûmilkanIND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_total |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLT_PT WB_WDI FD.RES.LIQU.AS.ZS |
Malûmilkên şil li hember berpirsiyariyên kurtdemIND.FIN.liquidity.liquid_assets_st_liabilities |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLS_PT |
Rêjeya pêgirtina şilbûnêIND.FIN.liquidity.lcr |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSLCR_PT |
Rêjeya darayîkirina aram a netIND.FIN.liquidity.nsfr |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSNSF_PT |
Depoyên xerîdaran li hember tevahiya deynên ne-navbankîIND.FIN.liquidity.deposits_to_loans |
FIN | Liquidity and funding | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCD_PT |
Pozîsyona vekirî ya net a dirava biyanî li hember sermayeyê (mutleq)IND.FIN.fx.net_open_position_capital |
FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSSNO_PT |
Deynên bi dirava biyanî, para tevahiya deynan (dolarîbûna krediyê)IND.FIN.fx.fx_loans_share |
FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFC_PT |
Depoyên bi dirava biyanî, para tevahiya depoyan (dolarîbûna depoyan)IND.FIN.fx.fx_deposits_share |
FIN | Foreign-exchange risk | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFCD_PT |
Krediya navxweyî ji bo sektora taybet, para GDPIND.FIN.depth.private_credit.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | context | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS WB_WDI GFDD.DI.14 |
Valahiya kredî li hember GDP (BIS)IND.FIN.depth.credit_gap |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Mezinbûna rastîn a krediyê ji bo sektora taybetIND.FIN.depth.private_credit_growth |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSCGPS_PT |
Deynê malbatan, para GDPIND.FIN.depth.household_debt.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSHG_PT |
Deynê pargîdaniyên nedarayî, para GDPIND.FIN.depth.nfc_debt.gdp |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSTDGDP_PT |
Xwedîtiya hesabê, mezinIND.FIN.depth.account_ownership |
FIN | Financial depth and inclusion | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS SDG 8.10.2 |
Mezinbûna rastîn a bihayê xaniyanIND.FIN.housing.real_house_price_growth |
FIN | Real estate | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSREPRR_PC_CP_A_PT |
Rêjeya bihayê xaniyan li hember dahatê, dûrketina ji navgîniya demdirêjIND.FIN.housing.price_to_income_gap |
FIN | Real estate | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY, CITY | |
Malûmilkên pargîdaniyên darayî yên din, para GDPIND.FIN.nbfi.ofc_assets.gdp |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | context | % |
COUNTRY | IMF_FSI FSFAG_PT |
Belavbûna sîgortayê (prîm li hember GDP)IND.FIN.nbfi.insurance_penetration |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI GFDD.DI.09 WB_WDI GFDD.DI.10 |
Valahiya parastinê ya karesatên xwezayîIND.FIN.nbfi.nat_cat_protection_gap |
FIN | Non-bank financial intermediation | vulnerability | % |
REGION, COUNTRY | |
Rûbirûbûna bankan bi sektorên bi karbona zêdeIND.FIN.climate_finance.carbon_intensive_exposure |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Deyndayîna bankan a li ber xetera avhewayî ya fîzîkî ya bilindIND.FIN.climate_finance.physical_risk_lending |
FIN | Climate-related financial exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Vekirîbûna bazirganiyê (hinardekirin û îthalat, para GDP)IND.ECO.trade.trade_openness.gdp |
ECO | Bazirganî | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS |
Dahatên tûrîzma navneteweyî, para hinardekirinêIND.ECO.trade.tourism_receipts.exports |
ECO | Bazirganî | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI ST.INT.RCPT.XP.ZS |
Pereyên şandî yên kesane yên wergirtî, para GDPIND.ECO.trade.remittances.gdp |
ECO | Bazirganî | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS SDG 17.3.2 |
Alîkariya fermî ya net a pêşketinê ya wergirtî, para GNIIND.ECO.trade.oda_dependence.gni |
ECO | Bazirganî | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI DT.ODA.ODAT.GN.ZS |
Komkirina berhemên hinardekirinê (HHI ya normalîzekirî)IND.ECO.concentration.export_product_hhi |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Komkirina bazarên hinardekirinê (HHI ya normalîzekirî)IND.ECO.concentration.export_market_hhi |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Girêdayîbûna bi hinardekirina kelûmelên xavIND.ECO.concentration.commodity_export_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.MMTL.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN WB_WDI TX.VAL.AGRI.ZS.UN |
Berhemên çêkirî, para hinardekirina kelûmelanIND.ECO.concentration.manufactures_export_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.MANF.ZS.UN |
Kirêyên çavkaniyên xwezayî, para GDPIND.ECO.concentration.natural_resource_rents.gdp |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.TOTL.RT.ZS |
Îndeksa tevlîheviya aborîIND.ECO.concentration.economic_complexity |
ECO | Export and import concentration | adaptive capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
