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Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-TEC · MSF Macro-financial and structural fragility

प्रौद्योगिकी संकेंद्रण जोखिम सूचकांक

Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.

Construction Simulator Indicators
Page GRX-IDX-TECEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.TEC.concentration.technology_concentration_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

arithmetic

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

अनिश्चितता

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

संरचना

4 components

10 leaf indicators

कवरेज

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 100%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
10
leaf indicators
4
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
21
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Shows exposure to frontier-technology chokepoints against the capacity to absorb them; heavily target-defined, so its grade is capped and its sub-indices are always shown.

computation
How Technology concentration risk is computed
Graph16 nodes
ग्राफ़
01संकेतक
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04स्तंभ
05समग्र
100%
अनुक्रमणिका
  1. सेमीकंडक्टर आयात में आपूर्तिकर्ता संकेंद्रण
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Herfindahl-Hirschman index of import origin, on a 0–1 scale, for semiconductor devices and electronic integrated circuits (HS 8541 and 8542), by value.
  2. क्लाउड अवसंरचना प्रदाता संकेंद्रण
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Herfindahl-Hirschman index, on a 0–1 scale, of public-cloud infrastructure (IaaS and PaaS) spend or hosted capacity serving the economy, across providers.
  3. विदेशी या एकल-प्रदाता नियंत्रण में AI कंप्यूट क्षमता
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the accelerator compute (AI-capable GPU/TPU capacity) used by residents that is hosted abroad or controlled by a single provider, by installed capacity.
  4. फ़ाउंडेशन-मॉडल प्रदाता संकेंद्रण
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of AI-model use in the economy’s public and critical sectors served by the three largest foundation-model providers.
  5. महत्वपूर्ण खनिज आयात में आपूर्तिकर्ता संकेंद्रण
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Import-value-weighted mean of the Herfindahl-Hirschman indices of import origin for a declared basket of energy-transition minerals and their first-stage processed forms (lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, rare-earth elements, copper, manganese), on a 0–1 scale.
  6. महत्वपूर्ण खनिज आयात में सबसे बड़े एकल आपूर्तिकर्ता का हिस्सा
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the import value of the declared critical-mineral basket (processed forms) sourced from the single largest origin country.
  7. R&D पर सकल घरेलू व्यय, GDP का हिस्सा
    Indicator · IND · %
    Gross domestic expenditure on research and experimental development by business, government, higher education and private non-profit sectors, as a percentage of GDP (Frascati Manual basis).
  8. प्रति दस लाख निवासी शोधकर्ता
    Indicator · IND · /10*6
    Full-time-equivalent researchers engaged in research and experimental development per million inhabitants.
  9. उच्च-प्रौद्योगिकी निर्यात, विनिर्मित निर्यात का हिस्सा
    Indicator · IND · %
    Exports of products with high R&D intensity (aerospace, computers, pharmaceuticals, scientific instruments, electrical machinery) as a percentage of manufactured exports.
  10. Technology dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 2 · 44.4%
    Composite of semiconductor import concentration, cloud provider concentration, foreign control of AI compute and foundation-model concentration.
  11. Critical-mineral dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of critical-mineral import concentration and the largest single supplier share.
  12. उच्च-नियंत्रण प्रयोगशालाओं की जैव सुरक्षा और जैव संरक्षा निगरानी
    Indicator · IND · w 0.5
    Score (0–1) for whether every BSL-3 and BSL-4 laboratory in the economy is licensed, inspected and covered by dual-use research oversight, with a public register of facilities.
  13. Innovation capacity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 22.2%
    Composite of R&D intensity, researcher density and high-technology export share.
  14. प्रौद्योगिकी संकेंद्रण जोखिम सूचकांक
    Domain index · IDX · arithmetic
    Index of technology dependence, critical-mineral dependence and, inverted, innovation capacity and biosecurity oversight, on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  15. समष्टि-वित्तीय और संरचनात्मक नाज़ुकता
    Pillar · PILLAR · 5 indices
    How much fiscal, financial, external, digital and technological room does the system have before stress turns into crisis?
  16. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
नहीं चलाया गयाप्रगति मेंपूर्ण
FIG 2. 10 indicators, 4 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate technology concentration risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
25
1
–
आपके ब्राउज़र में चलता है
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03पद्धति

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
100% of weight
Weighting
विशेषज्ञ
Aggregation
arithmetic
Scale
0 to 10
अनिश्चितता
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; No mature international indicator standard: target-only
बहुत कम0.0 से < 2.0
कम2.0 से < 3.5
मध्यम3.5 से < 5.0
उच्च5.0 से < 6.5
बहुत उच्च6.5 से 10.0
04Components

