Skip to content
Global Risks Index
The Global Risks Index · GRX-IDX-ENE · VUL Human and systems vulnerability

Energy security risk index

Index of energy access deficit, fuel import dependence, mix rigidity, supply unreliability and critical-mineral dependence on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.

Page GRX-IDX-ENEEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30Indicator Standard IDX.ENE.security.energy_security_riskValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Method card
Aggregation

geometric

expert weights · floor 0.1 where geometric

نادڵنیایی

1,000 draws

normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation

پێکهاتە

5 components

20 leaf indicators

چوارچێوە

67% minimum

modelled share ≤ 25%

From the Indicator Standard definition of this index.
20
leaf indicators
5
components
1,000
Monte Carlo draws
6
series read it
01Construction

From indicators to the composite

Shows where an energy shock, from a supplier, a chokepoint, a grid failure or a mineral export control, would hit hardest; each sub-index stays visible beside the total.

computation
How Energy security risk is computed
Graph28 nodes
گراف
01نیشاندەرەکان
02Sub-indices
03Domain index
04Pillar
05لێکدراو
100%
لیست
  1. دانیشتوانی خاوەن دەستگەیشتن بە کارەبا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population living in households with an electricity supply that can power at least basic lighting, whether from the grid, a mini-grid or a stand-alone system.
  2. دانیشتوانی کە بە شێوەی سەرەکی پشت بە سووتەمەنی و تەکنەلۆجیای پاکی چێشتلێنان دەبەستن
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the population whose household cooks mainly with clean fuels and stoves (electricity, gas, biogas, ethanol, solar) rather than solid fuels or kerosene.
  3. پشتبەستنی سافی بە هاوردەی وزە
    Indicator · IND · %
    Energy imports minus exports as a share of total energy supply, all fuels in energy units; negative values denote net exporters.
  4. تێچووی هاوردەی سووتەمەنی، ڕێژە لە هەناردەی کاڵا و خزمەتگوزاری
    Indicator · IND · %
    Value of imports of mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials (SITC 3) as a percentage of total exports of goods and services in the same year.
  5. چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی نەوتی خاو و بەرهەمەکانی
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Herfindahl-Hirschman index of import shares by country of origin for crude oil and refined oil products combined, in energy units, on a 0–1 scale; weighted by import dependence when used in composites.
  6. چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی غازی سروشتی
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Herfindahl-Hirschman index of natural gas import shares by origin, counting pipeline gas and LNG cargoes together, on a 0–1 scale.
  7. چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی خەڵووز
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Herfindahl-Hirschman index of coal import shares (steam and metallurgical) by origin, in energy units, on a 0–1 scale.
  8. یەدەگی نەوت بە ڕۆژانی هاوردەی سافی
    Indicator · IND · d
    Emergency and commercial oil stocks held on national territory (or under bilateral agreement) divided by average daily net oil imports of the previous year, in days, following the IEA stockholding convention.
  9. چڕبوونەوەی تێکەڵەی بەرهەمهێنانی کارەبا
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Herfindahl-Hirschman index of annual electricity generation shares across sources (coal, oil, gas, nuclear, hydro, wind, solar, bioenergy, other), on a 0–1 scale.
  10. ڕێژەی سووتەمەنیی بەبەردبوو لە بەرهەمهێنانی کارەبادا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of gross electricity generation produced from coal, oil and natural gas.
  11. چڕیی وزەی سەرەتاییی GDP
    Indicator · IND · MJ/USD
    Total energy supply divided by GDP at ICP 2021 purchasing-power parities, in megajoules per international dollar.
  12. ڕێژەی نوێبووەوە لە کۆی بەکارهێنانی کۆتاییی وزەدا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of final energy consumption met from renewable sources (hydro, wind, solar, geothermal, modern and traditional bioenergy, ocean), with traditional biomass reported as a separate disaggregation.
  13. توانای دامەزراوی بەرهەمهێنانی نوێبووەوە بۆ هەر تاکێک
    Indicator · IND · W/person
    Installed renewable electricity-generating capacity at year end divided by mid-year population, in watts per person.
  14. بڕانی کارەبا کە کۆمپانیاکان لە مانگێکی ئاساییدا ڕووبەڕووی دەبنەوە
    Indicator · IND · /mo
    Average number of electrical outages that formal private firms report in a typical month, from establishment surveys.
  15. بەهای لەدەستچوو بە هۆی بڕانی کارەبا، ڕێژە لە فرۆشی کۆمپانیا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Losses that firms attribute to power outages as a percentage of annual sales, from establishment surveys.
  16. تێکڕای ماوەی پچڕانی سیستەم (SAIDI)
    Indicator · IND · h/a
    Total minutes of sustained supply interruption per customer served in the year, expressed in hours, as reported by distribution utilities under the IEEE 1366 convention.
  17. تێکڕای دووبارەبوونەوەی پچڕانی سیستەم (SAIFI)
    Indicator · IND · /a
    Number of sustained supply interruptions per customer served in the year, as reported by distribution utilities under the IEEE 1366 convention.
  18. زیانەکانی گواستنەوە و دابەشکردنی کارەبا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Electricity lost between generation and the consumer, technical and commercial, as a share of electricity output.
  19. چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی کانزا گرنگەکان
    Indicator · IND · 1
    Import-value-weighted mean of the Herfindahl-Hirschman indices of import origin for a declared basket of energy-transition minerals and their first-stage processed forms (lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, rare-earth elements, copper, manganese), on a 0–1 scale.
  20. بەشی گەورەترین تاکە دابینکەر لە هاوردەی کانزا گرنگەکاندا
    Indicator · IND · %
    Share of the import value of the declared critical-mineral basket (processed forms) sourced from the single largest origin country.
  21. Energy access deficit sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of the lack of electricity access and the lack of clean cooking (per-capita electricity use stays a NEUTRAL context indicator).
  22. Fuel import dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1.5 · 30.0%
    Composite of net energy import dependence, the fuel import bill against exports, oil, gas and coal supplier concentration, and strategic oil stock cover.
  23. Energy mix rigidity sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of generation-mix concentration, fossil share of electricity, energy intensity and, inverted, the renewable share and renewable capacity.
  24. Electricity supply unreliability sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 1 · 20.0%
    Composite of firm-reported outages and sales losses, SAIDI, SAIFI and network losses.
  25. Critical-mineral dependence sub-index
    Sub-index · SUB · w 0.5 · 10.0%
    Composite of critical-mineral import concentration and the largest single supplier share.
  26. Energy security risk index
    Domain index · IDX · geometric
    Index of energy access deficit, fuel import dependence, mix rigidity, supply unreliability and critical-mineral dependence on a 0–10 scale, higher meaning riskier.
  27. Human and systems vulnerability
    Pillar · PILLAR · 8 indices
    How susceptible are people, livelihoods, ecosystems and essential systems to harm when a shock arrives?
  28. NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) Composite Risk
    Composite · COMPOSITE · four pillars
    Composite = (HTE × VUL × MSF × LCC)^(1/4), each pillar on 0–10 floored at 0.1; pillar = expert-weighted geometric mean of its domain indices
Not runلە ئەنجامداندایەتەواو بوو
FIG 2. 20 indicators, 5 components, real Indicator Standard weights (the bar under each node is its share). Select a node to trace what it feeds and what feeds it; Simulate run plays the computation in order. Schematic of the construction; source: Indicator Standard composite definitions.
02Simulator