Îthalata xwarinê, para îthalata kelûmelanIND.ECO.concentration.food_import_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FOOD.ZS.UN |
Îthalata sotemeniyê, para îthalata kelûmelanIND.ECO.concentration.fuel_import_share |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
Girêdayîbûna net bi îthalatê ji bo mîneralên girîngIND.ECO.concentration.critical_minerals_import_reliance |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Komkirina eslê îthalatê (HHI ya normalîzekirî)IND.ECO.concentration.import_partner_hhi |
ECO | Export and import concentration | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Para nirxa zêdekirî ya biyanî di hinardekirina gelemperî deIND.ECO.supply_chain.gvc_backward_participation |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Komkirina dabînkeran di îthalata kelûmelên navîn deIND.ECO.supply_chain.intermediate_supplier_concentration |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Bazirganiya deryayî ya li ber tengavên deryayîIND.ECO.supply_chain.chokepoint_exposure |
ECO | Supply-chain exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Hatina net a veberhênana biyanî ya rasterast, para GDPIND.ECO.investment.fdi_inflows.gdp |
ECO | Veberhênan | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related physical risks, shareIND.CLI.physical_acute.physical_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Acute climate extremes | exposure | % |
SITE, PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(c) |
Tundiya karbonê ya GDPIND.CLI.emissions.carbon_intensity_gdp |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | kg/[USD] |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI EN.GHG.CO2.RT.GDP.KD SDG 9.4.1 |
Financed emissions of a portfolioIND.CLI.emissions.financed_emissions |
CLI | Emissions | exposure | Mt/a |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(a)(vi) |
Kirêyên sotemeniyên fosîl, para GDPIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_rents.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NY.GDP.PETR.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.NGAS.RT.ZS WB_WDI NY.GDP.COAL.RT.ZS |
Hinardekirina sotemeniyê, para hinardekirina kelûmelanIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_exports.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
Sûbvansiyonên eşkere yên sotemeniyên fosîl, para GDPIND.CLI.transition.fossil_fuel_subsidies.gdp |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | |
Assets vulnerable to climate-related transition risks, shareIND.CLI.transition.transition_risk_vulnerable_assets.share |
CLI | Transition exposure | exposure | % |
PORTFOLIO | IFRS_S2 29(b) |
Windabûna salane ya navîn a pirmetirsî, para GDPIND.HAZ.multi.aal.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Windabûna herî zêde ya muhtemel di heyama vegerê ya 250 salî de, para GDPIND.HAZ.multi.pml_rp250.gdp |
HAZ | Multi-hazard | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
Windabûna salane ya navîn a erdhejê, para GDPIND.HAZ.seismic.eq_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Seismic and volcanic | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Windabûna salane ya navîn a lehiya çeman, para GDPIND.HAZ.flood.flood_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Flood | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, PORTFOLIO | |
Windabûna salane ya navîn a bahoza tropîkal, para GDPIND.HAZ.storm.tc_aal.gdp |
HAZ | Tropical and severe storms | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
Stoka sermayeya hilberandîIND.HAZ.exposure.capital_stock |
HAZ | Rûbirûbûn | context | [USD] |
COUNTRY, ADM1, PORTFOLIO | |
GDP ya li herêmên bi metirsiya bilind tê hilberandin, paraIND.HAZ.exposure.gdp_exposed.share |
HAZ | Rûbirûbûn | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY | |
Windabûna aborî ya rasterast ji karesatan, para GDPIND.HAZ.loss.direct_economic_loss.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-1 SDG 1.5.2 |
Zirara tomarkirî ya karesatan, para GDP, navgîniya 30 salîIND.HAZ.loss.recorded_disaster_damage.gdp |
HAZ | Losses and impacts | impact | % |
COUNTRY | EMDAT Total Damage, Adjusted ('000 US$) |
GDP ya di sektorên pir girêdayî xwezayê de, paraIND.ENV.nature_dependence.nature_dependent_gdp.share |
ENV | Nature dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | |
Puana stresa avê ya bingehîn (binhewz)IND.WAT.stress.baseline_water_stress |
WAT | Water stress | hazard | {score} |
COUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID, SITE, PORTFOLIO | |
Kêrhatîbûna bikaranîna avêIND.WAT.stress.water_use_efficiency |
WAT | Water stress | adaptive capacity | [USD]/m3 |
COUNTRY | SDG 6.4.1 WB_WDI ER.GDP.FWTL.M3.KD |
GDP ya di çalakiyên girêdayî GNSS de, paraIND.SPC.dependence.gnss_dependent_gdp.share |
SPC | Space-service dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY, PORTFOLIO | UNDRR_HIPS_2025 ET0102 |
Rêjeya girêdayîbûna bi îthalata dexlêIND.FOO.availability.cereal_import_dependency |
FOO | Availability | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21035 |
