NXS-GRX-BOL · South America

Bolivia (Plurinational State of)

Country risk profile on The Global Risks Index: hazard and threat exposure, vulnerability, macro-financial fragility, coping capacity and systemic coupling, with intervals, sources and corrections on every value.

Page GRX-BOLEdition Baseline Edition 2026Evidence close 2026-09-30ISO BOL / BOStatus UN member stateValues not yet publishedMethod v1.0.0-draft
FIG 1 · Bolivia (Plurinational State of) in South America
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Equal Earth · Natural Earth 1:110m · locatorValues when released
Select a neighbouring profile to open it. Boundaries are shown at 1:110m for location only and take no position on any boundary or status.
20
domain indices
443
country indicators
14
hazard domains
11
sub-regional peers
01Brief

Bolivia (Plurinational State of) at a glance

What changed, what is live and what is open, each with its source.

02Humanitarian data

Bolivia (Plurinational State of) in humanitarian data

Source observations from the Humanitarian Data Exchange, each with its reference date, provider and licence. They are not index values.

Population · 2022-12-31

12,006,031

people. UNFPA · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Poverty headcount · 2023-12-31

5.6%

of people in multidimensional poverty. Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative · Public Domain / No restrictions (CC0).

Refugees hosted · 2025-12-31

20,674

refugees and asylum-seekers in the country. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Refugees from the country · 2025-12-31

8,246

refugees and asylum-seekers abroad, most in United States of America, Peru, Brazil. UNHCR – The UN Refugee Agency · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Humanitarian funding · 2025-12-31

US$ 4 m

received against US$ 12 m required. OCHA Financial Tracking System (FTS) · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

Rainfall

112 units

with rainfall against the long-term average, on the unit pages. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution International (CC BY).

Food prices · 2026-01-14

9 markets

Potatoes (Irish, imilla): 25.36 BOB per 11.5 KG. WFP – World Food Programme · Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO).

03Areas

The full profile of Bolivia (Plurinational State of), area by area

Fourteen areas from macroeconomy to frontier technology, and the planned innovation index. Each card says whether its sources are cleared, shows the mix, and gives two actions: what the area needs, and a scenario you can run now on open data.

How to readAdmitted: usableUnder legal review: waitingProhibited: excludedNot in the register: not yet assessedAcross the 14 areas: 113 admitted · 63 under legal review · 23 prohibited · 170 not in the register
Partly admitted14 indicators · 2 composites

Macroeconomy and external position

Output, prices, external balance and reserves, monetary conditions and labour, with intervals and the change since the last edition.

GDP
US$ 64.8 billion 2025
GDP per person
US$ 5,148 2025
GDP growth
-1.6% 2025
4 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 not in the register
Partly admitted37 indicators · 7 composites

Fiscal position and public debt

Debt path fan charts, gross financing needs, debt service and fiscal stress, with the assumptions published.

External debt
32.5% 2024
External debt service
17.8% 2024
7 admitted · 13 under legal review · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted32 indicators · 7 composites

Financial system

Banking-system capital and liquidity, credit growth, asset prices and contagion on the dependency network.

Domestic credit from the financial sector
77.5% 2019
Non-performing loans
3.1% 2024
Bank capital to assets
7% 2024
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Trade, economic structure and supply chains

Trade openness and concentration, commodity dependence and supply-chain exposure by sector.

Trade
47% 2024
Exports
21.4% 2024
Fuel exports
11.7% 2025
8 admitted · 6 under legal review · 5 not in the register
Partly admitted13 indicators · 5 composites

Water

Water stress, drought, access and quality, coupled to food, energy and health in the water, energy, food, health and biodiversity nexus.

Water stress
0.2% 2022
Renewable internal freshwater per person
25,130 m³ 2022
3 admitted · 2 under legal review · 2 prohibited · 4 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Energy

Supply security, import dependence, grid reliability, transition exposure and access.

Access to electricity
96.6% 2024
Renewable energy
12.8% 2021
Energy imports, net
-25.6% 2024
7 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted23 indicators · 6 composites

Food systems

Availability, access, prices and nutrition, and the drivers from water, energy, trade and conflict.

Undernourishment
19.5% 2024
Cereal yield
2,209 2024
Stunting, under 5
16.1% 2016
14 admitted · 4 under legal review · 2 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 6 composites

Health security

Health-system capacity, outbreak preparedness, disease burden and the health effects of other systems.

