NXS-GRX-MAR · Northern Africa

Morocco

Country risk profile on The Global Risks Index: hazard and threat exposure, vulnerability, macro-financial fragility, coping capacity and systemic coupling, with intervals, sources and corrections on every value.

Page GRX-MAREdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30ISO MAR / MAStatus UN member stateValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Morocco in Northern Africa
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Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110m · locatorValues when released
Select a neighbouring profile to open it. Boundaries are shown at 1:110m for location only and take no position on any boundary or status.
20
domain indices
443
country indicators
14
hazard domains
5
sub-regional peers
02Humanitarian data

Morocco in humanitarian data

Source observations from the Humanitarian Data Exchange, each with its reference date, provider and licence. They are not index values.

Poverty headcount · 2018-12-31

7.9%

of people in multidimensional poverty. Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative · Public Domain / No restrictions (CC0).

Refugees hosted · 2025-12-31

22,337

refugees and asylum-seekers in the country. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Refugees from the country · 2025-12-31

35,352

refugees and asylum-seekers abroad, most in Italy, Spain, France. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

03Areas

The full profile of Morocco, area by area

Fourteen areas from macroeconomy to frontier technology, and the planned innovation index. Each card says whether its sources are cleared, shows the mix, and gives two actions: what the area needs, and a scenario you can run now on open data.

How to readAdmitted: usableUnder legal review: waitingProhibited: excludedNot in the register: not yet assessedAcross the 14 areas: 113 admitted · 63 under legal review · 23 prohibited · 170 not in the register
Partly admitted14 indicators · 2 composites

Macroeconomy and external position

Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.

GDP
US$ 182.4 billion 2025
GDP per person
US$ 4,672 2025
GDP growth
4.6% 2025
4 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 not in the register
Partly admitted37 indicators · 7 composites

Fiscal position and public debt

Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.

Government revenue
25.7% 2024
Government expense
26.6% 2023
Central government debt
51.2% 2011
7 admitted · 13 under legal review · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted32 indicators · 7 composites

Financial system

Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.

Domestic credit from the financial sector
139.7% 2025
Non-performing loans
8.2% 2024
Bank capital to assets
8.4% 2024
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Trade, economic structure and supply chains

Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.

Trade
93.1% 2025
Exports
42% 2025
Fuel exports
0.7% 2025
8 admitted · 6 under legal review · 5 not in the register
Partly admitted13 indicators · 5 composites

Water

Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.

Safely managed drinking water
80% 2024
Water stress
50.8% 2022
Renewable internal freshwater per person
777 m³ 2022
3 admitted · 2 under legal review · 2 prohibited · 4 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Energy

Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.

Access to electricity
100% 2024
Renewable energy
10.9% 2021
Energy imports, net
93.9% 2024
7 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Food systems

Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.

Undernourishment
6.5% 2024
Cereal yield
1,240 2024
Stunting, under 5
14.2% 2019
14 admitted · 4 under legal review · 2 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 6 composites

Health security

Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.

Life expectancy
75.5 years 2024
Under-5 mortality
15.7 2024
Health spending
6.1% 2023
4 admitted · 2 under legal review · 15 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted22 indicators · 6 composites

Environment and biodiversity

Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.

Forest area
12.8% 2024
Protected areas
1.4% 2025
PM2.5 air pollution
18.7 µg/m³ 2023
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 22 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 8 composites

Climate: physical and transition

Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.

CO₂ emissions per person
1.8 t CO₂e 2024
Greenhouse gas emissions
108.7 Mt CO₂e 2024
People below 5 m elevation
1.4% 2015
10 admitted · 7 under legal review · 24 not in the register
Partly admitted39 indicators · 10 composites

Conflict, governance and security

Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.

Intentional homicides
1.7 2023
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 14 not in the register
Partly admitted27 indicators · 10 composites

Frontier technology and innovation

Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.

Research and development spending
0.66% 2010
Researchers in R&D
1,083 2016
High-technology exports
5.4% 2023
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 26 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Coping capacity and disaster finance

Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.

9 admitted · 1 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted46 indicators · 11 composites

Society, demography and mobility

Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.

Population
38.4 million 2025
Urban population
63.1% 2025
Poverty at $3.00 a day
3.7% 2013
11 admitted · 1 under legal review · 12 not in the register
Planned12 planned indicators

Innovation index

Research, patents, talent, compute, digital infrastructure and capital for Morocco, read beside frontier technology risk. Not in Indicator Standard yet; each indicator needs its source admitted.

04Quote

Morocco composite risk

Value, change since the previous edition, 90% interval and class probability; the history and the published indicators follow.

NXS-GRX-MAR · CRI · Northern Africa · 0–10 scale
Morocco composite risk
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Method
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Morocco composite risk, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.

Morocco: published indicators: waiting for the Foundry indicator widget. Nothing shown here is live data until it mounts. Claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

05Profile

Four pillars, composite and coupled composite

The composite is shown only with its four pillars and twenty domain indices beside it; each value carries a 90% interval and a class with its probability.

InstrumentValueChangeChange %90% intervalClass · probabilityTrendRange
NXS-GRX Composite RiskNXS-GRX-MAR · CRI–––––
NXS-GRX Coupled RiskNXS-GRX-MAR · CPL–––––
Hazard and threat exposureNXS-GRX-MAR · HTE–––––
Human and systems vulnerabilityNXS-GRX-MAR · VUL–––––
Macro-financial and structural fragilityNXS-GRX-MAR · MSF–––––
Lack of coping and adaptive capacityNXS-GRX-MAR · LCC–––––
Very low0.0 to < 2.0
Low2.0 to < 3.5
Medium3.5 to < 5.0
High5.0 to < 6.5
Very high6.5 to 10.0
07Coupling

How Morocco is coupled to the world

Not yet estimated. Coupling strengths through trade and inputs, finance and debt, energy, food trade, infrastructure and information are ◆ ESTIMATED per edition with their method and references; the coupled composite is reported beside the standalone one.
09Peers

Profiles in Northern Africa

A peer group is a reading context, not a ranking; profiles are listed by name.

Explore Morocco

Indices, hazards, the map and the data behind every value.

The Global Risks Index

Indicators · sources · country profiles

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