Fatûreya îthalata xwarinê, para hinardekirina kelûmelanIND.FOO.prices.food_import_bill_to_exports |
FOO | Food prices | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | FAO_FAOSTAT 21033 |
Nirxa zêdekirî ya çandinî, daristanî û masîgiriyê, para GDPIND.FOO.agriculture.agri_value_added.gdp |
FOO | Agricultural production and dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS |
Rêjeya beşdariya jinan di hêza kar deIND.SOC.gender.female_labour_participation |
SOC | Gender | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI SL.TLF.CACT.FE.ZS |
Karê nefermî, para tevahiya karanIND.SOC.protection.informal_employment |
SOC | Social protection | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 8.3.1 ILO SDG_0831_SEX_ECO_RT WB_WDI SL.ISV.IFRM.ZS |
Lêçûnên leşkerî, para GDPIND.CON.violence.military_expenditure.gdp |
CON | Organised violence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS |
Kêrhatîbûna komkirina dahatê (CPIA)IND.GOV.policy.tax_administration |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IQ.CPA.REVN.XQ |
Dûrketina pêkanîna budceyê ji budceya pejirandîIND.GOV.policy.budget_execution_deviation |
GOV | Policy and institutional quality | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | SDG 16.6.1 |
Puana jîngeha karsaziyê (B-READY)IND.GOV.business.bready_overall |
GOV | Business environment | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | |
Fatûreya îthalata sotemeniyê, para hinardekirina mal û xizmetanIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN |
Komkirina dabînkerên îthalata petrola xav û berhemên wêIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Komkirina dabînkerên îthalata gaza xwezayîIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Komkirina dabînkerên îthalata komirêIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration |
ENE | Supply security and import dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Komkirina dabînkerên îthalata mîneralên girîngIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration |
ENE | Critical minerals | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Para dabînkerê herî mezin ê yekane di îthalata mîneralên girîng deIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share |
ENE | Critical minerals | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Performansa lojîstîkêIND.INF.transport.logistics_performance |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | {score} |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI LP.LPI.OVRL.XQ |
Girêdana keştiyên xetê li gorî asta herî pêşketîIND.INF.transport.liner_shipping_connectivity |
INF | Transport | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI IS.SHP.GCNW.XQ |
Valahiya veberhênana binesaziyê, para GDPIND.INF.utilities.infrastructure_investment_gap.gdp |
INF | Utilities | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Windabûna aborî ya rasterast a binesaziya girîng, para GDPIND.INF.disruption.critical_infrastructure_loss.gdp |
INF | Service disruption | impact | % |
COUNTRY, ADM1 | SENDAI C-5 |
Nirxa zêdekirî ya xizmetên ICT, para GDPIND.CYB.dependence.ict_services_share.gdp |
CYB | Digital dependence | exposure | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI BX.GSR.CCIS.ZS |
Hinardekirina teknolojiya bilind, para hinardekirina berhemên çêkirîIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports |
TEC | Technology capability | adaptive capacity | % |
COUNTRY | WB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1 |
Komkirina dabînkerên îthalata nîvguheykeranIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration |
TEC | Concentration and dependence | vulnerability | 1 |
COUNTRY | |
Stratejiya darayîkirina xetera karesatan hatiye pejirandinIND.CRS.financing.drf_strategy |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
Beşdarî di hewzeke xetereyê ya herêmî ya serwerî deIND.CRS.financing.regional_risk_pool_membership |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | {bool} |
COUNTRY | |
Krediya karesatê ya şertî ya pêşwext amadekirî, para GDPIND.CRS.financing.contingent_credit.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
Sînorê veguhestina xetera felaketê ya serwerî, para GDPIND.CRS.financing.risk_transfer_cover.gdp |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
Valahiya parastina sîgortayê ya karesatên xwezayîIND.CRS.financing.insurance_protection_gap |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | vulnerability | % |
COUNTRY | |
Prîmên sîgortaya ne-jiyanê, para GDPIND.CRS.financing.non_life_insurance_penetration |
CRS | Risk financing and protection gap | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | |
Piştgiriya fermî ya navneteweyî ji bo DRR ya wergirtî, para GDPIND.CRS.response.international_drr_support.gdp |
CRS | Response capacity | coping capacity | % |
COUNTRY | SENDAI F-1 |
05Metirsî
Hazard families this series reads
families, each crosswalked to the UNDRR–ISC Hazard Information Profiles (2025) where a profile exists.