Life expectancy
68.7 years 2024
Under-5 mortality
15.7 2024
Health spending
6.9% 2023
4 admitted · 2 under legal review · 15 prohibited · 8 not in the register
Partly admitted22 indicators · 6 composites

Environment and biodiversity

Ecosystem condition, biodiversity pressure, land and ocean change and nature dependence of the economy.

Forest area
50.2% 2024
Protected areas
30.9% 2025
PM2.5 air pollution
28.1 µg/m³ 2023
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 22 not in the register
Partly admitted31 indicators · 8 composites

Climate: physical and transition

Chronic and acute physical risk under scenarios, and transition exposure of the economy and the public balance sheet.

CO₂ emissions per person
2.3 t CO₂e 2024
Greenhouse gas emissions
63.8 Mt CO₂e 2024
People below 5 m elevation
0% 2015
10 admitted · 7 under legal review · 24 not in the register
Partly admitted39 indicators · 10 composites

Conflict, governance and security

Violence and its spillovers, institutional quality, rule of law and state capacity.

Intentional homicides
4.4 2023
9 admitted · 4 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 14 not in the register
Partly admitted27 indicators · 10 composites

Frontier technology and innovation

Frontier technology risk and capacity side by side: AI, compute, semiconductors, quantum, space, biotech, cyber resilience and digital infrastructure, with the innovation index below.

Research and development spending
0.06% 2021
Researchers in R&D
63 2021
High-technology exports
8.8% 2024
9 admitted · 5 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 26 not in the register
Partly admitted18 indicators · 5 composites

Coping capacity and disaster finance

Preparedness, response and recovery capacity, risk financing and social protection.

Social protection coverage
6.8% 2021
9 admitted · 1 under legal review · 1 prohibited · 18 not in the register
Partly admitted46 indicators · 11 composites

Society, demography and mobility

Human development, inequality, ageing, urbanisation and displacement.

Population
12.6 million 2025
Urban population
71.6% 2025
Poverty at $3.00 a day
2.1% 2024
11 admitted · 1 under legal review · 12 not in the register
Planned12 planned indicators

Innovation index

Research, patents, talent, compute, digital infrastructure and capital for Bolivia (Plurinational State of), read beside frontier technology risk. Not in Indicator Standard yet; each indicator needs its source admitted.

04Quote

Bolivia (Plurinational State of) composite risk

Value, change since the previous edition, 90% interval and class probability; the history and the published indicators follow.

NXS-GRX-BOL · CRI · South America · 0–10 scale
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) composite risk
–
Values publish with the edition; the interval, class and change appear here.
Previous edition
–
Range since 2016
–
Coupled composite
–
Coupling score S
–
Pulse, latest week
–
Outlook, 12 months
–
Method
Indicator Standard 1.0 · NXS-GRX 2026
Draws
1,000
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) composite risk, by edition

No released values yet. The first edition draws the history here with its interval band and class bounds.

The line is the point value by edition; the band is the 90% interval; dashed lines are the class bounds at 2, 3.5, 5 and 6.5.

“Bolivia (Plurinational State of): published indicators” is not connected: the Foundry connection it needs is switched off on this network.

05Profile

Four pillars, composite and coupled composite

The composite is shown only with its four pillars and twenty domain indices beside it; each value carries a 90% interval and a class with its probability.

InstrumentValueChangeChange %90% intervalClass · probabilityTrendRange
NXS-GRX Composite RiskNXS-GRX-BOL · CRI–––––
NXS-GRX Coupled RiskNXS-GRX-BOL · CPL–––––
Hazard and threat exposureNXS-GRX-BOL · HTE–––––
Human and systems vulnerabilityNXS-GRX-BOL · VUL–––––
Macro-financial and structural fragilityNXS-GRX-BOL · MSF–––––
Lack of coping and adaptive capacityNXS-GRX-BOL · LCC–––––
Very low0.0 to < 2.0
Low2.0 to < 3.5
Medium3.5 to < 5.0
High5.0 to < 6.5
Very high6.5 to 10.0
07Coupling

How Bolivia (Plurinational State of) is coupled to the world

Not yet estimated. Coupling strengths through trade and inputs, finance and debt, energy, food trade, infrastructure and information are ◆ ESTIMATED per edition with their method and references; the coupled composite is reported beside the standalone one.
09Peers

Profiles in South America

A peer group is a reading context, not a ranking; profiles are listed by name.

Explore Bolivia (Plurinational State of)

Indices, hazards, the map and the data behind every value.

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