4 components, 10 indicators

Technology dependence sub-index w 2

Composite of semiconductor import concentration, cloud provider concentration, foreign control of AI compute and foundation-model concentration.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
सेमीकंडक्टर आयात में आपूर्तिकर्ता संकेंद्रणIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentration1Class Dun-comtrade, baci-cepii37.5%
क्लाउड अवसंरचना प्रदाता संकेंद्रणIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentration1Class Enational-competition-authority-market-studies, commercial-market-research-licensed25.0%
विदेशी या एकल-प्रदाता नियंत्रण में AI कंप्यूट क्षमताIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_control%Class Eoecd-ai-compute-measurement, national-ai-strategies, top50025.0%
फ़ाउंडेशन-मॉडल प्रदाता संकेंद्रणIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentration%Class Epublic-procurement-records, national-ai-registers, commercial-market-research-licensed12.5%

Critical-mineral dependence sub-index w 1

Composite of critical-mineral import concentration and the largest single supplier share.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
महत्वपूर्ण खनिज आयात में आपूर्तिकर्ता संकेंद्रणIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration1Class Dun-comtrade, iea-critical-minerals-data-explorer, usgs-mineral-commodity-summaries50.0%
महत्वपूर्ण खनिज आयात में सबसे बड़े एकल आपूर्तिकर्ता का हिस्साIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share%Class Dun-comtrade, iea-critical-minerals-data-explorer50.0%

Innovation capacity sub-index w 1

Composite of R&D intensity, researcher density and high-technology export share.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
R&D पर सकल घरेलू व्यय, GDP का हिस्साIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdp%Class Aunesco-uis, oecd-msti, wb-wdi40.0%
प्रति दस लाख निवासी शोधकर्ताIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_million/10*6Class Aunesco-uis, oecd-msti, wb-wdi40.0%
उच्च-प्रौद्योगिकी निर्यात, विनिर्मित निर्यात का हिस्साIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exports%Class Aun-comtrade, wb-wdi20.0%

Biosafety and biosecurity oversight of high-containment laboratories w 0.5

Score (0–1) for whether every BSL-3 and BSL-4 laboratory in the economy is licensed, inspected and covered by dual-use research oversight, with a public register of facilities.

संकेतकइकाईसाक्ष्यस्रोतहिस्सा
उच्च-नियंत्रण प्रयोगशालाओं की जैव सुरक्षा और जैव संरक्षा निगरानीIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversight{score}Class Eglobal-biolabs-report, who-jee-reports, national-biosafety-regulators100.0%
05क्षेत्र

Technology and frontier

Frontier technology capability, concentration and systemic technology risk (AI, biotech, space, quantum).

Sub-domainसंकेतक
Technology capability3
Concentration and dependence2
कृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्ता2
जैव-प्रौद्योगिकी1

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): No mature international indicator standard: target-only.

06संकेतक

All 8 technology and frontier indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
TEC · 8
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
संकेतकक्षेत्रSub-domainघटकइकाईस्तरCrosswalks
R&D पर सकल घरेलू व्यय, GDP का हिस्साIND.TEC.capability.rd_expenditure.gdpTECTechnology capabilityadaptive capacity%COUNTRYSDG 9.5.1 WB_WDI GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS
प्रति दस लाख निवासी शोधकर्ताIND.TEC.capability.researchers_per_millionTECTechnology capabilityadaptive capacity/10*6COUNTRYSDG 9.5.2 WB_WDI SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
उच्च-प्रौद्योगिकी निर्यात, विनिर्मित निर्यात का हिस्साIND.TEC.capability.high_tech_exportsTECTechnology capabilityadaptive capacity%COUNTRYWB_WDI TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS SDG 9.b.1
सेमीकंडक्टर आयात में आपूर्तिकर्ता संकेंद्रणIND.TEC.concentration.semiconductor_import_concentrationTECConcentration and dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
क्लाउड अवसंरचना प्रदाता संकेंद्रणIND.TEC.concentration.cloud_provider_concentrationTECConcentration and dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
विदेशी या एकल-प्रदाता नियंत्रण में AI कंप्यूट क्षमताIND.TEC.ai.ai_compute_foreign_controlTECकृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्ताvulnerability%COUNTRY
फ़ाउंडेशन-मॉडल प्रदाता संकेंद्रणIND.TEC.ai.foundation_model_concentrationTECकृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्ताvulnerability%COUNTRY
उच्च-नियंत्रण प्रयोगशालाओं की जैव सुरक्षा और जैव संरक्षा निगरानीIND.TEC.bio.biosecurity_lab_oversightTECजैव-प्रौद्योगिकीcoping capacity{score}COUNTRY
07उद्धरण