FIG 4 · Hazard families this series reads
| Malbat | Qad | Metirsî | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supply-chain and flow disruption | Bûyerên pergalî û tevlihev | Supply-chain disruption, Chokepoint blockage, Port or hub closure, Fuel and energy supply shock, Food supply-chain breakdown, Trade restriction or embargo, Single-source supplier failure, Cold-chain failure … | 17 |
| Cascading failure | Bûyerên pergalî û tevlihev | Interdependent infrastructure cascade, Blackout-driven service cascade, Water-energy-food cascade, Financial contagion, Health-system overload, Emergency-response overload, Digital dependency cascade, Lifeline restoration deadlock … | 10 |
| Compound and multi-hazard events | Bûyerên pergalî û tevlihev | Compound flooding, Concurrent heat and drought, Simultaneous multi-region crop failure, Cold-wave energy crunch, Heat-driven grid stress, Natech event, Successive hazards, Disaster during an epidemic … | 9 |
| Structural fragility of interconnected systems | Bûyerên pergalî û tevlihev | Critical single point of failure, Critical service provider concentration, Common-mode failure, Technology monoculture, Lean inventory fragility, Geographic clustering of critical production, Unmapped critical dependency, Tightly coupled automated systems … | 11 |
| Organised and collective violence | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Interstate war, Internal armed conflict, Civil unrest, Terrorist attack, Communal and targeted violence | 5 |
| Conflict-induced harm | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Explosive remnants and landmines, Conflict-related environmental damage, Attacks on critical infrastructure, Siege and humanitarian access denial | 4 |
| Humanitarian crises | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Mass displacement, Acute food crisis, Famine, Water and resource conflict, Chronic malnutrition, Education disruption | 6 |
| Crowd and collective behaviour | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Crowd crush, Panic buying and hoarding, Self-harm and suicide cluster | 3 |
| Economic shocks and governance failure | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Financial market and banking shock, Sovereign debt crisis, Currency crisis, Commodity price shock, Governance breakdown, Hyperinflation, Housing affordability and insecurity crisis, Energy poverty | 8 |
| Geopolitical confrontation and strategic weapons | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Great-power war, Nuclear war, Nuclear winter, Nuclear escalation crisis, Accidental or unauthorised nuclear launch, Nuclear weapons proliferation, High-altitude electromagnetic pulse, Military threat to a nuclear facility … | 15 |
| Governance and institutional failure | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Coup d’etat, Democratic backsliding, Authoritarian lock-in, Institutional capture, Grand corruption shock, Rule-of-law breakdown, Mass surveillance, Repression of civic space … | 18 |
| Financial-system fragility | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Asset-bubble collapse, Property-market crash, Credit crunch, Non-bank financial run, Central counterparty or settlement failure, Government bond market dysfunction, Corporate default wave, Digital-asset collapse … | 12 |
| Macroeconomic and fiscal shocks | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Inflation shock, Stagflation, Deflationary spiral, Interest-rate shock, Capital-flow sudden stop, Severe national recession, Global recession, Local-government fiscal crisis … | 12 |
| Labour and technology transition | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Automation-driven job displacement, Skills mismatch, Mass unemployment surge, Critical labour shortage, Regional industrial decline, Large-scale labour strike, Informal and precarious work shock | 7 |
| Population structure and movement | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Rapid population ageing, Ultra-low fertility, Depopulation, Youth bulge with unemployment, Rapid unplanned urbanisation, Protracted displacement, Dangerous irregular migration, Climate-driven migration and relocation … | 12 |