Run this index’s own aggregation

Set each component, change the aggregation or the weight uncertainty, and watch the interval, the class probability and each component’s contribution respond.

FIG 3 · Simulator: aggregate energy security risk on your numbers
Components (0 to 10)
3.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
6.0
25
1
–
runs in your browser
Contribution of each component (leave one out)
Simulator: the index’s published aggregation run on numbers you set, with 1,000 draws over weights and aggregation. The slider positions are starting points for the explainer, not NXS-GRX values. Simulated on your own inputs; not a measured result.
03ڕێباز

Treatment, normalisation, weighting, aggregation, uncertainty

Treatment
WINSORISE
Outlier rule
|skew| > 2, kurtosis > 3.5
Normalisation
INFORM 0–10 rescaling
Imputation
NONE
Coverage minimum
67% of components
Modelled share cap
25% of weight
Weighting
شارەزا
Aggregation
geometric
Scale
0 to 10
نادڵنیایی
1,000 Monte Carlo runs over normalisation, weights, aggregation, imputation
Framework basis
OECD/JRC Handbook (2008); JRC COIN 10-step guide; IEA energy security concept; INFORM risk algebra (geometric aggregation)
Very low0.0 to < 2.0
Low2.0 to < 3.5
Medium3.5 to < 5.0
High5.0 to < 6.5
زۆر بەرز6.5 تا 10.0
04Components

5 components, 20 indicators

Energy access deficit sub-index w 1

Composite of the lack of electricity access and the lack of clean cooking (per-capita electricity use stays a NEUTRAL context indicator).