Technology concentration risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · TEC · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Technology concentration risk index, world
–
मान संस्करण के साथ प्रकाशित होते हैं; अंतराल, वर्ग और बदलाव यहाँ दिखते हैं।
पिछला संस्करण
–
Range since 2016
–
युग्मित समग्र
–
युग्मन अंक S
–
पल्स, नवीनतम सप्ताह
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
पद्धति
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
ड्रॉ
1,000
Technology concentration risk index, world, by edition

अभी कोई जारी मान नहीं। पहला संस्करण यहाँ अपने अंतराल पट्टी और वर्ग सीमाओं के साथ इतिहास खींचता है।

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
अफ़्रीका54
DZA AGO BEN BWA BFA BDI CPV CMR CAF TCD COM COG CIV COD DJI EGY GNQ ERI SWZ ETH GAB GMB GHA GIN GNB KEN LSO LBR LBY MDG MWI MLI MRT MUS MAR MOZ NAM NER NGA RWA STP SEN SYC SLE SOM ZAF SSD SDN TGO TUN UGA TZA ZMB ZWE
अमेरिका महाद्वीप35
ATG ARG BHS BRB BLZ BOL BRA CAN CHL COL CRI CUB DMA DOM ECU SLV GRD GTM GUY HTI HND JAM MEX NIC PAN PRY PER KNA LCA VCT SUR TTO USA URY VEN
एशिया48
AFG ARM AZE BHR BGD BTN BRN KHM CHN CYP PRK GEO IND IDN IRN IRQ ISR JPN JOR KAZ KWT KGZ LAO LBN MYS MDV MNG MMR NPL OMN PAK PHL QAT KOR SAU SGP LKA PSE SYR TJK THA TLS TUR TKM ARE UZB VNM YEM
यूरोप44
ALB AND AUT BLR BEL BIH BGR HRV CZE DNK EST FIN FRA DEU GRC VAT HUN ISL IRL ITA LVA LIE LTU LUX MLT MCO MNE NLD MKD NOR POL PRT MDA ROU RUS SMR SRB SVK SVN ESP SWE CHE UKR GBR
ओशिनिया14
AUS FJI KIR MHL FSM NRU NZL PLW PNG WSM SLB TON TUV VUT
अभी कोई परिवर्तन नहीं। पिछले संस्करण के बाद के परिवर्तन दूसरे संस्करण से यहाँ सूचीबद्ध होंगे, उन्हें प्रेरित करने वाले संकेतकों के साथ।
08मान

Country values

FIG 5 · Technology concentration risk index: countries (values when released)
मानचित्र लोड हो रहा है
एंडोराएंटिगुआ और बरबुडाबहरीनबारबाडोसकोमोरोसकाबो वर्डेडोमिनिकामाइक्रोनेशिया (संघीय राज्य)ग्रेनाडाकिरिबातीसेंट किट्स और नेविससेंट लूसियालिचेंस्टीनमोनाकोमालदीवमार्शल द्वीपसमूहमाल्टामॉरीशसनाउरुपलाऊसिंगापुरसैन मेरीनोसाओ टोमे और प्रिंसिपेसेशेल्सटोंगातुवालूहोली सीसेंट विंसेंट और ग्रेनाडाइंससमोआ
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
टाइलें
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/tec/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
अवलोकन कुंजी
nis:IDX.TEC.concentration.technology_concentration_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
09शृंखला