| Social cohesion and atrocity risk | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Societal polarisation, Collapse of institutional trust, Inequality shock, Hate-crime wave, Incitement and dehumanising propaganda, Systematic persecution of a group, Genocide, Violent radicalisation … | 9 |
| Organised crime and illicit economies | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Transnational organised crime, Criminal governance of territory, Human trafficking, Migrant smuggling, Drug trafficking, Illicit arms trafficking, Illicit financial flows, Maritime piracy and armed robbery at sea … | 12 |
| Cultural heritage loss | Civak, nakokî û aborî | Deliberate destruction of cultural heritage, Looting and trafficking of cultural property, Climate and natural-hazard damage to heritage, Language extinction, Loss of traditional and Indigenous knowledge, Loss of archives and records, Overtourism degradation | 7 |
06Girêdan
How shocks cascade across systems
FIG 5 · Expected direct couplings between systems (row affects column)
| WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO | FIN | TRD | INF | DIG | SEC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Av |
Weak expected couplingModerate expected couplingStrong expected coupling
FIG 6 · Simulator: how a shock cascades across systems
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07Rêbaz
Method libraries
Each method has a reference implementation or declares the specialist model, data or adapter it still needs; none is promoted beyond its evidence.
57 methods
Xetera darayî
Probability of Default · Loss Given Default · Exposure at Default · Expected Credit Loss · Unexpected Credit Loss · Credit Migration · Structural Credit Merton …
21 methods
Tor, girêdayîbûn û xetera pergalî
Dependency Graph · Centrality · Critical Node · Cascading Failure · Contagion · Percolation · Interdependency …
08Users
Who uses it
Regulators, supervisors and central banks
Design supervisory scenarios. Read systemic coupling. Replicate methods.
Banks, asset managers and sovereign investors
Read sovereign and systemic context. Run climate pathway packs. Build portfolio postures.
International financial institutions and development banks
Screen country and project context. Read fiscal resilience and protection gaps. Design pre-arranged finance questions.
Governments and national risk agencies
Prioritise prevention and preparedness. Plan with subnational layers. Track Sendai targets. Co-develop a national index.
09Rapor
Nexus Reports
- Edition code
SR-08- Edition status
- plankirî
- Mijar
- Set by Nexus Reports at commissioning
10Jêgirtin
Jêgirtin û ji nû ve bikaranîn
GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Financial contagion and systemic finance series (GRX-SER-SR-08), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/series/sr-08/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000081.
- Series key
grix:SER.SR-08:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A- Domain keys
nis:IDX.FIN.capital.financial_stability_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
Every country reads this series
Each country profile carries the domain indices this series is built from.
Rewş
Rêbaz, avahî û pênaseyên The Global Risks Index pêşnivîseke xebatê ya amadekar in (2026), ji bo nirxandin û şîroveyê tên belavkirin, ne ji bo bicîhanînê. Heta ku çapek ji birrîneke delîlan a birêvebirî neyê weşandin, tu nirx xuya nabe; piştre nirx navber, çîn, çavkanî û rêya xwe ya rastkirinê bi xwe re tînin. Simulator rêbazên weşandî li ser hejmarên ku tu hildibijêrî dixebitînin û qet nirxeke NXS-GRX nîşan nadin.
NXS-GRX çi nîne
NXS-GRX agahiya lêkolîn û analîza xetereyê ye. Ew ne nirxandina krediyê an ESG ye û tu pîvaneke pileyan bi kar nayîne, ne pîvana referansê ya amûrên darayî ye, ne statîstîkên fermî ye, ne hişyariya awarte an dabeşkirina fermî ye, û ne şîret e. Divê ji bo nirxandina kesên xwezayî neyê bikaranîn. Çînên xetereyê bendên li ser pîvaneke weşandî ne, qet ne rêzkirina welatan an mirovan in.
Sazî û çavkanî
The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.
Her nirx navê çavkaniyên xwe bi xwe re tîne, ku lîsansên xwe diparêzin. Navên derveyî tenê ji bo hevxebitînê tên gotin. Nivîsên ku Nexus nivîsandine dema weşanê ji bo CC BY 4.0 tên armanckirin.
Avis en français
La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.