NXS-GRX-ZWE · Eastern Africa

Zimbabwe

Country risk profile on The Global Risks Index: hazard and threat exposure, vulnerability, macro-financial fragility, coping capacity and systemic coupling, with intervals, sources and corrections on every value.

Page GRX-ZWEEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30ISO ZWE / ZWStatus UN member stateValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Zimbabwe in Eastern Africa
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FijiUnited Republic of TanzaniaUnited States of AmericaPapua New GuineaIndonesiaArgentinaChileDemocratic Republic of the CongoSomaliaKenyaSudanChadDominican RepublicTimor-LesteSouth AfricaLesothoUruguayBrazilBolivia (Plurinational State of)ColombiaVenezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)GuyanaSurinameFranceZimbabweBotswanaNamibiaSenegalMaliMauritaniaBeninNigerNigeriaCameroonTogoGhanaCôte d’IvoireGuineaGuinea-BissauLiberiaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoCentral African RepublicCongoGabonEquatorial GuineaZambiaMalawiMozambiqueEswatiniAngolaBurundiIsraelLebanonMadagascarState of PalestineGambiaTunisiaAlgeriaJordanUnited Arab EmiratesQatarKuwaitIraqOmanCambodiaThailandLao People’s Democratic RepublicMyanmarViet NamRepublic of KoreaIndiaBangladeshBhutanNepalPakistanAfghanistanTajikistanTurkmenistanIran (Islamic Republic of)Syrian Arab RepublicGreeceTürkiyeSpainNew ZealandAustraliaSri LankaChinaItalyPhilippinesMalaysiaBrunei DarussalamEritreaJapanParaguayYemenSaudi ArabiaCyprusMoroccoEgyptLibyaEthiopiaDjiboutiUgandaRwandaTrinidad and TobagoSouth SudanAntigua and BarbudaBahrainBarbadosComorosCabo VerdeDominicaGrenadaSaint Kitts and NevisSaint LuciaMaldivesMaltaMauritiusPalauSingaporeSao Tome and PrincipeSeychellesSaint Vincent and the Grenadines
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110m · locatorValues when released
Select a neighbouring profile to open it. Boundaries are shown at 1:110m for location only and take no position on any boundary or status.
20
domain indices
443
country indicators
14
hazard domains
17
sub-regional peers
02Humanitarian data

Zimbabwe in humanitarian data

Source observations from the Humanitarian Data Exchange, each with its reference date, provider and licence. They are not index values.

Population · 2023-12-31

2,141,478

people. UNFPA · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Poverty headcount · 2019-12-31

25.8%

of people in multidimensional poverty. Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative · Public Domain / No restrictions (CC0).

Refugees hosted · 2025-12-31

18,850

refugees and asylum-seekers in the country. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Refugees from the country · 2025-12-31

13,086

refugees and asylum-seekers abroad, most in South Africa, Ireland, Canada. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Humanitarian funding · 2025-06-01

US$ 22 m

received against US$ 143 m required. OCHA Financial Tracking System (FTS) · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Rainfall

10 units

with rainfall against the long-term average, on the unit pages. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution International (CC BY).

Food prices · 2026-01-14

333 markets

Sugar: 120.21 USD per KG. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

03Areas

The full profile of Zimbabwe, area by area

Fourteen areas from macroeconomy to frontier technology, and the planned innovation index. Each card says whether its sources are cleared, shows the mix, and gives two actions: what the area needs, and a scenario you can run now on open data.

How to readAdmitted: usableUnder legal review: waitingProhibited: excludedNot in the register: not yet assessedAcross the 14 areas: 113 admitted · 63 under legal review · 23 prohibited · 170 not in the register
Partly admitted14 indicators · 2 composites

Macroeconomy and external position

Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.

GDP
US$ 51.2 billion 2025
GDP per person
US$ 3,021 2025
GDP growth
8.1% 2025
4 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 not in the register
Partly admitted37 indicators · 7 composites

Fiscal position and public debt

Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.

Government revenue
8.1% 2018
Government expense
11% 2018
External debt
33% 2024
7 admitted · 13 under legal review · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted32 indicators · 7 composites

Financial system

Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.