Series that read this index

GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap between perceived and measured risk. GS-12Global Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems behind NXS-GRX. GS-15Global Science and engineeringThe scientific, engineering and data capacity societies need to measure, model and reduce risk, and its concentration. SR-04MineralsCritical-mineral concentration, processing dependency, price and export-restriction risk, and the environmental and social footprint of extraction. SR-10Digital public infrastructureIdentity, payments and data-exchange infrastructure as public goods, and their concentration, cyber and continuity risk. SR-13Strategic technologyConcentration and control of strategic technologies, export controls and technological dependency. XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsAI and agentic systems as physical infrastructure (compute, energy, water, materials and supply chains) and as a hazard source: failure, misuse, concentration and oversight gaps. XT-03Telecommunications, open radio networks and edgeTelecom resilience, open and AI-native radio access networks, private wireless, edge compute and spectrum constraints. XT-04Sovereign compute, HPC and cloudCompute dependency and concentration, cloud and data-residency risk, accelerator supply and secure compute. XT-05Quantum-relevant securityCryptographic resilience and the migration to post-quantum cryptography across public and financial systems. XT-06SemiconductorsSemiconductor supply concentration, fabrication chokepoints, materials and equipment dependency and export-control exposure. XT-08Drones, robotics and autonomous systemsAutonomous and robotic systems in logistics, agriculture, industry and security: failure, misuse and safety oversight. XT-09Sensors, IoT and industrial IoTConnected sensing and control across cities, utilities and industry: attack surface, data integrity and dependency. XT-10Digital twins and simulationDigital twins and simulation used for risk decisions: model risk, validation and dependency. XT-14Software and supply-chain integrityOpen-source and commercial software dependencies, build integrity and provenance across critical systems. XT-15Biotechnology and biosecurityBiotechnology capability and governance at public-safe level: laboratory biosafety, oversight and detection capacity; no capability information is published. XT-16Advanced manufacturingAdvanced and additive manufacturing, industrial automation and their supply, cyber and labour risks. XT-17Distributed ledgers and decentralised infrastructureDistributed ledgers and decentralised physical infrastructure networks: operational, financial-stability and governance risk. XT-18Climate intervention technologiesCarbon removal and proposed climate interventions: physical, governance and termination risks, read from published assessments only. XT-19Neurotechnology and human augmentationNeurotechnology and augmentation: safety, privacy, equity and governance risks. XT-20Converging technologiesRisks that emerge where frontier technologies combine (AI with biotechnology, autonomy with cyber, compute with energy) and outrun single-technology governance.
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
SDG3
WB_WDI3
11Nexus भर में

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12उद्धरण

उद्धरण और पुनः उपयोग

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Technology concentration risk index (GRX-IDX-TEC), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/technology-concentration-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000130.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.

Country profiles All indices

स्थिति

The Global Risks Index की पद्धति, संरचना और परिभाषाएँ एक प्रारंभिक कार्यकारी मसौदा (2026) हैं, जो समीक्षा और टिप्पणी के लिए परिचालित हैं, कार्यान्वयन के लिए नहीं। किसी शासित साक्ष्य कटौती से संस्करण जारी होने तक कोई मान प्रकट नहीं होता; तब मानों के साथ अंतराल, वर्ग, स्रोत और उनका सुधार मार्ग होता है। सिम्युलेटर आपके चुने हुए अंकों पर प्रकाशित पद्धतियाँ चलाते हैं और कभी कोई NXS-GRX मान नहीं दिखाते।

NXS-GRX क्या नहीं है

NXS-GRX अनुसंधान और जोखिम-विश्लेषण की सूचना है। यह क्रेडिट या ESG रेटिंग नहीं है और किसी रेटिंग पैमाने का उपयोग नहीं करता। यह वित्तीय लिखतों का बेंचमार्क नहीं है, आधिकारिक सांख्यिकी नहीं है, आपातकालीन चेतावनी या आधिकारिक वर्गीकरण नहीं है और सलाह नहीं है। इसका उपयोग प्राकृतिक व्यक्तियों के मूल्यांकन के लिए नहीं किया जाना चाहिए। जोखिम वर्ग प्रकाशित पैमाने के बैंड हैं, देशों या व्यक्तियों की रैंकिंग कभी नहीं।

संस्थान और स्रोत

The Nexus Consortium is stewarded by three independent not-for-profit institutions: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through GCRI US in Washington, DC and GCRI Canada in Ontario, with GCRI Canada as Lead Institution, Consortium Secretariat and lead contracting organisation; The Global Risks Forum (GRF); and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Technology, infrastructure and service providers work with the Consortium at arm’s length under written agreements, like every other external party in the public-private-planet model, and hold no role in its stewardship.

प्रत्येक मान के साथ उसके स्रोतों का श्रेय होता है, जो अपने लाइसेंस बनाए रखते हैं। बाहरी नाम केवल अंतरसंचालनीयता के लिए उद्धृत किए गए हैं। Nexus द्वारा लिखित पाठ जारी होने पर CC BY 4.0 के अंतर्गत होना अभिप्रेत है।

Avis en français

La méthodologie et les définitions du NXS-GRX sont un projet de travail préparatoire (2026). Le NXS-GRX est une information de recherche et d’analyse des risques : ni notation, ni indice de référence financier, ni statistique officielle, ni alerte, ni conseil. Les classes de risque sont des bandes sur une échelle publiée, non des classements.