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
دانیشتوانی خاوەن دەستگەیشتن بە کارەباIND.ENE.access.electricity_access%Class Bwb-wdi, iea-sdg7-tracking, national-household-surveys66.7%
دانیشتوانی کە بە شێوەی سەرەکی پشت بە سووتەمەنی و تەکنەلۆجیای پاکی چێشتلێنان دەبەستنIND.ENE.access.clean_cooking%Class Cwho-household-energy-database, wb-wdi33.3%

Fuel import dependence sub-index w 1.5

Composite of net energy import dependence, the fuel import bill against exports, oil, gas and coal supplier concentration, and strategic oil stock cover.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
پشتبەستنی سافی بە هاوردەی وزەIND.ENE.security.net_energy_imports%Class Biea-world-energy-balances, un-energy-statistics-database, wb-wdi30.8%
تێچووی هاوردەی سووتەمەنی، ڕێژە لە هەناردەی کاڵا و خزمەتگوزاریIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exports%Class Aun-comtrade, imf-bop, wb-wdi15.4%
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی نەوتی خاو و بەرهەمەکانیIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentration1Class Bun-comtrade, iea-oil-information, jodi-oil15.4%
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی غازی سروشتیIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentration1Class Bun-comtrade, iea-natural-gas-information, jodi-gas, giignl-lng-report15.4%
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی خەڵووزIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentration1Class Bun-comtrade, iea-coal-information7.7%
یەدەگی نەوت بە ڕۆژانی هاوردەی سافیIND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocksdClass Biea-oil-stocks-of-member-countries, eurostat-emergency-oil-stocks, jodi-oil15.4%

Energy mix rigidity sub-index w 1

Composite of generation-mix concentration, fossil share of electricity, energy intensity and, inverted, the renewable share and renewable capacity.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
چڕبوونەوەی تێکەڵەی بەرهەمهێنانی کارەباIND.ENE.mix.generation_concentration1Class Biea-electricity-information, ember-global-electricity-review, un-energy-statistics-database22.2%
ڕێژەی سووتەمەنیی بەبەردبوو لە بەرهەمهێنانی کارەباداIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_share%Class Biea-electricity-information, ember-global-electricity-review, wb-wdi22.2%
چڕیی وزەی سەرەتاییی GDPIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensityMJ/[USD]Class Biea-world-energy-balances, un-energy-statistics-database, wb-icp22.2%
ڕێژەی نوێبووەوە لە کۆی بەکارهێنانی کۆتاییی وزەداIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfec%Class Biea-world-energy-balances, irena-renewable-energy-statistics, un-energy-statistics-database22.2%
توانای دامەزراوی بەرهەمهێنانی نوێبووەوە بۆ هەر تاکێکIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pcW/{person}Class Birena-renewable-capacity-statistics11.1%

Electricity supply unreliability sub-index w 1

Composite of firm-reported outages and sales losses, SAIDI, SAIFI and network losses.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
بڕانی کارەبا کە کۆمپانیاکان لە مانگێکی ئاساییدا ڕووبەڕووی دەبنەوەIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outages/moClass Bwb-enterprise-surveys, wb-b-ready22.2%
بەهای لەدەستچوو بە هۆی بڕانی کارەبا، ڕێژە لە فرۆشی کۆمپانیاIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_loss%Class Bwb-enterprise-surveys22.2%
تێکڕای ماوەی پچڕانی سیستەم (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidih/aClass Bwb-b-ready, national-energy-regulators, ceer-benchmarking-report, us-eia-86122.2%
تێکڕای دووبارەبوونەوەی پچڕانی سیستەم (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifi/aClass Bwb-b-ready, national-energy-regulators, ceer-benchmarking-report, us-eia-86122.2%
زیانەکانی گواستنەوە و دابەشکردنی کارەباIND.ENE.reliability.td_losses%Class Biea-electricity-information, national-energy-regulators, wb-wdi11.1%

Critical-mineral dependence sub-index w 0.5

Composite of critical-mineral import concentration and the largest single supplier share.