Lending interest rate
46.4% 2025
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Trade, economic structure and supply chains

Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.

Trade
41.5% 2024
Exports
18.1% 2024
Fuel exports
2.9% 2024
8 admitted · 6 under legal review · 5 not in the register
Partly admitted13 indicators · 5 composites

Water

Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.

Safely managed drinking water
25.5% 2024
Water stress
46.1% 2022
Renewable internal freshwater per person
763 m³ 2022
3 admitted · 2 under legal review · 2 prohibited · 4 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Energy

Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.

Access to electricity
62% 2024
Renewable energy
82.4% 2021
Energy imports, net
15.2% 2024
7 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Food systems

Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.

Undernourishment
18.4% 2024
Cereal yield
1,070 2024
Stunting, under 5
25.9% 2024
14 admitted · 4 under legal review · 2 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 6 composites

Health security

Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.

Life expectancy
63.1 years 2024
Under-5 mortality
64.7 2024
Health spending
2.9% 2023
4 admitted · 2 under legal review · 15 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted22 indicators · 6 composites

Environment and biodiversity

Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.

Forest area
35.7% 2024
Protected areas
28.3% 2025
PM2.5 air pollution
15 µg/m³ 2023
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 22 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 8 composites

Climate: physical and transition

Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.

CO₂ emissions per person
0.8 t CO₂e 2024
Greenhouse gas emissions
30.8 Mt CO₂e 2024
People below 5 m elevation
0% 2015
10 admitted · 7 under legal review · 24 not in the register
Partly admitted39 indicators · 10 composites

Conflict, governance and security

Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.

Intentional homicides
6.8 2022
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 14 not in the register
Partly admitted27 indicators · 10 composites

Frontier technology and innovation

Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.

Researchers in R&D
95 2012
High-technology exports
2.8% 2024
Internet users
41.6% 2024
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 26 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Coping capacity and disaster finance

Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.

Social protection coverage
4.8% 2019
9 admitted · 1 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted46 indicators · 11 composites

Society, demography and mobility

Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.

Population
17.0 million 2025
Urban population
40.5% 2025
Poverty at $3.00 a day
49.2% 2019
11 admitted · 1 under legal review · 12 not in the register
Planned12 planned indicators

Innovation index

Research, patents, talent, compute, digital infrastructure and capital for Zimbabwe, read beside frontier technology risk. Not in Indicator Standard yet; each indicator needs its source admitted.

04Quote

Zimbabwe composite risk

Value, change since the previous edition, 90% interval and class probability; the history and the published indicators follow.

NXS-GRX-ZWE · CRI · Eastern Africa · 0–10 scale
Zimbabwe composite risk
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Method
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Zimbabwe composite risk, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.

“Zimbabwe: published indicators” is not connected: the Foundry connection it needs is switched off on this network.

05Profile

Four pillars, composite and coupled composite

The composite is shown only with its four pillars and twenty domain indices beside it; each value carries a 90% interval and a class with its probability.

InstrumentValueChangeChange %90% intervalClass · probabilityTrendRange
NXS-GRX Composite RiskNXS-GRX-ZWE · CRI–––––
NXS-GRX Coupled RiskNXS-GRX-ZWE · CPL–––––
Hazard and threat exposureNXS-GRX-ZWE · HTE–––––
Human and systems vulnerabilityNXS-GRX-ZWE · VUL–––––
Macro-financial and structural fragilityNXS-GRX-ZWE · MSF–––––
Lack of coping and adaptive capacityNXS-GRX-ZWE · LCC–––––
Very low0.0 to < 2.0
Low2.0 to < 3.5
Medium3.5 to < 5.0
High5.0 to < 6.5
Very high6.5 to 10.0
07Coupling

How Zimbabwe is coupled to the world

Not yet estimated. Coupling strengths through trade and inputs, finance and debt, energy, food trade, infrastructure and information are ◆ ESTIMATED per edition with their method and references; the coupled composite is reported beside the standalone one.
09Peers

Profiles in Eastern Africa

A peer group is a reading context, not a ranking; profiles are listed by name.

Explore Zimbabwe

Indices, hazards, the map and the data behind every value.

The Global Risks Index

Indicators · sources · country profiles

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