نیشاندەریەکەبەڵگەسەرچاوەکانڕێژە
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی کانزا گرنگەکانIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentration1Class Dun-comtrade, iea-critical-minerals-data-explorer, usgs-mineral-commodity-summaries50.0%
بەشی گەورەترین تاکە دابینکەر لە هاوردەی کانزا گرنگەکانداIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_share%Class Dun-comtrade, iea-critical-minerals-data-explorer50.0%
05بوار

وزە

Energy access, supply security, import dependence, diversity, reliability and transition.

Sub-domainنیشاندەرەکان
Access3
Supply security and import dependence6
Energy mix6
Reliability6
Critical minerals2

Anchor frameworks (pillar structure and definitions only): IEA energy security; SDG 7; IRENA.

06نیشاندەرەکان

All 23 energy indicators

FIG 4 · Indicators in scope, by domain and sub-domain
ENE · 23
Area is the number of indicator definitions; colour is the pillar the domain feeds (Macroeconomy and Space feed through their indices). Select a block to filter the table. Source: Indicator Standard Nexus Indicator Standard register.
نیشاندەربوارSub-domainComponentیەکەئاستەکانCrosswalks
دانیشتوانی خاوەن دەستگەیشتن بە کارەباIND.ENE.access.electricity_accessENEAccessvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 7.1.1 WB_WDI EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
دانیشتوانی کە بە شێوەی سەرەکی پشت بە سووتەمەنی و تەکنەلۆجیای پاکی چێشتلێنان دەبەستنIND.ENE.access.clean_cookingENEAccessvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1SDG 7.1.2 WB_WDI EG.CFT.ACCS.ZS
بەکارهێنانی کارەبا بۆ هەر تاکێکIND.ENE.access.electricity_consumption.pcENEAccesscontextkW.h/a/{person}COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC
ڕێژەی نوێبووەوە لە کۆی بەکارهێنانی کۆتاییی وزەداIND.ENE.mix.renewable_share_tfecENEEnergy mixadaptive capacity%COUNTRYSDG 7.2.1 WB_WDI EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS
چڕیی وزەی سەرەتاییی GDPIND.ENE.mix.energy_intensityENEEnergy mixvulnerabilityMJ/[USD]COUNTRYSDG 7.3.1 WB_WDI EG.EGY.PRIM.PP.KD
چڕبوونەوەی تێکەڵەی بەرهەمهێنانی کارەباIND.ENE.mix.generation_concentrationENEEnergy mixvulnerability1COUNTRY
ڕێژەی سووتەمەنیی بەبەردبوو لە بەرهەمهێنانی کارەباداIND.ENE.mix.fossil_electricity_shareENEEnergy mixvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS
توانای دامەزراوی بەرهەمهێنانی نوێبووەوە بۆ هەر تاکێکIND.ENE.mix.renewable_capacity.pcENEEnergy mixadaptive capacityW/{person}COUNTRYSDG 7.b.1
بەرهەمهێنانی کارەبای پشتبەستوو بە ئاو، ڕێژەIND.ENE.mix.water_dependent_generation.shareENEEnergy mixvulnerability%COUNTRY, ADM1
پشتبەستنی سافی بە هاوردەی وزەIND.ENE.security.net_energy_importsENESupply security and import dependenceexposure%COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.IMP.CONS.ZS
تێچووی هاوردەی سووتەمەنی، ڕێژە لە هەناردەی کاڵا و خزمەتگوزاریIND.ENE.security.fuel_import_bill.exportsENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI TM.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی نەوتی خاو و بەرهەمەکانیIND.ENE.security.oil_import_concentrationENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی غازی سروشتیIND.ENE.security.gas_import_concentrationENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی خەڵووزIND.ENE.security.coal_import_concentrationENESupply security and import dependencevulnerability1COUNTRY
یەدەگی نەوت بە ڕۆژانی هاوردەی سافیIND.ENE.security.strategic_oil_stocksENESupply security and import dependencecoping capacitydCOUNTRY
بڕانی کارەبا کە کۆمپانیاکان لە مانگێکی ئاساییدا ڕووبەڕووی دەبنەوەIND.ENE.reliability.firm_power_outagesENEReliabilityvulnerability/moCOUNTRYWB_WDI IC.ELC.OUTG
بەهای لەدەستچوو بە هۆی بڕانی کارەبا، ڕێژە لە فرۆشی کۆمپانیاIND.ENE.reliability.outage_sales_lossENEReliabilityimpact%COUNTRYWB_WDI IC.FRM.OUTG.ZS
تێکڕای ماوەی پچڕانی سیستەم (SAIDI)IND.ENE.reliability.saidiENEReliabilityvulnerabilityh/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
تێکڕای دووبارەبوونەوەی پچڕانی سیستەم (SAIFI)IND.ENE.reliability.saifiENEReliabilityvulnerability/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITYISO_37120 ISO 37120:2018
زیانەکانی گواستنەوە و دابەشکردنی کارەباIND.ENE.reliability.td_lossesENEReliabilityvulnerability%COUNTRYWB_WDI EG.ELC.LOSS.ZS
پلە-ڕۆژەکانی گەرمکردنەوە و ساردکردنەوەIND.ENE.reliability.thermal_demand_degree_daysENEReliabilityhazardK.d/aCOUNTRY, ADM1, CITY, GRID
چڕبوونەوەی دابینکەرانی هاوردەی کانزا گرنگەکانIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_import_concentrationENECritical mineralsvulnerability1COUNTRY
بەشی گەورەترین تاکە دابینکەر لە هاوردەی کانزا گرنگەکانداIND.ENE.minerals.critical_mineral_top_supplier_shareENECritical mineralsvulnerability%COUNTRY
07Quote

Energy security risk index, world

The world reading of this index, every country as a tile and the largest movements since the previous edition.

NXS-GRX · ENE · 195 profiles · 0–10 scale
Energy security risk index, world
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
ڕێباز
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Energy security risk index, world, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.
No movements yet. Changes since the previous edition are listed here from the second edition on, with the indicators that drove them.
08بەهاکان

Country values

FIG 5 · Energy security risk index: countries (values when released)
نەخشەکە باردەکرێت
ئەندۆرائەنتیگوا و باربودابەحرەینباربادۆسدوورگەکانی قەمەرکەیپ ڤێرددۆمینیکامایکرۆنیزیا (دەوڵەتە فیدراڵەکانی)گریناداکیریباتیسەینت کیتس و نێڤیسسەینت لووسیالیختنشتاینمۆناکۆمالدیڤدوورگەکانی مارشاڵماڵتامۆریشیۆسنائورووپالاوسەنگاپوورسان مارینۆسائۆ تۆمێ و پرینسیپیسیشێلتۆنگاتووڤالووڤاتیکانسەینت ڤینسێنت و گرینادینزساموا
Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110mValues when released
Until the first edition is released the map shows UN M49 regions or the Nexus Reports edition; it then shows this index’s classes with each country’s interval on hover. Countries are listed by name, never ordered by value.
Tiles
/api/v1/public/grix/risk-products/tiles/ene/{z}/{x}/{y}.mvt
ڕێنمای چاودێری
nis:IDX.ENE.security.energy_security_risk:{ISO3}:{YEAR}:A
10Validity

Crosswalks and validity checks

Crosswalks map leaf indicators to source code lists; established indices are used for validity checks, never re-weighted as inputs.

Code systemLeaf indicators mapped
WB_WDI10
SDG5
ISO_371202
11Across the Nexus

Platforms, standards and ways to take part

Field and service platforms of GCRI, GRF and GRA, the Nexus Risk Standards for this domain, learning, working groups and open calls. Every link is a live page.

12ئاماژەپێدان

ئاماژەپێدان و بەکارهێنانەوە

GCRI Canada (2026). The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): Energy security risk index (GRX-IDX-ENE), Baseline Edition 2026. Preparatory working draft. https://risksindex.com/indices/energy-security-risk/ UNI NXS-GRX-AR-000119.

See this index in every country profile

Each profile shows this index with its interval and class once released.